Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 are the clear favourites, with the model giving a 65 % chance of a home win, a 22 % chance of a draw and only 12 % for BATE II to come away victorious. The 65 % edge reflects the home side’s recent 3-game winning streak and their 4-1 triumph over Shakhter Soligorsk, while BATE II’s form has dipped to a 2-game win run and a 2-1 loss to Orsha. The model expects 2.8 goals in total, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 at 12.5 %. Home scoring and conceding averages are 0.8 and 1.4 against similar opponents, whereas BATE II scores 1.38 and concedes 1.77 on the road. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.2 %), Away under 3.5 goals (99.2 %), Under 6.5 (97.7 %), Home +2 handicap (96.2 %), Away under 2.5 goals (95.7 %), Under 5.5 (93.7 %), Home or Draw (87.6 %) and Home +1 handicap (87.6 %).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win
65.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
BATE II win
12.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.25
1.38
0.93
1.64
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.14
1.25
2.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.43
1.09
1.27
0.70
1.60
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BATE II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.67
2.21
1.50
1.44
1.81
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.77
1.80
1.80
1.33
1.75
vs Weaker (6)
3.00
1.50
3.67
1.00
2.33
2.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.4%
Under 1.5
22.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.4%
Under 2.5
47.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.2%
Under 3.5
69.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
47.6%
No
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.5%
1-0
11.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
8.3%
0-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-0
4.2%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
BATE II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
3.9%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
1
12%
11%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
9.7%
3.7%
1.0%
0.2%
3
8.3%
6.4%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
4.2%
3.2%
1.2%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = BATE II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.71 points better than BATE II in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.86 goals better than BATE II in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.57 goals better than BATE II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 or Draw
87.4%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 or BATE II
77.7%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 + BATE II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or BATE II
34.9%
Avg Implied -
65%
22%
13%
covers Draw + BATE II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5
Over
86.5%
Under
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5
Over
59.4%
Under
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5
Over
32.3%
Under
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 3.5
Over
14.3%
Under
85.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5
Over
53.9%
Under
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5
Over
18.2%
Under
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5
Over
4.4%
Under
95.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 3.5
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, so a minus line means Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 give that many goals of a start and BATE II receive them. At -1, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 -2
20.8%
Draw -2
20.3%
BATE II +2
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 -1
41.1%
Draw -1
24.0%
BATE II +1
34.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 +1
87.4%
Draw +1
8.7%
BATE II -1
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 +2
96.1%
Draw +2
3.0%
BATE II -2
0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.38
0.69
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.81
0.45
0.73
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BATE II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.79
0.93
0.56
0.94
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.50
1.00
0.60
1.10
0.42
0.92
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.83
1.67
0.67
1.33
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
79.1%
Under 0.5
20.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.7%
Under 1.5
55.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.4%
Under 2.5
80.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
71.8%
Under
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
32.9%
Under
67.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
26.0%
Under
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.5%
Under
95.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.88
0.69
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.64
0.55
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (BATE II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
BATE II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.73
1.43
0.57
0.88
0.88
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.05
0.77
1.20
0.70
0.92
0.83
vs Weaker (6)
1.50
0.67
2.00
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
85.8%
Under 0.5
14.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
53.6%
Under 1.5
46.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
31.7%
Under 2.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
79.6%
Under
20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
42.1%
Under
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
21.5%
Under
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
31.7%
Under
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
BATE II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
96.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
87.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
85.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
85.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 2H goals
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
79.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
77.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 0.5 HT goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and BATE II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and BATE II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and BATE II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and BATE II have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →