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Montrose vs Peterhead Result & Analysis

Date: 17/03/2018
Time: 00:00
Final 3-2
Montrose
Montrose
Vs
20%
23%
57%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Montrose win✓ Hit
19.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
22.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Peterhead win✗ Miss
57.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W20W13L21W10W10W22D22D21WH·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01A·PET03/02H·STE10/02A·ELG17/02A·BER24/02H·ANN13/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.171.601.331.331.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.671.332.001.401.431.29
vs Weaker (18)1.331.061.401.301.250.75
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L32W01L00D11D33D20W21W10W12LA·CLY27/01A·BER30/01H·MON03/02A·EDI10/02H·BER17/02A·ANN20/02A·COW24/02H·CLY27/02A·STI10/03H·STE13/03
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.301.202.201.472.400.93
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)2.691.002.251.123.400.80
vs Weaker (17)2.001.352.141.861.901.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.4%
Under 1.5
15.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.0%
Under 2.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
40.8%
Under 3.5
59.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.2%
No
38.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-2
8.4%
0-1
7.1%
1-3
6.8%
0-3
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
2-1
5.5%
Montrose goals ↓
Peterhead goals →
01234
04.8%7.1%8.4%5.8%3.0%
13.6%10%9.8%6.8%3.5%
22.7%5.5%5.7%4.0%2.1%
31.0%2.2%2.2%1.5%0.8%
40.3%0.6%0.7%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Montrose goals (down), columns = Peterhead goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Montrose
2.14
Peterhead
2.11
Stirling
1.53
Stenhousemuir
1.50
Clyde
1.42
Elgin
1.36
Annan Athletic
1.31
Berwick
1.03
Edinburgh City
0.83
Cowdenbeath
0.61
Montrose is 0.03 points better than Peterhead in terms of average points per game (2.14 vs 2.11).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Peterhead
2.19
Stirling
1.69
Montrose
1.67
Stenhousemuir
1.56
Elgin
1.50
Clyde
1.44
Annan Athletic
1.36
Edinburgh City
1.03
Berwick
0.86
Cowdenbeath
0.64
Montrose is 0.53 goals worse than Peterhead in terms of goals scored per game (1.67 vs 2.19).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Montrose
0.97
Peterhead
1.08
Annan Athletic
1.14
Stenhousemuir
1.31
Clyde
1.39
Stirling
1.44
Cowdenbeath
1.56
Berwick
1.64
Elgin
1.69
Edinburgh City
1.72
Montrose is 0.11 goals better than Peterhead in terms of goals conceded per game (0.97 vs 1.08).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

MontroseMontrose

For 5.8 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.6

ðŸšĐ Corners

1505422428744931144374994615812157713H·ANNA·BERA·ELGH·STEA·PETH·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3

ðŸŸĻ Cards

6022123122123333124344363330H·ANNA·BERA·ELGH·STEA·PETH·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 24.1

⚠ïļ Fouls

3601213109136142212111014159813121771425191936232424212921H·ANNA·BERA·ELGH·STEA·PETH·STIH·CLYA·EDIA·ANNH·COW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PeterheadPeterhead

For 5.0 · Against 2.9 · Total 7.9

ðŸšĐ Corners

16097679124242624443211613102668873H·STEA·STIH·CLYA·COWA·ANNH·BERA·EDIH·MONA·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.0

ðŸŸĻ Cards

50312122133221211213314453313H·STEA·STIH·CLYA·COWA·ANNH·BERA·EDIH·MONA·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.3 · Total 24.9

⚠ïļ Fouls

310149817119816916151491011121417171323252024252919233130H·STEA·STIH·CLYA·COWA·ANNH·BERA·EDIH·MONA·BERA·CLY
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MontroseMontrose

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.210.97.51.61.81.422.022.121.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (19)8.211.45.91.81.91.821.520.822.0
vs Weaker (31)9.910.69.11.51.81.122.422.921.9
% over line43%64%21%16%24%8%54%57%50%
% under line57%36%79%84%76%92%46%43%50%
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.09.08.92.12.22.026.226.525.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (26)8.07.48.81.82.31.226.926.427.6
vs Weaker (24)9.610.69.02.52.22.725.726.625.1
% over line41%36%47%32%36%28%83%86%80%
% under line59%64%53%68%64%72%17%14%20%
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ðŸšĐ Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Clyde
10.9
Stenhousemuir
10.4
Stirling
10.1
Edinburgh City
9.7
Elgin
9.6
Berwick
9.4
Montrose
9.2
Peterhead
9.0
Cowdenbeath
8.8
Annan Athletic
8.6

ðŸŸĻ Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Elgin
4.0
Cowdenbeath
3.9
Clyde
3.9
Annan Athletic
3.8
Stirling
3.6
Peterhead
3.6
Berwick
3.2
Edinburgh City
3.2
Stenhousemuir
3.0
Montrose
2.9

⚠ïļ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
26.2
Annan Athletic
24.7
Stirling
24.1
Cowdenbeath
23.7
Edinburgh City
23.6
Clyde
22.6
Elgin
22.3
Berwick
22.3
Montrose
22.0
Stenhousemuir
20.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.9%
Under 9.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.2%
Under 3.5
56.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
67.8%
Under 21.5
32.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W20W01L01L00D00D11D21W10WH·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01A·PET03/02H·STE10/02A·ELG17/02A·BER24/02H·ANN13/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.730.470.870.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.000.421.200.400.860.43
vs Weaker (18)0.670.500.500.500.880.50
Clean sheet %67% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W00D00D01L20W10W20W00D02LA·CLY27/01A·BER30/01H·MON03/02A·EDI10/02H·BER17/02A·ANN20/02A·COW24/02H·CLY27/02A·STI10/03H·STE13/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.600.801.070.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)0.920.380.380.381.800.40
vs Weaker (17)0.760.760.861.290.700.40
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MontroseMontrose

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D00D12L20W10W10W11D01L11DH·COW02/01A·ANN06/01A·EDI13/01H·CLY20/01H·STI27/01A·PET03/02H·STE10/02A·ELG17/02A·BER24/02H·ANN13/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.700.870.870.470.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.670.920.801.000.570.86
vs Weaker (18)0.670.560.900.800.380.25
Clean sheet %50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterhead) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PeterheadPeterhead

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D01L00D10W13L10W01L10W10WA·CLY27/01A·BER30/01H·MON03/02A·EDI10/02H·BER17/02A·ANN20/02A·COW24/02H·CLY27/02A·STI10/03H·STE13/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.601.600.671.330.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (13)1.770.621.880.751.600.40
vs Weaker (17)1.240.591.290.571.200.60
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Montrose) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Montrose over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Montrose over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Peterhead over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards87.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.584.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls81.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards75.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (2)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MON (2)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
STE (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
MON wins
1
Draws
1
PET wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Montrose vs Peterhead · H/A from MON
DateH/AGameScore
03/02/18APeterhead Vs MON0-1
30/12/17HMON Vs Peterhead2-6
09/09/17APeterhead Vs MON1-1

MontroseMontrose

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/18HMON Vs Annan Athletic2-1
24/02/18ABerwick Vs MON2-2
17/02/18AElgin Vs MON2-2
10/02/18HMON Vs Stenhousemuir1-0
03/02/18APeterhead Vs MON0-1
27/01/18HMON Vs Stirling2-1
20/01/18HMON Vs Clyde1-3
13/01/18AEdinburgh City Vs MON0-2
06/01/18AAnnan Athletic Vs MON0-1
02/01/18HMON Vs Cowdenbeath1-1

PeterheadPeterhead

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/03/18HPET Vs Stenhousemuir1-2
10/03/18AStirling Vs PET0-1
27/02/18HPET Vs Clyde2-1
24/02/18ACowdenbeath Vs PET0-2
20/02/18AAnnan Athletic Vs PET3-3
17/02/18HPET Vs Berwick1-1
10/02/18AEdinburgh City Vs PET0-0
03/02/18HPET Vs Montrose0-1
30/01/18ABerwick Vs PET2-3
27/01/18AClyde Vs PET1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Montrose
Montrose
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 6 Wins / 3 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWDDW1.94
HomeDLWWW1.76
AwayWWWDD2.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%52%60%
AVG goals2.583.082.08
Over 1.5 %70%84%56%
Over 2.5 %52%68%36%
Over 3.5 %26%32%20%
Scored1.441.601.28
Conceded1.141.480.80
BTTS56%68%44%
Clean Sheet40%28%52%
Corners9.1810.867.50
Cards2.893.212.57
Peterhead
Peterhead
Scotland: League Two
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.60
HomeWLDWL1.36
AwayWDDWW1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%36%56%
AVG goals3.183.203.16
Over 1.5 %78%84%72%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.821.801.84
Conceded1.361.401.32
BTTS54%60%48%
Clean Sheet30%20%40%
Corners8.979.008.93
Cards3.624.003.27

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MontroseMontrose3677
64%
2.1
6035+25
2.6
69%
50%
28%
9.2
42%
3.1
36%
22.4
56%
0
0001.71.0
-
2PeterheadPeterhead3676
67%
2.1
7939+40
3.3
75%
61%
39%
9.4
42%
3.7
56%
26.9
86%
0
0002.21.1
-
3StirlingStirling3655
44%
1.5
6152+9
3.1
83%
67%
39%
9.7
50%
3.4
33%
23.4
67%
0
0001.71.4
-
4StenhousemuirStenhousemuir3654
42%
1.5
5647+9
2.9
86%
53%
31%
10.2
47%
3.0
36%
20.3
39%
0
0001.61.3
-
5ClydeClyde3651
39%
1.4
5250+2
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.3
50%
4.0
58%
22.4
58%
0
0001.41.4
-
6ElginElgin3649
39%
1.4
5461-7
3.2
89%
61%
39%
10.1
64%
3.8
50%
22.0
50%
0
0001.51.7
-
7Annan AthleticAnnan Athletic3647
33%
1.3
4941+8
2.5
69%
42%
25%
8.9
33%
3.8
47%
23.9
75%
0
0001.41.1
-
8
B
Berwick
3637
25%
1.0
3159-28
2.5
64%
47%
33%
9.6
50%
3.1
36%
22.0
50%
0
0000.91.6
-
9Edinburgh CityEdinburgh City3630
19%
0.8
3762-25
2.8
81%
58%
28%
9.8
47%
3.2
47%
23.6
58%
0
0001.01.7
-
10CowdenbeathCowdenbeath3622
11%
0.6
2356-33
2.2
67%
33%
19%
8.7
36%
3.9
56%
23.6
61%
0
0000.61.6
-
Scotland: League Two 2017/18 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: League Two stats & trends →

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