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Marseille vs Toulouse Result & Analysis

Date: 04/03/2026
Time: 20:00
Final 2-2
Marseille
Marseille
Vs
40%
28%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Coupe de France
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Squad value14 Games History15 Overall Statistics16 League Table17 Who played
Match preview & prediction

The encounter between Marseille and Toulouse is a tight one, with the model favouring a Marseille victory but the margins are razor-thin. The probabilities are 40% for a home win, 28% for a draw and 32% for an away win, making the home side the most likely winner. On average the match should see 2.7 goals, with the most probable total being 2 goals at a 25% chance. The single scoreline the model deems most likely is 1-1, with a 13.3% probability. Marseille, playing at home against a weaker opponent, normally scores 2.6 goals and concedes 1.6, while Toulouse, on the road against a stronger side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.9%), Under 5.5 (93.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.0%), Under 4.5 (85.6%) and Home +2 handicap (85.5%). Marseille’s recent form shows a three-game winning streak, while Toulouse is coming off a defeat, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, Marseille, failed to deliver, as the match finished 2-2, a draw that left the model’s Home win call incorrect. The upset came as Marseille, on a three-game winning run after a 4-0 victory over Strasbourg, faced Toulouse, who had just suffered a 0-2 defeat to Lyon. The model had given Marseille a 40% chance of victory, yet the game settled into a balanced contest. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.8%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.9%), Under 5.5 (93.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.0%), Under 4.5 (85.6%) and Home +2 handicap (85.5%). All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and the final score was 2-2.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Marseille win✗ Miss
39.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Toulouse win✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-552W03L31W03L22D30W05L22D02L32WA·ANG17/01H·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.331.372.131.202.531.53
vs Stronger (3)0.672.331.000.000.503.50
vs Similar (16)1.941.382.001.111.861.71
vs Weaker (11)3.361.092.601.604.000.67
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L11D51W20W00D10W01L12L11D01LH·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.131.601.201.271.07
vs Stronger (5)1.602.403.006.001.251.50
vs Similar (24)1.420.921.540.921.270.91
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.2%
Under 1.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.8%
Under 2.5
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.8%
No
43.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.3%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
0-0
7.6%
0-1
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2 ✓
5.7%
Marseille goals ↓
Toulouse goals →
01234
07.6%7.1%5.3%2.3%0.7%
18.1%13%7.8%3.3%1.1%
26.8%8.8%5.7%2.4%0.8%
33.3%4.3%2.8%1.2%0.4%
41.2%1.6%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Marseille goals (down), columns = Toulouse goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.67
Cannes
2.57
Angers
2.50
Estac Troyes
2.40
Hauts Lyonnais
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
Clermont Foot
2.33
Stade Brestois 29
2.25
Bastia
2.25
Le Puy Foot
2.25
Lorient
2.25
Guingamp
2.17
Lyon
2.00
Bordeaux
2.00
Saint-Malo
2.00
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
Drancy
2.00
PAU
2.00
Caen
2.00
Sochaux
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Dunkerque
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Union Saint-Jean
2.00
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Annecy
2.00
Metz
2.00
Monaco
2.00
Marseille
2.00
Le Mans
2.00
Stade Briochin
1.83
Quevilly
1.75
SA Mérignac
1.67
Lille
1.67
Istres
1.50
Beauvais
1.50
Aubervilliers
1.50
Saint-Colomban Locminé
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Nancy
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Carnoux
1.50
Nantes
1.50
Reims
1.50
Rennes
1.50
Marmande
1.33
Amiens
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Strasbourg
1.33
Nice
1.33
Toulouse
1.33
Colomiers
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Stade Béthunois
1.00
Vitré
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Avranches
1.00
Lens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Bourg-en-bresse 01
0.97
SS Allinges
0.97
Mulhouse
0.97
Steenvoorde
0.97
Mazeres
0.97
Dieppe
0.97
Montreuil
0.97
Saint-Pauloise
0.97
Ancienne Château-Gontier
0.97
Montceau
0.97
St Maur Lusitanos
0.97
Lyon Duchere
0.97
Olympique Marcquois
0.97
UF Touraine
0.97
Bayeux
0.97
Abbeville
0.97
Seignosse Capbreton
0.97
Chalon
0.97
Racing Besançon
0.97
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
0.97
Plouvorn
0.97
Torcy
0.97
Granville
0.97
Trélissac
0.97
Loon-Plage
0.97
Wittenheim
0.97
Cambrai
0.97
Auby
0.97
Orvault SF
0.97
Les Bleuets
0.97
France Aizenay
0.97
Quetigny
0.97
Le Cellier Mauves
0.97
Saint-Renan
0.97
Ecotay Moingt
0.97
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
0.97
SA Beaumont
0.97
Yvetot
0.97
Les Sables-d'Olonne
0.97
Gosier
0.97
Sarreguemines
0.97
Pontivy GSI
0.97
Stade Plabennec
0.97
Reims Sainte-Anne
0.97
Bogny
0.97
Furiani-Agliani
0.97
Rhone-Vallee
0.97
US Chateau-Malo
0.97
Andrézieux
0.97
Olympique de Villefontaine
0.97
Oissel
0.97
ASPTT Dijon
0.97
Ivry
0.97
Pontarlier
0.97
Lavaur
0.97
APM Metz
0.97
Grasse
0.97
Forbach
0.97
Feurs
0.97
Croix Football IC
0.97
GSA Tomblaine
0.97
Seyssinet-Pariset
0.97
Chauvigny
0.97
Blois
0.97
Périgny
0.97
Boé Bon Encontre
0.97
Lapalisse
0.97
L'Etrat La Tour
0.97
Chamalières
0.97
Aubagne
0.97
Chambly Thelle FC
0.97
Atlas Paillade
0.97
FC 2 Rives 82
0.97
Camon
0.97
Racing Colombes 92
0.97
Le Geldar
0.97
Moulien
0.97
Espoir Ste Luce
0.97
Magenta
0.97
Beaucouzé
0.97
Montreal-la-Cluse
0.97
Gobelins
0.97
Villars-l'Isle
0.97
Challans
0.97
Bandrele
0.97
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
0.97
Dominicaine
0.97
Avion
0.97
Caen PTT
0.97
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
0.97
Bondues
0.97
Premontre
0.97
Pierrelatte
0.97
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
0.97
Stade Quimperlois
0.97
Pirae
0.97
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
0.97
Plédran
0.97
Blagnac
0.97
Savigneux Montbrison
0.97
Saint-Meziery
0.97
Nord Lozère
0.97
MJEP Cormontreuil
0.97
Montmorillon
0.97
Eveil
0.97
Longuenesse
0.97
Mauguio Carnon
0.97
Saint-Brice Courcelles
0.97
Thonon Évian
0.97
ES Cappelle
0.97
Etoile Bobigny
0.97
Poitiers
0.97
Pen Hir
0.97
Saint-Amand
0.97
Épernay
0.97
Auch
0.97
Le Poinconnet
0.97
Selongey
0.97
Laval
0.75
Chateauroux
0.64
Agde
0.50
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Dinan Léhon
0.50
Saint-Cyr Collonges
0.00
Sarre Union
0.00
Canet Roussillon
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Vendée Fontenay
0.00
Bayonne
0.00
Rodez
0.00
OCPAM
0.00
Freyming
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Sablé
0.00
Etoile Matoury
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
Marseille is 0.67 points better than Toulouse in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
RED Star FC 93
4.50
Caen
3.67
Paris Saint Germain
3.50
Cannes
3.00
Le Mans
2.80
Bastia
2.75
Le Puy Foot
2.75
Lorient
2.75
Boulogne
2.67
Guingamp
2.67
Nantes
2.50
Monaco
2.50
Marseille
2.50
Feignies-Aulnoye
2.33
Thionville Lusitanos
2.33
SA Mérignac
2.33
Grenoble
2.33
Union Saint-Jean
2.33
Annecy
2.25
Lyon
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Istres
2.00
Aubervilliers
2.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
2.00
ASS Still Mutzig
2.00
PAU
2.00
Orleans
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Concarneau
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Sablé
2.00
Strasbourg
2.00
Rennes
2.00
Angers
2.00
Estac Troyes
1.80
Stade Brestois 29
1.75
Sochaux
1.75
Dunkerque
1.71
Bordeaux
1.67
Marmande
1.67
Drancy
1.67
Clermont Foot
1.67
Amiens
1.67
Beauvais
1.50
Quevilly
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Hauts Lyonnais
1.33
Metz
1.33
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.20
SS Allinges
1.20
Mulhouse
1.20
Steenvoorde
1.20
Mazeres
1.20
Dieppe
1.20
Montreuil
1.20
Saint-Pauloise
1.20
Ancienne Château-Gontier
1.20
Montceau
1.20
St Maur Lusitanos
1.20
Lyon Duchere
1.20
Olympique Marcquois
1.20
UF Touraine
1.20
Bayeux
1.20
Abbeville
1.20
Seignosse Capbreton
1.20
Chalon
1.20
Racing Besançon
1.20
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
1.20
Plouvorn
1.20
Torcy
1.20
Granville
1.20
Trélissac
1.20
Loon-Plage
1.20
Wittenheim
1.20
Cambrai
1.20
Auby
1.20
Orvault SF
1.20
Les Bleuets
1.20
France Aizenay
1.20
Quetigny
1.20
Le Cellier Mauves
1.20
Saint-Renan
1.20
Ecotay Moingt
1.20
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
1.20
SA Beaumont
1.20
Yvetot
1.20
Les Sables-d'Olonne
1.20
Gosier
1.20
Sarreguemines
1.20
Pontivy GSI
1.20
Stade Plabennec
1.20
Reims Sainte-Anne
1.20
Bogny
1.20
Furiani-Agliani
1.20
Rhone-Vallee
1.20
US Chateau-Malo
1.20
Andrézieux
1.20
Olympique de Villefontaine
1.20
Oissel
1.20
ASPTT Dijon
1.20
Ivry
1.20
Pontarlier
1.20
Lavaur
1.20
APM Metz
1.20
Grasse
1.20
Forbach
1.20
Feurs
1.20
Croix Football IC
1.20
GSA Tomblaine
1.20
Seyssinet-Pariset
1.20
Chauvigny
1.20
Blois
1.20
Périgny
1.20
Boé Bon Encontre
1.20
Lapalisse
1.20
L'Etrat La Tour
1.20
Chamalières
1.20
Aubagne
1.20
Chambly Thelle FC
1.20
Atlas Paillade
1.20
FC 2 Rives 82
1.20
Camon
1.20
Racing Colombes 92
1.20
Le Geldar
1.20
Moulien
1.20
Espoir Ste Luce
1.20
Magenta
1.20
Beaucouzé
1.20
Montreal-la-Cluse
1.20
Gobelins
1.20
Villars-l'Isle
1.20
Challans
1.20
Bandrele
1.20
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
1.20
Dominicaine
1.20
Avion
1.20
Caen PTT
1.20
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1.20
Bondues
1.20
Premontre
1.20
Pierrelatte
1.20
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
1.20
Stade Quimperlois
1.20
Pirae
1.20
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
1.20
Plédran
1.20
Blagnac
1.20
Savigneux Montbrison
1.20
Saint-Meziery
1.20
Nord Lozère
1.20
MJEP Cormontreuil
1.20
Montmorillon
1.20
Eveil
1.20
Longuenesse
1.20
Mauguio Carnon
1.20
Saint-Brice Courcelles
1.20
Thonon Évian
1.20
ES Cappelle
1.20
Etoile Bobigny
1.20
Poitiers
1.20
Pen Hir
1.20
Saint-Amand
1.20
Épernay
1.20
Auch
1.20
Le Poinconnet
1.20
Selongey
1.20
Stade Briochin
1.17
Reims
1.17
Agde
1.00
Saint-Cyr Collonges
1.00
Canet Roussillon
1.00
Romorantin
1.00
Saint-Malo
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
Vendée Fontenay
1.00
Les Herbiers
1.00
Bayonne
1.00
Rodez
1.00
OCPAM
1.00
Dinan Léhon
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Etoile Matoury
1.00
Lens
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Nice
1.00
Lille
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Chateauroux
0.80
Laval
0.75
Toulouse
0.67
Raon l'Etape
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Sarre Union
0.00
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Saint Etienne
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Freyming
0.00
Chantilly
0.00
Biars-Bretenoux
0.00
Montpellier
0.00
Le Havre
0.00
Auxerre
0.00
Marseille is 1.83 goals better than Toulouse in terms of goals scored per game (2.50 vs 0.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Stade Béthunois
0.00
Vitré
0.00
Bastia
0.25
Hauts Lyonnais
0.33
SA Mérignac
0.33
Clermont Foot
0.33
Saint-Malo
0.50
Orleans
0.50
Le Puy Foot
0.50
Carnoux
0.50
Lorient
0.50
Marseille
0.50
Estac Troyes
0.60
Feignies-Aulnoye
0.67
Thionville Lusitanos
0.67
Caen
0.67
Lille
0.67
Sochaux
0.75
Annecy
0.75
Le Mans
0.80
Paris Saint Germain
0.83
Romorantin
1.00
Aubervilliers
1.00
Raon l'Etape
1.00
Biesheim
1.00
PAU
1.00
Amiens
1.00
Quevilly
1.00
Concarneau
1.00
Fleury 91
1.00
Chantilly
1.00
Biars-Bretenoux
1.00
Laval
1.00
Nantes
1.00
Metz
1.00
Lens
1.00
Rennes
1.00
Paris FC
1.00
Nice
1.00
Monaco
1.00
Toulouse
1.00
Le Havre
1.00
Auxerre
1.00
Angers
1.00
Porto Portugais Amiens
1.00
Dunkerque
1.14
Reims
1.17
Guingamp
1.17
Stade Brestois 29
1.25
Bordeaux
1.33
ASS Still Mutzig
1.33
Grenoble
1.33
Cannes
1.43
Lyon
1.50
Les Herbiers
1.50
Angoulême
1.50
Stade Briochin
1.50
RED Star FC 93
1.50
Drancy
1.67
Union Saint-Jean
1.67
Strasbourg
1.67
Bourg-en-bresse 01
1.89
SS Allinges
1.89
Mulhouse
1.89
Steenvoorde
1.89
Mazeres
1.89
Dieppe
1.89
Montreuil
1.89
Saint-Pauloise
1.89
Ancienne Château-Gontier
1.89
Montceau
1.89
St Maur Lusitanos
1.89
Lyon Duchere
1.89
Olympique Marcquois
1.89
UF Touraine
1.89
Bayeux
1.89
Abbeville
1.89
Seignosse Capbreton
1.89
Chalon
1.89
Racing Besançon
1.89
Villeneuve-la-Garenne
1.89
Plouvorn
1.89
Torcy
1.89
Granville
1.89
Trélissac
1.89
Loon-Plage
1.89
Wittenheim
1.89
Cambrai
1.89
Auby
1.89
Orvault SF
1.89
Les Bleuets
1.89
France Aizenay
1.89
Quetigny
1.89
Le Cellier Mauves
1.89
Saint-Renan
1.89
Ecotay Moingt
1.89
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
1.89
SA Beaumont
1.89
Yvetot
1.89
Les Sables-d'Olonne
1.89
Gosier
1.89
Sarreguemines
1.89
Pontivy GSI
1.89
Stade Plabennec
1.89
Reims Sainte-Anne
1.89
Bogny
1.89
Furiani-Agliani
1.89
Rhone-Vallee
1.89
US Chateau-Malo
1.89
Andrézieux
1.89
Olympique de Villefontaine
1.89
Oissel
1.89
ASPTT Dijon
1.89
Ivry
1.89
Pontarlier
1.89
Lavaur
1.89
APM Metz
1.89
Grasse
1.89
Forbach
1.89
Feurs
1.89
Croix Football IC
1.89
GSA Tomblaine
1.89
Seyssinet-Pariset
1.89
Chauvigny
1.89
Blois
1.89
Périgny
1.89
Boé Bon Encontre
1.89
Lapalisse
1.89
L'Etrat La Tour
1.89
Chamalières
1.89
Aubagne
1.89
Chambly Thelle FC
1.89
Atlas Paillade
1.89
FC 2 Rives 82
1.89
Camon
1.89
Racing Colombes 92
1.89
Le Geldar
1.89
Moulien
1.89
Espoir Ste Luce
1.89
Magenta
1.89
Beaucouzé
1.89
Montreal-la-Cluse
1.89
Gobelins
1.89
Villars-l'Isle
1.89
Challans
1.89
Bandrele
1.89
Gazelec FC Ajaccio
1.89
Dominicaine
1.89
Avion
1.89
Caen PTT
1.89
Strasbourg Koenigshoffen
1.89
Bondues
1.89
Premontre
1.89
Pierrelatte
1.89
Avenir Sportif de Gouzon
1.89
Stade Quimperlois
1.89
Pirae
1.89
OS Aire-Sur-La-Lys
1.89
Plédran
1.89
Blagnac
1.89
Savigneux Montbrison
1.89
Saint-Meziery
1.89
Nord Lozère
1.89
MJEP Cormontreuil
1.89
Montmorillon
1.89
Eveil
1.89
Longuenesse
1.89
Mauguio Carnon
1.89
Saint-Brice Courcelles
1.89
Thonon Évian
1.89
ES Cappelle
1.89
Etoile Bobigny
1.89
Poitiers
1.89
Pen Hir
1.89
Saint-Amand
1.89
Épernay
1.89
Auch
1.89
Le Poinconnet
1.89
Selongey
1.89
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.00
Sarre Union
2.00
Colomiers
2.00
Istres
2.00
Beauvais
2.00
Vendée Fontenay
2.00
Nancy
2.00
Boulogne
2.00
Rodez
2.00
OCPAM
2.00
Avranches
2.00
Dinan Léhon
2.50
Etoile Matoury
2.50
Chateauroux
2.85
Agde
3.00
Marmande
3.00
Canet Roussillon
3.00
Saint-Colomban Locminé
3.00
Bayonne
3.00
Saint Etienne
4.00
Freyming
4.00
Sablé
4.00
Montpellier
4.00
Marseille is 0.50 goals better than Toulouse in terms of goals conceded per game (0.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
76%
Cannes
61%
Reims
32%
Dunkerque
24%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MarseilleMarseille

For 4.4 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

1408123552523441042274269510758144118H·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIVA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

8032414222444121131115564853412H·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIVA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.2 · Total 25.1

⚠️ Fouls

3401681710111018111914151291018168128924272129332719342017H·LYOA·STAH·STRA·PARH·RENA·PARA·CLUH·LENH·LIVA·ANG
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ToulouseToulouse

For 5.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.5

🚩 Corners

1501612310153645423676128715118109513710A·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANGH·LEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.7 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

80312543231112321235334775235386A·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANGH·LEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 11.8 · Total 26.9

⚠️ Fouls

320139137167161118101213161612171912161622202327282532293132A·RENH·PARA·LE A·ANGH·AMIH·AUXA·STAH·NICA·ANGH·LEN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MarseilleMarseille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.49.14.14.43.823.324.921.7
vs Stronger (5)8.48.08.54.44.04.523.623.023.8
vs Similar (24)9.38.710.04.64.74.523.524.821.9
vs Weaker (21)8.38.28.43.54.02.923.025.220.7
% over line36%32%40%64%68%60%60%72%48%
% under line64%68%60%36%32%40%40%28%52%
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.09.34.23.84.725.926.825.0
vs Stronger (10)9.58.210.33.72.54.523.623.024.0
vs Similar (36)9.19.19.04.84.65.026.427.625.3
vs Weaker (4)10.010.0-0.50.70.028.028.0-
% over line45%48%42%64%56%72%83%83%83%
% under line55%52%58%36%44%28%17%17%17%
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Les Sables-d'Olonne
22.0
Saint-Cyr Collonges
19.0
Blois
17.0
Les Herbiers
14.0
Bayeux
13.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
12.0
SA Mérignac
12.0
Freyming
11.0
Cannes
11.0
Chantilly
10.5
Amiens
10.4
Nice
10.4
Rodez
10.3
Laval
10.2
Grenoble
10.1
Raon l'Etape
10.0
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
10.0
Istres
10.0
Bourg-en-bresse 01
10.0
Périgny
10.0
Pontivy GSI
10.0
PAU
9.9
Montpellier
9.9
Stade Brestois 29
9.9
Nancy
9.9
Bordeaux
9.8
Auxerre
9.8
Caen
9.7
Rennes
9.6
Lille
9.5
Lyon
9.5
Montreuil
9.5
Hauts Lyonnais
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.5
Le Havre
9.4
Nantes
9.4
Lens
9.4
Clermont Foot
9.3
Paris FC
9.2
Paris Saint Germain
9.2
Orleans
9.2
Reims
9.2
Monaco
9.2
Toulouse
9.1
Chateauroux
9.1
Sochaux
9.1
Metz
9.1
Guingamp
9.0
Lyon Duchere
9.0
Olympique Marcquois
9.0
Avranches
9.0
Dieppe
9.0
Le Mans
9.0
Quevilly
8.9
Bastia
8.9
RED Star FC 93
8.8
Marseille
8.8
Dunkerque
8.6
Annecy
8.6
Strasbourg
8.6
Lorient
8.5
Boulogne
8.5
Angers
8.5
Estac Troyes
8.4
Concarneau
8.2
St Maur Lusitanos
8.0
Biesheim
8.0
Le Puy Foot
8.0
Vendée Fontenay
8.0
Chauvigny
7.0
Gosier
7.0
Stade Béthunois
7.0
Canet Roussillon
5.0
Croix Football IC
4.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
8.0
Montreuil
6.0
Lyon Duchere
6.0
Hauts Lyonnais
6.0
Bastia
5.8
Avranches
5.5
Blois
5.0
Chauvigny
5.0
Le Puy Foot
5.0
Stade Béthunois
5.0
Boulogne
4.8
Lyon
4.8
Lens
4.7
PAU
4.7
Auxerre
4.6
Nantes
4.5
Guingamp
4.5
Rennes
4.5
Monaco
4.5
Le Mans
4.4
Toulouse
4.4
Annecy
4.4
Paris FC
4.4
Marseille
4.4
Bordeaux
4.4
Sochaux
4.3
Strasbourg
4.3
Montpellier
4.3
Lille
4.3
Dunkerque
4.2
Amiens
4.2
Nice
4.2
Rodez
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.1
Laval
4.1
Estac Troyes
4.1
Lorient
4.0
Clermont Foot
4.0
Nancy
4.0
Les Herbiers
4.0
Pontivy GSI
4.0
Le Havre
4.0
Reims
3.9
Chateauroux
3.9
Caen
3.8
Metz
3.8
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Orleans
3.7
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Grenoble
3.7
Concarneau
3.7
Angers
3.5
Istres
3.5
Quevilly
3.5
Paris Saint Germain
3.1
Canet Roussillon
3.0
Raon l'Etape
3.0
St Maur Lusitanos
3.0
Biesheim
3.0
Gosier
3.0
Cannes
3.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
3.0
Dieppe
3.0
Périgny
3.0
Bayeux
3.0
SA Mérignac
3.0
Saint-Cyr Collonges
2.0
Les Sables-d'Olonne
2.0
Chantilly
2.0
Olympique Marcquois
1.0
Croix Football IC
1.0
Vendée Fontenay
1.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Canet Roussillon
36.0
Montreuil
35.5
Chauvigny
35.0
Chateauroux
30.2
Blois
30.0
Avranches
30.0
Pontivy GSI
29.0
Bastia
28.8
Nancy
28.5
Annecy
28.3
Boulogne
28.3
Amiens
28.1
Le Mans
28.1
Guingamp
28.0
Lyon Duchere
28.0
Bassin d'Arcachon Sud
28.0
Périgny
28.0
Stade Béthunois
28.0
Laval
27.9
Montpellier
27.8
Quevilly
27.5
Bordeaux
27.1
Caen
27.0
Istres
27.0
Concarneau
26.9
Orleans
26.8
Estac Troyes
26.6
Dunkerque
26.3
Sochaux
26.2
Grenoble
26.2
Clermont Foot
26.0
Hauts Lyonnais
26.0
Bayeux
26.0
Lens
26.0
Toulouse
26.0
Saint Etienne
25.9
RED Star FC 93
25.8
Lyon
25.5
Nantes
25.4
Le Havre
25.4
Stade Brestois 29
25.2
PAU
25.1
Rodez
25.0
Olympique Marcquois
25.0
Freyming
25.0
Feignies-Aulnoye
25.0
Auxerre
25.0
Nice
24.7
Rennes
24.6
Monaco
24.6
Lille
24.3
Lorient
24.2
Paris FC
24.1
Cannes
24.0
Reims
23.6
Metz
23.4
Strasbourg
23.3
Marseille
23.3
SA Mérignac
23.0
Angers
22.8
Biesheim
22.0
Le Puy Foot
22.0
Dieppe
22.0
Chantilly
22.0
Bourg-en-bresse 01
21.0
St Maur Lusitanos
20.0
Paris Saint Germain
19.3
Raon l'Etape
19.0
Les Herbiers
19.0
Gosier
18.0
Croix Football IC
13.0
Les Sables-d'Olonne
11.0
Saint-Cyr Collonges
10.0
Vendée Fontenay
8.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
38.3%
Under 9.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
67.8%
Under 3.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
72.7%
Under 21.5
27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Marseille or Draw✓ Hit
67.8%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Marseille + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marseille or Toulouse✗ Miss
72.1%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Marseille + Toulouse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Toulouse✓ Hit
60.1%
Avg Implied -
40%
28%
32%
covers Draw + Toulouse
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Marseille over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
42.8%
Under
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.1%
Under
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.1%
Under
93.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.4%
Under
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
36.9%
Under
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.2%
Under
95.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Marseille, so a minus line means Marseille give that many goals of a start and Toulouse receive them. At -1, Marseille must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Marseille win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Marseille)Actual: Toulouse
Marseille -2
7.6%
Draw -2
12.2%
Toulouse +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Marseille)Actual: Toulouse
Marseille -1
19.8%
Draw -1
20.2%
Toulouse +1
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Marseille)Actual: Marseille
Marseille +1
67.8%
Draw +1
17.7%
Toulouse -1
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Marseille)Actual: Marseille
Marseille +2
85.5%
Draw +2
9.6%
Toulouse -2
5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MarseilleMarseille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-441W01L20W02L10W10W02L10W02L01LA·ANG17/01H·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.730.471.130.67
vs Stronger (3)0.670.671.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (16)0.810.500.780.330.860.71
vs Weaker (11)1.180.640.600.801.670.50
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W20W00D10W00D11D01L01LH·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.470.530.470.530.47
vs Stronger (5)0.401.201.004.000.250.50
vs Similar (24)0.540.330.460.230.640.45
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Marseille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MarseilleMarseille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D01L12L20W03L12L00D31WA·ANG17/01H·LIV21/01H·LEN24/01A·CLU28/01A·PAR31/01H·REN03/02A·PAR08/02H·STR14/02A·STA20/02H·LYO01/03
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.400.801.400.731.400.87
vs Stronger (3)0.001.670.000.000.002.50
vs Similar (16)1.120.881.220.781.001.00
vs Weaker (11)2.180.452.000.802.330.17
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Toulouse) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ToulouseToulouse

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D31W00D00D00D01L01L10W00DH·LEN02/01A·ANG10/01H·NIC17/01A·STA25/01H·AUX01/02H·AMI04/02A·ANG08/02A·LE 15/02H·PAR21/02A·REN28/02
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.671.070.730.730.60
vs Stronger (5)1.201.202.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (24)0.880.581.080.690.640.45
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Marseille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Toulouse over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals95.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.593.9%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals86.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.585.6%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap85.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls84.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards84.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners82.4%-------✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals81.9%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.577.2%-------✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals76.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners73.2%-------✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls72.7%-------✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals72.4%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away72.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.570.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 13. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
REI (30)
€72m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ET (23)
€36m
MON (24)
€29m
LM (26)
€24m
ROD (23)
€15m
CF (21)
€15m
PAU (20)
€14m
NAN (26)
€13m
GRE (27)
€12m
GUI (20)
€11m
DUN (21)
€11m
ANN (21)
€10m
BOU (23)
€8m
BAS (19)
€7m
SOC (20)
€7m
AMI (14)
€4m
CAE (18)
€4m
ORL (16)
€4m
CON (18)
€3m
CHA (5)
€1m
Marseille's squad is €110m more valuable than Toulouse's (€225m vs €115m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
REI (12)
€38m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
MON (9)
€11m
LH (10)
€9m
ET (7)
€7m
PAU (6)
€6m
GRE (12)
€5m
NAN (9)
€5m
DUN (7)
€4m
LM (6)
€4m
BAS (9)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
GUI (4)
€3m
ANN (7)
€3m
SOC (8)
€3m
BOU (6)
€2m
CF (5)
€2m
CAE (8)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CON (7)
€1m
AMI (4)
€0m
CHA (1)
€0m
Marseille's attack is €62m more valuable than Toulouse's (€91m vs €30m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
REI (6)
€13m
ANG (3)
€11m
ET (6)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
MON (5)
€6m
LM (8)
€5m
GUI (8)
€4m
ROD (6)
€4m
ANN (6)
€3m
GRE (5)
€3m
CF (4)
€3m
BOU (6)
€3m
NAN (6)
€2m
PAU (4)
€2m
DUN (5)
€1m
BAS (3)
€1m
SOC (3)
€1m
CON (5)
€1m
CAE (4)
€1m
ORL (4)
€1m
AMI (2)
€0m
CHA (2)
€0m
Marseille's midfield is €28m more valuable than Toulouse's (€68m vs €39m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
REI (12)
€21m
SB2 (8)
€19m
ET (10)
€17m
LM (12)
€15m
MON (10)
€12m
CF (12)
€10m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
NAN (11)
€6m
PAU (10)
€6m
DUN (9)
€5m
ANN (8)
€4m
GRE (10)
€4m
AMI (8)
€4m
SOC (9)
€3m
BOU (11)
€3m
GUI (8)
€3m
BAS (7)
€2m
CAE (6)
€2m
ORL (6)
€2m
CON (6)
€1m
CHA (2)
€0m
Marseille's defence is €20m more valuable than Toulouse's (€66m vs €46m).

🤝 14. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
5
MAR wins
3
Draws
0
TOU wins

Head-to-head

Marseille vs Toulouse · H/A from MAR
DateH/AGameScore
29/11/25HMAR Vs Toulouse2-2
06/04/25HMAR Vs Toulouse3-2
31/08/24AToulouse Vs MAR1-3
21/04/24AToulouse Vs MAR2-2
17/09/23HMAR Vs Toulouse0-0
19/02/23AToulouse Vs MAR2-3
29/12/22HMAR Vs Toulouse6-1
08/02/20HMAR Vs Toulouse1-0

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/03/26HMAR Vs Lyon3-2
20/02/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs MAR2-0
14/02/26HMAR Vs Strasbourg2-2
08/02/26AParis Saint Germain Vs MAR5-0
03/02/26HMAR Vs Rennes3-0
31/01/26AParis FC Vs MAR2-2
28/01/26AClub Brugge KV Vs MAR3-0
24/01/26HMAR Vs Lens3-1
21/01/26HMAR Vs Liverpool0-3
17/01/26AAngers Vs MAR2-5

ToulouseToulouse

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/02/26ARennes Vs TOU1-0
21/02/26HTOU Vs Paris FC1-1
15/02/26ALe Havre Vs TOU2-1
08/02/26AAngers Vs TOU1-0
04/02/26HTOU Vs Amiens1-0
01/02/26HTOU Vs Auxerre0-0
25/01/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs TOU0-2
17/01/26HTOU Vs Nice5-1
10/01/26AAngers Vs TOU1-1
02/01/26HTOU Vs Lens0-3

📊 15. Overall Statistics

Marseille
Marseille
France: Coupe de France
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.78
HomeLWWDW2.28
AwayWLDLL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%72%40%
AVG goals3.703.883.52
Over 1.5 %84%84%84%
Over 2.5 %74%76%72%
Over 3.5 %50%60%40%
Scored2.282.681.88
Conceded1.421.201.64
BTTS52%56%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners8.788.449.12
Cards4.364.364.36
Toulouse
Toulouse
France: Coupe de France
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.32
HomeLWDWD1.28
AwayDWLLL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%32%36%
AVG goals2.562.802.32
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %50%52%48%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.361.401.32
Conceded1.201.401.00
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.179.009.33
Cards4.494.094.88

🏆 16. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
0
0001.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
0
0002.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 17. Who played

Marseille
90'Mason Greenwood⚽8.2
90'Geoffrey Kondogbia1A7.9
90'Timothy Weah6.5
90'Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang7.0
90'Facundo Medina6.2
90'Nayef Aguerd7.2
90'Gerónimo Rulli7.9
90'Leonardo Balerdi6.2
89'Igor Paixão⚽7.7
58'Arthur Vermeeren6.3
45'Himad Abdelli6.2
45'Ethan Nwaneri5.6
32'Bilal Nadir6.7
1'Hamed Junior Traorè
Toulouse
90'Dayann Methalie6.2
90'Djibril Sidibé7.0
90'Rasmus Nicolaisen5.7
90'Kjetil Haug7.2
90'Aron Dønnum1A7.9
90'Mark McKenzie7.0
90'Cristian Cásseres Jr.6.7
90'Yann Gboho⚽7.3
90'Pape Diop7.7
83'Emersonn6.0
65'Charlie Cresswell⚽7.2
25'Warren Kamanzi6.9
12'Jacen Russell-Rowe6.5
Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

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