Metalist 1925 Kharkiv are set to defend a tight, low-scoring match, with the model predicting a 59% chance of a home win, 30% chance of a draw and 12% chance of an away win. The favourite result is a 1-0 victory for the Kharkiv side, the most likely scoreline at 20.2%. The expected total of 1.9 goals aligns with the 2-goal total probability of 28%. Metalist’s home form shows an average of 2.25 goals scored and none conceded against weaker opposition, while Obolon-Brovar’s away record is 0.57 goals scored and 2.43 conceded against stronger teams. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.8%), Under 6.5 (99.7%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.4%), Under 5.5 (98.7%), Away under 2.5 goals (98.6%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%) and Home +2 handicap (97.3%). Metalist’s recent form, after two straight defeats, and Obolon-Brovar’s draw-ending start add context to the low-scoring expectation.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win
58.4%
Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.37
Edge
-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.40
Dafabet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
Draw
29.6%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.13
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.34
Betfair
4.20
Dafabet
4.20
Superbet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.15
Obolon'-Brovar win
12.0%
Avg Implied 10.1% · @ 9.19
Edge
+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
10.50
Marathonbet
9.70
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
9.00
Dafabet
9.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.67
1.07
0.67
1.27
0.67
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
1.00
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (15)
1.00
0.73
0.88
0.88
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
0.14
2.33
0.00
2.25
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.70
0.86
1.86
0.62
1.56
vs Stronger (16)
0.62
2.38
0.75
2.62
0.50
2.12
vs Similar (14)
0.86
0.93
1.00
0.83
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
57.2%
@ 1.38-9.5%
Under 1.5
42.8%
@ 2.77+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.40
10Bet
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Betano
1.39
Betfair
1.36
Under
Betfair
2.88
1xBet
2.85
10Bet
2.85
Superbet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
29.2%
@ 2.18-13.2%
Under 2.5
70.8%
@ 1.61+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Superbet
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19
1xBet
2.18
Under
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
12.3%
@ 3.88-11.4%
Under 3.5
87.7%
@ 1.21+11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
4.00
Betfair
4.00
1xBet
3.97
10Bet
3.95
Marathonbet
3.84
Under
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
30.3%
@ 2.58-5.4%
No
69.7%
@ 1.43+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
2.65
Marathonbet
2.61
Betfair
2.60
1xBet
2.60
10Bet
2.55
No
1xBet
1.45
Betfair
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
20.1%@ 4.28+11.1%
0-0
16.2%@ 7.44+11.0%
2-0
14.7%@ 4.57+6.3%
1-1
11.4%@ 7.55+6.3%
2-1
7.2%@ 8.09+2.5%
3-0
6.8%@ 7.25+1.5%
0-1
6.4%@ 14.99+3.9%
3-1
3.4%@ 12.76+0.3%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals ↓
Obolon'-Brovar goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
6.4%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
1
20%
11%
2.6%
0.4%
0.1%
2
15%
7.2%
1.8%
0.3%
0.0%
3
6.8%
3.4%
0.8%
0.1%
0.0%
4
2.4%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Metalist 1925 Kharkiv goals (down), columns = Obolon'-Brovar goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.40
Livyi Bereh
2.00
LNZ Cherkasy
2.00
Polessya
1.97
Dynamo Kyiv
1.90
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.70
Kolos Kovalivka
1.63
Kryvbas KR
1.60
Zorya Luhansk
1.53
Karpaty
1.37
Chornomorets
1.36
Bukovyna
1.29
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.07
Veres Rivne
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar
0.97
Kudrivka
0.94
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.73 points better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of average points per game (1.70 vs 0.97).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Shakhtar Donetsk
2.37
Dynamo Kyiv
2.20
Kryvbas KR
1.77
Polessya
1.70
Zorya Luhansk
1.40
Karpaty
1.33
LNZ Cherkasy
1.30
Chornomorets
1.23
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
1.20
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.20
Bukovyna
1.17
Kudrivka
1.06
Kolos Kovalivka
1.00
Livyi Bereh
1.00
Veres Rivne
0.87
Obolon'-Brovar
0.86
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 0.34 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals scored per game (1.20 vs 0.86).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Livyi Bereh
0.50
LNZ Cherkasy
0.57
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
0.63
Shakhtar Donetsk
0.70
Polessya
0.70
Kolos Kovalivka
0.83
Karpaty
1.03
Zorya Luhansk
1.20
Dynamo Kyiv
1.20
Chornomorets
1.24
Bukovyna
1.30
Veres Rivne
1.33
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
1.50
Kryvbas KR
1.53
Kudrivka
1.56
Obolon'-Brovar
1.69
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 1.06 goals better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of goals conceded per game (0.63 vs 1.69).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Shakhtar Donetsk
68%
Dynamo Kyiv
62%
Livyi Bereh
58%
Polessya
57%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
56%
Zorya Luhansk
52%
Kolos Kovalivka
49%
Kudrivka
49%
Karpaty
49%
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
48%
Kryvbas KR
48%
LNZ Cherkasy
44%
Veres Rivne
43%
Obolon'-Brovar
42%
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv is 13.8 percentage points better than Obolon'-Brovar in terms of average possession (56% vs 42%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
For 7.0 · Against 4.2 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.4 · Against 11.6 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Obolon'-Brovar
For 4.0 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 14.8 · Total 26.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.7
10.3
1.2
1.2
1.3
22.1
22.4
21.9
vs Stronger (8)
9.3
-
9.3
2.0
0.0
4.0
18.0
-
18.0
vs Similar (24)
12.3
14.0
10.8
1.7
2.1
1.2
23.5
23.0
23.8
vs Weaker (18)
9.7
9.5
10.0
0.3
0.4
0.2
21.3
21.0
22.0
% over line
65%
86%
50%
14%
16%
12%
53%
57%
50%
% under line
35%
14%
50%
86%
84%
88%
47%
43%
50%
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.5
8.4
2.1
2.5
1.8
25.9
26.4
25.4
vs Stronger (24)
8.2
8.9
7.5
2.4
2.3
2.5
23.6
23.6
23.6
vs Similar (26)
10.1
10.3
9.8
1.8
2.8
1.2
29.2
30.0
28.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
43%
38%
34%
41%
29%
89%
93%
85%
% under line
59%
57%
62%
66%
59%
71%
11%
7%
15%
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Zorya Luhansk
10.5
Kryvbas KR
10.0
Dynamo Kyiv
9.9
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
9.8
Veres Rivne
9.8
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
9.7
Polessya
9.5
Kudrivka
9.4
Livyi Bereh
9.2
Obolon'-Brovar
9.1
LNZ Cherkasy
9.1
Shakhtar Donetsk
8.9
Chornomorets
8.8
Kolos Kovalivka
8.6
Karpaty
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Karpaty
4.9
Obolon'-Brovar
4.6
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
4.6
LNZ Cherkasy
4.5
Veres Rivne
4.4
Chornomorets
4.4
Livyi Bereh
4.4
Polessya
4.2
Zorya Luhansk
4.1
Dynamo Kyiv
4.0
Kolos Kovalivka
3.9
Kudrivka
3.8
Shakhtar Donetsk
3.8
Kryvbas KR
3.6
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
3.2
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Obolon'-Brovar
26.9
Livyi Bereh
26.2
Kudrivka
25.1
Kryvbas KR
24.6
Karpaty
24.2
Kolos Kovalivka
24.0
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
23.7
LNZ Cherkasy
23.0
Veres Rivne
22.8
Chornomorets
22.4
Zorya Luhansk
22.0
Dynamo Kyiv
21.3
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
21.2
Polessya
20.6
Shakhtar Donetsk
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
55.8%
Under 9.5
44.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.9%
Under 3.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.2%
Under 21.5
34.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or Draw
88.0%
Avg Implied 89.7% · @ 1.04
Edge
-1.7%
58%
30%
12%
covers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.02
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv or Obolon'-Brovar
70.4%
Avg Implied 78.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-8.1%
58%
30%
12%
covers Metalist 1925 Kharkiv + Obolon'-Brovar
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
Draw or Obolon'-Brovar
41.6%
Avg Implied 31.8% · @ 2.94
Edge
+9.8%
58%
30%
12%
covers Draw + Obolon'-Brovar
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Betano
2.90
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5
Over
75.2%
@ 1.13-6.8%
Under
24.8%
@ 5.15+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.11
Under
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.09
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
5.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5
