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Montrose vs East Fife Result & Analysis

Date: 30/03/2021
Time: 19:45
Final 3-0
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
48%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✓ Hit
48.2%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.49
Edge
+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.8%
Avg Implied 25.4% · @ 3.63
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
East Fife win✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 37.5% · @ 2.46
Edge
-11.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-432W23L01L21W10W40W11D00D02L22DH·PET07/11A·CLY21/11H·PAR28/11A·COV05/12A·AIR12/12H·DUM19/12A·PET22/12H·FOR02/01A·FAL20/03H·CLY27/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.232.071.131.471.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.291.411.501.621.111.22
vs Weaker (13)2.381.002.710.572.001.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D02L21W02L20W12L20W21W31W00DH·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11H·AIR05/12A·PET12/12H·FOR19/12H·FAL02/01A·CLY20/03H·COV27/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.331.671.071.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.891.581.331.220.501.90
vs Weaker (11)2.180.912.170.832.201.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.7%
Under 1.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.9%
@ 1.67+0.8%
Under 2.5
43.1%
@ 2.13-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.5%
Under 3.5
65.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-0
7.8%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
5.5%
Montrose goals ↓
East Fife goals →
01234
06.3%5.2%3.9%1.6%0.5%
17.9%12%6.8%2.8%0.9%
27.8%9.5%5.9%2.4%0.7%
34.5%5.5%3.4%1.4%0.4%
42.0%2.4%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = East Fife goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.73
Cove Rangers
1.64
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Falkirk
1.45
Peterhead
1.32
Clyde
1.18
Dumbarton
1.14
Forfar
0.77
Montrose and East Fife are level in average points per game (both 1.50).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Partick
1.82
Airdrie United
1.59
Montrose
1.50
East Fife
1.36
Falkirk
1.32
Cove Rangers
1.27
Clyde
1.23
Peterhead
1.09
Forfar
0.82
Dumbarton
0.64
Montrose is 0.14 goals better than East Fife in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.36).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cove Rangers
0.82
Partick
0.82
Dumbarton
1.09
Airdrie United
1.09
Falkirk
1.18
Peterhead
1.23
East Fife
1.50
Montrose
1.50
Forfar
1.68
Clyde
1.73
Montrose and East Fife are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.50).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 5.4 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.7

ðŸšĐ Corners

130616474422557587574537101167121312118H·CLYA·FALH·FORA·PETH·DUMA·AIRA·COVH·PARA·CLYH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.5

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6023133221214221242345303636H·CLYA·FALH·FORA·PETH·DUMA·AIRA·COVH·PARA·CLYH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 12.2 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3501110161910101013169714141018991581321352023252124272421H·CLYA·FALH·FORA·PETH·DUMA·AIRA·COVH·PARA·CLYH·PET
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

East FifeEast Fife

For 4.4 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.4

ðŸšĐ Corners

15043458754513437643837791596710101110H·COVA·CLYH·FALH·FORA·PETH·AIRA·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.4

ðŸŸĻ Cards

8031332611511211123016826323H·COVA·CLYH·FALH·FORA·PETH·AIRA·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.2

⚠ïļ Fouls

29011810661415141011131215141612164111419162029212529282025H·COVA·CLYH·FALH·FORA·PETH·AIRA·PARH·DUMA·FALH·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.69.69.63.73.53.923.523.523.4
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)9.89.610.13.94.23.625.026.223.8
vs Weaker (24)9.39.79.03.52.74.221.820.623.1
% over line54%48%60%52%44%60%62%60%64%
% under line46%52%40%48%56%40%38%40%36%
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.910.49.43.53.33.722.121.522.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)10.211.29.13.53.33.723.422.124.7
vs Weaker (20)9.59.39.83.53.33.720.120.619.6
% over line52%54%50%46%46%46%52%46%58%
% under line48%46%50%54%54%54%48%54%42%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Partick
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Falkirk
10.6
East Fife
9.9
Cove Rangers
9.8
Clyde
9.8
Dumbarton
9.8
Montrose
9.6
Peterhead
9.0
Forfar
8.8

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.0
Montrose
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.7
East Fife
3.5
Falkirk
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Airdrie United
3.2
Partick
3.0
Forfar
2.9
Dumbarton
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Falkirk
24.4
Montrose
23.5
Cove Rangers
23.2
Peterhead
22.8
East Fife
22.1
Forfar
21.2
Airdrie United
21.0
Dumbarton
20.9
Clyde
20.6
Partick
19.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
42.6%
Under 9.5
57.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.6%
Under 3.5
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.0%
Under 21.5
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D01L01L00D30W01L00D01L22DH·PET07/11A·CLY21/11H·PAR28/11A·COV05/12A·AIR12/12H·DUM19/12A·PET22/12H·FOR02/01A·FAL20/03H·CLY27/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.671.000.470.400.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.470.820.750.620.221.00
vs Weaker (13)1.000.461.290.290.670.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L10W01L10W11D10W10W10W00DH·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11H·AIR05/12A·PET12/12H·FOR19/12H·FAL02/01A·CLY20/03H·COV27/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.930.530.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.530.890.780.780.301.00
vs Weaker (11)1.000.271.170.170.800.40
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W12L00D20W10W10W10W00D01L00DH·PET07/11A·CLY21/11H·PAR28/11A·COV05/12A·AIR12/12H·DUM19/12A·PET22/12H·FOR02/01A·FAL20/03H·CLY27/03
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.070.671.070.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)0.820.590.751.000.890.22
vs Weaker (13)1.380.541.430.291.330.83
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (East Fife) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

East FifeEast Fife

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L11D01L10W01L10W11D21W00DH·MON24/10A·FAL31/10H·DUM07/11A·PAR21/11H·AIR05/12A·PET12/12H·FOR19/12H·FAL02/01A·CLY20/03H·COV27/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.670.730.530.600.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)0.370.680.560.440.200.90
vs Weaker (11)1.180.641.000.671.400.60
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
East Fife over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards82.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.580.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards72.3%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
PAR (20)
€3m
MON (4)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
CLY (2)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
MON (2)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
PAR (8)
€1m
FOR (1)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
Montrose and East Fife have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
MON wins
1
Draws
3
EF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs East Fife · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
24/10/20AEast Fife Vs MON2-2
04/01/20HMON Vs East Fife1-0
02/11/19AEast Fife Vs MON0-1
14/09/19HMON Vs East Fife1-3
13/04/19AEast Fife Vs MON0-2
12/01/19HMON Vs East Fife0-2
01/12/18AEast Fife Vs MON0-2
01/09/18HMON Vs East Fife0-2

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21HMON Vs Clyde2-2
20/03/21AFalkirk Vs MON2-0
02/01/21HMON Vs Forfar0-0
22/12/20APeterhead Vs MON1-1
19/12/20HMON Vs Dumbarton4-0
12/12/20AAirdrie United Vs MON0-1
05/12/20ACove Rangers Vs MON1-2
28/11/20HMON Vs Partick0-1
21/11/20AClyde Vs MON3-2
07/11/20HMON Vs Peterhead3-2

East FifeEast Fife

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/03/21HEF Vs Cove Rangers0-0
20/03/21AClyde Vs EF1-3
02/01/21HEF Vs Falkirk2-1
19/12/20HEF Vs Forfar2-0
12/12/20APeterhead Vs EF2-1
05/12/20HEF Vs Airdrie United2-0
21/11/20APartick Vs EF2-0
07/11/20HEF Vs Dumbarton2-1
31/10/20AFalkirk Vs EF2-0
24/10/20HEF Vs Montrose2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League One
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.64
HomeWLWDD1.80
AwayLWWDL1.48
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%56%44%
AVG goals2.963.242.68
Over 1.5 %74%76%72%
Over 2.5 %58%68%48%
Over 3.5 %38%48%28%
Scored1.661.921.40
Conceded1.301.321.28
BTTS52%60%44%
Clean Sheet30%28%32%
Corners9.609.649.56
Cards3.703.483.92
East Fife
East Fife
Scotland: League One
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWWD1.38
HomeWWWWD1.62
AwayLLLLW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%42%29%
AVG goals2.703.002.38
Over 1.5 %76%77%75%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %30%38%21%
Scored1.361.691.00
Conceded1.341.311.38
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners9.9010.389.38
Cards3.503.313.71

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1PartickPartick2240
50%
1.8
4018+22
2.6
68%
45%
36%
10.0
64%
3.6
41%
21.2
55%
3
1111.80.8
-
2Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United2238
55%
1.7
3524+11
2.7
77%
41%
27%
10.4
50%
3.3
45%
20.5
36%
0
0001.61.1
-
3Cove RangersCove Rangers2236
45%
1.6
2818+10
2.1
64%
27%
18%
8.9
41%
3.6
50%
23.4
55%
0
0001.30.8
-
4MontroseMontrose2233
41%
1.5
3333+0
3.0
77%
64%
45%
9.3
41%
3.2
36%
22.3
41%
0
0001.51.5
-
5East FifeEast Fife2233
45%
1.5
3033-3
2.9
91%
68%
27%
9.9
59%
3.4
41%
22.7
55%
0
0001.41.5
-
6FalkirkFalkirk2232
41%
1.5
2926+3
2.5
82%
50%
18%
10.0
59%
4.0
55%
24.5
64%
6
2131.31.2
-
7PeterheadPeterhead2229
41%
1.3
2427-3
2.3
68%
41%
14%
8.7
36%
4.4
73%
25.8
82%
0
0001.11.2
-
8ClydeClyde2226
36%
1.2
2738-11
3.0
82%
59%
32%
10.3
64%
3.2
45%
20.8
50%
0
0001.21.7
-
9DumbartonDumbarton2225
32%
1.1
1424-10
1.7
45%
27%
9%
10.2
64%
3.2
32%
23.0
73%
0
0000.61.1
-
10ForfarForfar2217
18%
0.8
1837-19
2.5
73%
50%
27%
9.1
41%
3.4
55%
22.0
64%
0
0000.81.7
-
Scotland: League One 2020/21 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League One stats & trends →

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