Moreirense vs AVS Result & Analysis

Moreirense are favoured to win, with a 57 % chance of victory, a 25 % draw probability and 18 % for AVS to come through. The model expects 2.7 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 25 %. The single scoreline most likely to occur is 1-1, carrying a 12 % chance. Moreirense, playing at home against a similar-strength opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while AVS on the road averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 19.5 fouls at 92 %, Over 2.5 cards at 85 %, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.8 %, Under 11.5 corners at 73.3 %, Under 3.5 at 70.7 %, Over 1.5 at 76.8 % and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.7 %. The model’s selections reflect a high likelihood of a physically intense match, with the probability of a 1-1 draw standing out as the most probable scoreline.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Moreirense, failed to materialise as the match ended 0-0, a draw that left the model’s call wrong. The model had given Moreirense a 57 % chance of triumph, but the result was a stalemate. Moreirense, coming off a defeat, had a recent form of LDDLW, while AVS, after a draw, had DDLDW. The model’s other selections were mixed: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 92 %, Over 2.5 cards hit at 85 %, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.8 %, Over 1.5 missed at 76.8 %, Under 11.5 corners hit at 73.3 %, Over 23.5 fouls missed at 71.7 %, and Under 3.5 hit at 70.7 %. The final score of 0-0 confirmed the unexpected draw.