This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.83
1.47
0.87
1.00
0.80
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.08
0.75
1.25
0.75
1.00
vs Similar (18)
1.56
0.67
1.73
0.73
1.29
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.6%
Under 1.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.8%
@ 2.07-4.9%
Under 2.5
59.2%
@ 1.74+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
20.4%
Under 3.5
79.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.1%
No
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.5%
0-0
11.2%
1-0
10.9%
0-1
9.3%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
5.7%
Modena goals ↓
Brescia goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
9.3%
5.7%
2.1%
0.6%
1
11%
14%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.6%
8.2%
4.4%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.1%
3.4%
1.8%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.0%
1.0%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Modena goals (down), columns = Brescia goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Frosinone
2.11
Genoa
1.95
Cagliari
1.65
Bari
1.64
Sudtirol
1.56
Parma
1.55
Reggina
1.41
Palermo
1.29
Modena
1.26
Venezia
1.26
Ascoli
1.24
Pisa
1.24
Como
1.24
Cittadella
1.13
Ternana
1.13
Cosenza
1.10
Perugia
1.03
Brescia
1.02
Spal
1.00
Benevento
0.92
Modena is 0.24 points better than Brescia in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.02).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Frosinone
1.66
Bari
1.43
Genoa
1.39
Venezia
1.33
Cagliari
1.33
Pisa
1.26
Palermo
1.26
Reggina
1.26
Parma
1.25
Como
1.24
Modena
1.24
Spal
1.08
Perugia
1.05
Ascoli
1.05
Sudtirol
0.98
Ternana
0.97
Brescia
0.93
Cittadella
0.89
Benevento
0.87
Cosenza
0.80
Modena is 0.31 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 0.93).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Frosinone
0.68
Genoa
0.74
Sudtirol
0.85
Cagliari
0.88
Bari
0.95
Parma
1.05
Pisa
1.11
Reggina
1.18
Cittadella
1.18
Ascoli
1.24
Como
1.26
Benevento
1.29
Palermo
1.29
Venezia
1.33
Spal
1.34
Cosenza
1.35
Perugia
1.37
Ternana
1.37
Modena
1.39
Brescia
1.48
Modena is 0.08 goals better than Brescia in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Modena
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Brescia
For 7.2 · Against 4.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.6 · Against 12.0 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Modena
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (46)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Stronger (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (16)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
-
-
-
0%
0%
0%
-
-
-
% under line
-
-
-
100%
100%
100%
-
-
-
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.5
11.8
11.3
4.2
3.8
4.5
26.4
25.8
27.0
vs Stronger (19)
11.9
12.0
11.8
3.9
4.0
3.9
26.5
25.5
27.4
vs Similar (31)
11.3
11.7
10.9
4.3
3.8
5.0
26.3
25.9
26.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
72%
83%
61%
64%
56%
72%
83%
78%
87%
% under line
28%
17%
39%
36%
44%
28%
17%
22%
13%
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Brescia
11.5
Pisa
11.0
Benevento
11.0
Venezia
10.5
Spal
10.5
Bari
10.5
Como
10.5
Frosinone
10.5
Reggina
10.4
Parma
10.3
Ascoli
10.0
Ternana
9.9
Cittadella
9.5
Perugia
9.5
Palermo
9.4
Cagliari
9.0
Genoa
8.9
Cosenza
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cittadella
6.3
Perugia
5.9
Pisa
5.8
Frosinone
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Reggina
5.5
Parma
5.5
Venezia
5.4
Como
5.3
Cosenza
5.2
Spal
5.2
Ternana
4.8
Palermo
4.8
Brescia
4.6
Benevento
4.6
Genoa
4.6
Cagliari
4.5
Bari
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Reggina
33.7
Cittadella
33.4
Perugia
33.0
Pisa
32.8
Ascoli
31.3
Palermo
31.3
Frosinone
31.2
Spal
30.8
Como
29.9
Parma
29.4
Ternana
29.1
Benevento
28.6
Bari
28.3
Genoa
27.9
Cagliari
27.8
Cosenza
27.5
Venezia
27.5
Brescia
26.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.5%
Under 9.5
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
77.2%
Under 3.5
22.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
93.1%
Under 21.5
6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Modena
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.30
0.87
0.20
0.40
0.40
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.39
0.70
0.20
0.25
0.62
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.18
1.50
0.25
0.57
0.14
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.40
0.73
0.40
0.67
0.40
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.50
0.25
0.50
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.33
0.91
0.36
0.86
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Modena
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
1.03
0.67
1.00
0.13
1.07
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.44
1.17
0.70
1.20
0.12
1.12
vs Weaker (11)
0.27
0.73
0.50
0.25
0.14
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.43
0.73
0.47
0.33
0.40
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
0.58
0.50
0.75
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.33
0.82
0.36
0.43
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Modena) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Modena over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Modena over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
93.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
89.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Modena
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Davide Diaw34%
Luca Strizzolo24%
Nicholas Bonfanti23%
Diego Falcinelli18%
Luca Tremolada11%
Luca Magnino11%
Davide Marsura10%
Marco Armellino7%
Fabio Gerli6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Giorgio Cittadini56%
Simone Panada30%
Davide Diaw28%
Tommaso Silvestri24%
Sebastien De Maio20%
Davide Marsura20%
Andrea Poli18%
Mauro Coppolaro18%
Marco Armellino14%
Luca Magnino14%
Shady Oukhadda14%
Antonio Pergreffi13%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Fabio Ponsi12%
Luca Strizzolo12%
Nicola Mosti12%
Fabio Gerli11%
Francesco Renzetti11%
Artur Ioniță10%
Edoardo Duca10%
Luca Tremolada8%
Mario Gargiulo8%
Paulo Azzi7%
Riccardo Gagno5%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Thomas Battistella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luca Tremolada19%
Diego Falcinelli12%
Davide Marsura10%
Simone Panada10%
Andrea Poli9%
Shady Oukhadda7%
Paulo Azzi7%
Luca Magnino6%
Romeo Giovannini5%
Fabio Ponsi4%
Marco Armellino4%
Davide Diaw3%
Nicholas Bonfanti3%
Antonio Pergreffi3%
Fabio Gerli3%
Artur Ioniță0%
Sebastien De Maio0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Strizzolo0%
Mario Gargiulo0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Davide Diaw28%
Nicholas Bonfanti27%
Luca Strizzolo18%
Mario Gargiulo17%
Diego Falcinelli15%
Sebastien De Maio10%
Antonio Pergreffi6%
Luca Tremolada6%
Andrea Poli0%
Artur Ioniță0%
Thomas Battistella0%
Tommaso Silvestri0%
Davide Marsura0%
Riccardo Gagno0%
Mauro Coppolaro0%
Marco Armellino0%
Francesco Renzetti0%
Luca Magnino0%
Nicola Mosti0%
Fabio Gerli0%
Paulo Azzi0%
Shady Oukhadda0%
Edoardo Duca0%
Simone Panada0%
Giorgio Cittadini0%
Fabio Ponsi0%
Romeo Giovannini0%
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Florian Ayé21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Adryan11%
Flavio Bianchi11%
Andrea Cistana11%
Stefano Moreo11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Massimiliano Mangraviti6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Fran Karačić0%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fran Karačić42%
Ahmad Benali38%
Vincenzo Garofalo33%
Andrea Papetti30%
Emanuele Ndoj29%
Matthieu Huard22%
Marcin Listkowski21%
Davide Adorni21%
Giacomo Olzer20%
Massimiliano Mangraviti19%
Tom Van De Looi18%
Pablo Rodríguez18%
Andrea Cistana16%
John Björkengren16%
Jakub Łabojko16%
Massimo Bertagnoli15%
Federico Viviani14%
Reuven Niemeijer13%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Stefano Moreo11%
Alexander Jallow10%
Lorenzo Andrenacci8%
Flavio Bianchi8%
Nicolas Galazzi7%
Florian Ayé0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Adryan0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi14%
Fran Karačić12%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Pablo Rodríguez12%
Emanuele Ndoj11%
John Björkengren11%
Massimo Bertagnoli8%
Jakub Łabojko6%
Stefano Moreo5%
Florian Ayé5%
Alexander Jallow5%
Matthieu Huard4%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Federico Viviani0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Adryan0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Flavio Bianchi0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Stefano Moreo21%
Florian Ayé21%
Adryan11%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Federico Viviani7%
Emanuele Ndoj7%
Marcin Listkowski7%
Flavio Bianchi6%
Alexander Jallow5%
Fran Karačić4%
Nicolas Galazzi4%
Tom Van De Looi3%
Davide Adorni0%
Ahmad Benali0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Manuel Scavone0%
Reuven Niemeijer0%
Jakub Łabojko0%
John Björkengren0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Vincenzo Garofalo0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Pablo Rodríguez0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Federico Pace0%
Patrick Amiamo Nuamah0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Frosinone
Genoa
Cagliari
Bari
Sudtirol
Parma
Reggina
Venezia
Palermo
Pisa
Como
Ascoli
Cosenza
Cittadella
Ternana
Perugia
Spal
Benevento