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Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub Result & Analysis

Date: 11/05/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Vs
31%
34%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Milsami Orhei win✗ Miss
31.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
33.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Petrocub win✗ Miss
35.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-431W01L00D01L00D03L41W13L30W12LH·SPA25/11A·FLO03/12H·ZIM10/03A·CSF17/03H·SHE31/03A·PET06/04A·DAC13/04A·ZIM21/04H·CSF27/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.171.500.501.001.75
vs Stronger (6)0.831.671.000.000.752.50
vs Similar (12)0.831.170.830.670.831.67
vs Weaker (12)1.830.922.330.501.331.33
Clean sheet %33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-730W70W50W11D30W30W11D30W21W70WH·CSF25/11A·SPA03/12H·CSF09/03A·SHE16/03H·DAC31/03H·MIL06/04A·ZIM14/04A·CSF20/04H·SHE28/04H·DAC04/05
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
3.5
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.170.572.560.561.710.57
vs Stronger (2)0.002.500.002.000.003.00
vs Similar (13)1.230.771.330.831.140.71
vs Weaker (15)3.270.133.670.222.670.00
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%15%024%128%218%39%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
60.6%
Under 1.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
32.2%
Under 2.5
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
14.2%
Under 3.5
85.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
41.1%
No
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
14.9%
1-1 ✓
14.9%
0-1
12.8%
1-0
11.6%
0-2
7.4%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
6.2%
Milsami Orhei goals ↓
Petrocub goals →
01234
015%13%7.4%2.5%0.7%
112%15%7.0%2.4%0.6%
26.2%6.5%3.4%1.2%0.3%
32.0%2.1%1.1%0.4%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Milsami Orhei goals (down), columns = Petrocub goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Victoria Bardar
2.38
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.17
Petrocub
2.17
Olimp Comrat
2.00
Zimbru
1.75
Milsami Orhei
1.58
Saxan
1.54
Iskra
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Floreşti
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.25
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.17
Dacia-Buiucani
0.67
Spartanii Selemet
0.60
Speranța Drochia
0.09
Făleşti
0.00
FCM Ungheni
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.58 points worse than Petrocub in terms of average points per game (1.58 vs 2.17).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Petrocub
2.46
Victoria Bardar
2.15
Sheriff Tiraspol
2.12
FCM Ungheni
2.00
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.92
Floreşti
1.62
Olimp Comrat
1.50
Speranis Nisporeni
1.50
Saxan
1.38
Zimbru
1.38
CSF Bălți
1.38
Milsami Orhei
1.29
Iskra
1.00
Spartanii Selemet
0.96
Dacia-Buiucani
0.83
Speranța Drochia
0.45
Făleşti
0.00
Milsami Orhei is 1.17 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals scored per game (1.29 vs 2.46).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Olimp Comrat
0.00
Petrocub
0.50
Sheriff Tiraspol
0.67
Victoria Bardar
0.92
Zimbru
0.96
Milsami Orhei
1.08
Saxan
1.15
Gagauziya-Oguzsport
1.58
Floreşti
1.62
CSF Bălți
1.83
Dacia-Buiucani
2.42
Iskra
2.50
Speranis Nisporeni
2.50
Spartanii Selemet
2.52
Speranța Drochia
2.82
Făleşti
3.00
FCM Ungheni
3.00
Milsami Orhei is 0.58 goals worse than Petrocub in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.50).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D00D01L00D01L00D11D20W01LH·SPA25/11A·FLO03/12H·ZIM10/03A·CSF17/03H·SHE31/03A·PET06/04A·DAC13/04A·ZIM21/04H·CSF27/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.470.860.210.190.69
vs Stronger (6)0.331.000.500.000.251.50
vs Similar (12)0.330.420.500.330.170.50
vs Weaker (12)0.750.251.330.170.170.33
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W20W11D20W10W10W10W10W30WH·CSF25/11A·SPA03/12H·CSF09/03A·SHE16/03H·DAC31/03H·MIL06/04A·ZIM14/04A·CSF20/04H·SHE28/04H·DAC04/05
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.171.440.000.790.36
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.690.310.500.000.860.57
vs Weaker (15)1.670.002.220.000.830.00
Clean sheet %83% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L00D00D00D02L41W02L10W11DH·SPA25/11A·FLO03/12H·ZIM10/03A·CSF17/03H·SHE31/03A·PET06/04A·DAC13/04A·ZIM21/04H·CSF27/04A·SHE04/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.640.290.811.06
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.750.330.330.671.17
vs Weaker (12)1.080.671.000.331.171.00
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Petrocub) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PetrocubPetrocub

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D50W30W00D10W20W01L20W11D40WH·CSF25/11A·SPA03/12H·CSF09/03A·SHE16/03H·DAC31/03H·MIL06/04A·ZIM14/04A·CSF20/04H·SHE28/04H·DAC04/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.120.560.930.21
vs Stronger (2)0.002.000.002.000.002.00
vs Similar (13)0.540.460.830.830.290.14
vs Weaker (15)1.600.131.440.221.830.00
Clean sheet %73% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Milsami Orhei) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Milsami Orhei over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Milsami Orhei over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Petrocub over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.585.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Petrocub · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Victor Mudrac20%
Teodor Lungu20%
Ion Borș20%
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Teodor Lungu60%
Ion Jardan50%
Dumitru Demian33%
Dan Pușcaș20%
Ion Borș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dan Pușcaș20%
Vladimir Ambros17%
Ion Jardan0%
Sergiu Plătică0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sergiu Plătică17%
Ion Jardan0%
Vladimir Ambros0%
Maxim Potirniche0%
Vasile Jardan0%
Vsevolod Nihaev0%
Marin Caruntu0%
Victor Mudrac0%
Donalio Melachio Douanla0%
Teodor Lungu0%
Silviu Șmalenea0%
Dan Pușcaș0%
Dumitru Demian0%
Ion Borș0%
Boubacar Diallo0%
Mihai Lupan0%
Manuel Nana Agyemang0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (24)
€6m
PET (22)
€5m
ZIM (24)
€4m
MO (22)
€3m
DAC (21)
€2m
SS (12)
€1m
CB (5)
€1m
FU (2)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's squad is €2m less valuable than Petrocub's (€3m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (8)
€3m
PET (9)
€2m
ZIM (9)
€2m
MO (6)
€1m
DAC (5)
€0m
SS (4)
€0m
CB (2)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei's attack is €1m less valuable than Petrocub's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (6)
€1m
ZIM (7)
€1m
MO (5)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
DAC (6)
€0m
CB (0)
€0m
FU (0)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ST (10)
€3m
PET (8)
€2m
MO (11)
€2m
ZIM (8)
€1m
DAC (10)
€1m
CB (3)
€1m
SS (4)
€0m
FU (2)
€0m
Milsami Orhei and Petrocub have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
1
MO wins
1
Draws
5
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Milsami Orhei vs Petrocub · H/A from MO
DateH/AGameScore
06/04/24APetrocub Vs MO3-0
28/10/23HMO Vs Petrocub1-1
19/08/23APetrocub Vs MO2-0
22/04/23HMO Vs Petrocub0-2
11/03/23APetrocub Vs MO2-1
08/10/22APetrocub Vs MO2-1
14/08/22HMO Vs Petrocub1-0

Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs MO2-1
27/04/24HMO Vs CSF Bălți3-0
21/04/24AZimbru Vs MO3-1
13/04/24ADacia-Buiucani Vs MO1-4
06/04/24APetrocub Vs MO3-0
31/03/24HMO Vs Sheriff Tiraspol0-0
17/03/24ACSF Bălți Vs MO1-0
10/03/24HMO Vs Zimbru0-0
03/12/23AFloreşti Vs MO1-0
25/11/23HMO Vs Spartanii Selemet3-1

PetrocubPetrocub

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/24HPET Vs Dacia-Buiucani7-0
28/04/24HPET Vs Sheriff Tiraspol2-1
20/04/24ACSF Bălți Vs PET0-3
14/04/24AZimbru Vs PET1-1
06/04/24HPET Vs Milsami Orhei3-0
31/03/24HPET Vs Dacia-Buiucani3-0
16/03/24ASheriff Tiraspol Vs PET1-1
09/03/24HPET Vs CSF Bălți5-0
03/12/23ASpartanii Selemet Vs PET0-7
25/11/23HPET Vs CSF Bălți3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Milsami Orhei
Milsami Orhei
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWL1.32
HomeWWDDW1.78
AwayLLWLL0.93
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%52%22%
AVG goals2.382.092.63
Over 1.5 %72%61%81%
Over 2.5 %48%39%56%
Over 3.5 %18%13%22%
Scored1.121.221.04
Conceded1.260.871.59
BTTS46%30%59%
Clean Sheet30%52%11%
Corners8.008.507.50
Cards6.004.509.00
Petrocub
Petrocub
Moldova: Super Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW1.92
HomeWWWWW2.15
AwayDWDDW1.65
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%67%43%
AVG goals2.602.852.30
Over 1.5 %72%78%65%
Over 2.5 %50%59%39%
Over 3.5 %22%26%17%
Scored1.822.151.43
Conceded0.780.700.87
BTTS34%30%39%
Clean Sheet50%56%43%
Corners7.256.008.50
Cards4.003.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PetrocubPetrocub2452
62%
2.2
5912+47
3.0
79%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.50.5
-
2Sheriff TiraspolSheriff Tiraspol2452
67%
2.2
5116+35
2.8
83%
54%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3132.10.7
-
3ZimbruZimbru2442
54%
1.8
3323+10
2.3
71%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.0
-
4Milsami OrheiMilsami Orhei2438
46%
1.6
3126+5
2.4
75%
54%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.31.1
-
5FloreştiFloreşti2433
42%
1.4
3939+0
3.2
83%
79%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.6
-
6Victoria BardarVictoria Bardar1331
77%
2.4
2812+16
3.1
69%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.20.9
-
7CSF BălțiCSF Bălți2430
38%
1.2
3344-11
3.2
88%
75%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.41.8
-
8SaxanSaxan1320
46%
1.5
1815+3
2.5
62%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9Dacia-BuiucaniDacia-Buiucani2416
12%
0.7
2058-38
3.2
92%
67%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0010.82.4
-
10Spartanii SelemetSpartanii Selemet2515
16%
0.6
2463-39
3.5
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.5
-
11Gagauziya-OguzsportGagauziya-Oguzsport1214
33%
1.2
2319+4
3.5
100%
83%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.6
-
12Olimp ComratOlimp Comrat24
50%
2.0
30+3
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.50.0
-
13Speranis NisporeniSperanis Nisporeni23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
14IskraIskra23
50%
1.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
15Speranța DrochiaSperanța Drochia111
0%
0.1
531-26
3.3
91%
73%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.52.8
-
16FCM UngheniFCM Ungheni10
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.03.0
-
17FăleştiFăleşti10
0%
0.0
03-3
3.0
100%
100%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.03.0
-
Moldova: Super Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Moldova: Super Liga stats & trends →

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