Over
40.6%
@ 1.70-14.1%
Under
59.4%
@ 2.05+14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.72
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.71
Betfair
1.67
Under
Betfair
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
1xBet
2.06
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5
Over
16.5%
@ 3.15-13.0%
Under
83.5%
@ 1.31+13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.20
Superbet
3.20
1xBet
3.17
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 3.5
Over
5.3%
@ 6.30-9.2%
Under
94.7%
@ 1.07+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.50
Marathonbet
6.25
1xBet
6.15
Under
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5
Over
38.9%
@ 2.25-2.0%
Under
61.1%
@ 1.56+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.26
10Bet
2.25
Betano
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Under
Betano
1.57
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5
Over
8.8%
@ 7.79-3.2%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.06+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.40
1xBet
7.17
Under
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5
Over
1.4%
@ 28.00-98.6%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
28.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 3.5
Over
0.2%
Under
99.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv, so a minus line means Metalist 1925 Kharkiv give that many goals of a start and Obolon'-Brovar receive them. At -1, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Metalist 1925 Kharkiv win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv)
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv -2
11.8%
@ 4.21-9.6%
Draw -2
18.4%
@ 4.05-3.9%
Obolon'-Brovar +2
69.8%
@ 1.60+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
4.50
Marathonbet
3.92
Draw
Marathonbet
4.10
Betfair
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.63
Betfair
1.57
Handicap -1 (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv)
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv -1
30.2%
@ 2.13-11.8%
Draw -1
28.2%
@ 3.19+0.2%
Obolon'-Brovar +1
41.6%
@ 2.97+11.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
2.18
10Bet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Draw
Marathonbet
3.26
10Bet
3.20
Betfair
3.10
Away
Betfair
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.92
Handicap +1 (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv)
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +1
88.0%
Draw +1
9.3%
Obolon'-Brovar -1
2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv)
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv +2
97.3%
Draw +2
2.3%
Obolon'-Brovar -2
0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.33
0.33
0.33
0.47
0.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.00
0.62
0.00
0.75
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (15)
0.40
0.27
0.38
0.25
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (7)
0.86
0.14
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
70% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.43
0.64
0.44
0.56
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
0.94
0.38
0.88
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.21
0.50
0.33
0.62
0.12
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.7%
@ 1.45+5.8%
Under 0.5
30.3%
@ 2.56-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.48
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Superbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.75
10Bet
2.65
Superbet
2.62
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.44
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 3.12+3.3%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.32-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.17
Marathonbet
3.16
Superbet
3.05
10Bet
2.90
Under
10Bet
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Superbet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
11.3%
@ 7.84-0.5%
Under 2.5
88.7%
@ 1.05+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
1xBet
7.75
Superbet
7.50
Under
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 HT
Over
57.8%
@ 1.68+2.6%
Under
42.2%
@ 2.06-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Superbet
1.63
Under
Superbet
2.15
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.7%
@ 4.45-2.1%
Under
81.3%
@ 1.17+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Under
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5 HT
Over
27.7%
@ 4.20+5.7%
Under
72.3%
@ 1.19-5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.35
1xBet
4.35
Superbet
4.10
Betano
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
0.73
0.33
0.80
0.33
vs Stronger (8)
0.50
0.38
0.50
0.00
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (15)
0.60
0.47
0.50
0.62
0.71
0.29
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
0.00
1.67
0.00
1.25
0.00
Clean sheet %
73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Obolon'-Brovar) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Obolon'-Brovar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
1.10
0.43
1.21
0.19
1.00
vs Stronger (16)
0.31
1.44
0.38
1.75
0.25
1.12
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.12
0.88
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Metalist 1925 Kharkiv) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.0%
@ 1.29+5.3%
Under 0.5
23.0%
@ 3.27-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.28
Superbet
3.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
41.8%
@ 2.36+2.7%
Under 1.5
58.2%
@ 1.52-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.42
10Bet
2.40
1xBet
2.39
Marathonbet
2.32
Betano
2.27
Under
1xBet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Superbet
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.8%
@ 5.32-1.6%
Under 2.5
84.2%
@ 1.12+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
5.45
1xBet
5.35
Marathonbet
5.15
Under
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 0.5 2H
Over
65.8%
@ 1.46+2.4%
Under
34.2%
@ 2.52-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.47
1xBet
1.45
Under
1xBet
2.55
Superbet
2.50
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.9%
@ 3.10-2.9%
Under
73.1%
@ 1.31+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Under
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.3%
@ 8.20-4.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.20
Under
1xBet
1.03
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 0.5 2H
Over
33.9%
@ 3.44+7.1%
Under
66.1%
@ 1.26-7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.48
Superbet
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Under
Superbet
1.27
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Obolon'-Brovar over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.3%
Under
98.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.7%
1.01
Betfair
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+5.2%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
97.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
95.7%
1.05
1xBet
1.07
Betfair
1.05
Superbet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.03
-
+7.7%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.7%
1.07
Betfair
1.08
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+9.2%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.7%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
91.2%
1.06
1xBet
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
+3.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.7%
1.05
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+0.5%
Home or Draw
88.0%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.02
-1.7%
Home +1 handicap
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
87.7%
1.21
1xBet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.20
+11.4%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.2%
1.12
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+1.6%
Home under 2.5 goals
83.5%
1.31
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Betfair
1.30
-
+13.0%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
81.3%
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Marathonbet
1.17
-
-
-
+2.1%
Under 5.5 cards
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.0%
1.29
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+5.3%
Home over 0.5 goals
75.2%
1.13
1xBet
1.15
Superbet
1.14
Betfair
1.13
10Bet
1.11
-
-6.8%
Over 2.5 cards
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
73.1%
1.31
Marathonbet
1.32
1xBet
1.31
-
-
-
+2.9%
Away under 0.5 HT goals
72.3%
1.19
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
-
-5.7%
Under 2.5
70.8%
1.61
Marathonbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
10Bet
1.62
Betfair
1.60
Superbet
1.60
+13.2%
Home or Away
70.4%
1.20
1xBet
1.22
Betano
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.19
-8.1%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Peter Itodo38%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Baton Zabergja15%
Christian Mba15%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi38%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev27%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Yevhen Pavliuk19%
Ilya Krupskyi18%
Volodymyr Salyuk17%
Igor Kogut14%
Artem Shabanov13%
Vyacheslav Churko11%
Oleksandr Martinyuk10%
Ivan Lytvynenko8%
Baton Zabergja8%
Christian Mba8%
Peter Itodo8%
Ermir Rashica7%
Denys Antyukh6%
Danylo Varakuta6%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Sebastian Castillo0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Sebastian Castillo20%
Ari Moura17%
Baton Zabergja8%
Igor Kogut7%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi6%
Denys Antyukh6%
Ilya Krupskyi6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Peter Itodo0%
Cauan Baptistella0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Peter Itodo46%
Cauan Baptistella25%
Sebastian Castillo20%
Vladyslav Kalitvintsev9%
Baton Zabergja8%
Denys Antyukh6%
Artem Shabanov0%
Vyacheslav Churko0%
Igor Kogut0%
Ivan Lytvynenko0%
Ivan Kalyuzhnyi0%
Danylo Varakuta0%
Oleksandr Martinyuk0%
Ari Moura0%
Dmytro Kapinus0%
Yevhen Pavliuk0%
Volodymyr Salyuk0%
Ilya Krupskyi0%
Nicolas Arevalo0%
Ermir Rashica0%
Christian Mba0%
Obolon'-Brovar · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Denys Ustymenko29%
Vasyl Kurko17%
Taras Liakh17%
Oleh Slobodian15%
Maksym Tretyakov14%
Roman Volokhatyi14%
Vladyslav Pryimak10%
Maksym Chekh9%
Serhiy Sukhanov7%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Yevgen Shevchenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Valeriy Dubko50%
Yevgen Shevchenko47%
Maksym Chekh45%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko33%
Vladyslav Pryimak30%
Yegor Prokopenko20%
Taras Liakh17%
Oleh Slobodian15%
Serhiy Sukhanov14%
Roman Volokhatyi14%
Dmytro Semenov12%
Artem Kulakovskyi12%
Igor Medynskyi7%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oleh Illin33%
Maksym Tretyakov14%
Vladyslav Pryimak10%
Ivan Nesterenko8%
Yevgen Shevchenko7%
Dmytro Semenov6%
Denys Ustymenko0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Oleh Slobodian0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Maksym Chekh0%
Serhiy Sukhanov0%
Taras Moroz0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Taras Liakh0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Denys Ustymenko21%
Maksym Chekh9%
Serhiy Sukhanov7%
Maksym Tretyakov0%
Dmytro Semenov0%
Pavlo Polehenko0%
Vladyslav Pryimak0%
Yevhen Pasich0%
Vasyl Kurko0%
Nazariy Fedorivskyi0%
Yegor Prokopenko0%
Yevgen Shevchenko0%
Igor Medynskyi0%
Oleh Slobodian0%
Ruslan Chernenko0%
Oleh Illin0%
Taras Moroz0%
Roman Volokhatyi0%
Artem Kulakovskyi0%
Valeriy Dubko0%
Denys Teslyuk0%
Andrii Lomnytskyi0%
Kostiantyn Bychek0%
Ivan Nesterenko0%
Oleksandr Zhovtenko0%
Taras Liakh0%
Oleksandr Feshchenko0%
Denys Marchenko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (33)
€186m
DK (37)
€91m
POL (32)
€34m
M1K (26)
€28m
LC (25)
€20m
KAR (28)
€13m
KK (27)
€13m
ZL (27)
€11m
KK (19)
€11m
BUK (25)
€9m
VR (21)
€7m
OBO (28)
€7m
ED (23)
€6m
CHO (21)
€5m
KUD (24)
€5m
LB (25)
€5m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's squad is €22m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€28m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (16)
€115m
DK (13)
€32m
POL (9)
€12m
M1K (10)
€10m
LC (9)
€8m
KK (10)
€5m
KAR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€4m
ZL (11)
€3m
KK (7)
€3m
VR (9)
€3m
OBO (9)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
LB (7)
€2m
KUD (8)
€2m
ED (6)
€1m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's attack is €7m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€10m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DK (8)
€26m
SD (4)
€19m
POL (9)
€8m
M1K (6)
€7m
LC (5)
€5m
KK (4)
€3m
ZL (5)
€3m
KAR (5)
€2m
KK (5)
€2m
BUK (5)
€2m
ED (6)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
OBO (5)
€1m
KUD (6)
€1m
VR (4)
€1m
LB (6)
€1m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's midfield is €6m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€7m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SD (13)
€52m
DK (16)
€33m
POL (14)
€14m
M1K (10)
€11m
LC (11)
€7m
KAR (15)
€7m
KK (7)
€6m
ZL (11)
€6m
KK (13)
€5m
VR (8)
€4m
BUK (10)
€3m
ED (11)
€3m
OBO (14)
€3m
KUD (10)
€3m
LB (12)
€2m
CHO (7)
€2m
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's defence is €8m more valuable than Obolon'-Brovar's (€11m vs €3m).
Ukraine: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ukraine: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Karpaty
Shakhtar Donetsk
Polessya
Epitsentr Dunayivtsi
Dynamo Kyiv
Zorya Luhansk
Bukovyna
Veres Rivne
Kryvbas KR
LNZ Cherkasy
Livyi Bereh
Chornomorets
Kudrivka
Kolos Kovalivka