This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altay
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.37
0.81
1.44
0.64
1.29
vs Stronger (22)
0.68
1.36
0.77
1.46
0.56
1.22
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.38
1.00
1.33
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
44.0%
Under 2.5
56.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.2%
No
49.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.0%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.0%
2-1
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
4.9%
Manisa F.K. goals ↓
Altay goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.0%
4.9%
1.7%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.8%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.3%
8.8%
4.7%
1.7%
0.4%
3
3.8%
4.0%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
4
1.3%
1.4%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Manisa F.K. goals (down), columns = Altay goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Samsunspor
2.12
Rizespor
1.86
Pendikspor
1.83
Eyüpspor
1.71
Bodrum FK
1.70
Sakaryaspor
1.60
Göztepe
1.59
Keçiörengücü
1.47
Manisa F.K.
1.47
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Boluspor
1.35
Altay
1.18
Adanaspor
1.14
Erzurumspor FK
1.06
Beykoz Anadolu
1.00
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
0.94
Yeni Malatyaspor
0.86
Altınordu
0.85
Denizlispor
0.59
Manisa F.K. is 0.29 points better than Altay in terms of average points per game (1.47 vs 1.18).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Samsunspor
1.88
Rizespor
1.74
Pendikspor
1.74
Keçiörengücü
1.56
Bodrum FK
1.52
Sakaryaspor
1.51
Adanaspor
1.45
Bandırmaspor
1.44
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Altay
1.24
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.18
Göztepe
1.18
Boluspor
1.12
Beykoz Anadolu
1.11
Erzurumspor FK
1.09
Altınordu
1.03
Eyüpspor
1.03
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.00
Denizlispor
0.85
Manisa F.K. is 0.15 goals better than Altay in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 1.24).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Samsunspor
0.76
Eyüpspor
0.84
Göztepe
0.91
Bodrum FK
0.95
Rizespor
1.00
Pendikspor
1.06
Altay
1.32
Boluspor
1.35
Sakaryaspor
1.37
Keçiörengücü
1.38
Manisa F.K.
1.38
Erzurumspor FK
1.41
Beykoz Anadolu
1.49
Adanaspor
1.55
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
1.62
Altınordu
1.68
Bandırmaspor
1.71
Yeni Malatyaspor
1.77
Denizlispor
1.97
Manisa F.K. is 0.06 goals worse than Altay in terms of goals conceded per game (1.38 vs 1.32).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Pendikspor
64%
Eyüpspor
56%
Adanaspor
54%
Manisa F.K.
53%
Altınordu
53%
Rizespor
53%
Sakaryaspor
53%
Samsunspor
51%
Bandırmaspor
51%
Keçiörengücü
50%
Boluspor
49%
Beykoz Anadolu
49%
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
47%
Denizlispor
46%
Göztepe
46%
Bodrum FK
45%
Erzurumspor FK
45%
Altay
45%
Yeni Malatyaspor
44%
Manisa F.K. is 8.4 percentage points better than Altay in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Manisa F.K.
For 5.1 · Against 4.4 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 11.4 · Total 25.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Altay
For 3.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 12.7 · Total 27.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Manisa F.K.
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (7)
9.6
10.0
9.0
5.7
6.5
4.7
25.0
23.5
27.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
-
11.0
5.5
-
5.5
26.5
-
26.5
vs Similar (2)
7.0
9.0
5.0
5.0
7.0
3.0
30.0
32.0
28.0
vs Weaker (3)
10.3
10.3
-
6.3
6.3
-
20.7
20.7
-
% over line
57%
50%
67%
57%
75%
33%
71%
75%
67%
% under line
43%
50%
33%
43%
25%
67%
29%
25%
33%
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altay
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
9.6
9.2
10.0
4.2
4.3
4.0
26.8
27.5
26.0
vs Stronger (35)
9.4
9.1
9.9
4.2
4.1
4.3
27.2
27.6
26.6
vs Similar (11)
10.0
9.4
10.5
4.3
5.4
3.3
25.6
27.0
24.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
33%
52%
65%
67%
64%
80%
88%
71%
% under line
58%
67%
48%
35%
33%
36%
20%
12%
29%
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Samsunspor
10.8
Rizespor
10.0
Erzurumspor FK
9.9
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
9.7
Denizlispor
9.6
Altay
9.6
Manisa F.K.
9.6
Yeni Malatyaspor
9.5
Eyüpspor
9.5
Göztepe
9.1
Boluspor
8.7
Adanaspor
8.5
Keçiörengücü
8.1
Altınordu
7.8
Bandırmaspor
7.7
Beykoz Anadolu
7.4
Sakaryaspor
7.1
Bodrum FK
6.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sakaryaspor
5.8
Manisa F.K.
5.7
Samsunspor
5.6
Beykoz Anadolu
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Adanaspor
5.1
Bandırmaspor
5.0
Erzurumspor FK
5.0
Göztepe
4.9
Eyüpspor
4.8
Rizespor
4.5
Bodrum FK
4.4
Altay
4.3
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
4.2
Denizlispor
4.2
Keçiörengücü
4.0
Yeni Malatyaspor
3.9
Altınordu
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Beykoz Anadolu
29.9
Samsunspor
29.4
Bodrum FK
29.0
Erzurumspor FK
28.0
Keçiörengücü
27.8
Altay
26.8
Bandırmaspor
26.7
Rizespor
26.6
Sakaryaspor
26.5
Denizlispor
26.3
Boluspor
26.3
Adanaspor
25.5
Göztepe
25.2
Eyüpspor
25.0
Manisa F.K.
25.0
Altınordu
24.8
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
24.4
Yeni Malatyaspor
23.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
45.0%
Under 9.5
55.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.5%
Under 3.5
27.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.57
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altay
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.33
0.67
0.38
0.75
0.29
0.57
vs Stronger (22)
0.32
0.64
0.38
0.77
0.22
0.44
vs Similar (8)
0.38
0.75
0.33
0.67
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Manisa F.K.
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.14
1.25
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
-
-
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Altay) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Altay
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.44
0.69
0.36
0.71
vs Stronger (22)
0.36
0.73
0.38
0.69
0.33
0.78
vs Similar (8)
0.50
0.62
0.67
0.67
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Manisa F.K.) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Manisa F.K. over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manisa F.K. over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Manisa F.K. over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Altay over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Manisa F.K.
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ballou Tabla21%
Junior Fernandes21%
Mehmet Uysal21%
Adem Büyük20%
Marvin Gakpa19%
Selim Ilgaz17%
Burak Coban17%
Batuhan Kör14%
Edgar Prib12%
Anıl Koç12%
Muhammed Mert10%
Burak Altıparmak9%
Kaan Kanak8%
Nizamettin Çalışkan7%
Ayberk Karapo6%
David Domgjoni4%
Muhammet Taha Şahin3%
Eros Grezda0%
Alioune Ba0%
Yannick Stark0%
Cagri Giritlioglu0%
Omer Kahveci0%
Muhammed Birkan Tetik0%
Serkan Odabasoglu0%
Doğukan Emeksiz0%
Kadir Kaan Yurdakul0%
Metehan Baltacı0%
Demba Diallo0%
Arda Çolak0%
Firat Sari0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
David Domgjoni42%
Adem Büyük24%
Demba Diallo23%
Serkan Odabasoglu20%
Ayberk Karapo19%
Burak Altıparmak18%
Edgar Prib17%
Junior Fernandes14%
Nizamettin Çalışkan14%
Muhammet Taha Şahin13%
Eros Grezda12%
Anıl Koç12%
Muhammed Mert10%
Cagri Giritlioglu10%
Mehmet Uysal8%
Burak Coban8%
Muhammed Birkan Tetik8%
Ballou Tabla7%
Marvin Gakpa6%
Omer Kahveci5%
Alioune Ba5%
Batuhan Kör5%
Yannick Stark0%
Selim Ilgaz0%
Kaan Kanak0%
Doğukan Emeksiz0%
Kadir Kaan Yurdakul0%
Metehan Baltacı0%
Arda Çolak0%
Firat Sari0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Mert20%
Selim Ilgaz17%
Ballou Tabla14%
Nizamettin Çalışkan14%
Adem Büyük12%
Serkan Odabasoglu10%
Demba Diallo10%
Kaan Kanak8%
Junior Fernandes7%
Cagri Giritlioglu5%
Batuhan Kör5%
Mehmet Uysal4%
Muhammet Taha Şahin3%
Marvin Gakpa3%
Ayberk Karapo3%
Burak Altıparmak3%
Eros Grezda0%
David Domgjoni0%
Alioune Ba0%
Yannick Stark0%
Edgar Prib0%
Anıl Koç0%
Omer Kahveci0%
Muhammed Birkan Tetik0%
Doğukan Emeksiz0%
Burak Coban0%
Kadir Kaan Yurdakul0%
Metehan Baltacı0%
Arda Çolak0%
Firat Sari0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nizamettin Çalışkan29%
Adem Büyük20%
Junior Fernandes14%
Batuhan Kör14%
Kaan Kanak8%
Demba Diallo7%
Ayberk Karapo6%
Edgar Prib4%
Mehmet Uysal4%
Marvin Gakpa3%
Burak Altıparmak3%
Eros Grezda0%
David Domgjoni0%
Alioune Ba0%
Yannick Stark0%
Ballou Tabla0%
Selim Ilgaz0%
Anıl Koç0%
Muhammed Mert0%
Cagri Giritlioglu0%
Omer Kahveci0%
Muhammed Birkan Tetik0%
Serkan Odabasoglu0%
Doğukan Emeksiz0%
Burak Coban0%
Kadir Kaan Yurdakul0%
Muhammet Taha Şahin0%
Metehan Baltacı0%
Arda Çolak0%
Firat Sari0%
Altay
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marco Paixão56%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Ceyhun Gülselam10%
Zeki Yildirim10%
İbrahim Öztürk10%
Salih Sarikaya10%
Eren Erdogan7%
Mohammad Naderi7%
Deniz Kadah6%
Arda Gezer5%
Eric Björkander4%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Tolga Ünlü0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Eren Karatas0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Zeki Yildirim30%
Efe Sarikaya28%
Salih Sarikaya26%
Eric Björkander25%
Murat Uluc25%
Onur Efe25%
Ceyhun Gülselam23%
Eren Erdogan21%
Yusuf Tekin17%
Ozan Evrim Özenç16%
Mohammad Naderi14%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Kutay Yokuslu11%
İbrahim Öztürk10%
Murat Demir10%
Tolga Ünlü10%
Marco Paixão9%
Eren Karatas8%
Mehmet Gunduz6%
Deniz Kadah6%
Özgür Özkaya0%
Arda Gezer0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ali Kizilkuyu33%
Zeki Yildirim20%
Eren Erdogan18%
Ceyhun Gülselam13%
Tolga Ünlü13%
Özgür Özkaya12%
Marco Paixão12%
Sefa Özdemir11%
Deniz Kadah6%
Yusuf Tekin4%
Mohammad Naderi0%
Eric Björkander0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Salih Sarikaya0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Onur Efe0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marco Paixão38%
Eren Erdogan7%
Tolga Ünlü6%
Deniz Kadah6%
Zeki Yildirim5%
Sefa Özdemir0%
Mohammad Naderi0%
Eric Björkander0%
Ceyhun Gülselam0%
Ozan Evrim Özenç0%
Özgür Özkaya0%
İbrahim Öztürk0%
Murat Demir0%
Murat Uluc0%
Yusuf Tekin0%
Kutay Yokuslu0%
Salih Sarikaya0%
Eren Karatas0%
Arda Gezer0%
Onur Efe0%
Ali Kizilkuyu0%
Efe Sarikaya0%
Erdem Ozcan0%
Mehmet Gunduz0%
Enes Yetkin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Turkey: 1. Lig 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →