PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Makedonikos Neapolis vs Niki Volos Result & Analysis

Date: 23/05/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 3-1
Makedonikos Neapolis
Makedonikos Neapolis
Vs
32%
31%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Niki Volos
Niki Volos
Greece: Super League 2
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Makedonikos Neapolis win✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos win✗ Miss
37.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W01L00D13L33D32W11D02L12L11DA·APO25/02H·KAM04/03A·AEK11/03H·LEV24/03A·AEK03/04H·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.271.201.071.271.47
vs Stronger (15)1.131.531.501.250.711.86
vs Similar (15)1.331.000.860.861.751.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Niki VolosNiki Volos

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L12L04L11D02L10W11D32W01L11DH·ANA26/02H·LAR04/03A·PAO11/03H·LAR24/03A·LEV30/03H·AEK07/04H·MAK14/04A·LAR20/04H·LEV28/04A·AEK16/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.071.531.071.271.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)1.191.151.381.151.001.15
vs Weaker (4)2.750.502.500.503.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.1%
Under 1.5
30.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.4%
Under 2.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.9%
Under 3.5
79.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.0%
0-1
10.5%
1-0
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
0-2
7.2%
2-0
6.0%
Makedonikos Neapolis goals ↓
Niki Volos goals →
01234
011%10%7.2%3.0%0.9%
19.4%14%8.1%3.3%1.0%
26.0%7.3%4.5%1.8%0.6%
32.2%2.7%1.7%0.7%0.2%
40.6%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Makedonikos Neapolis goals (down), columns = Niki Volos goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Levadiakos
2.47
Kallithea
2.13
Larisa
1.97
Kissamikos
1.90
Ionikos
1.57
Ilioupoli
1.53
PAOK II
1.53
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.38
Iraklis 1908
1.38
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.33
Egaleo
1.31
Diagoras
1.31
AEK Athens II
1.27
Kalamata
1.27
Panachaiki FC
1.25
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.25
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.22
Kozani
1.19
Giouchtas
1.00
Panathinaikos II
0.94
Tilikratis
0.82
Aiolikos
0.75
Apollon Pontou
0.50
Makedonikos Neapolis is 0.03 points worse than Niki Volos in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Kissamikos
1.93
Levadiakos
1.77
Kallithea
1.63
PAOK II
1.62
Larisa
1.60
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.50
Ionikos
1.43
Niki Volos
1.37
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.23
Iraklis 1908
1.09
Panachaiki FC
1.09
AEK Athens II
1.07
Ilioupoli
1.03
Kalamata
0.97
Kampaniakos Chalastra
0.94
Diagoras
0.91
Giouchtas
0.88
Anagennisi Karditsas
0.88
Aiolikos
0.84
Panathinaikos II
0.78
Kozani
0.78
Egaleo
0.78
Tilikratis
0.77
Apollon Pontou
0.55
Makedonikos Neapolis is 0.13 goals worse than Niki Volos in terms of goals scored per game (1.23 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Levadiakos
0.47
Kallithea
0.63
Larisa
0.87
Iraklis 1908
0.88
Kozani
0.91
Kissamikos
0.93
Egaleo
0.94
Ionikos
0.97
Kalamata
1.00
Olympiakos Piraeus II
1.06
Anagennisi Karditsas
1.06
Diagoras
1.12
AEK Athens II
1.17
Niki Volos
1.17
Makedonikos Neapolis
1.27
Kampaniakos Chalastra
1.28
Panachaiki FC
1.31
Giouchtas
1.34
PAOK II
1.38
Ilioupoli
1.40
Panathinaikos II
1.47
Aiolikos
1.59
Tilikratis
1.68
Apollon Pontou
2.05
Makedonikos Neapolis is 0.10 goals worse than Niki Volos in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L00D01L21W12L00D01L12L11DA·APO25/02H·KAM04/03A·AEK11/03H·LEV24/03A·AEK03/04H·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.470.670.870.60
vs Stronger (15)0.530.870.620.880.430.86
vs Similar (15)0.800.400.290.431.250.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Niki VolosNiki Volos

