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Minija vs Ekranas Result & Analysis

Date: 26/04/2025
Time: 11:00
Final 1-3
Minija
Minija
Vs
37%
30%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minija win✗ Miss
37.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
30.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ekranas win✓ Hit
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MinijaMinija

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L12L11D01L04L03L21W30W10WH·BAN25/10H·FK 29/10A·ATM02/11H·PAN08/11A·BAB08/03H·NEP15/03A·TAU29/03H·NEV05/04A·ATA15/04A·ATM19/04
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.531.001.431.121.62
vs Stronger (13)1.081.460.711.291.501.67
vs Similar (11)0.911.641.202.000.671.33
vs Weaker (6)1.331.501.500.501.252.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 – goals for & against
180-1810W40W22D24L02L01L12L02L181W41WA·ATM19/10H·PAN26/10A·KAU02/11H·FA 08/11H·BFA09/03A·KAU14/03H·HEG30/03A·PAN04/04A·AVE12/04H·FA 18/04
Avg total
4.7
Avg scored
3.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.831.531.571.432.061.62
vs Stronger (24)1.961.671.551.552.311.77
vs Similar (6)1.331.001.671.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.0%
Under 1.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.7%
Under 2.5
56.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
1-0
9.8%
0-1
9.0%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.0%
Minija goals ↓
Ekranas goals →
01234
010%9.0%6.0%2.4%0.7%
19.8%14%7.6%3.0%0.9%
27.0%8.2%4.8%1.9%0.5%
32.9%3.4%2.0%0.8%0.2%
40.9%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Minija goals (down), columns = Ekranas goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.63
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.23
Tauras
2.07
Babrungas
1.93
BFA
1.83
Atmosfera
1.60
Jonava
1.40
Žalgiris II
1.40
Minija
1.20
Hegelmann II
1.03
Be1 NFA
1.00
Ekranas
0.97
FA Šiauliai II
0.94
Kauno Žalgiris II
0.90
Nevėžis
0.87
Panevėžys II
0.70
Sveikata
0.50
Minija is 0.23 points better than Ekranas in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.97).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.27
Babrungas
2.13
Tauras
1.87
Atmosfera
1.73
Žalgiris II
1.67
BFA
1.57
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.43
Ekranas
1.23
Be1 NFA
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.17
Nevėžis
1.07
Sveikata
1.00
Panevėžys II
1.00
Minija
0.90
Jonava
0.87
Minija is 0.33 goals worse than Ekranas in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.23).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.73
Tauras
0.73
Jonava
0.83
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.90
Atmosfera
1.13
BFA
1.20
Babrungas
1.43
Minija
1.53
Žalgiris II
1.60
Be1 NFA
1.70
Hegelmann II
1.70
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.90
Ekranas
1.93
Nevėžis
1.93
FA Šiauliai II
2.28
Panevėžys II
2.70
Sveikata
3.50
Minija is 0.40 goals better than Ekranas in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.93).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MinijaMinija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L10W00D03L00D01L10W10WH·BAN25/10H·FK 29/10A·ATM02/11H·PAN08/11A·BAB08/03H·NEP15/03A·TAU29/03H·NEV05/04A·ATA15/04A·ATM19/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.600.500.640.310.56
vs Stronger (13)0.460.540.430.570.500.50
vs Similar (11)0.360.640.601.000.170.33
vs Weaker (6)0.330.670.500.000.251.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
70-700D10W02L11D00D01L11D01L71W30WA·ATM19/10H·PAN26/10A·KAU02/11H·FA 08/11H·BFA09/03A·KAU14/03H·HEG30/03A·PAN04/04A·AVE12/04H·FA 18/04
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.790.360.880.75
vs Stronger (24)0.960.500.820.271.080.69
vs Similar (6)0.330.830.670.670.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Minija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MinijaMinija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D01L01L01L03L20W20W00DH·BAN25/10H·FK 29/10A·ATM02/11H·PAN08/11A·BAB08/03H·NEP15/03A·TAU29/03H·NEV05/04A·ATA15/04A·ATM19/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.500.790.811.06
vs Stronger (13)0.620.920.290.711.001.17
vs Similar (11)0.551.000.601.000.501.00
vs Weaker (6)1.000.831.000.501.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ekranas) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

EkranasEkranas

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
110-1110W30W20W13L02L00D01L01L110W11DA·ATM19/10H·PAN26/10A·KAU02/11H·FA 08/11H·BFA09/03A·KAU14/03H·HEG30/03A·PAN04/04A·AVE12/04H·FA 18/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.970.791.071.190.88
vs Stronger (24)1.001.170.731.271.231.08
vs Similar (6)1.000.171.000.331.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Minija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ekranas over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Minija and Ekranas have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Minija and Ekranas have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Minija and Ekranas have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
Minija and Ekranas have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
MIN wins
4
Draws
1
EKR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Minija vs Ekranas · H/A from MIN
DateH/AGameScore
24/08/24HMIN Vs Ekranas0-0
30/03/24AEkranas Vs MIN1-1
21/10/23AEkranas Vs MIN2-1
03/06/23HMIN Vs Ekranas1-1
17/09/22HMIN Vs Ekranas3-0
21/05/22AEkranas Vs MIN1-1

MinijaMinija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25AAtmosfera Vs MIN0-1
15/04/25AAtaka Vilnius Vs MIN0-3
05/04/25HMIN Vs Nevėžis2-1
29/03/25ATauras Vs MIN3-0
15/03/25HMIN Vs Neptūną Klaipėda0-4
08/03/25ABabrungas Vs MIN1-0
08/11/24HMIN Vs Panevėžys II1-1
02/11/24AAtmosfera Vs MIN2-1
29/10/24HMIN Vs FK Trakai0-1
25/10/24HMIN Vs Banga II1-0

EkranasEkranas

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25HEKR Vs FA Šiauliai II4-1
12/04/25AAve.Ko Vs EKR1-18
04/04/25APanevėžys II Vs EKR2-0
30/03/25HEKR Vs Hegelmann II1-2
14/03/25AKauno Žalgiris II Vs EKR1-0
09/03/25HEKR Vs BFA0-2
08/11/24HEKR Vs FA Šiauliai II2-4
02/11/24AKauno Žalgiris II Vs EKR2-2
26/10/24HEKR Vs Panevėžys II4-0
19/10/24AAtmosfera Vs EKR0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.30
HomeWLDLW1.46
AwayLLLWW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%38%31%
AVG goals2.482.332.62
Over 1.5 %74%67%81%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%29%19%
Scored1.141.171.12
Conceded1.341.171.50
BTTS46%46%46%
Clean Sheet28%33%23%
Corners---
Cards---
Ekranas
Ekranas
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWW1.22
HomeWLLLW1.24
AwayWDLLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals3.523.323.72
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %40%44%36%
Scored1.881.602.16
Conceded1.641.721.56
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet22%16%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius3079
87%
2.6
8722+65
3.6
90%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.90.7
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3067
70%
2.2
6827+41
3.2
80%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
3TaurasTauras3062
60%
2.1
5622+34
2.6
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.7
-
4BabrungasBabrungas3058
57%
1.9
6443+21
3.6
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
5BFABFA3055
53%
1.8
4736+11
2.8
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6AtmosferaAtmosfera3048
47%
1.6
5234+18
2.9
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3042
37%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
8JonavaJonava3042
37%
1.4
2625+1
1.7
57%
23%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MinijaMinija3036
37%
1.2
2746-19
2.4
67%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
10Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3031
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA3030
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3230
28%
0.9
4873-25
3.8
91%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.3
-
13EkranasEkranas3029
30%
1.0
3758-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
14Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3027
27%
0.9
4357-14
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
15NevėžisNevėžis3026
23%
0.9
3258-26
3.0
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
16Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3021
20%
0.7
3081-51
3.7
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
17SveikataSveikata21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
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Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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