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Moreirense vs Benfica Prediction & Stats

Date: 09/09/2026
Time: 19:45
Moreirense
Moreirense
Vs
9%
18%
74%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Moreirense’s recent 1-0 win over Casa Pia shows a team still finding its rhythm, but the Primeira Liga model rates Benfica as the clear favourite, giving the away side a 74% chance of victory. The model’s pick is an away win, driven by Benfica’s 2.17 average goals scored and only 0.92 conceded away, versus Moreirense’s 0.6 scored and 2.4 conceded at home against stronger opposition. The expected total goals is 3.1, yet the most likely total is 2, with a 23% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 0-2 for Benfica, a 12.9% chance. Home win, draw and away win probabilities are 9%, 18% and 74% respectively. Suggested picks include Home under 3.5 goals (99.4%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.2%), Under 7.5 (98.6%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.6%), Away +2 handicap (97.6%), Home under 2.5 goals (96.4%), Under 6.5 (96.2%) and Home under 1.5 HT goals (95.4%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Moreirense win
8.5%
Avg Implied 7.7% · @ 12.45
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
12.90
Unibet
12.00
Draw
17.7%
Avg Implied 14.5% · @ 6.58
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
7.07
Unibet
6.10
Benfica win
73.7%
Avg Implied 77.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.23
Unibet
1.23

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L11D10W14L32W02L00D22D04L10WH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.500.931.430.941.56
vs Stronger (8)0.622.620.602.400.673.00
vs Similar (22)1.051.091.110.891.001.23
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-731W12L50W61W22D11D70W31W31W21WA·EST16/05A·FC 23/07H·FC 30/07H·HEA06/08H·ACA09/08A·HEA13/08A·CAS17/08H·AAR20/08A·AAR27/08H·EST31/08
Avg total
4.3
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.431.002.930.931.931.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)1.501.672.001.671.001.67
vs Weaker (24)2.670.833.170.752.170.92
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%013%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.2%
@ 1.10-1.4%
Under 1.5
17.8%
@ 5.60+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.10
Under
Unibet
5.60
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.7%
@ 1.43-4.8%
Under 2.5
40.3%
@ 2.60+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.43
Under
Unibet
2.60
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
37.3%
@ 2.10-6.4%
Under 3.5
62.7%
@ 1.63+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.10
Under
Unibet
1.63
Both teams to score
Yes
47.0%
@ 1.91-1.1%
No
53.0%
@ 1.77+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.91
No
Unibet
1.77

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
12.9%@ 5.50+3.7%
0-3
10.2%@ 6.10+1.9%
0-1
10.1%@ 7.00+2.8%
1-2
9.2%@ 7.00+1.9%
1-1
8.5%@ 8.00+2.1%
1-3
7.3%@ 7.50+0.5%
0-4
6.1%@ 8.00-0.3%
0-0
5.3%@ 13.00+1.4%
Moreirense goals ↓
Benfica goals →
01234
05.3%10%13%10%6.1%
12.5%8.5%9.2%7.3%4.3%
21.2%2.7%3.3%2.6%1.5%
30.3%0.6%0.8%0.6%0.4%
40.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Moreirense goals (down), columns = Benfica goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Arouca
1.24
Guimaraes
1.24
Estoril
1.15
Alverca
1.15
Maritimo
1.12
Academico Viseu
1.10
Rio Ave
1.06
Santa Clara
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Moreirense is 1.09 points worse than Benfica in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 2.35).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
Arouca
1.38
GIL Vicente
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Maritimo
1.08
Academico Viseu
1.06
Rio Ave
1.03
Alverca
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
Moreirense is 1.09 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 2.18).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Maritimo
1.55
Academico Viseu
1.58
Casa Pia
1.58
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
Moreirense is 0.71 goals worse than Benfica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.44 vs 0.74).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Casa Pia
41%
Moreirense is 8.3 percentage points worse than Benfica in terms of average possession (50% vs 58%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MoreirenseMoreirense

For 3.3 · Against 5.1 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

130143542538114295113495868951161313A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

11031434123414422265347555842113A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.2

⚠️ Fouls

360171491015201012914181814131412151591431193522233627263023A·CASA·AROH·SC H·AVSA·TONH·ESTA·BENH·ESTA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BenficaBenfica

For 7.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

1209431113110262928246929712412811101011H·ESTA·AARH·AARA·CASH·ACAH·HEAA·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 3.0 · Total 4.0

🟨 Cards

6012214242441323141234664455H·ESTA·AARH·AARA·CASH·ACAH·HEAH·FC A·FC A·ESTH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 13.0 · Total 24.6

⚠️ Fouls

340141291110171311131312121296111420131426202724262421173427H·ESTA·AARH·AARA·CASH·ACAH·HEAA·ESTH·SC A·FAMH·MOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MoreirenseMoreirense

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)7.98.37.55.05.15.029.329.229.4
vs Stronger (12)8.79.08.53.33.23.428.629.228.2
vs Similar (37)7.78.17.25.45.35.629.429.129.8
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-11.011.0-30.030.0-
% over line27%29%25%70%67%73%94%92%96%
% under line73%71%75%30%33%27%6%8%4%
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.29.610.84.64.54.625.426.224.8
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (13)9.28.210.16.16.55.724.625.324.0
vs Weaker (37)10.610.211.04.13.84.325.826.525.1
% over line58%57%58%64%68%61%73%76%71%
% under line42%43%42%36%32%39%27%24%29%
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.5
Rio Ave
10.4
Nacional
10.2
Benfica
10.1
Sporting CP
9.8
Casa Pia
9.6
Academico Viseu
9.5
GIL Vicente
9.1
Estoril
9.0
Santa Clara
9.0
Estrela
9.0
Alverca
8.9
FC Porto
8.9
Arouca
8.9
Guimaraes
8.5
Maritimo
8.1
SC Braga
8.1
Moreirense
7.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
5.9
Maritimo
5.8
Academico Viseu
5.8
Casa Pia
5.6
Arouca
5.6
Estrela
5.5
Famalicao
5.4
Nacional
5.4
Guimaraes
5.2
Moreirense
5.2
FC Porto
5.2
Sporting CP
5.1
Benfica
5.0
Rio Ave
5.0
GIL Vicente
4.9
SC Braga
4.9
Alverca
4.8
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
32.0
Santa Clara
30.1
Estrela
29.9
Moreirense
29.5
Casa Pia
29.2
Guimaraes
28.9
GIL Vicente
27.9
Rio Ave
27.0
Nacional
26.9
Estoril
26.7
Sporting CP
26.2
FC Porto
26.1
Arouca
26.0
Benfica
25.8
Academico Viseu
25.3
SC Braga
24.7
Maritimo
24.6
Alverca
23.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.3%
@ 1.61-14.5%
Under 9.5
57.7%
@ 2.12+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.61
Under
Unibet
2.12
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
72.1%
Under 3.5
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
84.8%
Under 21.5
15.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Moreirense or Draw
26.3%
Avg Implied 25.1% · @ 3.70
Edge
+1.1%
9%
18%
74%
covers Moreirense + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.70
Moreirense or Benfica
82.3%
Avg Implied 84.6% · @ 1.10
Edge
-2.3%
9%
18%
74%
covers Moreirense + Benfica
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.10
Draw or Benfica
91.5%
Avg Implied 90.3% · @ 1.03
Edge
+1.2%
9%
18%
74%
covers Draw + Benfica
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
1.03

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Moreirense over/under 0.5
Over
50.9%
@ 1.80-0.1%
Under
49.1%
@ 1.87+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.80
Under
Unibet
1.87
Moreirense over/under 1.5
Over
16.0%
@ 4.80-3.1%
Under
84.0%
@ 1.13+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
4.80
Under
Unibet
1.13
Moreirense over/under 2.5
Over
3.6%
Under
96.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 3.5
Over
0.6%
Under
99.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5
Over
90.7%
Under
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5
Over
68.7%
@ 1.26-4.0%
Under
31.3%
@ 3.35+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.26
Under
Unibet
3.35
Benfica over/under 2.5
Over
42.5%
@ 1.86-6.8%
Under
57.5%
@ 1.81+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.86
Under
Unibet
1.81
Benfica over/under 3.5
Over
21.7%
@ 3.20-7.0%
Under
78.3%
@ 1.29+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.20
Under
Unibet
1.29

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Moreirense, so a minus line means Moreirense give that many goals of a start and Benfica receive them. At -1, Moreirense must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Moreirense win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Moreirense)
Moreirense -2
0.5%
Draw -2
2.0%
Benfica +2
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Moreirense)
Moreirense -1
2.4%
Draw -1
6.1%
Benfica +1
91.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Moreirense)
Moreirense +1
26.3%
@ 3.85+3.6%
Draw +1
22.2%
@ 3.85-0.5%
Benfica -1
51.6%
@ 1.60-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.85
Draw
Unibet
3.85
Away
Unibet
1.60
Handicap +2 (Moreirense)
Moreirense +2
48.4%
@ 2.12+7.3%
Draw +2
21.9%
@ 3.65-2.1%
Benfica -2
29.7%
@ 2.50-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
2.12
Draw
Unibet
3.65
Away
Unibet
2.50

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MoreirenseMoreirense

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W12L12L01L00D11D03L10WH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.670.360.570.500.75
vs Stronger (8)0.381.120.400.800.331.67
vs Similar (22)0.450.500.330.440.540.54
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W11D10W30W10W00D20W31W10W10WA·EST16/05A·FC 23/07H·FC 30/07H·HEA06/08H·ACA09/08A·HEA13/08A·CAS17/08H·AAR20/08A·AAR27/08H·EST31/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.230.301.400.401.070.20
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.670.670.671.000.670.33
vs Weaker (24)1.380.211.580.251.170.17
Clean sheet %73% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.0%
Under 0.5
23.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 2.05-6.4%
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.66+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.05
Under
Unibet
1.66
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.1%
Under 2.5
84.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 HT
Over
29.3%
@ 3.15+0.3%
Under
70.7%
@ 1.29-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.15
Under
Unibet
1.29
Moreirense over/under 1.5 HT
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 HT
Over
64.9%
Under
35.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 HT
Over
27.0%
@ 2.63-7.9%
Under
73.0%
@ 1.41+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.63
Under
Unibet
1.41
Benfica over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MoreirenseMoreirense

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L00D02L20W01L00D11D01L00DH·SC 04/04A·FAM10/04H·EST20/04A·BEN25/04H·EST02/05A·TON11/05H·AVS16/05H·SC 09/08A·ARO16/08A·CAS30/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.570.860.440.81
vs Stronger (8)0.251.500.201.600.331.33
vs Similar (22)0.590.590.780.440.460.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Benfica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BenficaBenfica

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L01L40W31W12L11D50W00D21W11DA·EST16/05A·FC 23/07H·FC 30/07H·HEA06/08H·ACA09/08A·HEA13/08A·CAS17/08H·AAR20/08A·AAR27/08H·EST31/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.701.530.530.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (6)0.831.001.330.670.331.33
vs Weaker (24)1.290.621.580.501.000.75
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Moreirense) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.6%
Under 0.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
49.1%
@ 1.66-6.3%
Under 1.5
50.9%
@ 2.06+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.66
Under
Unibet
2.06
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
24.9%
Under 2.5
75.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Moreirense over/under 0.5 2H
Over
32.5%
Under
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 1.5 2H
Over
8.9%
Under
91.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Moreirense over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 0.5 2H
Over
72.1%
Under
27.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 1.5 2H
Over
37.3%
Under
62.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Benfica over/under 2.5 2H
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Home under 3.5 goals99.4%-------
Home under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------
Under 7.598.6%-------
Home under 2.5 2H goals98.6%-------
Away +2 handicap97.6%-------
Home under 2.5 goals96.4%-------
Under 6.596.2%-------
Home under 1.5 HT goals95.4%-------
Away under 2.5 HT goals94.2%-------
Over 19.5 fouls92.7%-------
Draw or Away91.5%1.03
Unibet
1.03
----+1.2%
Away +1 handicap91.5%-------
Home under 1.5 2H goals91.1%-------
Away over 0.5 goals90.7%-------
Under 5.590.7%1.07
Unibet
1.07
----+4.4%
Away under 2.5 2H goals87.5%-------
Over 2.5 cards86.7%-------
Under 2.5 HT goals84.9%-------
Over 21.5 fouls84.8%-------
Home under 1.5 goals84.0%1.13
Unibet
1.13
----+3.1%
Home or Away82.3%1.10
Unibet
1.10
-----2.3%
Over 1.582.2%1.10
Unibet
1.10
-----1.4%
Over 0.5 2H goals80.6%-------
Under 4.580.0%1.23
Unibet
1.23
----+5.2%
Under 11.5 corners79.5%1.47
Unibet
1.47
----+17.2%
Away under 3.5 goals78.3%1.29
Unibet
1.29
----+7.0%
Over 0.5 HT goals77.0%-------
Under 2.5 2H goals75.1%-------
Away win73.7%1.23
1xBet
1.23
Unibet
1.23
----4.0%
Over 23.5 fouls73.2%-------
Away under 1.5 HT goals73.0%1.41
Unibet
1.41
----+7.9%
Away over 0.5 2H goals72.1%-------
Over 3.5 cards72.1%-------
Home under 0.5 HT goals70.7%1.29
Unibet
1.29
-----0.3%

🎽 13. Player market rates

Moreirense
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nile John33%
João Veloso33%
Kiko33%
André Ferreira0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Nile John67%
Kiko67%
Guilherme Liberato33%
Gilberto Batista33%
Rodrigo Alonso33%
Leandro Santos33%
André Ferreira0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
João Veloso0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexandre Parsemain33%
João Veloso33%
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
André Ferreira0%
Nile John0%
Guilherme Liberato0%
Alexandre Parsemain0%
Gilberto Batista0%
Rodrigo Alonso0%
João Veloso0%
Kiko0%
Mateja Stjepanović0%
Landerson0%
Leandro Santos0%
Benfica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis100%
Gianluca Prestianni67%
Clément Lenglet33%
Rafa Silva33%
Jhon Durán33%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tomás Araújo33%
Georgiy Sudakov33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Vangelis Pavlidis0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Gianluca Prestianni0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alexander Bah33%
Leandro Barreiro33%
Vangelis Pavlidis33%
Enzo Barrenechea33%
Tomás Araújo33%
Gianluca Prestianni33%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianluca Prestianni100%
Vangelis Pavlidis67%
Clément Lenglet0%
Rafa Silva0%
Jhon Durán0%
Alexander Bah0%
Dodi Lukebakio0%
Leandro Barreiro0%
Samuel Dahl0%
Enzo Barrenechea0%
Tomás Araújo0%
Georgiy Sudakov0%
Samuel Soares0%
Andreas Schjelderup0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
AV (27)
€16m
MAR (27)
€16m
Moreirense's squad is €335m less valuable than Benfica's (€22m vs €357m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
AV (11)
€8m
MAR (10)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
Moreirense's attack is €167m less valuable than Benfica's (€5m vs €172m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
MAR (6)
€3m
EST (5)
€3m
AV (6)
€3m
Moreirense's midfield is €68m less valuable than Benfica's (€8m vs €77m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
MAR (11)
€6m
AV (10)
€6m
Moreirense's defence is €99m less valuable than Benfica's (€9m vs €108m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
0
MOR wins
3
Draws
5
BEN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Moreirense vs Benfica · H/A from MOR
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26ABenfica Vs MOR4-1
14/12/25HMOR Vs Benfica0-4
08/02/25ABenfica Vs MOR3-2
30/08/24HMOR Vs Benfica1-1
14/04/24ABenfica Vs MOR3-0
03/12/23HMOR Vs Benfica0-0
15/01/22ABenfica Vs MOR1-1
07/08/21HMOR Vs Benfica1-2

MoreirenseMoreirense

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ACasa Pia Vs MOR0-1
16/08/26AArouca Vs MOR4-0
09/08/26HMOR Vs SC Braga2-2
16/05/26HMOR Vs AVS0-0
11/05/26ATondela Vs MOR2-0
02/05/26HMOR Vs Estrela3-2
25/04/26ABenfica Vs MOR4-1
20/04/26HMOR Vs Estoril1-0
10/04/26AFamalicao Vs MOR1-1
04/04/26HMOR Vs SC Braga0-1

BenficaBenfica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/26HBEN Vs Estoril2-1
27/08/26AAarhus Vs BEN1-3
20/08/26HBEN Vs Aarhus3-1
17/08/26ACasa Pia Vs BEN0-7
13/08/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs BEN1-1
09/08/26HBEN Vs Academico Viseu2-2
06/08/26HBEN Vs Heart Of Midlothian6-1
30/07/26HBEN Vs FC ST. Gallen5-0
23/07/26AFC ST. Gallen Vs BEN2-1
16/05/26AEstoril Vs BEN1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Moreirense
Moreirense
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDLW1.22
HomeLWWDD1.46
AwayDLLLW1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%38%27%
AVG goals2.542.502.58
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %48%50%46%
Over 3.5 %26%29%23%
Scored1.081.210.96
Conceded1.461.291.62
BTTS48%54%42%
Clean Sheet26%25%27%
Corners7.868.337.40
Cards5.245.085.40
Benfica
Benfica
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 7 Wins / 2 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.08
HomeWWDWW2.30
AwayWLDWW1.89
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%70%56%
AVG goals3.043.482.67
Over 1.5 %86%87%85%
Over 2.5 %64%74%56%
Over 3.5 %36%52%22%
Scored2.162.611.78
Conceded0.880.870.89
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet36%35%37%
Corners10.159.5010.75
Cards5.044.865.20

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto412
100%
3.0
90+9
2.2
100%
25%
0%
11.0
75%
1.7
33%
22.5
75%
467
2141051482.20.0
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP410
75%
2.5
125+7
4.2
100%
100%
100%
5.2
0%
4.2
50%
24.0
50%
414
146911763.01.2
62%
3AroucaArouca49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
8.5
25%
4.8
50%
19.0
25%
28
11881.80.8
50%
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara48
50%
2.0
53+2
2.0
50%
25%
25%
9.5
50%
3.8
75%
27.5
100%
27
96121.20.8
48%
5BenficaBenfica37
67%
2.3
113+8
4.7
100%
100%
67%
8.3
33%
3.7
67%
25.3
100%
357
172771083.71.0
58%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente37
67%
2.3
30+3
1.0
33%
0%
0%
7.7
0%
4.3
67%
24.7
100%
29
118111.00.0
50%
7MaritimoMaritimo47
50%
1.8
65+1
2.8
75%
75%
25%
7.0
0%
4.5
50%
26.2
75%
16
7361.51.2
-
8EstrelaEstrela35
33%
1.7
76+1
4.3
100%
100%
100%
6.0
0%
4.7
67%
23.3
67%
20
63112.32.0
47%
9SC BragaSC Braga24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
32.0
100%
165
4156681.51.0
63%
10NacionalNacional44
25%
1.0
66+0
3.0
75%
50%
50%
8.2
25%
4.2
50%
25.5
75%
20
6591.51.5
46%
11MoreirenseMoreirense34
33%
1.3
36-3
3.0
67%
67%
67%
6.3
0%
5.3
100%
28.3
67%
22
5891.02.0
50%
12GuimaraesGuimaraes43
25%
0.8
35-2
2.0
25%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
6.0
75%
26.0
75%
46
2211120.81.2
51%
13Rio AveRio Ave43
25%
0.8
27-5
2.2
75%
25%
25%
8.2
25%
3.0
33%
19.8
50%
37
88210.51.8
47%
14FamalicaoFamalicao42
0%
0.5
24-2
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.5
50%
4.0
50%
28.2
100%
57
1620220.51.0
51%
15Academico ViseuAcademico Viseu42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
75%
75%
50%
7.2
25%
4.5
75%
28.8
100%
16
8361.02.0
-
16AlvercaAlverca42
0%
0.5
48-4
3.0
100%
50%
50%
8.2
50%
4.2
50%
20.8
75%
39
156181.02.0
45%
17EstorilEstoril41
0%
0.2
27-5
2.2
100%
25%
0%
10.5
50%
3.2
25%
25.5
100%
42
248100.51.8
53%
18Casa PiaCasa Pia40
0%
0.0
011-11
2.8
50%
25%
25%
6.0
0%
3.5
75%
27.0
100%
27
96120.02.8
41%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

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