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D01L11D01L10W00D11D00D11DH·ANA26/02H·LAR04/03A·PAO11/03H·LAR24/03A·LEV30/03H·AEK07/04H·MAK14/04A·LAR20/04H·LEV28/04A·AEK16/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.430.730.470.730.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.650.420.690.460.620.38
vs Weaker (4)1.250.501.000.501.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D00D12L12L20W11D01L00D00DA·APO25/02H·KAM04/03A·AEK11/03H·LEV24/03A·AEK03/04H·LAR07/04A·NIK14/04A·LEV20/04H·AEK10/05A·LAR15/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.630.730.400.400.87
vs Stronger (15)0.600.670.880.380.291.00
vs Similar (15)0.530.600.570.430.500.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Niki Volos) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Niki VolosNiki Volos

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W12L03L00D01L00D11D21W01L00DH·ANA26/02H·LAR04/03A·PAO11/03H·LAR24/03A·LEV30/03H·AEK07/04H·MAK14/04A·LAR20/04H·LEV28/04A·AEK16/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.800.600.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (26)0.540.730.690.690.380.77
vs Weaker (4)1.500.001.500.001.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Makedonikos Neapolis) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Makedonikos Neapolis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niki Volos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.1%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (24)
€16m
KAL (28)
€11m
I1 (25)
€9m
EGA (40)
€6m
NV (24)
€6m
PI (21)
€5m
KAL (27)
€5m
LAR (23)
€5m
AK (25)
€4m
OPI (22)
€4m
ILI (31)
€4m
MN (29)
€3m
KC (26)
€2m
AP (16)
€2m
Makedonikos Neapolis's squad is €3m less valuable than Niki Volos's (€3m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (11)
€5m
KAL (8)
€4m
EGA (19)
€3m
I1 (6)
€2m
PI (9)
€2m
NV (7)
€2m
OPI (9)
€2m
LAR (7)
€2m
KAL (9)
€2m
AK (7)
€1m
ILI (10)
€1m
MN (10)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
KC (8)
€1m
Makedonikos Neapolis and Niki Volos have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (4)
€5m
I1 (7)
€3m
KAL (6)
€2m
NV (6)
€1m
PI (4)
€1m
EGA (6)
€1m
ILI (6)
€1m
AK (6)
€1m
KC (7)
€1m
LAR (3)
€1m
KAL (4)
€1m
AP (4)
€1m
MN (4)
€0m
OPI (3)
€0m
Makedonikos Neapolis and Niki Volos have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEV (9)
€5m
KAL (14)
€5m
I1 (12)
€4m
KAL (14)
€3m
NV (11)
€3m
EGA (15)
€2m
LAR (13)
€2m
PI (8)
€2m
OPI (10)
€2m
AK (12)
€2m
ILI (15)
€2m
MN (15)
€1m
KC (11)
€1m
AP (6)
€1m
Makedonikos Neapolis's defence is €1m less valuable than Niki Volos's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
2
MN wins
2
Draws
1
NV wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Makedonikos Neapolis vs Niki Volos · H/A from MN
DateH/AGameScore
14/04/24ANiki Volos Vs MN1-1
18/02/24HMN Vs Niki Volos0-0
20/11/23ANiki Volos Vs MN1-2
26/03/23ANiki Volos Vs MN2-0
06/11/22HMN Vs Niki Volos2-0

Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/05/24ALarisa Vs MN1-1
10/05/24HMN Vs AEK Athens II1-2
20/04/24ALevadiakos Vs MN2-0
14/04/24ANiki Volos Vs MN1-1
07/04/24HMN Vs Larisa3-2
03/04/24AAEK Athens II Vs MN3-3
24/03/24HMN Vs Levadiakos1-3
11/03/24AAEK Athens II Vs MN0-0
04/03/24HMN Vs Kampaniakos Chalastra0-1
25/02/24AApollon Pontou Vs MN0-3

Niki VolosNiki Volos

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/24AAEK Athens II Vs NV1-1
28/04/24HNV Vs Levadiakos0-1
20/04/24ALarisa Vs NV2-3
14/04/24HNV Vs Makedonikos Neapolis1-1
07/04/24HNV Vs AEK Athens II1-0
30/03/24ALevadiakos Vs NV2-0
24/03/24HNV Vs Larisa1-1
11/03/24APAOK II Vs NV4-0
04/03/24HNV Vs Larisa1-2
26/02/24HNV Vs Anagennisi Karditsas1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Makedonikos Neapolis
Makedonikos Neapolis
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLD1.14
HomeDLLWL1.17
AwayDDDLD1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%25%23%
AVG goals2.342.172.50
Over 1.5 %68%54%81%
Over 2.5 %42%42%42%
Over 3.5 %26%33%19%
Scored1.061.041.08
Conceded1.281.121.42
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Niki Volos
Niki Volos
Greece: Super League 2
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWLD1.66
HomeLDWDL1.68
AwayDLLWD1.64
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%48%48%
AVG goals2.362.202.52
Over 1.5 %74%68%80%
Over 2.5 %38%36%40%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.421.441.40
Conceded0.940.761.12
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet40%44%36%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LevadiakosLevadiakos3074
77%
2.5
5314+39
2.2
70%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
5551.80.5
-
2KallitheaKallithea3064
63%
2.1
4919+30
2.3
67%
47%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.60.6
-
3LarisaLarisa3059
53%
2.0
4826+22
2.5
83%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.60.9
-
4KissamikosKissamikos3057
57%
1.9
5828+30
2.9
80%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
5PAOK IIPAOK II3249
47%
1.5
5244+8
3.0
78%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.4
-
6IonikosIonikos3047
40%
1.6
4329+14
2.4
63%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
7IlioupoliIlioupoli3046
47%
1.5
3142-11
2.4
57%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.01.4
-
8Olympiakos Piraeus IIOlympiakos Piraeus II3244
34%
1.4
4834+14
2.6
66%
47%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2021.51.1
-
9Iraklis 1908Iraklis 19083244
31%
1.4
3528+7
2.0
59%
28%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2341.10.9
-
10EgaleoEgaleo3242
34%
1.3
2530-5
1.7
47%
22%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3120.80.9
-
11DiagorasDiagoras3242
34%
1.3
2936-7
2.0
59%
31%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.1
-
12Niki VolosNiki Volos3041
40%
1.4
4135+6
2.5
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.41.2
-
13Makedonikos NeapolisMakedonikos Neapolis3040
30%
1.3
3738-1
2.5
73%
47%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.21.3
-
14Panachaiki FCPanachaiki FC3240
31%
1.2
3542-7
2.4
69%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
15Kampaniakos ChalastraKampaniakos Chalastra3240
38%
1.2
3041-11
2.2
56%
34%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.91.3
-
16Anagennisi KarditsasAnagennisi Karditsas3239
31%
1.2
2834-6
1.9
59%
31%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.91.1
-
17KalamataKalamata3038
33%
1.3
2930-1
2.0
53%
30%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
4251.01.0
-
18AEK Athens IIAEK Athens II3038
30%
1.3
3235-3
2.2
63%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
19KozaniKozani3238
28%
1.2
2529-4
1.7
44%
19%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.9
-
20GiouchtasGiouchtas3232
25%
1.0
2843-15
2.2
62%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
21Panathinaikos IIPanathinaikos II3230
25%
0.9
2547-22
2.2
69%
41%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.5
-
22AiolikosAiolikos3224
16%
0.8
2751-24
2.4
75%
47%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.6
-
23TilikratisTilikratis2218
23%
0.8
1737-20
2.5
68%
55%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.7
-
24Apollon PontouApollon Pontou2211
14%
0.5
1245-33
2.6
59%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1110.52.0
-
25AlmoposAlmopos00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Greece: Super League 2 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 2 stats & trends →

← all matches