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Minija vs Žalgiris II Result & Analysis

Date: 17/06/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-4
Minija
Minija
Vs
28%
28%
44%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minija win✗ Miss
28.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II win✓ Hit
44.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MinijaMinija

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W13L31W01L20W10W01L20W04L00DA·ATM19/04H·EKR26/04A·NEV29/04A·BFA03/05H·KAU10/05A·HEG18/05H·DŽI21/05H·PAN24/05A·FA 30/05A·JON13/06
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.500.691.310.821.65
vs Stronger (11)1.001.360.711.141.501.75
vs Similar (12)0.331.580.332.000.331.44
vs Weaker (7)1.141.571.001.001.252.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L41W21W11D41W32W43W30W21WA·NEP29/03H·TAU04/04A·NEV18/04H·ATM26/04A·EKR04/05H·BFA11/05A·KAU16/05H·HEG26/05A·PAN02/06H·FA 14/06
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.101.932.352.241.771.54
vs Stronger (12)2.331.582.671.672.001.50
vs Similar (10)1.802.502.002.861.331.67
vs Weaker (8)2.121.752.502.001.751.50
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%015%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
77.1%
Under 1.5
22.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.7%
Under 2.5
48.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
29.6%
Under 3.5
70.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.1%
No
43.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.1%
1-2
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
0-2
7.7%
0-0
7.6%
2-1
7.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.5%
Minija goals ↓
Žalgiris II goals →
01234
07.6%8.8%7.7%4.0%1.5%
16.5%13%9.2%4.8%1.8%
24.6%7.1%5.5%2.8%1.1%
31.8%2.8%2.2%1.1%0.4%
40.6%0.9%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Minija goals (down), columns = Žalgiris II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.63
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.23
Tauras
2.07
Babrungas
1.93
BFA
1.83
Atmosfera
1.60
Jonava
1.40
Žalgiris II
1.40
Minija
1.20
Hegelmann II
1.03
Be1 NFA
1.00
Ekranas
0.97
FA Šiauliai II
0.94
Kauno Žalgiris II
0.90
Nevėžis
0.87
Panevėžys II
0.70
Sveikata
0.50
Minija is 0.20 points worse than Žalgiris II in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.40).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.27
Babrungas
2.13
Tauras
1.87
Atmosfera
1.73
Žalgiris II
1.67
BFA
1.57
FA Šiauliai II
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.43
Ekranas
1.23
Be1 NFA
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.17
Nevėžis
1.07
Sveikata
1.00
Panevėžys II
1.00
Minija
0.90
Jonava
0.87
Minija is 0.77 goals worse than Žalgiris II in terms of goals scored per game (0.90 vs 1.67).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
0.73
Tauras
0.73
Jonava
0.83
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.90
Atmosfera
1.13
BFA
1.20
Babrungas
1.43
Minija
1.53
Žalgiris II
1.60
Be1 NFA
1.70
Hegelmann II
1.70
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.90
Ekranas
1.93
Nevėžis
1.93
FA Šiauliai II
2.28
Panevėžys II
2.70
Sveikata
3.50
Minija is 0.07 goals better than Žalgiris II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.60).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MinijaMinija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D20W00D00D10W01L00D02L00DA·ATM19/04H·EKR26/04A·NEV29/04A·BFA03/05H·KAU10/05A·HEG18/05H·DŽI21/05H·PAN24/05A·FA 30/05A·JON13/06
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.270.630.150.690.350.59
vs Stronger (11)0.360.640.140.710.750.50
vs Similar (12)0.250.670.331.330.220.44
vs Weaker (7)0.140.570.000.000.251.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D10W11D10W00D12L31W10W11DA·NEP29/03H·TAU04/04A·NEV18/04H·ATM26/04A·EKR04/05H·BFA11/05A·KAU16/05H·HEG26/05A·PAN02/06H·FA 14/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.880.760.541.00
vs Stronger (12)0.580.750.830.830.330.67
vs Similar (10)0.901.000.860.861.001.33
vs Weaker (8)0.750.881.000.500.501.25
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Minija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MinijaMinija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D13L11D01L20W00D00D20W02L00DA·ATM19/04H·EKR26/04A·NEV29/04A·BFA03/05H·KAU10/05A·HEG18/05H·DŽI21/05H·PAN24/05A·FA 30/05A·JON13/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.870.540.620.471.06
vs Stronger (11)0.640.730.570.430.751.25
vs Similar (12)0.080.920.000.670.111.00
vs Weaker (7)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Žalgiris II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D02L31W10W01L41W20W12L20W10WA·NEP29/03H·TAU04/04A·NEV18/04H·ATM26/04A·EKR04/05H·BFA11/05A·KAU16/05H·HEG26/05A·PAN02/06H·FA 14/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.071.471.471.230.54
vs Stronger (12)1.750.831.830.831.670.83
vs Similar (10)0.901.501.142.000.330.33
vs Weaker (8)1.380.881.501.501.250.25
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Minija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žalgiris II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.577.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.4%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Minija and Žalgiris II have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Minija and Žalgiris II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Minija and Žalgiris II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
Minija and Žalgiris II have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
3
MIN wins
1
Draws
0
ŽI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Minija vs Žalgiris II · H/A from MIN
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/23AŽalgiris II Vs MIN2-3
27/05/23HMIN Vs Žalgiris II3-0
05/08/22AŽalgiris II Vs MIN1-3
26/03/22HMIN Vs Žalgiris II0-0

MinijaMinija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/06/25AJonava Vs MIN0-0
30/05/25AFA Šiauliai II Vs MIN4-0
24/05/25HMIN Vs Panevėžys II2-0
21/05/25HMIN Vs Džiugas Telšiai0-1
18/05/25AHegelmann II Vs MIN0-1
10/05/25HMIN Vs Kauno Žalgiris II2-0
03/05/25ABFA Vs MIN1-0
29/04/25ANevėžis Vs MIN1-3
26/04/25HMIN Vs Ekranas1-3
19/04/25AAtmosfera Vs MIN0-1

Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/06/25HŽI Vs FA Šiauliai II2-1
02/06/25APanevėžys II Vs ŽI0-3
26/05/25HŽI Vs Hegelmann II4-3
16/05/25AKauno Žalgiris II Vs ŽI2-3
11/05/25HŽI Vs BFA4-1
04/05/25AEkranas Vs ŽI1-1
26/04/25HŽI Vs Atmosfera2-1
18/04/25ANevėžis Vs ŽI1-4
04/04/25HŽI Vs Tauras0-2
29/03/25ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs ŽI2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWLD1.14
HomeWLWLW1.13
AwayWLWLD1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%26%30%
AVG goals2.322.222.41
Over 1.5 %68%65%70%
Over 2.5 %42%39%44%
Over 3.5 %26%30%22%
Scored0.980.911.04
Conceded1.341.301.37
BTTS42%43%41%
Clean Sheet30%30%30%
Corners---
Cards---
Žalgiris II
Žalgiris II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.26
HomeLWWWW1.40
AwayLWDWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals3.504.242.76
Over 1.5 %86%92%80%
Over 2.5 %66%80%52%
Over 3.5 %46%60%32%
Scored1.682.081.28
Conceded1.822.161.48
BTTS58%76%40%
Clean Sheet16%12%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius3079
87%
2.6
8722+65
3.6
90%
77%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.90.7
-
2Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3067
70%
2.2
6827+41
3.2
80%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.9
-
3TaurasTauras3062
60%
2.1
5622+34
2.6
73%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.7
-
4BabrungasBabrungas3058
57%
1.9
6443+21
3.6
83%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.4
-
5BFABFA3055
53%
1.8
4736+11
2.8
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.2
-
6AtmosferaAtmosfera3048
47%
1.6
5234+18
2.9
70%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.1
-
7Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3042
37%
1.4
5048+2
3.3
83%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
8JonavaJonava3042
37%
1.4
2625+1
1.7
57%
23%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.90.8
-
9MinijaMinija3036
37%
1.2
2746-19
2.4
67%
47%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
10Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3031
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
11Be1 NFABe1 NFA3030
27%
1.0
3551-16
2.9
80%
63%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3230
28%
0.9
4873-25
3.8
91%
78%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.3
-
13EkranasEkranas3029
30%
1.0
3758-21
3.2
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
14Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3027
27%
0.9
4357-14
3.3
83%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
15NevėžisNevėžis3026
23%
0.9
3258-26
3.0
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
16Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3021
20%
0.7
3081-51
3.7
90%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.7
-
17SveikataSveikata21
0%
0.5
27-5
4.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.5
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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