This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.25
1.50
1.50
1.25
1.00
1.75
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.80
1.50
1.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (3)
1.33
1.00
1.50
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
25% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.2%
No
36.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-1
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.6%
0-0
5.2%
Metal Kharkiv goals ↓
Vorskla Poltava goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
6.6%
6.9%
4.1%
1.9%
1
4.7%
11%
9.4%
5.6%
2.5%
2
3.9%
7.0%
6.4%
3.8%
1.7%
3
1.8%
3.2%
2.9%
1.7%
0.8%
4
0.6%
1.1%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metal Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Vorskla Poltava goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Metal Kharkiv is 0.77 points worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average points per game (0.73 vs 1.50).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Metal Kharkiv is 0.37 goals worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.27).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Metal Kharkiv is 0.70 goals worse than Vorskla Poltava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.93 vs 1.23).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Metal Kharkiv is 1.7 percentage points better than Vorskla Poltava in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metal Kharkiv
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Vorskla Poltava
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Metal Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (4)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (2)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (8)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (3)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
11.2
Dynamo Kyiv
10.2
Dnipro-1
10.0
Zorya Luhansk
10.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Dynamo Kyiv
5.9
Zorya Luhansk
5.0
Dnipro-1
4.2
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Dynamo Kyiv
25.9
Dnipro-1
22.0
Shakhtar Donetsk
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.75
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.25
0.50
2.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.50
0.75
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.00
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (3)
0.67
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
62% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metal Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
1.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (2)
1.00
0.50
-
-
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Vorskla Poltava) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Vorskla Poltava
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.62
0.88
0.75
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.50
0.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (3)
0.67
1.00
1.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Metal Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metal Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Vorskla Poltava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Vorskla Poltava · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Navin Malysh38%
Denys Ndukve20%
Mykola Kovtaliuk17%
Oleksandr Sklyar14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Ibrahim Kane7%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oleksandr Sklyar43%
Mykola Kovtaliuk33%
Vladyslav Kulach33%
Artem Cheliadin33%
Milot Avdyli29%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi29%
Yevhen Pavliuk25%
Navin Malysh25%
Oleksandr Chornomorets20%
Pavlo Isenko14%
Luka Guček14%
Anton Salabay14%
Igor Perduta7%
Ilya Krupskyi7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Igor Perduta14%
Ilya Krupskyi14%
Serhii Miakushko11%
Artem Cheliadin8%
Pavlo Isenko7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Oleksandr Sklyar0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Milot Avdyli0%
Anton Salabay0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Milot Avdyli14%
Anton Salabay14%
Oleksandr Sklyar7%
Denys Ndukve7%
Ibrahim Kane0%
Igor Perduta0%
Andriy Batsula0%
Samson Iyede0%
Mykola Kovtaliuk0%
Vladyslav Kulach0%
Serhii Miakushko0%
Pavlo Isenko0%
Oleksandr Chornomorets0%
Luka Guček0%
Viktor Korniienko0%
Artem Cheliadin0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Daniil Khrypchuk0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Navin Malysh0%
Vladyslav Ostrovskyi0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →