This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.38
0.80
1.47
1.43
1.29
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
2.25
1.00
2.50
2.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
1.41
0.73
1.55
1.36
1.27
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
21% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.5%
Under 1.5
15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.1%
Under 2.5
36.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
40.9%
Under 3.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
0-3 ✓
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
Metal Kharkiv goals ↓
Chornomorets goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
7.1%
8.4%
5.8%
3.0%
1
3.6%
10%
9.8%
6.8%
3.6%
2
2.6%
5.5%
5.7%
4.0%
2.1%
3
1.0%
2.1%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
4
0.3%
0.6%
0.7%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metal Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Chornomorets goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Metal Kharkiv is 0.43 points worse than Chornomorets in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Metal Kharkiv is 0.27 goals worse than Chornomorets in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Metal Kharkiv is 0.60 goals worse than Chornomorets in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.33).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Metal Kharkiv is 0.4 percentage points worse than Chornomorets in terms of average possession (48% vs 49%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metal Kharkiv
For 2.6 · Against 6.9 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 12.1 · Total 23.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Chornomorets
For 5.5 · Against 5.4 · Total 10.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.3 · Against 11.7 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
10.2
11.8
8.7
3.0
3.6
2.5
23.9
26.2
21.5
vs Stronger (19)
10.2
12.0
8.9
2.5
2.7
2.3
21.9
24.5
20.2
vs Similar (10)
10.3
11.5
8.0
4.1
5.2
3.0
27.2
28.0
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
67%
33%
41%
57%
27%
56%
75%
38%
% under line
50%
33%
67%
59%
43%
73%
44%
25%
62%
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (29)
9.2
8.6
10.0
3.2
3.0
3.4
22.0
20.7
23.4
vs Stronger (4)
6.3
4.5
10.0
3.8
5.5
2.0
20.5
20.0
21.0
vs Similar (22)
10.1
10.3
9.9
3.2
2.8
3.5
23.0
21.4
24.6
vs Weaker (3)
8.3
7.0
11.0
2.3
1.5
4.0
18.3
18.5
18.0
% over line
55%
36%
78%
55%
47%
64%
42%
40%
44%
% under line
45%
64%
22%
45%
53%
36%
58%
60%
56%
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
10.7
Kolos Kovalivka
10.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.2
Oleksandria
10.2
Metal Kharkiv
10.2
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
Vorskla Poltava
9.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.7
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Ruh Lviv
9.3
Chornomorets
9.2
Minai
9.2
Inhulets
8.8
Dnipro-1
8.7
Lviv
8.0
Kryvbas KR
7.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
5.8
Vorskla Poltava
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
4.9
Inhulets
4.9
Metal Kharkiv
4.9
Lviv
4.7
Kolos Kovalivka
4.6
Chornomorets
4.6
Veres Rivne
4.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.3
Minai
4.3
Kryvbas KR
4.3
Oleksandria
4.3
Zorya Luhansk
4.2
Dnipro-1
3.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.6
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Vorskla Poltava
28.1
Lviv
26.6
Inhulets
26.3
Dynamo Kyiv
25.5
Kolos Kovalivka
25.4
Ruh Lviv
25.1
Minai
24.1
Metal Kharkiv
23.9
Dnipro-1
23.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
22.6
Chornomorets
22.0
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Kryvbas KR
21.9
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.6
Veres Rivne
21.4
Oleksandria
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
63.7%
Under 9.5
36.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.3%
Under 3.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
68.9%
Under 21.5
31.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.41
0.83
0.50
0.86
0.33
0.80
vs Stronger (19)
0.11
0.84
0.11
0.89
0.10
0.80
vs Similar (10)
1.00
0.80
1.20
0.80
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.66
0.52
0.33
0.80
1.00
0.21
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
1.00
1.50
1.50
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.59
0.55
0.27
0.82
0.91
0.27
vs Weaker (3)
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
66% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
1.07
0.50
1.14
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (19)
0.37
1.11
0.22
1.00
0.50
1.20
vs Similar (10)
0.80
1.00
1.00
1.40
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
28% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Chornomorets) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Chornomorets
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.45
0.86
0.47
0.67
0.43
1.07
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (22)
0.45
0.86
0.45
0.73
0.45
1.00
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
41% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chornomorets over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
82.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Chornomorets · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Moses Jarju14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jon Šporn40%
Yaroslav Kysyl40%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi38%
Ivan Petriak33%
Oleksiy Khoblenko25%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi25%
Danylo Udod25%
Ryan17%
Luka Latsabidze17%
Artem Habelok15%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Moses Jarju14%
Kyrylo Sigeev14%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Denis Yanakov9%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Petriak33%
Illia Shevtsov20%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi12%
Yevgeniy Skyba12%
Bogdan Butko8%
Kiril Popov8%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Denis Yanakov0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Ryan0%
Emil Mustafaiev0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denis Yanakov18%
Emil Mustafaiev14%
Bogdan Butko0%
Yaroslav Rakitskyi0%
Artem Habelok0%
Artur Rudko0%
Oleksiy Khoblenko0%
Oleksandr Vasyliev0%
Ivan Petriak0%
Denys Bezborodko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Vitalii Yermakov0%
Jon Šporn0%
Illia Shevtsov0%
Bohdan Biloshevskyi0%
Kiril Popov0%
Ryan0%
Danylo Udod0%
Moses Jarju0%
Kyrylo Sigeev0%
Luka Latsabidze0%
Yaroslav Kysyl0%
Yevgeniy Skyba0%
Caio Gomes0%
Oleksandr Pshenychnyuk0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv's squad is €3m less valuable than Chornomorets's (€3m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv's attack is €2m less valuable than Chornomorets's (€0m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv's midfield is €1m less valuable than Chornomorets's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv and Chornomorets have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya