This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
0.96
1.54
0.77
1.71
1.14
vs Stronger (5)
1.20
1.00
0.67
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
1.60
1.13
1.62
0.75
1.57
1.57
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
0.57
2.50
0.50
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.4%
Under 1.5
14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.7%
Under 2.5
35.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.7%
Under 3.5
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.4%
0-1
7.3%
0-3 ✓
7.1%
2-2
5.1%
2-1
4.5%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals ↓
Dnipro-1 goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
7.3%
9.3%
7.1%
4.1%
1
2.9%
9.4%
9.8%
7.4%
4.3%
2
2.0%
4.5%
5.1%
3.9%
2.2%
3
0.7%
1.6%
1.8%
1.4%
0.8%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Dnipro-1 goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Dnipro-1
2.23
Zorya Luhansk
2.23
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Dynamo Kyiv
2.00
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.50
Vorskla Poltava
1.50
Oleksandria
1.47
Kryvbas KR
1.37
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Chornomorets
1.17
Minai
1.10
Ruh Lviv
1.07
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.06
Inhulets
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.73
Lviv
0.43
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 1.17 points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average points per game (1.07 vs 2.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.30
Zorya Luhansk
2.13
Dnipro-1
2.03
Dynamo Kyiv
1.70
LNZ Cherkasy
1.50
Oleksandria
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.28
Vorskla Poltava
1.27
Chornomorets
1.17
Ruh Lviv
1.03
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1.00
Metal Kharkiv
0.90
Kryvbas KR
0.87
Kolos Kovalivka
0.77
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.77
Inhulets
0.75
Minai
0.73
Lviv
0.60
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 1.27 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals scored per game (0.77 vs 2.03).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Dynamo Kyiv
0.83
Dnipro-1
0.90
LNZ Cherkasy
1.00
Kryvbas KR
1.00
Zorya Luhansk
1.03
Minai
1.10
Inhulets
1.16
Kolos Kovalivka
1.20
Vorskla Poltava
1.23
Ruh Lviv
1.23
Oleksandria
1.30
Chornomorets
1.33
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.40
Veres Rivne
1.47
Lviv
1.73
Metal Kharkiv
1.93
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.50 goals worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 0.90).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
56%
Dnipro-1
56%
Dynamo Kyiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
54%
Oleksandria
52%
Kryvbas KR
51%
Ruh Lviv
49%
Veres Rivne
49%
Inhulets
49%
Chornomorets
49%
Metal Kharkiv
48%
Kolos Kovalivka
47%
Lviv
47%
Vorskla Poltava
47%
Minai
45%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
44%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 12.1 percentage points worse than Dnipro-1 in terms of average possession (44% vs 56%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
For 4.2 · Against 6.3 · Total 10.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 11.8 · Total 24.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dnipro-1
For 5.3 · Against 3.1 · Total 8.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (18)
10.6
8.3
11.7
2.1
0.9
3.3
24.6
30.0
21.8
vs Stronger (3)
10.0
6.0
14.0
2.3
1.0
3.0
19.0
23.0
15.0
vs Similar (8)
11.0
10.0
11.3
1.9
1.0
2.8
23.5
32.0
20.7
vs Weaker (7)
10.3
9.0
11.0
2.3
0.8
4.3
29.7
35.0
27.0
% over line
56%
33%
67%
33%
11%
56%
78%
100%
67%
% under line
44%
67%
33%
67%
89%
44%
22%
0%
33%
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (27)
8.2
9.4
7.3
2.1
1.9
2.3
22.9
25.6
20.5
vs Stronger (5)
8.5
9.7
5.0
2.6
3.7
1.0
26.0
28.0
20.0
vs Similar (15)
8.2
9.3
7.7
2.5
1.8
3.4
22.6
27.3
20.2
vs Weaker (7)
8.0
9.0
7.5
0.9
0.0
1.2
18.0
13.0
23.0
% over line
50%
57%
44%
30%
31%
29%
60%
71%
50%
% under line
50%
43%
56%
70%
69%
71%
40%
29%
50%
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Veres Rivne
12.1
Oleksandria
11.8
Metal Kharkiv
11.1
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
10.6
Zorya Luhansk
10.2
Ruh Lviv
9.9
Dynamo Kyiv
9.3
Kolos Kovalivka
9.3
Shakhtar Donetsk
9.1
Vorskla Poltava
9.0
Inhulets
8.8
Minai
8.4
Dnipro-1
8.2
Kryvbas KR
7.7
Chornomorets
7.4
Lviv
5.4
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Ruh Lviv
7.1
Lviv
6.1
Vorskla Poltava
5.6
Dynamo Kyiv
5.5
Kolos Kovalivka
5.1
Zorya Luhansk
4.9
Veres Rivne
4.9
Oleksandria
4.8
Inhulets
4.7
Metal Kharkiv
4.4
Chornomorets
4.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.2
Kryvbas KR
4.0
Minai
3.6
Dnipro-1
3.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Lviv
29.1
Inhulets
28.8
Vorskla Poltava
28.7
Ruh Lviv
27.9
Kolos Kovalivka
25.7
Dynamo Kyiv
25.6
Metal Kharkiv
24.9
Chornomorets
24.8
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
24.6
Zorya Luhansk
23.8
Veres Rivne
23.7
Minai
23.1
Dnipro-1
22.9
Oleksandria
21.7
Shakhtar Donetsk
20.8
Kryvbas KR
19.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
39.9%
Under 9.5
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
54.5%
Under 3.5
45.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
83.6%
Under 21.5
16.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.72
0.56
1.11
0.56
0.33
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.33
0.00
4.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
1.00
0.62
0.75
0.75
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (7)
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.75
0.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
0.48
0.54
0.38
1.07
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.60
0.33
0.67
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.87
0.60
0.62
0.38
1.14
0.86
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.14
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.20
Clean sheet %
59% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.39
0.83
0.56
1.11
0.22
0.56
vs Stronger (3)
0.00
1.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (8)
0.25
0.75
0.25
0.25
0.25
1.25
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.86
1.00
1.50
0.33
0.00
Clean sheet %
56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Dnipro-1) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dnipro-1
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.81
0.48
1.00
0.38
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.40
0.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.53
1.00
0.38
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.43
2.00
0.50
0.80
0.40
Clean sheet %
56% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dnipro-1 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
91.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
85.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
80.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
71.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Itodo38%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Baton Zabergja15%
Christian Mba15%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi38%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev27%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Yevhen Pavliuk19%
Ilya Krupskyi18%
Volodymyr Salyuk17%
Igor Kogut14%
Artem Shabanov13%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Oleksandr Martinyuk10%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Baton Zabergja8%
Christian Mba8%
Peter Itodo8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Danylo Varakuta6%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Castillo20%
Ari Moura17%
Baton Zabergja8%
Igor Kogut7%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi6%
Denys Antyukh6%
Ilya Krupskyi6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Peter Itodo0%
Cauan Baptistella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Itodo46%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Sebastian Castillo20%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev9%
Baton Zabergja8%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Dnipro-1
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Artem Dovbyk57%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Artem Gromov33%
Volodymyr Tanchyk29%
Domingo Blanco25%
Ruslan Babenko25%
Busanello20%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak17%
Max Walef12%
Oleksandr Svatok12%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Eduard Sarapiy12%
Artem Dovbyk0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Busanello40%
Artem Dovbyk29%
Volodymyr Adamyuk17%
Volodymyr Tanchyk14%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi12%
Yanis Hamache12%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok0%
Artem Gromov0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Oleksandr Nazarenko0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artem Dovbyk43%
Oleksandr Pikhalyonok25%
Oleksandr Nazarenko17%
Domingo Blanco0%
Max Walef0%
Oleksandr Svatok0%
Serhiy Horbunov0%
Artem Gromov0%
Volodymyr Adamyuk0%
Oleksiy Gutsulyak0%
Ruslan Babenko0%
Volodymyr Tanchyk0%
Igor Kogut0%
Valentyn Rubchynskyi0%
Farès Bahlouli0%
Yanis Hamache0%
Busanello0%
Eduard Sarapiy0%
Mykyta Kononov0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Ukraine: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
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Shakhtar Donetsk
Zorya Luhansk
Dynamo Kyiv
Vorskla Poltava
Oleksandria
Kryvbas KR
Kolos Kovalivka
Chornomorets
Veres Rivne
Minai
Ruh Lviv
Inhulets
Metal Kharkiv
Lviv
LNZ Cherkasy
Metalurh Zaporizhya