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Mladost Lješkopolje vs Rudar (Montenegro) Result & Analysis

Date: 24/09/2025
Time: 16:00
Final 2-2
Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Vs
23%
29%
48%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mladost Lješkopolje win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) win✗ Miss
47.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W21W34L01L01L00D01L13L13L02LA·LOV14/05H·MLA18/05A·GRB24/05H·LOV16/08A·IGA23/08H·KOM29/08H·ISK06/09A·GRB10/09H·OTR14/09A·INT20/09
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.670.731.201.202.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.831.831.001.570.602.20
vs Weaker (18)1.061.560.500.881.502.10
Clean sheet %10% (-22pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W01L01L11D21W21W10W00D01L40WH·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09A·LOV14/09H·IGA20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.971.730.671.531.27
vs Stronger (18)1.720.721.820.641.570.86
vs Similar (12)1.501.331.500.751.501.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.0%
Under 1.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.7%
Under 3.5
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
47.7%
No
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
12.1%
0-0
10.5%
0-2
9.6%
1-2
9.0%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
4.6%
Mladost Lješkopolje goals ↓
Rudar (Montenegro) goals →
01234
011%12%9.6%4.6%1.7%
17.4%14%9.0%4.3%1.6%
24.1%5.9%4.2%2.0%0.7%
31.3%1.8%1.3%0.6%0.2%
40.3%0.4%0.3%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mladost Lješkopolje goals (down), columns = Rudar (Montenegro) goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.06
Grbalj
1.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.78
Berane
1.39
Kom
1.39
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.34
Lovćen
1.33
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.31
Zeta
1.00
Igalo
0.89
Internacional Podgorica
0.64
Brskovo
0.00
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.04 points worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of average points per game (1.31 vs 1.34).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Otrant-Olympic
2.25
Grbalj
1.75
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.42
Iskra (Montenegro)
1.42
Kom
1.31
Berane
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.08
Lovćen
0.94
Internacional Podgorica
0.86
Igalo
0.58
Zeta
0.50
Brskovo
0.50
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.34 goals worse than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zeta
0.50
Otrant-Olympic
0.86
Iskra (Montenegro)
0.94
Berane
1.00
Grbalj
1.17
Kom
1.19
Lovćen
1.25
Mladost Lješkopolje
1.28
Rudar (Montenegro)
1.29
Igalo
1.55
Internacional Podgorica
2.11
Brskovo
3.50
Mladost Lješkopolje is 0.01 goals better than Rudar (Montenegro) in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D12L00D00D00D00D01L11D01LA·LOV14/05H·MLA18/05A·GRB24/05H·LOV16/08A·IGA23/08H·KOM29/08H·ISK06/09A·GRB10/09H·OTR14/09A·INT20/09
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.670.200.400.530.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.330.500.290.570.400.40
vs Weaker (18)0.390.780.120.250.601.20
Clean sheet %47% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L00D01L11D00D00D00D01L00DH·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09A·LOV14/09H·IGA20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.400.730.130.470.67
vs Stronger (18)0.440.280.640.180.140.43
vs Similar (12)0.830.581.000.000.750.88
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %67% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-331W21W22D01L01L00D01L12L02L01LA·LOV14/05H·MLA18/05A·GRB24/05H·LOV16/08A·IGA23/08H·KOM29/08H·ISK06/09A·GRB10/09H·OTR14/09A·INT20/09
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.601.000.530.800.671.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.501.330.711.000.201.80
vs Weaker (18)0.670.780.380.620.900.90
Clean sheet %27% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Rudar (Montenegro)) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D01L10W10W21W10W00D00D40WH·IGA18/05A·JEZ30/05H·JEZ04/06A·GRB16/08H·OTR23/08A·INT31/08A·KOM06/09H·BER10/09A·LOV14/09H·IGA20/09← First LeagueSecond League →
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.571.000.531.070.60
vs Stronger (18)1.280.441.180.451.430.43
vs Similar (12)0.670.750.500.750.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mladost Lješkopolje) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mladost Lješkopolje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rudar (Montenegro) over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (10)
€2m
GRB (2)
€0m
R( (3)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (4)
€1m
GRB (1)
€0m
LOV (2)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
R( (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (1)
€0m
R( (1)
€0m
GRB (0)
€0m
BER (0)
€0m
KOM (0)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OTR (5)
€1m
R( (2)
€0m
GRB (1)
€0m
BER (1)
€0m
KOM (1)
€0m
LOV (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
ML wins
0
Draws
3
R( wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mladost Lješkopolje vs Rudar (Montenegro) · H/A from ML
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25ARudar (Montenegro) Vs ML3-0
01/03/25HML Vs Rudar (Montenegro)2-1
06/10/24ARudar (Montenegro) Vs ML5-2
17/08/24HML Vs Rudar (Montenegro)0-3

Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25AInternacional Podgorica Vs ML2-0
14/09/25HML Vs Otrant-Olympic1-3
10/09/25AGrbalj Vs ML3-1
06/09/25HML Vs Iskra (Montenegro)0-1
29/08/25HML Vs Kom0-0
23/08/25AIgalo Vs ML1-0
16/08/25HML Vs Lovćen0-1
24/05/25AGrbalj Vs ML4-3
18/05/25HML Vs Mladost DG2-1
14/05/25ALovćen Vs ML1-5

Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/09/25HR( Vs Igalo4-0
14/09/25ALovćen Vs R(1-0
10/09/25HR( Vs Berane0-0
06/09/25AKom Vs R(0-1
31/08/25AInternacional Podgorica Vs R(1-2
23/08/25HR( Vs Otrant-Olympic2-1
16/08/25AGrbalj Vs R(1-1
04/06/25HR( Vs Jezero0-1
30/05/25AJezero Vs R(1-0
18/05/25HR( Vs Igalo3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mladost Lješkopolje
Mladost Lješkopolje
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL0.98
HomeWLDLL0.92
AwayWLLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%16%28%
AVG goals3.022.563.48
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %54%44%64%
Over 3.5 %40%28%52%
Scored1.281.001.56
Conceded1.741.561.92
BTTS60%60%60%
Clean Sheet14%16%12%
Corners---
Cards---
Rudar (Montenegro)
Rudar (Montenegro)
Montenegro: Second League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDLW1.62
HomeWLWDW2.00
AwayLDWWL1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%58%35%
AVG goals2.602.422.77
Over 1.5 %72%67%77%
Over 2.5 %48%46%50%
Over 3.5 %24%21%27%
Scored1.481.581.38
Conceded1.120.831.38
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet32%42%23%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Otrant-OlympicOtrant-Olympic3674
64%
2.1
8131+50
3.1
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2GrbaljGrbalj3667
58%
1.9
6342+21
2.9
86%
53%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.2
-
3Iskra (Montenegro)Iskra (Montenegro)3664
47%
1.8
5134+17
2.4
64%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.40.9
-
4Rudar (Montenegro)Rudar (Montenegro)3851
37%
1.3
5449+5
2.7
71%
53%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
5BeraneBerane3650
33%
1.4
4536+9
2.2
72%
36%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
6KomKom3650
42%
1.4
4743+4
2.5
67%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
7LovćenLovćen3648
39%
1.3
3445-11
2.2
56%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.2
-
8Mladost LješkopoljeMladost Lješkopolje3647
36%
1.3
3946-7
2.4
53%
42%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.3
-
9IgaloIgalo3834
21%
0.9
2259-37
2.1
63%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.61.6
-
10Internacional PodgoricaInternacional Podgorica3623
14%
0.6
3176-45
3.0
86%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.1
-
11ZetaZeta22
0%
1.0
11+0
1.0
50%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.50.5
-
12BrskovoBrskovo20
0%
0.0
17-6
4.0
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.53.5
-
Montenegro: Second League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Montenegro: Second League stats & trends →

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