Molodechno-DYuSSh 4’s defensive record suggests a tight, low-scoring affair. The model favours a home win, with a 47% chance, a draw at 32%, and an away win at 21%. The expected total goals is 2.0, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-0, a 15.7% probability. In recent form, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 have averaged 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded at home against similar opposition, while FC Slutsk, playing away, average 0.7 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.3%), Under 5.5 (98.3%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.0%), Away under 2.5 goals (96.0%), Under 4.5 (94.7%), and Home +2 handicap (93.6%). All figures are presented as percentages, with each selection listed once.
Advertisement
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win
47.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
31.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk win
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.50
1.25
1.38
0.93
1.64
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.14
1.25
2.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (21)
0.90
1.43
1.09
1.27
0.70
1.60
vs Weaker (2)
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Slutsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Slutsk
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
1.50
1.00
1.38
0.76
1.59
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
1.58
0.60
1.60
0.86
1.57
vs Similar (17)
1.00
1.53
1.43
1.43
0.70
1.60
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.9%
Under 1.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
32.5%
Under 2.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.4%
Under 3.5
85.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
38.9%
No
61.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
15.7%
0-0
14.7%
1-1
13.9%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
FC Slutsk goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.7%
3.7%
0.9%
0.2%
1
16%
14%
4.7%
1.2%
0.2%
2
11%
8.0%
3.0%
0.7%
0.1%
3
4.5%
3.4%
1.3%
0.3%
0.1%
4
1.4%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = FC Slutsk goals (across).
Advertisement
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.43 points better than FC Slutsk in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 1.29).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.86 goals better than FC Slutsk in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.57).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.57 goals better than FC Slutsk in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 or Draw
79.4%
Avg Implied -
47%
32%
21%
covers Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 or FC Slutsk
68.1%
Avg Implied -
47%
32%
21%
covers Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 + FC Slutsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FC Slutsk
52.5%
Avg Implied -
47%
32%
21%
covers Draw + FC Slutsk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5
Over
71.7%
Under
28.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 0.5
Over
52.5%
Under
47.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 1.5
Over
17.1%
Under
82.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 2.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 3.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, so a minus line means Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 give that many goals of a start and FC Slutsk receive them. At -1, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 -2
7.9%
Draw -2
14.5%
FC Slutsk +2
77.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 -1
22.4%
Draw -1
25.0%
FC Slutsk +1
52.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 +1
79.4%
Draw +1
14.2%
FC Slutsk -1
6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4)
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 +2
93.6%
Draw +2
5.0%
FC Slutsk -2
1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.77
0.38
0.69
0.57
0.86
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.43
0.81
0.45
0.73
0.40
0.90
vs Weaker (2)
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Slutsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Slutsk
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.73
0.31
0.62
0.41
0.82
vs Stronger (12)
0.25
0.75
0.40
0.40
0.14
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.47
0.76
0.29
0.86
0.60
0.70
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.73
0.88
0.69
0.36
0.79
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.62
0.64
0.55
0.30
0.70
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Slutsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FC Slutsk
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.77
0.69
0.77
0.35
0.76
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.83
0.20
1.20
0.71
0.57
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.76
1.14
0.57
0.10
0.90
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Slutsk over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
96.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
94.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
93.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
85.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
79.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
77.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
Advertisement
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and FC Slutsk have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and FC Slutsk have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and FC Slutsk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and FC Slutsk have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Niva
Lida
Minsk II
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
Orsha
Uni Minsk
Slonim
Smorgon
Volna
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II