Mladost Lješkopolje vs Berane Result & Analysis

Date: 24/05/2026

Time: 15:30

Final 3-1

Mladost Lješkopolje

28%

32%

41%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Berane

Montenegro: Second League

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Berane's recent form, particularly their 3-1 loss to Mladost Lješkopolje, is a significant storyline heading into this match. Despite that, the model predicts an away win, with a 41% chance of victory for Berane. The expected total goals is 2.2, indicating a low-scoring match. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.6% chance of occurrence.

Mladost Lješkopolje's home form is relatively strong, scoring an average of 1.89 goals and conceding 1.0 goal per match against weaker opponents. Berane's away form is weaker, scoring 1.44 goals and conceding 0.89 goals per match against stronger opponents.

The model's selections include Under 3.5 goals, with an 82% chance of occurrence, and Under 3.5 goals has an 82% chance of missing. The home win percentage is 28%, the draw percentage is 32%, and the away win percentage is 41%. The model's selections include Home win, Away win, and Under 3.5 goals, with probabilities 28%, 41%, and 82%, respectively.

Results analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje's 3-1 win over Berane extends their run of form, having come off a win and now boasting a last 5 record of WDWLW. However, the pre-match favourite did not come through, as the model's selection, an Away win, was incorrect. Berane's Away win had a pre-match probability of 41%. The model's call was wrong, as Mladost Lješkopolje secured the win.

The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals missed, with an 82% probability. The most likely scores were 1-1, 0-0, and 0-1, with probabilities of 14.6%, 12.4%, and 12.3% respectively. The expected total goals were 2.2, with the most likely total goals being 2, at a 28% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje win✓ Hit

27.9%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

31.5%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Berane win✗ Miss

40.6%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.7

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	1.30	1.50	1.14	0.88	1.44
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (10)	0.80	1.50	0.80	1.40	0.80	1.60
vs Weaker (20)	1.35	1.20	1.89	1.00	0.91	1.36
Clean sheet %	40% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Berane) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Berane

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.5

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.27	1.10	1.12	1.50	1.43	0.64
vs Stronger (19)	1.26	1.11	1.10	1.30	1.44	0.89
vs Similar (11)	1.27	1.09	1.17	1.83	1.40	0.20
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+5pp vs league)

This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

65.8%

Under 1.5

34.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

37.6%

Under 2.5

62.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over

Over 3.5

18.0%

Under 3.5

82.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

45.2%

54.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

14.6%

0-0

12.4%

0-1

12.3%

1-0

9.5%

0-2

8.3%

1-2

8.1%

2-1

6.4%

2-0

5.3%

Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓

	Berane goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	12%	12%	8.3%	3.4%	1.0%
1	9.5%	15%	8.1%	3.3%	1.0%
2	5.3%	6.4%	3.9%	1.6%	0.5%
3	1.7%	2.1%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.5%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Berane goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Otrant-Olympic

2.06

Grbalj

1.86

Iskra (Montenegro)

1.78

Berane

1.39

Kom

1.39

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.34

Lovćen

1.33

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.31

Zeta

1.00

Igalo

0.89

Internacional Podgorica

0.64

Brskovo

0.00

Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.08 points worse than Berane in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Otrant-Olympic

2.25

Grbalj

1.75

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.42

Iskra (Montenegro)

1.42

Kom

1.31

Berane

1.25

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.08

Lovćen

0.94

Internacional Podgorica

0.86

Igalo

0.58

Zeta

0.50

Brskovo

0.50

Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.17 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Zeta

0.50

Otrant-Olympic

0.86

Iskra (Montenegro)

0.94

Berane

1.00

Grbalj

1.17

Kom

1.19

Lovćen

1.25

Mladost Lješkopolje

1.28

Rudar (Montenegro)

1.29

Igalo

1.55

Internacional Podgorica

2.11

Brskovo

3.50

Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.28 goals worse than Berane in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	82.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ML (24)

€2m

OTR (27)

€1m

R( (36)

€0m

GRB (36)

€0m

LOV (45)

€0m

BER (36)

€0m

KOM (37)

€0m

Mladost Lješkopolje's squad is €2m more valuable than Berane's (€2m vs €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ML (0)

€0m

OTR (0)

€0m

BER (0)

€0m

GRB (0)

€0m

KOM (0)

€0m

LOV (0)

€0m

R( (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ML (0)

€0m

OTR (0)

€0m

BER (0)

€0m

GRB (0)

€0m

KOM (0)

€0m

LOV (0)

€0m

R( (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

ML (0)

€0m

OTR (0)

€0m

BER (0)

€0m

GRB (0)

€0m

KOM (0)

€0m

LOV (0)

€0m

R( (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Berane · H/A from ML

Date	H/A	Game	Score
04/04/26	A	Berane Vs ML	2-1
02/12/25	H	ML Vs Berane	0-0
28/09/25	A	Berane Vs ML	1-1
25/05/24	A	Berane Vs ML	1-4
03/04/24	H	ML Vs Berane	1-0
28/11/23	A	Berane Vs ML	3-1
30/09/23	H	ML Vs Berane	5-1
26/04/23	H	ML Vs Berane	2-0

Mladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/05/26	A	Rudar (Montenegro) Vs ML	0-0
16/05/26	H	ML Vs Internacional Podgorica	5-2
10/05/26	A	Otrant-Olympic Vs ML	1-0
02/05/26	H	ML Vs Grbalj	3-2
26/04/26	A	Iskra (Montenegro) Vs ML	0-0
18/04/26	A	Kom Vs ML	1-0
12/04/26	H	ML Vs Igalo	2-0
08/04/26	A	Lovćen Vs ML	1-2
04/04/26	A	Berane Vs ML	2-1
28/03/26	H	ML Vs Rudar (Montenegro)	3-2

Berane

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
20/05/26	H	BER Vs Igalo	0-1
16/05/26	A	Lovćen Vs BER	0-0
10/05/26	H	BER Vs Kom	4-3
03/05/26	H	BER Vs Rudar (Montenegro)	0-1
26/04/26	A	Internacional Podgorica Vs BER	2-2
18/04/26	H	BER Vs Otrant-Olympic	0-2
12/04/26	A	Grbalj Vs BER	1-2
08/04/26	H	BER Vs Iskra (Montenegro)	2-0
04/04/26	H	BER Vs Mladost Lješkopolje	2-1
28/03/26	A	Igalo Vs BER	0-2

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lješkopolje

Montenegro: Second League

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLWD	1.20
Home	LWWWW	1.52
Away	WLDLD	0.88

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	40%	24%
AVG goals	2.52	2.32	2.72
Over 1.5 %	62%	60%	64%
Over 2.5 %	44%	36%	52%
Over 3.5 %	28%	24%	32%
Scored	1.08	1.20	0.96
Conceded	1.44	1.12	1.76
BTTS	40%	48%	32%
Clean Sheet	28%	28%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Berane

Montenegro: Second League

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLWDL	1.20
Home	WLLWL	1.00
Away	DWWDD	1.40

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	24%	32%
AVG goals	2.36	2.64	2.08
Over 1.5 %	70%	80%	60%
Over 2.5 %	40%	40%	40%
Over 3.5 %	30%	32%	28%
Scored	1.12	1.12	1.12
Conceded	1.24	1.52	0.96
BTTS	42%	52%	32%
Clean Sheet	38%	24%	52%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Otrant-Olympic	36	74	64%	2.1	81	31	+50	3.1	78%	58%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	0	0	0	2.2	0.9	-
2	Grbalj	36	67	58%	1.9	63	42	+21	2.9	86%	53%	31%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	-
3	Iskra (Montenegro)	36	64	47%	1.8	51	34	+17	2.4	64%	42%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	0.9	-
4	Rudar (Montenegro)	38	51	37%	1.3	54	49	+5	2.7	71%	53%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.4	1.3	-
5	Berane	36	50	33%	1.4	45	36	+9	2.2	72%	36%	28%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.0	-
6	Kom	36	50	42%	1.4	47	43	+4	2.5	67%	42%	28%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.3	1.2	-
7	Lovćen	36	48	39%	1.3	34	45	-11	2.2	56%	36%	17%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	1.2	-
8	Mladost Lješkopolje	36	47	36%	1.3	39	46	-7	2.4	53%	42%	31%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	0	0	0	1.1	1.3	-
9	Igalo	38	34	21%	0.9	22	59	-37	2.1	63%	34%	24%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.6	1.6	-
10	Internacional Podgorica	36	23	14%	0.6	31	76	-45	3.0	86%	56%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	2.1	-
11	Zeta	2	2	0%	1.0	1	1	+0	1.0	50%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.5	0.5	-
12	Brskovo	2	0	0%	0.0	1	7	-6	4.0	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.5	3.5	-

Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

← all matches

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Berane Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje

Berane

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje

Berane

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature