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Mons Calpe vs College 1975 Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 17:30
Final 2-1
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Vs
56%
25%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Mons Calpe win✓ Hit
56.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
College 1975 win✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D12L02L02L10W22D10W20W21W52WA·LIO29/10A·LIN05/11H·EUR27/11A·MAG04/12H·MAN11/12A·ST 16/12H·EUR19/12A·MAN08/01H·EUR22/01A·LIO28/01
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.381.231.171.001.571.43
vs Stronger (2)1.502.00--1.502.00
vs Similar (7)1.431.290.671.332.001.25
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.670.670.001.00
Clean sheet %23% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L15L05L05L04L02L14L24L11D41WA·MON21/10A·LIO04/11H·LIN26/11A·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
3.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.852.921.143.140.502.67
vs Stronger (10)0.903.301.403.600.403.00
vs Similar (3)0.671.670.502.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %8% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.0%
Under 2.5
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.8%
Under 3.5
69.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%
2-0
10.1%
1-0
10.0%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
0-0
7.2%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
Mons Calpe goals ↓
College 1975 goals →
01234
07.2%4.8%2.9%0.9%0.2%
110%12%5.3%1.7%0.4%
210%9.9%4.8%1.6%0.4%
36.2%6.0%2.9%0.9%0.2%
42.8%2.7%1.3%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mons Calpe goals (down), columns = College 1975 goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.60
Europa
2.20
Magpies
1.85
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.61
Manchester 62
1.56
St Joseph S Fc
1.50
Lions Gibraltar
1.06
Glacis United
0.65
College 1975
0.50
Europa Point
0.39
Mons Calpe is 1.11 points better than College 1975 in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 0.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
3.40
Europa
2.40
Magpies
1.95
Manchester 62
1.89
St Joseph S Fc
1.75
Lynx
1.65
Mons Calpe
1.56
Lions Gibraltar
1.39
College 1975
1.06
Glacis United
0.95
Europa Point
0.67
Mons Calpe is 0.50 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals scored per game (1.56 vs 1.06).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.70
Europa
0.75
Magpies
0.90
St Joseph S Fc
1.35
Mons Calpe
1.39
Lynx
1.45
Manchester 62
1.67
Lions Gibraltar
2.06
Glacis United
2.45
College 1975
2.83
Europa Point
3.61
Mons Calpe is 1.44 goals better than College 1975 in terms of goals conceded per game (1.39 vs 2.83).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L11D00D01L10W20W00D00D10W21WA·LIO29/10A·LIN05/11H·EUR27/11A·MAG04/12H·MAN11/12A·ST 16/12H·EUR19/12A·MAN08/01H·EUR22/01A·LIO28/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.460.670.170.710.71
vs Stronger (2)1.500.50--1.500.50
vs Similar (7)0.570.430.670.000.500.75
vs Weaker (4)0.500.500.670.330.001.00
Clean sheet %54% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D02L03L04L01L00D02L12L00D00DA·MON21/10A·LIO04/11H·LIN26/11A·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.151.150.141.140.171.17
vs Stronger (10)0.201.500.201.600.201.40
vs Similar (3)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %46% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W01L02L01L00D02L10W20W11D31WA·LIO29/10A·LIN05/11H·EUR27/11A·MAG04/12H·MAN11/12A·ST 16/12H·EUR19/12A·MAN08/01H·EUR22/01A·LIO28/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.770.500.830.860.71
vs Stronger (2)0.001.50--0.001.50
vs Similar (7)0.860.860.001.331.500.50
vs Weaker (4)0.750.251.000.330.000.00
Clean sheet %46% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (College 1975) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

College 1975College 1975

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L13L02L01L03L02L12L12L11D41WA·MON21/10A·LIO04/11H·LIN26/11A·EUR03/12H·MAG11/12A·MAN17/12H·ST 21/12H·MAN21/01A·EUR29/01H·LIO05/02
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.691.771.002.000.331.50
vs Stronger (10)0.701.801.202.000.201.60
vs Similar (3)0.671.670.502.001.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %8% (-20pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
College 1975 over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.0%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Mons Calpe and College 1975 have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Mons Calpe and College 1975 have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Mons Calpe and College 1975 have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Mons Calpe and College 1975 have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
MC wins
0
Draws
0
C1 wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mons Calpe vs College 1975 · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
21/10/22HMC Vs College 19752-1

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23ALions Gibraltar Vs MC2-5
22/01/23HMC Vs Europa Point2-1
08/01/23AManchester 62 Vs MC0-2
19/12/22HMC Vs Europa Point1-0
16/12/22ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MC2-2
11/12/22HMC Vs Manchester 621-0
04/12/22AMagpies Vs MC2-0
27/11/22HMC Vs Europa0-2
05/11/22ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC2-1
29/10/22ALions Gibraltar Vs MC1-1

College 1975College 1975

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/02/23HC1 Vs Lions Gibraltar4-1
29/01/23AEuropa Point Vs C11-1
21/01/23HC1 Vs Manchester 622-4
21/12/22HC1 Vs St Joseph S Fc1-4
17/12/22AManchester 62 Vs C12-0
11/12/22HC1 Vs Magpies0-4
03/12/22AEuropa Vs C15-0
26/11/22HC1 Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-5
04/11/22ALions Gibraltar Vs C15-1
21/10/22AMons Calpe Vs C12-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW1.54
HomeWLWWW2.00
AwayLLDWW1.14
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%67%29%
AVG goals2.622.173.00
Over 1.5 %77%67%86%
Over 2.5 %46%50%43%
Over 3.5 %15%0%29%
Scored1.381.171.57
Conceded1.231.001.43
BTTS54%50%57%
Clean Sheet23%33%14%
Corners---
Cards---
College 1975
College 1975
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.54
HomeLLLLW0.86
AwayLLLLD0.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %15%29%0%
AVG goals3.774.293.17
Over 1.5 %85%86%83%
Over 2.5 %69%86%50%
Over 3.5 %62%86%33%
Scored0.851.140.50
Conceded2.923.142.67
BTTS46%43%50%
Clean Sheet8%14%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2052
85%
2.6
6814+54
4.1
90%
85%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1013.40.7
-
2EuropaEuropa2044
70%
2.2
4815+33
3.1
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.40.8
-
3MagpiesMagpies2037
55%
1.9
3918+21
2.9
75%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.90.9
-
4LynxLynx2033
50%
1.6
3329+4
3.1
85%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
5St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2030
45%
1.5
3527+8
3.1
85%
65%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.81.4
-
6Mons CalpeMons Calpe1829
50%
1.6
2825+3
2.9
83%
61%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.61.4
-
7Manchester 62Manchester 621828
50%
1.6
3430+4
3.6
89%
72%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.7
-
8Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar1819
28%
1.1
2537-12
3.4
78%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.1
-
9Glacis UnitedGlacis United2013
20%
0.7
1949-30
3.4
75%
60%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.5
-
10College 1975College 1975189
11%
0.5
1951-32
3.9
89%
78%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.8
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point187
6%
0.4
1265-53
4.3
83%
72%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.6
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

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