Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Volna are set to face off in the Belarus 1. Division, with the home side boasting a 43% chance of winning, while Volna trails behind at 31%. The draw is a 25% possibility. The model predicts a home win as the most likely outcome. This match is expected to be high-scoring, with an average of 3.2 goals anticipated. The most probable score is a 1-1 draw, occurring 11.5% of the time.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 has been scoring 0.77 goals per game at home, while conceding 1.62. Volna has been scoring 1.88 goals away from home, but conceding 1.12. The model suggests three selections: Over 1.5, which has an 83.5% chance of hitting, and the model's selections for Home win and Draw are not explicitly stated in the JSON, but the home win percentage, draw percentage and away win percentage are 43%, 25%, and 31% respectively.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, Molodechno-DYuSSh 4, who were coming off a draw, drew 2-2 with Volna, extending their run of consecutive draws to five. The model's selection, Home win, was incorrect, with a pre-match probability of 43%. The model's call was wrong as the actual result was a draw. The model's selection of Home win had a pre-match probability of 43%. The model's selection of Home win was wrong. The model's selection of Home win was wrong. The model's selection of Home win was wrong. Over 1.5 goals, the model's selection with a probability of 83.5%, hit.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied 39.1% · @ 2.31
Edge
+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
2.31
Dafabet
2.31
Marathonbet
2.31
Superbet
2.30
Draw✓ Hit
25.4%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.33
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.45
Superbet
3.35
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.26
Volna win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied 33.8% · @ 2.67
Edge
-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Marathonbet
2.68
1xBet
2.68
Superbet
2.65
Dafabet
2.65
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.87
0.69
1.62
0.79
2.14
vs Stronger (7)
1.14
2.14
1.25
2.00
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (23)
0.61
1.78
0.50
1.50
0.73
2.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-13pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.63
1.87
2.07
2.13
1.20
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
1.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
1.55
1.95
1.30
2.60
1.80
1.30
vs Weaker (9)
3.11
1.00
3.50
1.00
2.80
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.4%
@ 1.40-3.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
@ 2.57+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.40
Superbet
1.40
Under
Superbet
2.60
Marathonbet
2.56
1xBet
2.56
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.1%
@ 1.99-7.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
@ 1.71+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.02
Marathonbet
1.98
1xBet
1.98
Under
1xBet
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
Superbet
1.70
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
@ 1.35-3.9%
No
36.2%
@ 2.84+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.34
1xBet
1.34
No
1xBet
2.90
Marathonbet
2.83
Superbet
2.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%@ 6.50+2.5%
2-1
9.0%@ 7.90+1.6%
1-2
7.5%@ 8.60+0.7%
2-2 ✓
6.5%@ 7.90-0.9%
2-0
6.3%@ 12.00+1.4%
1-0
6.2%@ 11.00+0.9%
0-0
5.2%@ 15.00+1.3%
3-1
5.2%@ 12.00+0.3%
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals ↓
Volna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.0%
4.4%
2.1%
0.8%
1
6.2%
12%
7.5%
3.6%
1.3%
2
6.3%
9.0%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
3
3.6%
5.2%
3.8%
1.8%
0.7%
4
1.6%
2.2%
1.6%
0.8%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 goals (down), columns = Volna goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.71 points better than Volna in terms of average points per game (2.71 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 0.68 goals better than Volna in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 is 1.82 goals better than Volna in terms of goals conceded per game (0.43 vs 2.25).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.87
0.25
0.75
0.36
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.86
0.25
0.75
0.67
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.26
0.87
0.25
0.75
0.27
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.70
0.93
0.87
1.07
0.53
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.65
0.80
0.60
0.90
0.70
0.70
vs Weaker (9)
1.89
0.44
2.00
0.75
1.80
0.20
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.00
0.44
0.88
0.43
1.14
vs Stronger (7)
0.71
1.29
1.00
1.25
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (23)
0.35
0.91
0.25
0.75
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Volna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Volna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.93
0.93
1.20
1.07
0.67
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (20)
0.90
1.15
0.70
1.70
1.10
0.60
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.56
1.50
0.25
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Molodechno-DYuSSh 4) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Volna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Volna have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Volna have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Volna have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 and Volna have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Niva
Lida
Minsk II
Osipovichy
Ostrovets FC
Bumprom
Orsha
FC Slutsk
Uni Minsk
Slonim
Smorgon
BATE II
Dinamo Minsk II
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Shakhter Soligorsk
Gomel II