This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osasuna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.90
1.53
0.40
0.93
1.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.00
1.56
0.44
0.67
1.56
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.75
1.50
0.33
1.33
1.17
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
52.6%
Under 1.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
24.8%
Under 2.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
9.6%
Under 3.5
90.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
34.3%
No
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
19.2%
1-0
15.4%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
12.7%
2-0
7.8%
2-1
6.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-2 ✓
5.2%
Malaga goals ↓
Osasuna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
19%
13%
5.5%
1.4%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.2%
1.3%
0.3%
2
7.8%
6.1%
2.4%
0.6%
0.1%
3
2.4%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
4
0.6%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Malaga goals (down), columns = Osasuna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Osasuna
2.07
Granada CF
1.88
Malaga
1.76
Albacete
1.69
Mallorca
1.64
Deportivo La Coruna
1.62
Cadiz
1.52
Oviedo
1.50
Sporting Gijon
1.45
Almeria
1.43
Elche
1.31
Las Palmas
1.29
Extremadura UD
1.26
Alcorcon
1.24
Zaragoza
1.21
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.17
Lugo
1.12
Rayo Majadahonda
1.07
Gimnastic
0.86
Cordoba
0.81
Reus Deportiu
0.50
Malaga is 0.31 points worse than Osasuna in terms of average points per game (1.76 vs 2.07).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Osasuna
1.40
Albacete
1.29
Cadiz
1.26
Mallorca
1.26
Granada CF
1.24
Malaga
1.21
Almeria
1.21
Deportivo La Coruna
1.19
Elche
1.17
Zaragoza
1.17
Cordoba
1.14
Las Palmas
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Rayo Majadahonda
1.10
Numancia
1.05
Sporting Gijon
1.02
Extremadura UD
1.02
Lugo
1.02
Tenerife
0.95
Alcorcon
0.86
Gimnastic
0.71
Reus Deportiu
0.38
Malaga is 0.19 goals worse than Osasuna in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Granada CF
0.67
Malaga
0.74
Deportivo La Coruna
0.76
Osasuna
0.83
Cadiz
0.86
Mallorca
0.88
Sporting Gijon
0.90
Albacete
0.90
Almeria
0.93
Alcorcon
1.00
Extremadura UD
1.12
Reus Deportiu
1.14
Oviedo
1.14
Tenerife
1.19
Numancia
1.19
Las Palmas
1.19
Lugo
1.21
Zaragoza
1.21
Elche
1.24
Rayo Majadahonda
1.45
Gimnastic
1.50
Cordoba
1.88
Malaga is 0.10 goals better than Osasuna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.74 vs 0.83).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Malaga
For 4.3 · Against 4.2 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.6 · Against 14.2 · Total 30.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Osasuna
For 4.9 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.5 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.3 · Against 17.4 · Total 32.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Malaga
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.6
9.0
8.3
5.1
5.2
5.0
30.3
30.1
30.4
vs Stronger (11)
9.2
9.0
9.7
4.9
4.6
5.7
29.4
28.4
32.0
vs Similar (31)
8.3
8.3
8.3
5.2
5.4
5.0
30.6
32.0
29.8
vs Weaker (8)
9.2
10.6
7.0
5.1
5.6
4.3
30.1
28.4
33.0
% over line
36%
40%
32%
82%
92%
72%
96%
92%
100%
% under line
64%
60%
68%
18%
8%
28%
4%
8%
0%
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osasuna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.7
9.2
6.0
5.4
6.6
32.2
32.1
32.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
9.4
9.5
9.4
6.0
6.0
5.9
32.3
32.6
32.0
vs Weaker (25)
9.5
10.0
9.0
6.0
4.8
7.2
32.0
31.5
32.5
% over line
44%
36%
52%
80%
76%
84%
96%
96%
96%
% under line
56%
64%
48%
20%
24%
16%
4%
4%
4%
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Lugo
10.7
Numancia
10.5
Zaragoza
10.4
Deportivo La Coruna
10.4
Sporting Gijon
10.4
Rayo Majadahonda
10.2
Alcorcon
10.2
Almeria
9.9
Tenerife
9.9
Mallorca
9.7
Cordoba
9.7
Extremadura UD
9.6
Granada CF
9.5
Osasuna
9.5
Albacete
9.4
Cadiz
9.4
Las Palmas
9.3
Gimnastic
9.1
Elche
9.0
Oviedo
9.0
Malaga
8.6
Reus Deportiu
8.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Extremadura UD
7.0
Cordoba
6.3
Las Palmas
6.1
Gimnastic
6.1
Tenerife
6.1
Elche
6.0
Osasuna
6.0
Lugo
6.0
Oviedo
5.9
Almeria
5.9
Sporting Gijon
5.5
Alcorcon
5.5
Rayo Majadahonda
5.4
Cadiz
5.4
Mallorca
5.4
Albacete
5.4
Numancia
5.3
Malaga
5.1
Deportivo La Coruna
5.0
Granada CF
4.9
Zaragoza
4.7
Reus Deportiu
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Elche
32.5
Cordoba
32.5
Alcorcon
32.3
Osasuna
32.2
Las Palmas
32.1
Oviedo
31.7
Almeria
31.7
Extremadura UD
31.3
Gimnastic
31.0
Tenerife
30.6
Malaga
30.3
Sporting Gijon
30.1
Lugo
29.9
Albacete
29.5
Rayo Majadahonda
29.3
Mallorca
28.8
Granada CF
28.6
Numancia
27.9
Reus Deportiu
27.8
Cadiz
27.7
Zaragoza
27.4
Deportivo La Coruna
26.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
86.6%
Under 3.5
13.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.0%
Under 21.5
3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Malaga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.27
0.47
0.13
0.27
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.41
0.18
0.50
0.00
0.33
0.33
vs Weaker (8)
0.25
0.50
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.67
Clean sheet %
80% (+49pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osasuna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.53
0.53
0.20
0.33
0.87
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.61
0.44
0.33
0.22
0.89
vs Weaker (12)
0.58
0.42
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
60% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Malaga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.60
0.40
0.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.55
0.64
0.50
0.40
0.58
0.83
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
0.80
0.40
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Osasuna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Osasuna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.37
1.00
0.20
0.60
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.78
0.39
1.11
0.11
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (12)
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.83
0.33
Clean sheet %
67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Malaga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Malaga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malaga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Osasuna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
98.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
97.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
86.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 4.5 cards
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Malaga · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ramón Enríquez67%
Carlos Puga33%
Juan Cruz33%
David Larrubia33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Rafa Rodriguez0%
Chupete0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rafa Rodriguez33%
Chupete33%
Joaquín Muñoz0%
Einar Galilea0%
Alfonso Herrero0%
Ramón Enríquez0%
Carlos Dotor0%
Carlos Puga0%
Juan Cruz0%
David Larrubia0%
Ángel Recio0%
Izan Merino0%
Rafa Garrido0%
Osasuna · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ante Budimir67%
Kike Barja33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Raúl García de Haro0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sergio Herrera67%
Kike Barja67%
Jon Moncayola33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Jorge Herrando33%
Iker Muñoz33%
Lucas Torró0%
Rubén García0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Rubén García0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Ante Budimir0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rubén García33%
Ante Budimir33%
Raúl García de Haro33%
Lucas Torró0%
Sergio Herrera0%
Jon Moncayola0%
Kike Barja0%
Alejandro Catena0%
Moi Gómez0%
Aimar Oroz0%
Abel Bretones0%
Jorge Herrando0%
Iker Muñoz0%
Jonathan Dubasin0%
Iñigo Arguibide0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (29)
€84m
ELC (27)
€79m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALM (26)
€54m
MAL (26)
€48m
MAL (27)
€41m
OVI (23)
€30m
LP (27)
€30m
SG (23)
€28m
CAD (29)
€27m
ALB (27)
€18m
GC (18)
€17m
COR (26)
€16m
TEN (28)
€12m
ZAR (20)
€9m
Malaga's squad is €30m less valuable than Osasuna's (€41m vs €71m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (9)
€49m
ALM (11)
€38m
ELC (13)
€34m
MAL (11)
€26m
OSA (8)
€25m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
SG (8)
€14m
LP (12)
€14m
CAD (12)
€11m
ALB (10)
€8m
GC (5)
€6m
TEN (13)
€5m
ZAR (8)
€4m
COR (9)
€4m
Malaga and Osasuna have a similar attack value (both €26m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DLC (7)
€13m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
MAL (5)
€9m
MAL (5)
€6m
OVI (4)
€6m
SG (5)
€5m
ALM (4)
€4m
COR (5)
€4m
ALB (7)
€4m
TEN (5)
€4m
CAD (5)
€3m
GC (3)
€3m
LP (5)
€3m
ZAR (4)
€2m
Malaga's midfield is €6m less valuable than Osasuna's (€6m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
DLC (13)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
LP (10)
€13m
CAD (12)
€12m
ALM (11)
€11m
OVI (8)
€10m
MAL (11)
€9m
SG (10)
€9m
GC (10)
€9m
COR (12)
€7m
ALB (10)
€5m
TEN (10)
€3m
ZAR (8)
€3m
Malaga's defence is €24m less valuable than Osasuna's (€9m vs €33m).
Spain: Segunda División 2018/19 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: Segunda División stats & trends →