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Mantova vs Carrarese Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2025
Time: 18:30
Final 2-1
Mantova
Mantova
Vs
51%
29%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Carrarese
Carrarese
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mantova win✓ Hit
51.0%
Avg Implied 43.6% · @ 2.15
Edge
+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.5%
Avg Implied 31.2% · @ 3.01
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Carrarese win✗ Miss
20.5%
Avg Implied 25.2% · @ 3.72
Edge
-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MantovaMantova

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L12L11D13L20W21W22D24L30W02LH·BAR22/02A·FRO01/03H·JUV08/03A·PIS16/03H·SUD29/03A·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.601.211.141.312.00
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.003.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.541.311.001.462.08
vs Weaker (2)1.002.00--1.002.00
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrarese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarrareseCarrarese

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D22D01L22D21W00D22D10W02L21WA·REG22/02H·CRE01/03H·FRO08/03A·SUD16/03H·BAR30/03A·CIT05/04H·CAT12/04H·SAM25/04A·SAS01/05H·MOD04/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.131.290.940.691.38
vs Stronger (3)0.671.331.000.000.502.00
vs Similar (27)1.071.111.311.000.731.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.8%
Under 1.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.4%
@ 1.91-7.1%
Under 2.5
57.6%
@ 1.87+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.6%
Under 3.5
78.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.4%
No
53.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.8%
2-0
10.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-1 ✓
9.2%
0-1
6.9%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
5.3%
Mantova goals ↓
Carrarese goals →
01234
011%6.9%3.5%1.0%0.2%
113%13%5.3%1.5%0.3%
211%9.2%4.0%1.2%0.2%
35.3%4.6%2.0%0.6%0.1%
42.0%1.7%0.8%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mantova goals (down), columns = Carrarese goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sassuolo
2.16
Pisa
1.95
Spezia
1.74
Cremonese
1.62
Juve Stabia
1.49
Catanzaro
1.37
Cesena
1.36
Palermo
1.33
Bari
1.26
Sudtirol
1.21
Modena
1.18
Carrarese
1.18
Reggiana
1.16
Mantova
1.16
Brescia
1.13
Frosinone
1.13
Sampdoria
1.13
Salernitana
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Cosenza
0.89
Mantova is 0.03 points worse than Carrarese in terms of average points per game (1.16 vs 1.18).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sassuolo
2.05
Cremonese
1.64
Pisa
1.63
Spezia
1.55
Palermo
1.33
Sudtirol
1.32
Catanzaro
1.29
Modena
1.26
Mantova
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Brescia
1.11
Reggiana
1.11
Juve Stabia
1.10
Bari
1.08
Carrarese
1.03
Sampdoria
1.03
Frosinone
0.97
Salernitana
0.95
Cosenza
0.84
Cittadella
0.82
Mantova is 0.21 goals better than Carrarese in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Spezia
0.88
Pisa
0.97
Sassuolo
1.00
Bari
1.05
Juve Stabia
1.10
Palermo
1.13
Cremonese
1.14
Catanzaro
1.20
Cesena
1.23
Salernitana
1.26
Sampdoria
1.26
Brescia
1.26
Carrarese
1.29
Frosinone
1.32
Modena
1.32
Reggiana
1.37
Cittadella
1.42
Cosenza
1.47
Mantova
1.47
Sudtirol
1.50
Mantova is 0.18 goals worse than Carrarese in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Mantova
62%
Cremonese
60%
Catanzaro
55%
Sassuolo
52%
Salernitana
52%
Juve Stabia
52%
Bari
51%
Spezia
50%
Palermo
49%
Carrarese
49%
Cosenza
49%
Cesena
49%
Modena
48%
Sampdoria
48%
Frosinone
47%
Brescia
46%
Pisa
46%
Cittadella
45%
Reggiana
44%
Sudtirol
44%
Mantova is 12.9 percentage points better than Carrarese in terms of average possession (62% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MantovaMantova

For 4.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

15045349131271944931996971049108121015H·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BREH·SUDA·PISH·JUVA·FROH·BARA·PAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.8 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

6022424231323223333332665454666A·SALH·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BREH·SUDA·PISH·JUVA·FROH·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 21.9 · Total 36.2

⚠️ Fouls

480162012191726122110141331112721271813132136314333244438483134A·SALH·CESA·CREH·SPEA·BREH·SUDA·PISH·JUVA·FROH·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

CarrareseCarrarese

For 4.9 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

1706565612553777445745611111781411979H·MODA·SASH·SAMH·CATA·CITH·BARA·SUDH·FROH·CREA·REG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3

🟨 Cards

9034223421124542144327256269385H·MODA·SASH·SAMH·CATA·CITH·BARA·SUDH·FROH·CREA·REG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.4 · Against 12.7 · Total 27.1

⚠️ Fouls

36020167109182410101514131417186121416836172734252731242624H·MODA·SASH·SAMH·CATA·CITH·BARA·SUDH·FROH·CREA·REG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MantovaMantova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)8.68.19.15.55.65.435.237.433.2
vs Stronger (2)7.56.09.03.03.03.027.530.025.0
vs Similar (30)8.98.59.25.96.15.835.738.633.1
vs Weaker (4)6.76.57.04.04.04.035.532.538.5
% over line40%35%44%89%88%89%97%100%95%
% under line60%65%56%11%12%11%3%0%5%
This opponent (Carrarese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarrareseCarrarese

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)9.49.79.24.95.04.928.228.627.8
vs Stronger (4)9.26.012.52.83.02.524.527.022.0
vs Similar (32)9.510.18.75.25.25.228.728.828.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line47%47%47%78%74%82%89%95%82%
% under line53%53%53%22%26%18%11%5%18%
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Palermo
10.5
Cosenza
10.4
Juve Stabia
9.8
Spezia
9.8
Frosinone
9.5
Brescia
9.5
Carrarese
9.4
Bari
9.4
Sudtirol
9.3
Sampdoria
9.3
Catanzaro
9.3
Salernitana
9.3
Cesena
9.1
Modena
9.0
Cremonese
9.0
Cittadella
9.0
Sassuolo
8.9
Mantova
8.6
Reggiana
8.4
Pisa
8.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.2
Juve Stabia
6.0
Spezia
5.9
Reggiana
5.8
Mantova
5.5
Sampdoria
5.5
Modena
5.3
Bari
5.3
Brescia
5.1
Cittadella
5.0
Cremonese
5.0
Carrarese
4.9
Sudtirol
4.9
Pisa
4.9
Cesena
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Palermo
4.7
Catanzaro
4.7
Salernitana
4.5
Sassuolo
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Mantova
35.2
Spezia
34.2
Juve Stabia
33.9
Cittadella
31.9
Reggiana
31.1
Sudtirol
30.6
Sampdoria
30.5
Cesena
29.7
Cremonese
29.6
Bari
29.4
Frosinone
29.1
Brescia
29.0
Palermo
29.0
Cosenza
28.8
Salernitana
28.4
Pisa
28.3
Carrarese
28.2
Modena
27.8
Catanzaro
27.8
Sassuolo
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
38.9%
Under 9.5
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.2%
Under 3.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
97.7%
Under 21.5
2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L00D11D20W01L01L11D10W01LH·BAR22/02A·FRO01/03H·JUV08/03A·PIS16/03H·SUD29/03A·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.770.500.500.561.00
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
vs Similar (26)0.580.730.540.460.621.00
vs Weaker (2)0.501.50--0.501.50
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrarese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarrareseCarrarese

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W00D10W11D00D10W10W01L10WA·REG22/02H·CRE01/03H·FRO08/03A·SUD16/03H·BAR30/03A·CIT05/04H·CAT12/04H·SAM25/04A·SAS01/05H·MOD04/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.650.350.310.62
vs Stronger (3)0.000.670.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.560.440.690.380.360.55
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MantovaMantova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D11D02L00D20W21W13L20W01LH·BAR22/02A·FRO01/03H·JUV08/03A·PIS16/03H·SUD29/03A·BRE05/04H·SPE13/04A·CRE25/04H·CES01/05A·SAL04/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.710.640.751.00
vs Stronger (2)0.001.500.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.810.810.770.540.851.08
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Carrarese) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

CarrareseCarrarese

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L01L12L10W00D12L00D01L11DA·REG22/02H·CRE01/03H·FRO08/03A·SUD16/03H·BAR30/03A·CIT05/04H·CAT12/04H·SAM25/04A·SAS01/05H·MOD04/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.650.590.380.77
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (27)0.520.670.620.620.360.73
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Mantova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mantova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mantova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Carrarese over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls99.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls97.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls94.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls88.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners72.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Mantova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Leonardo Mancuso23%
Davide Bragantini17%
Nicolò Radaelli15%
Alessandro Debenedetti14%
Alex Redolfi11%
Fabrizio Brignani10%
Matteo Solini9%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Mattia Aramu8%
Tommaso Maggioni7%
Francesco Galuppini6%
Simone Trimboli6%
Davis Mensah6%
Antonio Fiori6%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Cristiano Bani0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Salvatore Burrai46%
Matteo Solini36%
Mattia Muroni33%
Nicolò Radaelli25%
Fabrizio Brignani24%
Stefano Cella23%
Simone Trimboli22%
Alex Redolfi21%
Erik Panizzi17%
Federico Artioli17%
Simone Giordano17%
Cristiano Bani15%
Sebastien De Maio14%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Davis Mensah11%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Marco Festa8%
Leonardo Mancuso8%
David Wieser7%
Davide Bragantini6%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Alessandro Debenedetti3%
Francesco Ruocco0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Davis Mensah17%
Antonio Fiori14%
Mattia Aramu12%
Salvatore Burrai11%
David Wieser10%
Nicolò Radaelli10%
Francesco Ruocco9%
Francesco Galuppini9%
Federico Artioli8%
Davide Bragantini6%
Cristiano Bani4%
Fabrizio Brignani3%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Simone Trimboli3%
Leonardo Mancuso3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Stefano Cella0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Leonardo Mancuso15%
Francesco Galuppini14%
Antonio Fiori8%
Mattia Aramu8%
Fabrizio Brignani7%
Simone Trimboli6%
Nicolò Radaelli5%
Stefano Cella5%
Salvatore Burrai4%
Tommaso Maggioni3%
Davide Bragantini3%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Marco Festa0%
Erik Panizzi0%
Mattia Muroni0%
Davis Mensah0%
Alex Redolfi0%
Matteo Solini0%
Cristiano Bani0%
Francesco Ruocco0%
David Wieser0%
Federico Artioli0%
Simone Giordano0%
Flavio Paoletti0%
Giacomo Fedel0%
Alessandro Debenedetti0%
Carrarese
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ernesto Torregrossa27%
Nicolas Schiavi17%
Mattia Finotto16%
Stiven Shpendi16%
Gabriele Guarino12%
Devid Eugene Bouah10%
Luigi Cherubini9%
Manuel Cicconi9%
Giuseppe Panico6%
Leonardo Cerri6%
Emanuele Zuelli6%
Filippo Oliana5%
Julián Illanes3%
Samuel Giovane3%
Simone Zanon3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Leonardo Capezzi0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Alessandro Capello0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Marco Bleve0%
Marco Imperiale0%
Niccolò Belloni0%
Riccardo Palmieri0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Hjörtur Hermannsson33%
Julián Illanes32%
Filippo Oliana29%
Samuel Giovane26%
Manuel Cicconi26%
Giacomo Manzari25%
Gabriele Guarino25%
Leonardo Capezzi23%
Nicolas Schiavi22%
Riccardo Palmieri20%
Alessandro Fontanarosa20%
Leonardo Cerri19%
Mauro Coppolaro17%
Stiven Shpendi16%
Giuseppe Panico12%
Luigi Cherubini12%
Filippo Melegoni10%
Devid Eugene Bouah10%
Ernesto Torregrossa9%
Niccolò Belloni9%
Emanuele Zuelli9%
Alessandro Capello8%
Simone Zanon8%
Marco Imperiale8%
Mattia Finotto0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Marco Bleve0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Manuel Cicconi20%
Luigi Cherubini15%
Samuel Giovane13%
Simone Zanon11%
Ernesto Torregrossa9%
Emanuele Zuelli9%
Gabriele Guarino6%
Nicolas Schiavi6%
Leonardo Capezzi5%
Stiven Shpendi4%
Leonardo Cerri3%
Mattia Finotto3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Julián Illanes0%
Giuseppe Panico0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Alessandro Capello0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Marco Bleve0%
Marco Imperiale0%
Niccolò Belloni0%
Filippo Oliana0%
Devid Eugene Bouah0%
Riccardo Palmieri0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Tommaso Milanese0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Manuel Cicconi14%
Stiven Shpendi12%
Nicolas Schiavi11%
Tommaso Milanese11%
Riccardo Palmieri10%
Giuseppe Panico6%
Leonardo Cerri6%
Emanuele Zuelli6%
Luigi Cherubini6%
Mattia Finotto5%
Devid Eugene Bouah3%
Hjörtur Hermannsson0%
Julián Illanes0%
Leonardo Capezzi0%
Ernesto Torregrossa0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Alessandro Capello0%
Vincenzo Fiorillo0%
Filippo Melegoni0%
Marco Bleve0%
Marco Imperiale0%
Niccolò Belloni0%
Filippo Oliana0%
Simone Zanon0%
Samuel Giovane0%
Giacomo Manzari0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Gabriele Guarino0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (38)
€194m
FRO (33)
€84m
PIS (36)
€71m
PAL (27)
€54m
CRE (30)
€49m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
SPE (34)
€11m
REG (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
Mantova's squad is €9m more valuable than Carrarese's (€24m vs €15m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (12)
€90m
FRO (8)
€34m
PIS (13)
€24m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
CRE (7)
€12m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
CAR (5)
€5m
SPE (10)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Mantova's attack is €6m more valuable than Carrarese's (€12m vs €5m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (9)
€53m
FRO (11)
€27m
PIS (9)
€26m
CRE (10)
€15m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
SAM (6)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
REG (9)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
Mantova's midfield is €4m more valuable than Carrarese's (€6m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAS (17)
€52m
FRO (14)
€24m
CRE (13)
€22m
PIS (14)
€22m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
JS (14)
€6m
REG (12)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
BAR (10)
€3m
Mantova and Carrarese have a similar defence value (both €7m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
MAN wins
1
Draws
0
CAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mantova vs Carrarese · H/A from MAN
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/24ACarrarese Vs MAN1-1

MantovaMantova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25ASalernitana Vs MAN2-0
01/05/25HMAN Vs Cesena3-0
25/04/25ACremonese Vs MAN4-2
13/04/25HMAN Vs Spezia2-2
05/04/25ABrescia Vs MAN1-2
29/03/25HMAN Vs Sudtirol2-0
16/03/25APisa Vs MAN3-1
08/03/25HMAN Vs Juve Stabia1-1
01/03/25AFrosinone Vs MAN2-1
22/02/25HMAN Vs Bari0-1

CarrareseCarrarese

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/25HCAR Vs Modena2-1
01/05/25ASassuolo Vs CAR2-0
25/04/25HCAR Vs Sampdoria1-0
12/04/25HCAR Vs Catanzaro2-2
05/04/25ACittadella Vs CAR0-0
30/03/25HCAR Vs Bari2-1
16/03/25ASudtirol Vs CAR2-2
08/03/25HCAR Vs Frosinone0-1
01/03/25HCAR Vs Cremonese2-2
22/02/25AReggiana Vs CAR2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mantova
Mantova
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.11
HomeLDWDW1.59
AwayLLWLL0.68
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %25%41%11%
AVG goals2.782.353.16
Over 1.5 %75%65%84%
Over 2.5 %53%41%63%
Over 3.5 %39%29%47%
Scored1.251.291.21
Conceded1.531.061.95
BTTS58%41%74%
Clean Sheet19%41%0%
Corners8.608.129.06
Cards5.535.655.42
Carrarese
Carrarese
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLW1.22
HomeLWDWW1.84
AwayLDDDL0.53
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%53%6%
AVG goals2.312.212.41
Over 1.5 %64%63%65%
Over 2.5 %44%42%47%
Over 3.5 %25%21%29%
Scored1.031.260.76
Conceded1.280.951.65
BTTS44%37%53%
Clean Sheet36%47%24%
Corners9.449.689.18
Cards4.945.004.88

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SassuoloSassuolo3882
66%
2.2
7838+40
3.1
82%
50%
29%
8.6
29%
4.2
61%
25.7
74%
194
9053522.11.0
52%
2PisaPisa3874
58%
1.9
6237+25
2.6
71%
55%
29%
8.1
29%
4.7
86%
28.1
87%
71
2426221.61.0
46%
3SpeziaSpezia4273
45%
1.7
6537+28
2.4
74%
43%
26%
9.1
45%
5.9
90%
35.0
98%
11
3441.50.9
50%
4CremoneseCremonese4268
43%
1.6
6948+21
2.8
76%
57%
36%
8.8
40%
5.2
67%
31.4
98%
49
1215221.61.1
60%
5Juve StabiaJuve Stabia4161
39%
1.5
4545+0
2.2
71%
49%
15%
9.4
49%
5.3
80%
34.8
100%
13
2561.11.1
52%
6CatanzaroCatanzaro4156
29%
1.4
5349+4
2.5
71%
46%
32%
8.8
41%
4.9
73%
28.9
93%
21
12281.31.2
55%
7CesenaCesena3953
36%
1.4
4648-2
2.4
72%
38%
15%
8.5
38%
5.4
87%
29.8
100%
28
105121.21.2
49%
8PalermoPalermo3952
36%
1.3
5244+8
2.5
72%
46%
21%
10.7
62%
4.7
77%
29.6
92%
54
2312191.31.1
49%
9BariBari3848
26%
1.3
4140+1
2.1
68%
34%
18%
9.5
50%
5.3
84%
30.2
92%
8
2331.11.1
51%
10SudtirolSudtirol3846
32%
1.2
5057-7
2.8
82%
58%
26%
9.6
45%
4.9
68%
30.5
89%
21
31181.31.5
44%
11ModenaModena3845
26%
1.2
4850-2
2.6
76%
50%
29%
8.8
42%
5.3
82%
28.1
84%
31
711121.31.3
48%
12CarrareseCarrarese3845
29%
1.2
3949-10
2.3
66%
45%
24%
9.4
47%
5.1
79%
28.3
89%
15
5281.01.3
49%
13MantovaMantova3844
26%
1.2
4756-9
2.7
74%
53%
37%
8.5
38%
5.5
87%
34.9
97%
24
12671.21.5
62%
14SampdoriaSampdoria3944
23%
1.1
4049-9
2.3
59%
38%
23%
9.0
51%
5.7
87%
31.0
97%
37
147171.01.3
48%
15ReggianaReggiana3844
29%
1.2
4252-10
2.5
76%
47%
24%
8.4
39%
5.9
87%
31.4
100%
8
1241.11.4
44%
16BresciaBrescia3843
24%
1.1
4248-6
2.4
68%
42%
21%
9.2
42%
5.3
79%
29.1
92%
0
0001.11.3
46%
17FrosinoneFrosinone3843
24%
1.1
3750-13
2.3
76%
42%
16%
9.1
39%
5.1
81%
31.3
97%
84
3427241.01.3
47%
18SalernitanaSalernitana3942
28%
1.1
3749-12
2.2
67%
36%
18%
8.4
39%
4.7
67%
30.6
100%
0
0000.91.3
52%
19CittadellaCittadella3840
26%
1.1
3154-23
2.2
58%
42%
21%
8.7
34%
5.2
84%
32.8
97%
0
0000.81.4
45%
20CosenzaCosenza3834
18%
0.9
3256-24
2.3
66%
42%
24%
9.8
53%
6.0
92%
29.7
87%
0
0000.81.5
49%
Italy: Serie B 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches