This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.75
1.79
0.83
1.75
0.67
1.83
vs Stronger (17)
0.59
2.00
0.62
2.00
0.56
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.14
1.29
1.25
1.25
1.00
1.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
12% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.3%
Under 2.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.1%
No
38.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.2%
1-0 ✓
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
3-1
5.3%
Metal Kharkiv goals ↓
Lviv goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.9%
5.3%
4.2%
1.8%
0.6%
1
7.2%
12%
7.2%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.3%
6.2%
2.7%
0.9%
3
4.0%
5.3%
3.5%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.7%
2.3%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metal Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Lviv goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Metal Kharkiv is 0.30 points better than Lviv in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 0.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Metal Kharkiv is 0.30 goals better than Lviv in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 0.60).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Metal Kharkiv is 0.20 goals worse than Lviv in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.73).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Metal Kharkiv is 1.6 percentage points better than Lviv in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metal Kharkiv
For 3.9 · Against 8.0 · Total 11.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lviv
For 2.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 13.8 · Total 25.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
11.0
12.7
9.6
2.5
2.8
2.3
24.1
27.4
21.7
vs Stronger (16)
10.7
11.2
10.2
2.2
2.5
1.9
22.2
25.7
20.2
vs Similar (8)
11.8
15.5
8.0
3.2
3.7
3.0
27.8
30.0
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
83%
29%
33%
45%
23%
67%
100%
43%
% under line
46%
17%
71%
67%
55%
77%
33%
0%
57%
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (24)
7.4
7.8
6.8
3.0
3.9
2.2
26.4
27.2
25.3
vs Stronger (17)
8.3
9.2
7.2
3.2
3.9
2.7
27.2
26.2
28.4
vs Similar (7)
4.0
3.5
5.0
2.6
4.0
0.7
23.7
30.5
10.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
21%
25%
17%
42%
50%
33%
86%
88%
83%
% under line
79%
75%
83%
58%
50%
67%
14%
12%
17%
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Oleksandria
11.5
Metal Kharkiv
11.0
Veres Rivne
11.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.5
Zorya Luhansk
9.9
Kolos Kovalivka
9.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.8
Dynamo Kyiv
9.5
Ruh Lviv
9.2
Vorskla Poltava
9.1
Inhulets
8.9
Minai
8.9
Dnipro-1
8.6
Chornomorets
8.4
Kryvbas KR
8.2
Lviv
7.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
6.6
Vorskla Poltava
5.9
Dynamo Kyiv
5.3
Lviv
5.2
Inhulets
5.1
Oleksandria
4.9
Veres Rivne
4.8
Metal Kharkiv
4.7
Kolos Kovalivka
4.7
Kryvbas KR
4.7
Chornomorets
4.6
Zorya Luhansk
4.5
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.3
Minai
3.7
Dnipro-1
3.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Inhulets
27.8
Vorskla Poltava
27.6
Dynamo Kyiv
26.5
Lviv
26.4
Ruh Lviv
25.7
Kolos Kovalivka
24.5
Metal Kharkiv
24.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
23.6
Minai
23.1
Veres Rivne
22.6
Dnipro-1
22.6
Chornomorets
21.9
Kryvbas KR
21.6
Zorya Luhansk
21.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
21.2
Oleksandria
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.7%
Under 9.5
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
72.6%
Under 3.5
27.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
75.8%
Under 21.5
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.79
0.55
0.73
0.38
0.85
vs Stronger (16)
0.12
0.69
0.12
0.50
0.12
0.88
vs Similar (8)
1.12
1.00
1.67
1.33
0.80
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.29
0.83
0.33
0.67
0.25
1.00
vs Stronger (17)
0.12
0.94
0.12
0.75
0.11
1.11
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.50
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
38% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.58
1.04
0.55
1.18
0.62
0.92
vs Stronger (16)
0.44
1.06
0.25
1.00
0.62
1.12
vs Similar (8)
0.88
1.00
1.33
1.67
0.60
0.60
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
29% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Lviv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lviv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.46
0.96
0.50
1.08
0.42
0.83
vs Stronger (17)
0.47
1.06
0.50
1.25
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lviv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv's squad is €1m more valuable than Lviv's (€3m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv and Lviv have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv and Lviv have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv's defence is €1m more valuable than Lviv's (€2m vs €1m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya