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Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Gomel II Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Vs
70%
21%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is the clear favourite to win this match, with the model predicting a 70% chance of a home victory. This is largely due to the weakness of Gomel II on their away turf, where they have been conceding an average of 3.25 goals per match against stronger opponents.

Gomel II's recent form is mixed, coming off a win but also having a streak of losses. Meanwhile, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is riding a win after a previous loss, and has a strong home record. The expected total goals in this match is 2.7, with the most likely score being 2-0, occurring with a 14.1% probability.

The model's selection is a Home win, with the model also selecting Over 1.5 (76.5%) and Under 3.5 (70.8%). The probabilities for this match are: Home win 70%, Draw 21%, Away win 10%.

Results analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4's win extends their 2-game winning run, having previously defeated Gomel II 3-0. The final score was 3-0, with the home team securing a convincing victory. The model correctly predicted a home win, with a pre-match probability of 70%. The model's selection of Home win proved correct. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 76.5%, while Under 3.5 goals was also correct, with a probability of 70.9%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Gomel II win✗ Miss
9.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L01L01L01L12L10W30W22D30WA·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08A·ORS10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.831.800.811.690.861.93
vs Stronger (7)1.142.141.252.001.002.33
vs Similar (22)0.641.770.671.580.602.00
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-715L23L07L05L02L11D02L14L12L31WA·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08H·SHA10/08
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
3.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.032.531.002.201.072.87
vs Stronger (25)0.882.680.922.150.833.25
vs Similar (5)1.801.801.502.502.001.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%016%125%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.5%
Under 1.5
23.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
51.3%
Under 2.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
29.1%
Under 3.5
70.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.7%
No
57.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
14.1%
1-0
12.7%
3-0 ✓
9.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-1
9.2%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
5.1%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
Gomel II goals →
01234
07.4%3.4%1.4%0.3%0.0%
113%9.7%2.9%0.6%0.1%
214%9.2%3.0%0.6%0.1%
39.8%6.3%2.1%0.4%0.1%
45.1%3.3%1.1%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = Gomel II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 2.09 points better than Gomel II in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 0.62).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.43 goals better than Gomel II in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.95 goals better than Gomel II in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 2.38).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L00D01L01L00D20W12L20WA·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08A·ORS10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.870.310.810.500.93
vs Stronger (7)0.430.860.250.750.671.00
vs Similar (22)0.320.910.330.830.301.00
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L11D03L02L00D11D00D03L11D01LA·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08H·SHA10/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.571.100.401.000.731.20
vs Stronger (25)0.441.160.311.000.581.33
vs Similar (5)1.200.801.001.001.330.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L00D01L00D11D10W10W10W10WA·FC 19/10H·ARS26/10A·DIN31/10H·ML 07/11A·SMO23/11H·TOR30/11A·BUM26/07H·SMO01/08H·VOL06/08A·ORS10/08← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.500.880.361.00
vs Stronger (7)0.711.291.001.250.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.320.860.330.750.301.00
vs Weaker (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Gomel II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Gomel IIGomel II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L12L04L03L02L00D02L11D01L30WA·VOL01/11H·OST08/11A·MIN15/11H·LID22/11A·ABF26/11H·BUM12/07A·SMO25/07H·VOL02/08A·ORS06/08H·SHA10/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.430.601.200.331.67
vs Stronger (25)0.441.520.621.150.251.92
vs Similar (5)0.601.000.501.500.670.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Gomel II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.570.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Gomel II have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Gomel II have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Gomel II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Gomel II have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
M4 wins
0
Draws
0
GI wins

Head-to-head

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 vs Gomel II · H/A from M4
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26AOrsha Vs M40-3
06/08/26HM4 Vs Volna2-2
01/08/26HM4 Vs Smorgon3-0
26/07/26ABumprom Vs M40-1
30/11/25HM4 Vs Torpedo Zhodino1-2
23/11/25ASmorgon Vs M41-0
07/11/25HM4 Vs ML Vitebsk0-1
31/10/25ADinamo Brest Vs M41-0
26/10/25HM4 Vs Arsenal (Belarus)0-1
19/10/25AFC Slutsk Vs M42-2

Gomel IIGomel II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
10/08/26HGI Vs Shakhter Soligorsk3-1
06/08/26AOrsha Vs GI2-1
02/08/26HGI Vs Volna1-4
25/07/26ASmorgon Vs GI2-0
12/07/26HGI Vs Bumprom1-1
26/11/25AABFF U19 Vs GI2-0
22/11/25HGI Vs Lida0-5
15/11/25AMinsk II Vs GI7-0
08/11/25HGI Vs Ostrovets FC2-3
01/11/25AVolna Vs GI5-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.08
HomeLLLWD1.12
AwayDLLWW1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.602.292.88
Over 1.5 %62%58%65%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %30%25%35%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.561.251.85
BTTS36%33%38%
Clean Sheet30%25%35%
Corners---
Cards3.193.183.20
Gomel II
Gomel II
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW0.82
HomeLLDLW1.00
AwayLLLLL0.63
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %23%25%21%
AVG goals3.413.403.42
Over 1.5 %82%80%84%
Over 2.5 %67%60%74%
Over 3.5 %46%55%37%
Scored1.031.200.84
Conceded2.382.202.58
BTTS56%55%58%
Clean Sheet10%20%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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