This opponent (Lugo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
1.03
1.06
1.19
0.50
0.86
vs Stronger (17)
0.88
1.12
1.00
1.33
0.75
0.88
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.92
1.14
1.00
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (30%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
49.8%
Under 1.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
22.6%
Under 2.5
77.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
8.4%
Under 3.5
91.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
29.4%
No
70.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
20.7%
1-0
19.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-0
11.3%
0-1
9.8%
2-1 ✓
6.3%
3-0
4.0%
1-2
3.3%
Malaga goals ↓
Lugo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
21%
9.8%
3.1%
0.6%
0.1%
1
20%
13%
3.3%
0.6%
0.1%
2
11%
6.3%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
3
4.0%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
4
1.1%
0.6%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malaga goals (down), columns = Lugo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Malaga is 0.64 points better than Lugo in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 1.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Malaga is 0.19 goals better than Lugo in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.02).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Malaga is 0.48 goals better than Lugo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 1.21).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Malaga
For 4.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.0 · Against 12.8 · Total 28.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lugo
For 3.3 · Against 7.7 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.7 · Against 3.1 · Total 6.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 17.9 · Against 14.9 · Total 32.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malaga
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.8
8.3
5.0
5.2
4.8
29.9
29.9
30.0
vs Stronger (16)
8.4
8.4
8.3
4.7
4.7
4.7
29.1
28.9
29.3
vs Similar (28)
8.4
8.5
8.4
5.1
5.3
4.9
30.5
31.4
30.0
vs Weaker (6)
9.5
10.5
7.5
5.5
6.0
4.5
29.3
28.2
31.5
% over line
34%
32%
36%
80%
92%
68%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
66%
68%
64%
20%
8%
32%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Lugo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.8
11.1
6.2
5.9
6.5
30.4
30.2
30.7
vs Stronger (26)
10.3
10.1
10.6
6.5
6.2
6.8
29.6
29.9
29.2
vs Similar (24)
11.6
11.6
11.6
6.0
5.6
6.3
31.3
30.5
32.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
56%
50%
62%
94%
88%
100%
98%
100%
96%
% under line
44%
50%
38%
6%
12%
0%
2%
0%
4%
This opponent (Malaga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Rayo Majadahonda
11.0
Lugo
10.9
Numancia
10.6
Deportivo La Coruna
10.5
Alcorcon
10.3
Sporting Gijon
10.2
Zaragoza
10.1
Extremadura UD
10.0
Almeria
9.9
Mallorca
9.9
Tenerife
9.8
Granada CF
9.7
Cordoba
9.5
Cadiz
9.3
Las Palmas
9.3
Albacete
9.2
Elche
9.1
Oviedo
9.1
Gimnastic
9.1
Osasuna
9.0
Malaga
8.5
Reus Deportiu
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
7.2
Lugo
6.2
Gimnastic
6.2
Osasuna
6.2
Cordoba
6.1
Oviedo
6.0
Elche
6.0
Tenerife
5.9
Almeria
5.7
Las Palmas
5.7
Rayo Majadahonda
5.7
Alcorcon
5.4
Albacete
5.4
Sporting Gijon
5.3
Mallorca
5.1
Cadiz
5.0
Malaga
5.0
Numancia
5.0
Granada CF
4.9
Deportivo La Coruna
4.8
Zaragoza
4.7
Reus Deportiu
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Extremadura UD
33.1
Elche
32.8
Osasuna
32.3
Cordoba
32.2
Las Palmas
31.8
Oviedo
31.7
Gimnastic
31.5
Alcorcon
31.5
Almeria
31.0
Tenerife
30.7
Lugo
30.4
Sporting Gijon
29.9
Malaga
29.9
Albacete
29.5
Rayo Majadahonda
29.1
Granada CF
28.7
Mallorca
28.6
Cadiz
27.9
Reus Deportiu
27.8
Numancia
27.5
Zaragoza
27.2
Deportivo La Coruna
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
52.3%
Under 9.5
47.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.1%
Under 3.5
13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
95.9%
Under 21.5
4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malaga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.37
0.60
0.20
0.40
0.53
vs Stronger (4)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.45
0.30
0.50
0.12
0.42
0.42
vs Weaker (6)
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.25
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.47
0.62
0.50
0.14
0.43
vs Stronger (17)
0.41
0.47
0.56
0.44
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (13)
0.38
0.46
0.71
0.57
0.00
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malaga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.70
0.53
0.53
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.85
0.62
0.62
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Lugo) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lugo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.57
0.44
0.69
0.36
0.43
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
0.65
0.44
0.89
0.50
0.38
vs Similar (13)
0.31
0.46
0.43
0.43
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lugo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
91.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
73.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
BTTS No
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Malaga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ramón Enríquez67%
Carlos Puga33%
Juan Cruz33%
David Larrubia33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Chupete0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Rodriguez33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Lugo · 2022/23
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chris Ramos25%
Sebas Moyano12%
Alberto Rodríguez8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Javier Avilés6%
Xavi Torres6%
Josep Señé6%
Jaume Cuéllar5%
Juanpe4%
Ángel Baena3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Pablo Clavería0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Neyder Lozano56%
Patrick Sequeira50%
Jose Ricardo40%
Bruno Pirri38%
Aleksandar Pantić30%
Juanpe26%
Miguel Loureiro25%
Cesar Rodriguez25%
Xavi Torres24%
Pablo Clavería24%
Gui23%
El Hacen19%
Josep Señé18%
Jaume Cuéllar16%
Jordi Calavera15%
Castrín14%
Alberto Rodríguez14%
Andoni López12%
Chris Ramos12%
Marc Carbo10%
Manu Barreiro9%
Javier Avilés6%
Ángel Baena3%
Óscar Whalley3%
Sebas Moyano2%
Marko Šćepović0%
Álex Pérez0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Idrissa Thiam17%
Jaume Cuéllar11%
Jose Ricardo10%
Juanpe9%
Gui8%
Manu Barreiro6%
Ángel Baena6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Miguel Loureiro2%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Javier Avilés0%
Chris Ramos0%
Josep Señé0%
Sebas Moyano0%
Marc Carbo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Chris Ramos46%
Sebas Moyano15%
Javier Avilés12%
Juanpe9%
Manu Barreiro6%
Pablo Clavería3%
Ángel Baena3%
Marko Šćepović0%
El Hacen0%
Bruno Pirri0%
Óscar Whalley0%
Aleksandar Pantić0%
Álex Pérez0%
Andoni López0%
Neyder Lozano0%
Xavi Torres0%
Orest Lebedenko0%
Miguel Loureiro0%
Jordi Calavera0%
Josep Señé0%
Marc Carbo0%
Jose Ricardo0%
Patrick Sequeira0%
Alberto Rodríguez0%
Idrissa Thiam0%
Dani Vidal0%
Cesar Rodriguez0%
Jesús Fernández0%
Jaume Cuéllar0%
Gui0%
Leandro Antonetti0%
Castrín0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Osasuna
Granada CF
Albacete
Mallorca
Deportivo La Coruna
Cadiz
Oviedo
Sporting Gijon
Almeria
Elche
Las Palmas
Alcorcon
Zaragoza
Tenerife
Numancia
Rayo Majadahonda
Gimnastic
Cordoba