PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar Result & Analysis

Date: 21/12/2024
Time: 18:30
Final 0-2
Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Vs
39%
26%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Mons Calpe win✗ Miss
38.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar win✓ Hit
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W02L03L21W14L25L03L21W13L12LH·COL28/09A·GLA06/10A·LIN20/10H·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG09/11H·LIN24/11A·LYN01/12H·EUR08/12A·ST 15/12
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.402.001.591.531.152.62
vs Stronger (9)0.782.440.502.251.002.60
vs Similar (14)1.572.211.621.621.503.00
vs Weaker (7)1.861.002.400.800.501.50
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-442W41W22D12L02L12L24L13L11D41WH·MON21/09A·EUR29/09H·MAN06/10A·ST 20/10H·LIN27/10A·LYN02/11H·EUR10/11H·ST 23/11A·COL06/12H·GLA14/12
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.202.071.192.001.212.14
vs Stronger (12)1.002.831.002.711.003.00
vs Similar (8)1.122.121.002.001.252.25
vs Weaker (10)1.501.101.601.001.401.20
Clean sheet %13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
61.4%
Under 2.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
39.1%
Under 3.5
60.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
64.2%
No
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.6%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.8%
2-0
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
5.3%
Mons Calpe goals ↓
Lions Gibraltar goals →
01234
05.3%5.4%5.0%2.6%1.0%
15.8%12%8.2%4.2%1.6%
25.5%8.6%6.6%3.4%1.3%
33.0%4.6%3.6%1.8%0.7%
41.2%1.9%1.5%0.7%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mons Calpe goals (down), columns = Lions Gibraltar goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.64
St Joseph S Fc
2.64
Europa
2.08
Manchester 62
1.60
Magpies
1.48
Lions Gibraltar
1.12
Glacis United
0.95
College 1975
0.90
Lynx
0.85
Mons Calpe
0.65
Europa Point
0.20
Mons Calpe is 0.47 points worse than Lions Gibraltar in terms of average points per game (0.65 vs 1.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Lincoln Red Imps FC
2.72
St Joseph S Fc
2.60
Europa
2.40
Magpies
2.08
Manchester 62
1.96
Glacis United
1.45
Lions Gibraltar
1.40
Lynx
1.25
Mons Calpe
1.15
College 1975
0.90
Europa Point
0.70
Mons Calpe is 0.25 goals worse than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals scored per game (1.15 vs 1.40).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln Red Imps FC
0.28
St Joseph S Fc
0.60
Europa
1.16
Manchester 62
1.36
Magpies
1.52
College 1975
1.95
Lions Gibraltar
1.96
Lynx
2.55
Glacis United
2.60
Mons Calpe
2.70
Europa Point
3.50
Mons Calpe is 0.74 goals worse than Lions Gibraltar in terms of goals conceded per game (2.70 vs 1.96).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W01L02L20W10W03L00D01L02L00DH·COL28/09A·GLA06/10A·LIN20/10H·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG09/11H·LIN24/11A·LYN01/12H·EUR08/12A·ST 15/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.970.710.760.461.23
vs Stronger (9)0.331.330.501.250.201.40
vs Similar (14)0.501.070.380.880.671.33
vs Weaker (7)1.140.291.400.200.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W21W20W01L01L01L11D10W01L11DH·MON21/09A·EUR29/09H·MAN06/10A·ST 20/10H·LIN27/10A·LYN02/11H·EUR10/11H·ST 23/11A·COL06/12H·GLA14/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.500.560.501.14
vs Stronger (12)0.501.170.570.570.402.00
vs Similar (8)0.380.880.500.750.251.00
vs Weaker (10)0.600.400.400.400.800.40
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L01L01L04L22D03L20W11D12LH·COL28/09A·GLA06/10A·LIN20/10H·EUR25/10A·MAN02/11H·MAG09/11H·LIN24/11A·LYN01/12H·EUR08/12A·ST 15/12
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.801.030.880.760.691.38
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.001.000.801.20
vs Similar (14)1.071.141.250.750.831.67
vs Weaker (7)0.710.711.000.600.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Lions Gibraltar) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D20W02L11D01L11D13L03L10W30WH·MON21/09A·EUR29/09H·MAN06/10A·ST 20/10H·LIN27/10A·LYN02/11H·EUR10/11H·ST 23/11A·COL06/12H·GLA14/12
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.230.691.440.711.00
vs Stronger (12)0.501.670.432.140.601.00
vs Similar (8)0.751.250.501.251.001.25
vs Weaker (10)0.900.701.200.600.600.80
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Mons Calpe) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Mons Calpe over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Mons Calpe over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lions Gibraltar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (25)
€2m
SJS (19)
€2m
EUR (22)
€2m
LG (21)
€1m
MC (17)
€1m
LYN (21)
€1m
MAG (13)
€1m
EP (17)
€1m
GU (17)
€1m
C1 (32)
€1m
Mons Calpe and Lions Gibraltar have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (11)
€1m
EUR (9)
€1m
LG (6)
€1m
MC (7)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
EP (7)
€0m
SJS (5)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
C1 (8)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
Mons Calpe and Lions Gibraltar have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SJS (5)
€0m
LG (5)
€0m
EUR (3)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
LYN (3)
€0m
C1 (10)
€0m
GU (4)
€0m
LRI (4)
€0m
MC (3)
€0m
MAG (3)
€0m
Mons Calpe and Lions Gibraltar have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LRI (10)
€1m
SJS (9)
€1m
LG (10)
€0m
EUR (10)
€0m
MAG (5)
€0m
MC (7)
€0m
GU (9)
€0m
LYN (9)
€0m
C1 (14)
€0m
EP (5)
€0m
Mons Calpe and Lions Gibraltar have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
MC wins
3
Draws
2
LG wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mons Calpe vs Lions Gibraltar · H/A from MC
DateH/AGameScore
21/09/24ALions Gibraltar Vs MC4-2
02/03/24HMC Vs Lions Gibraltar2-2
24/11/23ALions Gibraltar Vs MC0-0
11/04/23HMC Vs Lions Gibraltar0-3
28/01/23ALions Gibraltar Vs MC2-5
29/10/22ALions Gibraltar Vs MC1-1

Mons CalpeMons Calpe

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/12/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs MC2-1
08/12/24HMC Vs Europa1-3
01/12/24ALynx Vs MC1-2
24/11/24HMC Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-3
09/11/24HMC Vs Magpies2-5
02/11/24AManchester 62 Vs MC4-1
25/10/24HMC Vs Europa Point2-1
20/10/24ALincoln Red Imps FC Vs MC3-0
06/10/24AGlacis United Vs MC2-0
28/09/24HMC Vs College 19753-0

Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/12/24HLG Vs Glacis United4-1
06/12/24ACollege 1975 Vs LG1-1
23/11/24HLG Vs St Joseph S Fc1-3
10/11/24HLG Vs Europa2-4
02/11/24ALynx Vs LG2-1
27/10/24HLG Vs Lincoln Red Imps FC0-2
20/10/24ASt Joseph S Fc Vs LG2-1
06/10/24HLG Vs Manchester 622-2
29/09/24AEuropa Point Vs LG1-4
21/09/24HLG Vs Mons Calpe4-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mons Calpe
Mons Calpe
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.40
HomeWWLLL1.59
AwayLLLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%35%
AVG goals3.302.963.70
Over 1.5 %88%81%96%
Over 2.5 %70%59%83%
Over 3.5 %38%30%48%
Scored1.561.481.65
Conceded1.741.482.04
BTTS68%56%83%
Clean Sheet20%30%9%
Corners---
Cards---
Lions Gibraltar
Lions Gibraltar
Gibraltar: Premier Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDW0.94
HomeDLLLW1.08
AwayDWLLD0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %24%27%21%
AVG goals3.383.383.38
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %66%62%71%
Over 3.5 %48%54%42%
Scored1.261.271.25
Conceded2.122.122.12
BTTS58%54%62%
Clean Sheet18%19%17%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Lincoln Red Imps FCLincoln Red Imps FC2566
84%
2.6
687+61
3.0
80%
60%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.70.3
-
2St Joseph S FcSt Joseph S Fc2566
84%
2.6
6515+50
3.2
80%
68%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0012.60.6
-
3EuropaEuropa2552
64%
2.1
6029+31
3.6
88%
84%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1002.41.2
-
4Manchester 62Manchester 622540
48%
1.6
4934+15
3.3
96%
64%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.4
-
5MagpiesMagpies2537
48%
1.5
5238+14
3.6
92%
72%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
6Lions GibraltarLions Gibraltar2528
32%
1.1
3549-14
3.4
92%
68%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.42.0
-
7Glacis UnitedGlacis United2019
30%
0.9
2952-23
4.0
95%
75%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.6
-
8College 1975College 19752018
25%
0.9
1839-21
2.9
80%
55%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.91.9
-
9LynxLynx2017
25%
0.8
2551-26
3.8
95%
85%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.5
-
10Mons CalpeMons Calpe2013
20%
0.7
2354-31
3.9
95%
85%
55%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.12.7
-
11Europa PointEuropa Point204
0%
0.2
1470-56
4.2
95%
80%
65%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.73.5
-
Gibraltar: Premier Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Gibraltar: Premier Division stats & trends →

← all matches