Mosta vs Balzan FC Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2026

Time: 19:00

Final 2-1

Mosta

35%

29%

36%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Balzan FC

Malta: Premier League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

This Malta Premier League encounter between Mosta and Balzan FC is finely balanced, with the home side coming off a win and the away side coming off a draw. Mosta, however, has been struggling at home, scoring an average of 1.55 goals per match and conceding the same amount, while facing opponents of similar strength.

Balzan FC, on the other hand, has been decent on the road, scoring 1.75 goals per match and conceding just 0.67, also facing similar opponents. The model predicts an away win, the most likely result, with a 36% chance of success. The expected total goals is 2.6, with the most likely score being 1-1, occurring with a 13.7% probability.

The model's selection is the away win, with a 36% chance of success, while the home win percentage is 35%, and the draw percentage is 29%. The model also suggests selecting Over 1.5 goals, with a 75.4% probability, and Under 3.5 goals, with a 72.6% probability.

Results analysis

The upset came early as Mosta seized a 2-1 victory, extending their three-game winning run after beating Balzan FC. The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an Away win at 36 %, proved wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.6 %, Under 6.5 at 98.1 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.8 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 96.7 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.5 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 95.6 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 95.3 %. All figures are reported once and the result confirms the model’s predictions were accurate except for the favourite.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mosta win✓ Hit

35.0%

Avg Implied 27.8% · @ 3.28

Edge

+7.2%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.40

Superbet

3.30

Dafabet

3.20

1xBet

3.16

Draw✗ Miss

28.6%

Avg Implied 27.3% · @ 3.34

Edge

+1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Bet365

3.50

Betfair

3.40

Superbet

3.35

Dafabet

3.30

1xBet

3.24

Balzan FC win✗ Miss

36.4%

Avg Implied 44.9% · @ 2.03

Edge

-8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Dafabet

2.14

1xBet

2.10

Marathonbet

2.08

Superbet

2.05

Betfair

2.00

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mosta

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.10	1.70	1.27	1.67	0.93	1.73
vs Stronger (6)	1.17	1.17	1.00	1.25	1.50	1.00
vs Similar (24)	1.08	1.83	1.36	1.82	0.85	1.85
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	20% (-11pp vs league)

This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Balzan FC

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.3

Avg scored

1.8

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.93	0.90	2.29	1.07	1.62	0.75
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (22)	1.82	1.00	2.11	1.33	1.62	0.77
vs Weaker (8)	2.25	0.62	2.60	0.60	1.67	0.67
Clean sheet %	37% (+6pp vs league)

This opponent (Mosta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

75.4%

@ 1.28+5.0%

Under 1.5

24.6%

@ 3.05-5.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.29

Marathonbet

1.28

1xBet

1.28

Under

Marathonbet

3.08

1xBet

3.08

Superbet

3.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

49.3%

@ 1.96+1.9%

Under 2.5

50.7%

@ 1.76-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

1.97

Marathonbet

1.93

1xBet

1.93

Under

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.76

Marathonbet

1.76

Superbet

1.74

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

27.4%

@ 3.29-0.1%

Under 3.5

72.6%

@ 1.25+0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

3.30

1xBet

3.28

Marathonbet

3.28

Under

Superbet

1.25

Marathonbet

1.25

1xBet

1.25

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

55.1%

@ 1.76+2.9%

44.9%

@ 1.92-2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Superbet

1.80

1xBet

1.74

Marathonbet

1.74

1xBet

1.94

Marathonbet

1.91

Superbet

1.90

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.7%@ 6.17+6.9%

0-0

8.3%@ 8.67+3.6%

1-2

8.3%@ 8.00+3.1%

0-1

8.2%@ 6.67+2.0%

2-1 ✓

8.1%@ 11.67+4.6%

1-0

8.0%@ 9.33+3.6%

0-2

6.3%@ 8.00+1.2%

2-0

6.1%@ 15.00+3.3%

Mosta goals ↓

	Balzan FC goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.2%	6.3%	2.8%	0.9%
1	8.0%	14%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.1%	5.4%	2.4%	0.8%
3	2.6%	3.5%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Mosta goals (down), columns = Balzan FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Floriana

2.18

Hamrun Spartans

1.94

Marsaxlokk

1.68

Valletta FC

1.59

Sliema Wanderers

1.50

Gzira United

1.34

Balzan FC

1.29

Hibernians

1.22

Birkirkara

1.09

Zabbar St. Patrick

0.97

Mosta

0.88

Birzebbuga

0.87

Mosta is 0.41 points worse than Balzan FC in terms of average points per game (0.88 vs 1.29).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Hamrun Spartans

1.62

Floriana

1.56

Hibernians

1.41

Marsaxlokk

1.29

Zabbar St. Patrick

1.24

Valletta FC

1.21

Balzan FC

1.19

Gzira United

1.19

Sliema Wanderers

1.16

Mosta

1.06

Birkirkara

0.91

Birzebbuga

0.80

Mosta is 0.13 goals worse than Balzan FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.19).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Hamrun Spartans

0.65

Valletta FC

0.76

Floriana

0.82

Birkirkara

1.12

Sliema Wanderers

1.12

Marsaxlokk

1.15

Balzan FC

1.29

Zabbar St. Patrick

1.32

Gzira United

1.34

Hibernians

1.53

Mosta

1.76

Birzebbuga

1.93

Mosta is 0.47 goals worse than Balzan FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Mosta or Draw✓ Hit

63.6%

Avg Implied -

35%

29%

36%

covers Mosta + Draw

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Mosta or Balzan FC✓ Hit

71.4%

Avg Implied -

35%

29%

36%

covers Mosta + Balzan FC

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw or Balzan FC✗ Miss

65.0%

Avg Implied -

35%

29%

36%

covers Draw + Balzan FC

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Mosta over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.0%

@ 1.39+7.3%

Under

27.0%

@ 2.65-7.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.41

1xBet

1.36

Under

1xBet

2.73

Superbet

2.57

Mosta over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

37.6%

@ 2.83+5.4%

Under

62.4%

@ 1.35-5.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.90

1xBet

2.80

Marathonbet

2.80

Under

Marathonbet

1.36

1xBet

1.36

Superbet

1.32

Mosta over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

14.5%

@ 6.70+0.9%

Under

85.5%

@ 1.05-0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.80

Superbet

6.60

Under

1xBet

1.06

Superbet

1.04

Mosta over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.4%

Under

95.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Balzan FC over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

73.8%

@ 1.22-0.5%

Under

26.2%

@ 3.52+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.22

Superbet

1.22

Under

1xBet

3.58

Superbet

3.45

Balzan FC over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

38.7%

@ 2.15-4.2%

Under

61.3%

@ 1.61+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Superbet

2.15

Under

1xBet

1.61

Superbet

1.61

Marathonbet

1.61

Balzan FC over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

15.2%

@ 4.20-6.4%

Under

84.8%

@ 1.16+6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

4.25

1xBet

4.15

Under

1xBet

1.17

Superbet

1.14

Balzan FC over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

4.7%

@ 10.00-4.6%

Under

95.3%

@ 1.02+4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

10.00

Under

1xBet

1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Mosta, so a minus line means Mosta give that many goals of a start and Balzan FC receive them. At -1, Mosta must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Mosta win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Mosta)Actual: Balzan FC

Mosta -2

5.6%

@ 1.27-63.3%

Draw -2

10.5%

@ 5.05-6.9%

Balzan FC +2

83.9%

@ 6.40+70.2%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

1.27

Draw

Marathonbet

5.05

Away

Marathonbet

6.40

Handicap -1 (Mosta)Actual: Draw

Mosta -1

16.1%

@ 1.66-36.7%

Draw -1

18.9%

@ 3.67-5.0%

Balzan FC +1

65.0%

@ 3.77+41.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Betfair

1.73

Marathonbet

1.59

Draw

Betfair

3.75

Marathonbet

3.58

Away

Marathonbet

3.94

Betfair

3.60

Handicap +1 (Mosta)Actual: Mosta

Mosta +1

63.6%

@ 6.50+50.4%

Draw +1

19.4%

@ 4.55+0.4%

Balzan FC -1

17.0%

@ 1.27-50.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

6.50

Draw

Marathonbet

4.55

Away

Marathonbet

1.27

Handicap +2 (Mosta)Actual: Mosta

Mosta +2

83.0%

Draw +2

11.0%

Balzan FC -2

6.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

No market prices yet.

Draw

No market prices yet.

Away

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mosta

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.73	0.53	0.73	0.53	0.73
vs Stronger (6)	0.67	0.50	0.50	0.50	1.00	0.50
vs Similar (24)	0.50	0.79	0.55	0.82	0.46	0.77
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Balzan FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.33	0.86	0.43	0.56	0.25
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (22)	0.55	0.41	0.67	0.56	0.46	0.31
vs Weaker (8)	1.12	0.12	1.20	0.20	1.00	0.00
Clean sheet %	70% (+39pp vs league)

This opponent (Mosta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

66.4%

@ 1.37-0.2%

Under 0.5

33.6%

@ 2.74+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.39

Marathonbet

1.37

1xBet

1.37

Betfair

1.36

Under

Betfair

2.88

1xBet

2.71

Marathonbet

2.71

Superbet

2.65

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

30.6%

@ 2.77-2.3%

Under 1.5

69.4%

@ 1.36+2.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.79

1xBet

2.79

Superbet

2.77

Betfair

2.75

Under

Betfair

1.40

1xBet

1.35

Superbet

1.35

Marathonbet

1.35

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

9.9%

@ 6.60-4.0%

Under 2.5

90.1%

@ 1.07+4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.00

Betfair

6.50

Superbet

6.30

Under

Betfair

1.08

1xBet

1.07

Superbet

1.05

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Mosta over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

44.6%

@ 1.94-3.1%

Under

55.4%

@ 1.77+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.95

1xBet

1.93

Under

1xBet

1.78

Superbet

1.76

Mosta over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over

Over

11.2%

@ 5.80-4.7%

Under

88.8%

@ 1.10+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.80

Under

1xBet

1.10

Mosta over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.2%

Under

97.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Balzan FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

42.7%

@ 2.33+3.3%

Under

57.3%

@ 1.52-3.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.37

1xBet

2.30

Under

1xBet

1.55

Superbet

1.49

Balzan FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

10.9%

@ 8.10-0.5%

Under

89.1%

@ 1.04+0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

8.10

Under

1xBet

1.04

Balzan FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

1.4%

Under

98.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mosta

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.5

Avg scored

0.6

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.57	0.97	0.73	0.93	0.40	1.00
vs Stronger (6)	0.50	0.67	0.50	0.75	0.50	0.50
vs Similar (24)	0.58	1.04	0.82	1.00	0.38	1.08
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	43% (+13pp vs league)

This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Balzan FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.1

Avg conceded

0.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.23	0.57	1.43	0.64	1.06	0.50
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (22)	1.27	0.59	1.44	0.78	1.15	0.46
vs Weaker (8)	1.12	0.50	1.40	0.40	0.67	0.67
Clean sheet %	50% (+19pp vs league)

This opponent (Mosta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.7%

@ 1.24+2.8%

Under 0.5

23.3%

@ 3.50-2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.24

Superbet

1.23

Under

1xBet

3.60

Superbet

3.40

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

42.4%

@ 2.16-0.2%

Under 1.5

57.6%

@ 1.60+0.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.17

Marathonbet

2.15

1xBet

2.15

Under

1xBet

1.61

Marathonbet

1.61

Superbet

1.59

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.8%

@ 4.58-4.1%

Under 2.5

84.2%

@ 1.14+4.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.70

Superbet

4.45

Under

1xBet

1.15

Superbet

1.13

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Mosta over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

49.6%

@ 1.68-5.6%

Under

50.4%

@ 2.06+5.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

1.68

1xBet

1.67

Under

1xBet

2.07

Superbet

2.05

Mosta over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.8%

@ 4.30-4.7%

Under

83.2%

@ 1.18+4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

4.30

Under

1xBet

1.18

Mosta over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.3%

@ 11.50-4.8%

Under

96.7%

@ 1.01+4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

11.50

Under

1xBet

1.01

Balzan FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

48.7%

@ 1.98+2.0%

Under

51.3%

@ 1.74-2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.00

1xBet

1.96

Under

1xBet

1.75

Superbet

1.72

Balzan FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

16.7%

@ 6.00+1.3%

Under

83.3%

@ 1.09-1.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.00

Under

1xBet

1.09

Balzan FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

3.5%

Under

96.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	98.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	98.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	97.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	96.7%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	96.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	95.6%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	95.3%	1.02	1xBet 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	94.7%	1.03	1xBet 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.7%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	90.1%	1.07	Betfair 1.08	1xBet 1.07	Superbet 1.05	-	-	+4.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	89.1%	1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	-	-	-	+0.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	88.8%	1.10	1xBet 1.10	-	-	-	-	+4.7%	✗ Miss
Under 4.5	87.1%	1.07	1xBet 1.09	Superbet 1.06	-	-	-	+2.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	85.5%	1.05	1xBet 1.06	Superbet 1.04	-	-	-	-0.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	84.8%	1.16	1xBet 1.17	Superbet 1.14	-	-	-	+6.4%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	84.2%	1.14	1xBet 1.15	Superbet 1.13	-	-	-	+4.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	83.3%	1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	-	-	-	-1.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	83.2%	1.18	1xBet 1.18	-	-	-	-	+4.7%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	83.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.7%	1.24	1xBet 1.24	Superbet 1.23	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	75.4%	1.28	Superbet 1.29	Marathonbet 1.28	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+5.0%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	73.8%	1.22	1xBet 1.22	Superbet 1.22	-	-	-	-0.5%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	73.0%	1.39	Superbet 1.41	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+7.3%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	72.6%	1.25	Superbet 1.25	Marathonbet 1.25	1xBet 1.25	-	-	+0.1%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	71.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SW (25)

€7m

HIB (28)

€5m

HS (23)

€5m

FLO (22)

€5m

VF (20)

€4m

ZSP (24)

€4m

MAR (22)

€4m

MOS (24)

€3m

GU (13)

€3m

BIR (12)

€3m

BIR (14)

€3m

BF (10)

€2m

Mosta's squad is €2m more valuable than Balzan FC's (€3m vs €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

SW (11)

€3m

HIB (10)

€2m

FLO (7)

€2m

VF (7)

€2m

BIR (6)

€2m

MAR (8)

€1m

MOS (8)

€1m

ZSP (6)

€1m

HS (7)

€1m

BF (4)

€1m

GU (4)

€1m

BIR (4)

€1m

Mosta and Balzan FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HS (10)

€3m

SW (4)

€2m

MAR (6)

€2m

BIR (6)

€2m

VF (5)

€1m

FLO (6)

€1m

MOS (4)

€1m

ZSP (6)

€1m

GU (3)

€1m

HIB (4)

€1m

BIR (2)

€1m

BF (2)

€0m

Mosta and Balzan FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

HIB (14)

€3m

ZSP (12)

€2m

SW (10)

€2m

FLO (9)

€2m

VF (8)

€2m

GU (6)

€1m

HS (6)

€1m

MOS (12)

€1m

BIR (4)

€1m

MAR (8)

€1m

BIR (4)

€1m

BF (4)

€1m

Mosta and Balzan FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings

MOS wins

Draws

BF wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Mosta vs Balzan FC · H/A from MOS

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/01/25	A	Balzan FC Vs MOS	3-2
06/11/24	H	MOS Vs Balzan FC	2-2
28/04/24	A	Balzan FC Vs MOS	0-0
07/01/24	H	MOS Vs Balzan FC	0-2
10/04/23	H	MOS Vs Balzan FC	2-3
13/11/22	A	Balzan FC Vs MOS	1-2

Mosta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/08/26	A	Hamrun Spartans Vs MOS	0-2
10/05/26	A	Naxxar Lions Vs MOS	0-1
30/04/26	A	Birkirkara Vs MOS	1-1
24/04/26	A	Hibernians Vs MOS	2-0
19/04/26	H	MOS Vs Sliema Wanderers	2-2
15/04/26	H	MOS Vs Zabbar St. Patrick	2-1
11/04/26	A	Tarxien Rainbows Vs MOS	2-2
15/03/26	H	MOS Vs Hamrun Spartans	2-1
07/03/26	A	Zabbar St. Patrick Vs MOS	5-3
28/02/26	H	MOS Vs Marsaxlokk	1-2

Balzan FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
14/08/26	H	BF Vs Marsaxlokk	1-1
19/04/26	H	BF Vs Melita	2-0
12/04/26	H	BF Vs Birzebbuga	3-3
06/04/26	A	Sirens Vs BF	0-1
14/03/26	H	BF Vs Swieqi United	1-2
10/03/26	A	Fgura United Vs BF	1-2
28/02/26	A	Pietà Hotspurs Vs BF	1-3
22/02/26	H	BF Vs St. Andrews	1-4
15/02/26	A	Marsa Vs BF	1-4
08/02/26	A	Melita Vs BF	2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Mosta

Malta: Premier League

Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DLDWW	1.02
Home	LLWWD	1.12
Away	DLDWW	0.92

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	28%	29%	27%
AVG goals	2.74	2.79	2.69
Over 1.5 %	72%	71%	73%
Over 2.5 %	48%	54%	42%
Over 3.5 %	30%	33%	27%
Scored	1.04	1.17	0.92
Conceded	1.70	1.62	1.77
BTTS	44%	50%	38%
Clean Sheet	20%	21%	19%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Balzan FC

Malta: Premier League

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDWD	1.46
Home	LLDWD	1.57
Away	LWWWW	1.37

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	40%	43%	37%
AVG goals	2.86	3.13	2.63
Over 1.5 %	80%	87%	74%
Over 2.5 %	60%	65%	56%
Over 3.5 %	32%	39%	26%
Scored	1.58	1.87	1.33
Conceded	1.28	1.26	1.30
BTTS	56%	61%	52%
Clean Sheet	26%	26%	26%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Floriana	4	10	75%	2.5	10	2	+8	3.0	100%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.5	0.5	-
2	Valletta FC	4	9	75%	2.2	10	4	+6	3.5	100%	75%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	2.5	1.0	-
3	Mosta	3	9	100%	3.0	5	1	+4	2.0	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.7	0.3	-
4	Marsaxlokk	3	7	67%	2.3	4	2	+2	2.0	67%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	2	1	1.3	0.7	-
5	Birkirkara	3	6	67%	2.0	5	1	+4	2.0	33%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	1	1	1.7	0.3	-
6	Balzan FC	3	4	33%	1.3	4	4	+0	2.7	100%	67%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.3	1.3	-
7	Zabbar St. Patrick	3	4	33%	1.3	4	5	-1	3.0	67%	33%	33%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.3	1.7	-
8	Hibernians	4	4	25%	1.0	3	4	-1	1.8	75%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	3	0.8	1.0	-
9	Sliema Wanderers	3	3	33%	1.0	2	5	-3	2.3	100%	33%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	7	3	2	2	0.7	1.7	-
10	Hamrun Spartans	3	1	0%	0.3	1	4	-3	1.7	67%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	1	3	1	0.3	1.3	-
11	Birzebbuga	3	0	0%	0.0	1	6	-5	2.3	67%	67%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	2	1	0.3	2.0	-
12	Gzira United	4	0	0%	0.0	2	13	-11	3.8	100%	100%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	0.5	3.2	-

Malta: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches

Mosta vs Balzan FC Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Mosta

Balzan FC

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Mosta

Balzan FC

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Mosta

Balzan FC

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Mosta

Balzan FC

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature