This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Casa Pia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
1.53
1.20
1.40
0.73
1.67
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.56
0.75
0.75
0.60
2.20
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.52
1.36
1.64
0.80
1.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.39
Superbet
1.39
Betano
1.38
BetVictor
1.38
888Sport
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betano
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Unibet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.23
Betfair
2.20
1xBet
2.20
Superbet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.14
Under
SBO
1.83
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
Unibet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
BetVictor
4.10
Pinnacle
4.02
Superbet
4.00
888Sport
3.90
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.26
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.90
Betfair
1.87
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
No
Unibet
1.96
Bet365
1.95
888Sport
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Betano
1.93
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Maritimo is 0.18 points better than Casa Pia in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Maritimo is 0.16 goals better than Casa Pia in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Maritimo is 0.03 goals better than Casa Pia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.58).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Maritimo
For 3.3 · Against 4.3 · Total 7.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 6.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 14.7 · Total 31.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Casa Pia
For 5.4 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 5.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.5 · Against 12.2 · Total 28.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maritimo
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
7.9
8.6
4.9
4.9
4.8
22.6
17.4
27.1
vs Stronger (9)
7.0
-
7.0
4.7
6.3
3.8
19.5
-
19.5
vs Similar (40)
8.4
7.9
8.7
5.0
4.7
5.4
22.9
17.4
28.3
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
37%
29%
42%
72%
72%
72%
69%
58%
79%
% under line
63%
71%
58%
28%
28%
28%
31%
42%
21%
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Casa Pia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.3
10.4
5.3
5.1
5.5
29.3
29.6
29.1
vs Stronger (17)
9.7
9.1
10.4
4.6
4.1
5.2
27.1
28.0
26.0
vs Similar (33)
10.0
9.4
10.4
5.6
5.7
5.6
30.6
30.6
30.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
39%
50%
76%
79%
73%
91%
91%
92%
% under line
55%
61%
50%
24%
21%
27%
9%
9%
8%
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.7
Nacional
10.3
Rio Ave
10.2
Sporting CP
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Academico Viseu
10.1
Casa Pia
9.7
Arouca
9.1
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
9.0
Estoril
8.9
Santa Clara
8.9
Guimaraes
8.9
FC Porto
8.7
Maritimo
8.3
SC Braga
8.2
Moreirense
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.1
Maritimo
5.9
Casa Pia
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.6
Nacional
5.5
FC Porto
5.4
Famalicao
5.4
Benfica
5.3
Guimaraes
5.3
Sporting CP
5.2
Moreirense
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Estoril
4.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.3
Santa Clara
30.4
Estrela
30.4
Moreirense
29.4
Casa Pia
29.4
Guimaraes
29.1
GIL Vicente
28.0
Rio Ave
27.6
Nacional
27.4
Estoril
27.0
Arouca
26.7
Sporting CP
26.3
FC Porto
26.3
Benfica
25.7
SC Braga
23.9
Academico Viseu
23.0
Alverca
22.6
Maritimo
21.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
46.0%
@ 2.19+3.8%
Under 9.5
54.0%
@ 1.60-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.30
Betano
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.14
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.60
Marathonbet
1.56
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.6%
@ 1.27+9.3%
Under 3.5
20.4%
@ 3.00-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.27
Under
Superbet
3.00
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.7%
Under 21.5
10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Maritimo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.40
0.71
0.36
0.75
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.67
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.78
0.39
0.73
0.36
0.83
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Casa Pia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.67
0.47
0.20
0.73
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
0.78
0.50
0.25
0.00
1.20
vs Similar (21)
0.52
0.52
0.73
0.55
0.30
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Maritimo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.71
0.71
0.81
0.44
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.33
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.33
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.61
0.73
0.82
1.00
0.42
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Casa Pia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Casa Pia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.93
0.53
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.44
0.78
0.25
0.50
0.60
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.57
1.00
0.64
1.09
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Maritimo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Maritimo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maritimo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Casa Pia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
80.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
79.6%
1.27
Superbet
1.27
-
-
-
-
+9.3%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
76.7%
1.19
Superbet
1.25
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.18
Unibet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
+0.2%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Maritimo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Simo Bouzaidi33%
Paulo Henrique25%
Raphael Guzzo25%
Adrián Butzke25%
Maurice Boakye25%
Martín Tejón25%
Igor Julião0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Raphael Guzzo75%
Igor Julião50%
Adrián Butzke25%
Paulo Henrique0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Martín Tejón0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martín Tejón25%
Igor Julião0%
Paulo Henrique0%
Raphael Guzzo0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Paulo Henrique50%
Martín Tejón50%
Igor Julião0%
Raphael Guzzo0%
Romain Correia0%
Vladan Danilović0%
Simo Bouzaidi0%
Alfonso Pastor0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Samuel Bamba0%
Rodrigo Andrade0%
Rafael Fernandes0%
Maurice Boakye0%
Casa Pia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Abdu Conté0%
Rochinha0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
André Geraldes0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Goulart0%
David Sousa0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Pedro Rosas0%
André Gomes0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Kevin Prieto0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Sebastián Pérez50%
Alassana Jatta25%
David Sousa25%
Pedro Rosas25%
Abdu Conté0%
Rochinha0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
André Geraldes0%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Goulart0%
Gabi Pereira0%
André Gomes0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Kevin Prieto0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Abdu Conté0%
Rochinha0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
André Geraldes0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Goulart0%
David Sousa0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Pedro Rosas0%
André Gomes0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Kevin Prieto0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Rochinha25%
David Sousa25%
Abdu Conté0%
Lawrence Ofori0%
André Geraldes0%
Alassana Jatta0%
Sebastián Pérez0%
Henrique Araújo0%
João Goulart0%
Gabi Pereira0%
Pedro Rosas0%
André Gomes0%
Selvi Clúa0%
Kevin Prieto0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Maritimo's squad is €12m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€16m vs €27m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Maritimo's attack is €3m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€7m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Maritimo's midfield is €3m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€3m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Maritimo's defence is €6m less valuable than Casa Pia's (€6m vs €12m).
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →
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FC Porto
Sporting CP
Arouca
Santa Clara
Benfica
GIL Vicente
Estrela
SC Braga
Nacional
Moreirense
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Academico Viseu
Alverca
Estoril