This opponent (Oleksandria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.81
1.56
2.22
1.44
1.29
1.71
vs Stronger (2)
1.50
2.50
-
-
1.50
2.50
vs Similar (9)
2.22
1.67
2.50
1.50
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
1.00
1.67
1.33
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
19% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.1%
Under 2.5
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.0%
Under 3.5
70.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.9%
No
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.9%
0-1
8.2%
2-1
7.6%
0-0 ✓
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
Metal Kharkiv goals ↓
Oleksandria goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.5%
8.2%
7.1%
3.5%
1.3%
1
6.8%
13%
8.9%
4.5%
1.7%
2
5.1%
7.6%
5.7%
2.8%
1.1%
3
2.1%
3.2%
2.4%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.7%
1.0%
0.8%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metal Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Oleksandria goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Metal Kharkiv is 0.73 points worse than Oleksandria in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.47).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Metal Kharkiv is 0.50 goals worse than Oleksandria in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Metal Kharkiv is 0.63 goals worse than Oleksandria in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.30).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Metal Kharkiv is 4.1 percentage points worse than Oleksandria in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metal Kharkiv
For 4.2 · Against 6.5 · Total 10.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Oleksandria
For 5.6 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.1 · Against 3.9 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 5.8 · Against 14.8 · Total 20.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.7
10.5
10.8
1.6
1.6
1.6
25.2
27.0
24.2
vs Stronger (11)
10.8
8.0
11.7
1.5
1.2
1.7
21.5
22.0
21.3
vs Similar (6)
10.5
13.0
8.0
1.8
2.5
1.5
32.5
32.0
33.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
24%
29%
20%
83%
100%
75%
% under line
50%
50%
50%
76%
71%
80%
17%
0%
25%
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (16)
11.6
12.2
10.7
2.5
3.3
1.4
20.5
20.8
20.0
vs Stronger (2)
11.0
-
11.0
2.0
-
2.0
20.0
-
20.0
vs Similar (9)
12.0
12.2
11.0
3.8
5.0
1.3
20.7
20.8
20.0
vs Weaker (5)
10.0
-
10.0
0.4
0.0
1.0
20.0
-
20.0
% over line
75%
60%
100%
38%
44%
29%
25%
40%
0%
% under line
25%
40%
0%
62%
56%
71%
75%
60%
100%
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
11.7
Oleksandria
11.6
Zorya Luhansk
10.9
Metal Kharkiv
10.7
Ruh Lviv
10.2
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.1
Inhulets
9.6
Dynamo Kyiv
9.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.2
Kolos Kovalivka
8.8
Minai
8.4
Dnipro-1
7.8
Kryvbas KR
7.8
Chornomorets
7.8
Vorskla Poltava
7.4
Lviv
5.8
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
7.8
Vorskla Poltava
6.0
Lviv
5.7
Kolos Kovalivka
5.5
Dynamo Kyiv
5.4
Oleksandria
5.0
Inhulets
4.8
Veres Rivne
4.7
Zorya Luhansk
4.7
Metal Kharkiv
4.5
Chornomorets
4.0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
3.9
Minai
3.6
Dnipro-1
3.5
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.1
Kryvbas KR
2.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
29.8
Ruh Lviv
28.3
Inhulets
28.0
Vorskla Poltava
27.5
Kolos Kovalivka
26.1
Dynamo Kyiv
25.4
Metal Kharkiv
25.2
Veres Rivne
24.7
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
23.6
Chornomorets
23.0
Zorya Luhansk
23.0
Dnipro-1
22.9
Minai
22.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.6
Oleksandria
20.5
Kryvbas KR
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.8%
Under 9.5
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
63.2%
Under 3.5
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
71.9%
Under 21.5
28.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.35
0.59
0.29
0.71
0.40
0.50
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.73
0.20
0.80
0.17
0.67
vs Similar (6)
0.67
0.33
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
65% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.50
0.89
0.56
0.29
0.43
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
-
-
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (9)
0.67
0.44
0.83
0.67
0.33
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
1.00
0.33
0.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
56% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
1.00
0.57
1.14
0.70
0.90
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
1.00
0.20
1.00
0.83
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.83
1.00
1.50
1.50
0.50
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
24% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Oleksandria) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Oleksandria
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.19
1.06
1.33
0.89
1.00
1.29
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.50
-
-
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (9)
1.56
1.22
1.67
0.83
1.33
2.00
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.60
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Oleksandria over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
72.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Oleksandria · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Papa Ndiaga Yade17%
Bryan Castillo11%
Hussayn Touati11%
Jota11%
Miguel Campos9%
Tedi Cara8%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Andrii Kulakov0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Anton Bol0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Mykola Oharkov0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Denys Shostak50%
Jocelin Behiratche50%
Illia Ukhan50%
Danil Skorko43%
Papa Ndiaga Yade33%
Théo Ndicka Matam33%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva29%
Vaschenko Daniel27%
Bryan Castillo22%
Hussayn Touati22%
Bogdan Butko20%
Mykola Oharkov20%
Fernando Henrique18%
Dmytro Myshnyov15%
Andrii Kulakov12%
Miguel Campos9%
Anton Bol9%
Tedi Cara8%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Artem Kozak0%
Jota0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Castillo11%
Hussayn Touati11%
Jota11%
Mykola Oharkov10%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Tedi Cara0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Papa Ndiaga Yade0%
Miguel Campos0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Andrii Kulakov0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Anton Bol0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Papa Ndiaga Yade17%
Andrii Kulakov12%
Miguel Campos9%
Anton Bol9%
Bogdan Butko0%
Serhii Buletsa0%
Tedi Cara0%
Mauro Rodrigues0%
Bryan Castillo0%
Dmytro Myshnyov0%
Artem Kozak0%
Théo Ndicka Matam0%
Danil Skorko0%
Hussayn Touati0%
Fernando Henrique0%
Denys Shostak0%
Jocelin Behiratche0%
Illia Ukhan0%
Jota0%
Mykola Oharkov0%
Dmytro Chernysh0%
Vaschenko Daniel0%
Viktor Dolhyi0%
Nazar Makarenko0%
Mateus Amaral0%
Jonathan Ferreira da Silva0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
OLE (25)
€8m
VR (21)
€7m
CHO (21)
€5m
MK (17)
€3m
LVI (9)
€2m
INH (15)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv's squad is €5m less valuable than Oleksandria's (€3m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
OLE (10)
€3m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
LVI (4)
€1m
MK (4)
€0m
INH (6)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv's attack is €3m less valuable than Oleksandria's (€0m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KK (5)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OLE (4)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
MK (5)
€1m
INH (5)
€0m
LVI (1)
€0m
Metal Kharkiv and Oleksandria have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
OLE (11)
€3m
CHO (7)
€2m
MK (8)
€2m
INH (4)
€1m
LVI (4)
€1m
Metal Kharkiv's defence is €2m less valuable than Oleksandria's (€2m vs €3m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Dnipro-1
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya