This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.90
1.07
0.73
0.67
1.07
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.33
1.00
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.61
1.06
0.62
0.88
0.60
1.20
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.6%
Under 1.5
55.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
18.5%
@ 2.60-17.6%
Under 2.5
81.5%
@ 1.47+17.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
6.3%
Under 3.5
93.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
28.2%
No
71.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
24.1%
1-0
17.2%
0-1
14.0%
1-1
13.6%
2-0
7.5%
0-2
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
1-2
4.1%
Malaga goals ↓
Espanyol goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
24%
14%
5.1%
1.1%
0.2%
1
17%
14%
4.1%
0.9%
0.2%
2
7.5%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
3
2.0%
1.3%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malaga goals (down), columns = Espanyol goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Espanyol
1.95
Mallorca
1.95
Leganes
1.74
Almeria
1.74
Girona
1.69
Rayo Vallecano
1.60
Sporting Gijon
1.55
Ponferradina
1.36
Las Palmas
1.33
Fuenlabrada
1.29
Mirandes
1.29
Malaga
1.26
Tenerife
1.24
Oviedo
1.24
Alcorcon
1.17
FC Cartagena
1.17
Zaragoza
1.14
Lugo
1.12
Sabadell
1.10
Logrones
1.05
Castellón
0.98
Albacete
0.90
Malaga is 0.69 points worse than Espanyol in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.95).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Espanyol
1.69
Almeria
1.45
Mallorca
1.29
Rayo Vallecano
1.24
Leganes
1.21
Girona
1.12
Las Palmas
1.10
Fuenlabrada
1.07
Ponferradina
1.07
Oviedo
1.07
FC Cartagena
1.05
Sabadell
0.95
Lugo
0.90
Mirandes
0.90
Sporting Gijon
0.88
Malaga
0.88
Tenerife
0.86
Castellón
0.83
Zaragoza
0.81
Alcorcon
0.76
Albacete
0.71
Logrones
0.67
Malaga is 0.81 goals worse than Espanyol in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.69).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting Gijon
0.67
Espanyol
0.67
Mallorca
0.67
Leganes
0.76
Tenerife
0.86
Girona
0.86
Alcorcon
0.93
Rayo Vallecano
0.95
Almeria
0.95
Mirandes
0.98
Zaragoza
1.02
Fuenlabrada
1.10
Oviedo
1.10
Malaga
1.12
Sabadell
1.14
Ponferradina
1.19
FC Cartagena
1.24
Logrones
1.26
Las Palmas
1.26
Lugo
1.26
Albacete
1.26
Castellón
1.29
Malaga is 0.45 goals worse than Espanyol in terms of goals conceded per game (1.12 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Malaga
For 3.2 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 17.8 · Total 34.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Espanyol
For 4.7 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 13.1 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malaga
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.9
8.8
9.0
5.4
5.8
4.9
30.9
32.5
29.4
vs Stronger (2)
5.5
3.0
8.0
8.0
10.0
6.0
38.5
48.0
29.0
vs Similar (37)
9.4
9.6
9.3
5.4
5.7
5.0
30.0
30.4
29.6
vs Weaker (11)
7.5
7.2
8.0
4.9
5.5
4.2
32.5
36.0
28.4
% over line
44%
44%
44%
78%
84%
72%
92%
96%
88%
% under line
56%
56%
56%
22%
16%
28%
8%
4%
12%
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.8
8.3
9.4
4.9
4.4
5.5
27.8
28.4
27.2
vs Stronger (12)
9.0
9.0
9.0
4.2
3.7
4.8
27.1
27.3
26.8
vs Similar (32)
8.6
7.8
9.2
5.6
5.1
6.0
28.9
30.4
27.6
vs Weaker (6)
9.8
8.8
12.0
3.0
3.0
3.0
23.5
23.0
24.5
% over line
44%
35%
54%
70%
62%
79%
88%
85%
92%
% under line
56%
65%
46%
30%
38%
21%
12%
15%
8%
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Castellón
9.9
Sabadell
9.6
Logrones
9.6
Lugo
9.5
Mirandes
9.4
Mallorca
9.2
Zaragoza
9.1
Rayo Vallecano
9.0
Albacete
8.9
Almeria
8.9
Malaga
8.9
Espanyol
8.8
Oviedo
8.7
Alcorcon
8.7
Las Palmas
8.6
Leganes
8.4
Sporting Gijon
8.4
Tenerife
8.4
Fuenlabrada
8.4
FC Cartagena
8.3
Ponferradina
8.3
Girona
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Las Palmas
6.5
Fuenlabrada
6.5
FC Cartagena
6.4
Albacete
6.3
Leganes
6.0
Ponferradina
5.9
Alcorcon
5.9
Girona
5.9
Rayo Vallecano
5.9
Oviedo
5.8
Tenerife
5.8
Lugo
5.7
Almeria
5.6
Mallorca
5.5
Malaga
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.2
Zaragoza
5.1
Logrones
5.0
Espanyol
4.9
Mirandes
4.9
Castellón
4.7
Sabadell
4.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Fuenlabrada
33.5
Logrones
33.4
Oviedo
33.3
Rayo Vallecano
33.0
Albacete
32.8
Alcorcon
32.5
FC Cartagena
32.2
Ponferradina
32.1
Girona
31.9
Almeria
31.7
Las Palmas
31.3
Malaga
30.9
Sporting Gijon
30.5
Tenerife
30.0
Lugo
29.7
Leganes
29.4
Mirandes
29.1
Mallorca
28.3
Zaragoza
27.9
Espanyol
27.8
Sabadell
27.2
Castellón
26.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
37.2%
Under 9.5
62.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.9%
Under 3.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
96.7%
Under 21.5
3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malaga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.37
0.73
0.20
0.20
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.48
0.60
0.30
0.23
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.27
0.27
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.17
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.00
vs Similar (18)
0.22
0.44
0.25
0.50
0.20
0.40
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.00
1.25
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malaga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.33
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.57
0.40
0.50
0.38
0.62
vs Weaker (6)
0.17
0.17
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Espanyol) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Espanyol
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.40
0.40
0.80
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
1.17
0.33
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.61
0.38
0.38
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Espanyol over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
96.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
92.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
81.5%
1.47
-
-
-
-
-
+17.6%
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS No
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Malaga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ramón Enríquez67%
Carlos Puga33%
Juan Cruz33%
David Larrubia33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Chupete0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Rodriguez33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Espanyol · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Roberto Fernández67%
Tyrhys Dolan33%
Álex Calatrava33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Javier Hernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Urko González67%
Álex Calatrava67%
Javier Hernández33%
Roger Hinojo33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Javier Hernández100%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Edu Expósito0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Álex Calatrava0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Edu Expósito33%
Marko Dmitrović0%
Unai Núñez0%
Urko González0%
Tyrhys Dolan0%
Álex Calatrava0%
Omar El Hilali0%
Roberto Fernández0%
Javier Hernández0%
Roger Hinojo0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
RV (23)
€76m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LEG (26)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAS (28)
€21m
ALB (27)
€18m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
SAB (28)
€8m
MIR (21)
€6m
Malaga's squad is €77m less valuable than Espanyol's (€41m vs €119m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GIR (12)
€64m
ESP (9)
€39m
ALM (11)
€38m
RV (10)
€30m
MAL (11)
€26m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
LEG (11)
€14m
CAS (10)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
SAB (11)
€3m
MIR (6)
€2m
Malaga's attack is €14m less valuable than Espanyol's (€26m vs €39m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
LEG (5)
€8m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAS (6)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
SAB (6)
€2m
MIR (4)
€1m
Malaga's midfield is €25m less valuable than Espanyol's (€6m vs €31m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ESP (10)
€48m
RV (9)
€36m
GIR (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
LEG (10)
€8m
CAS (12)
€8m
ALB (10)
€5m
MIR (11)
€4m
TEN (10)
€3m
SAB (11)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Malaga's defence is €39m less valuable than Espanyol's (€9m vs €48m).
Spain: Segunda División 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →