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Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian Result & Analysis

Date: 09/05/2026
Time: 19:00
Final 1-1
Motherwell
Motherwell
Vs
40%
30%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The contest between Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. The odds are 40% for a Motherwell victory, 30% for a draw and 29% for a Hearts win, making the home side the favourite. The expected total of 2.4 goals points to a modest scoring game, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 14.3% chance. Motherwell, playing at home against a team of similar strength, averages 1.69 goals scored and 0.54 conceded, while Hearts, on the road, averages 1.5 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.6%, Under 3.5 goals at 78.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.2% and Under 10.5 corners at 70.9%. Motherwell’s recent form shows a draw-heavy run, while Hearts remain unbeaten in five, suggesting both sides could keep the score level.

Results analysis

The draw shocked the pre-match favourite, Motherwell, who had been tipped to win with a 40% probability. The final score of 1-1 confirmed a draw, proving the model’s call wrong. Motherwell’s recent form, a string of D L L D W, had seen them finish a 3-3 draw with St Mirren, while Hearts, unbeaten in five with a 2-1 win over St Johnstone, were also in good rhythm. The model’s other selections all hit: Over 19.5 fouls at 87.3%, Over 2.5 cards at 85.2%, Under 11.5 corners at 80.6%, Under 3.5 at 78.9%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.2% and Under 10.5 corners at 70.9%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages and each pick was reported once.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Motherwell win✗ Miss
40.4%
Avg Implied 34.5% · @ 2.69
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.4%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.39
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 38.1% · @ 2.44
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L50W20W12L13L00D23L13L32W01LA·ABE18/02A·ST 21/02H·DUN28/02A·DUN07/03A·CEL14/03H·HIB21/03H·FAL04/04A·HEA11/04A·RAN26/04A·FAL02/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.500.871.670.531.331.20
vs Stronger (5)1.401.401.500.501.332.00
vs Similar (25)1.520.761.690.541.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W24L10W10W01L10W22D31W21W21WH·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02A·KIL14/03H·DUN21/03A·LIV05/04H·MOT11/04A·HIB26/04H·RAN04/05
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.600.831.690.561.501.14
vs Stronger (6)2.171.672.251.252.002.50
vs Similar (13)1.380.621.290.431.500.83
vs Weaker (11)1.550.641.800.201.331.00
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.4%
Under 1.5
30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.8%
@ 1.83-9.1%
Under 2.5
58.2%
@ 1.90+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.1%
Under 3.5
78.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.7%
No
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.3%
1-0
11.0%
0-0
10.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
2-0
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.4%
Motherwell goals ↓
Heart Of Midlothian goals →
01234
011%8.8%5.4%1.9%0.5%
111%14%6.9%2.4%0.6%
27.9%8.4%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.4%3.6%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.1%1.2%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Motherwell goals (down), columns = Heart Of Midlothian goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celtic
2.16
Heart Of Midlothian
2.11
Rangers
1.89
Motherwell
1.61
Hibernian
1.50
Falkirk
1.29
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Dundee Utd
1.18
Dundee
1.11
Kilmarnock
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
ST Mirren
0.95
Livingston
0.55
Arbroath
0.50
Motherwell is 0.50 points worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 2.11).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rangers
2.00
Celtic
1.92
Heart Of Midlothian
1.76
Motherwell
1.55
Hibernian
1.53
Kilmarnock
1.32
Falkirk
1.32
Dundee Utd
1.29
Dundee
1.11
Livingston
1.05
Aberdeen
1.05
Partick
1.00
ST Mirren
0.80
Dunfermline
0.75
Arbroath
0.00
Motherwell is 0.21 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arbroath
0.50
Dunfermline
0.75
Heart Of Midlothian
0.89
Motherwell
0.95
Partick
1.00
Celtic
1.08
Rangers
1.13
Hibernian
1.16
ST Mirren
1.40
Aberdeen
1.45
Dundee Utd
1.58
Dundee
1.61
Falkirk
1.63
Kilmarnock
1.79
Livingston
1.97
Motherwell is 0.05 goals worse than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of goals conceded per game (0.95 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Celtic
66%
Rangers
58%
Motherwell
58%
Heart Of Midlothian
53%
Falkirk
51%
Arbroath
50%
Dunfermline
50%
Aberdeen
48%
Hibernian
47%
ST Mirren
46%
Livingston
45%
Dundee
44%
Kilmarnock
42%
Dundee Utd
42%
Motherwell is 4.5 percentage points better than Heart Of Midlothian in terms of average possession (58% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

MotherwellMotherwell

For 4.7 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

1205257466224321353749271210865481111A·FALA·RANA·HEAH·FALH·HIBA·CELA·DUNH·DUNA·ST A·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 3.3 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

9054212123343424235449335776558A·FALA·RANA·HEAH·FALH·HIBA·CELA·DUNH·DUNA·ST A·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.6 · Total 24.2

⚠️ Fouls

3101312101514715157910101912713617151625252130162031202331A·FALA·RANA·HEAH·FALH·HIBA·CELA·DUNH·DUNA·ST A·ABE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

For 5.9 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

120261164554792748437488111010111111121012H·RANA·HIBH·MOTA·LIVH·DUNA·KILH·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 3.2 · Total 5.2

🟨 Cards

100123712224222351334331034648473H·RANA·HIBH·MOTA·LIVH·DUNA·KILH·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.7 · Against 12.9 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

3008121787141010121114137169101317101820252120232723193028H·RANA·HIBH·MOTA·LIVH·DUNA·KILH·ABEH·FALA·RANH·HIB
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MotherwellMotherwell

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.37.88.74.24.04.326.327.125.6
vs Stronger (7)8.48.78.24.75.74.025.726.725.0
vs Similar (40)8.37.78.84.43.94.826.427.125.7
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line36%20%50%60%54%65%74%75%73%
% under line64%80%50%40%46%35%26%25%27%
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.99.83.93.64.224.023.524.6
vs Stronger (8)9.810.59.04.55.23.824.124.523.8
vs Similar (21)9.29.58.84.43.75.525.826.025.5
vs Weaker (21)10.810.311.13.12.73.521.919.124.1
% over line58%59%57%50%42%58%60%50%71%
% under line42%41%43%50%58%42%40%50%29%
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
ST Mirren
11.3
Celtic
11.1
Hibernian
10.6
Rangers
10.5
Dundee Utd
10.5
Aberdeen
10.4
Partick
10.4
Heart Of Midlothian
10.1
Dundee
10.0
Livingston
10.0
Kilmarnock
9.8
Falkirk
9.8
Arbroath
9.6
Dunfermline
9.2
Motherwell
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aberdeen
4.8
Motherwell
4.6
Hibernian
4.6
Livingston
4.3
Partick
4.3
Falkirk
4.3
Kilmarnock
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Heart Of Midlothian
4.2
Dundee Utd
4.0
Dunfermline
3.9
Celtic
3.7
Arbroath
3.6
ST Mirren
3.5
Dundee
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Motherwell
25.8
Livingston
25.4
Rangers
25.4
Aberdeen
25.4
Falkirk
24.6
Kilmarnock
24.4
Heart Of Midlothian
23.4
Hibernian
22.4
Dundee
22.0
ST Mirren
21.8
Dundee Utd
21.7
Celtic
21.6
Dunfermline
21.5
Arbroath
20.8
Partick
20.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
40.9%
Under 9.5
59.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
69.8%
Under 3.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
76.2%
Under 21.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W01L11D00D12L00D20W00DA·ABE18/02A·ST 21/02H·DUN28/02A·DUN07/03A·CEL14/03H·HIB21/03H·FAL04/04A·HEA11/04A·RAN26/04A·FAL02/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.300.730.330.600.27
vs Stronger (5)0.800.400.500.501.000.33
vs Similar (25)0.640.280.770.310.500.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %77% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D22D10W10W01L00D11D00D01L01LH·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02A·KIL14/03H·DUN21/03A·LIV05/04H·MOT11/04A·HIB26/04H·RAN04/05
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.430.560.250.710.64
vs Stronger (6)1.000.830.750.751.501.00
vs Similar (13)0.460.380.430.140.500.67
vs Weaker (11)0.640.270.600.000.670.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

MotherwellMotherwell

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W10W11D02L00D11D13L12L01LA·ABE18/02A·ST 21/02H·DUN28/02A·DUN07/03A·CEL14/03H·HIB21/03H·FAL04/04A·HEA11/04A·RAN26/04A·FAL02/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.570.930.200.730.93
vs Stronger (5)0.601.001.000.000.331.67
vs Similar (25)0.880.480.920.230.830.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Heart Of Midlothian) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W02L00D00D00D10W11D31W20W20WH·HIB10/02A·RAN15/02H·FAL21/02H·ABE28/02A·KIL14/03H·DUN21/03A·LIV05/04H·MOT11/04A·HIB26/04H·RAN04/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.401.120.310.790.50
vs Stronger (6)1.170.831.500.500.501.50
vs Similar (13)0.920.230.860.291.000.17
vs Weaker (11)0.910.361.200.200.670.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Motherwell) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Motherwell over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Motherwell over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heart Of Midlothian over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls87.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls76.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Motherwell
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tawanda Maswanhise40%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos26%
Elijah Just20%
Emmanuel Longelo19%
Elliot Watt18%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Callum Slattery10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Ibrahim Said8%
Liam Gordon6%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Stephen Welsh4%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Callum Slattery26%
Elliot Watt21%
Callum Hendry19%
Liam Gordon18%
Emmanuel Longelo17%
Ibrahim Said16%
Paul McGinn12%
Elijah Just11%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Sam Nicholson10%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Stephen Welsh7%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos5%
Johnny Koutroumbis4%
Oscar Priestman4%
Stephen O'Donnell3%
Tawanda Maswanhise3%
Calum Ward3%
Jordan McGhee0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Eythor Bjørgolfsson22%
Callum Slattery19%
Elijah Just17%
Emmanuel Longelo11%
Tom Sparrow11%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos11%
Elliot Watt9%
Regan Charles-Cook8%
Lukas Fadinger6%
Stephen O'Donnell6%
Tawanda Maswanhise6%
Stephen Welsh4%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Liam Gordon0%
Callum Hendry0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Elijah Just26%
Tawanda Maswanhise26%
Callum Slattery23%
Apostolos Stamatelopoulos16%
Callum Hendry14%
Lukas Fadinger9%
Emmanuel Longelo6%
Johnny Koutroumbis0%
Elliot Watt0%
Regan Charles-Cook0%
Stephen O'Donnell0%
Liam Gordon0%
Paul McGinn0%
Jordan McGhee0%
Sam Nicholson0%
Stephen Welsh0%
Kofi Balmer0%
Calum Ward0%
Ibrahim Said0%
Tom Sparrow0%
Oscar Priestman0%
Eythor Bjørgolfsson0%
Detlef Esapa Osong0%
Luca Ross0%
Heart Of Midlothian
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lawrence Shankland52%
Cláudio Braga32%
Craig Halkett13%
Pierre Landry Kaboré12%
Stuart Findlay12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Alexandros Kyziridis11%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Stephen Kingsley10%
Blair Spittal8%
Marc Leonard8%
Cameron Devlin7%
Oisin McEntee7%
Frankie Kent5%
Harry Milne3%
Craig Gordon0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Craig Halkett30%
Harry Milne27%
Marc Leonard23%
Cameron Devlin21%
Christian Borchgrevink20%
Oisin McEntee18%
Stuart Findlay15%
Ageu14%
Lawrence Shankland14%
Alexandros Kyziridis13%
Michael Steinwender12%
Blair Spittal12%
Tomas Magnusson11%
Frankie Kent10%
Islam Chesnokov10%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Beni Baningime8%
Alan Forrest8%
Jordi Altena6%
Cláudio Braga5%
Jamie McCart5%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Craig Gordon0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Rogers Mato0%
James Wilson0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marc Leonard23%
Harry Milne20%
Alexandros Kyziridis18%
Sabah Kerjota11%
Oisin McEntee11%
Lawrence Shankland10%
Blair Spittal8%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Cláudio Braga8%
Michael Steinwender6%
Jordi Altena6%
Stephen Kingsley5%
Beni Baningime4%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Frankie Kent0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Lawrence Shankland45%
Cláudio Braga39%
Pierre Landry Kaboré8%
Marc Leonard8%
Harry Milne7%
Alexandros Kyziridis5%
Stuart Findlay3%
Craig Gordon0%
Cameron Devlin0%
Michael Steinwender0%
Frankie Kent0%
Stephen Kingsley0%
Beni Baningime0%
Alexander Schwolow0%
Tomas Magnusson0%
Elton Kabangu0%
Zander Clark0%
Craig Halkett0%
Jamie McCart0%
Alan Forrest0%
Blair Spittal0%
Christian Borchgrevink0%
Oisin McEntee0%
Islam Chesnokov0%
Rogers Mato0%
Ageu0%
James Wilson0%
Jordi Altena0%
Sabah Kerjota0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
ARB (15)
€1m
Motherwell's squad is €6m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€16m vs €22m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
ARB (3)
€0m
Motherwell's attack is €3m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€10m vs €12m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
Motherwell's midfield is €3m less valuable than Heart Of Midlothian's (€1m vs €4m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
ARB (7)
€0m
Motherwell and Heart Of Midlothian have a similar defence value (both €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
MOT wins
3
Draws
4
HOM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Motherwell vs Heart Of Midlothian · H/A from MOT
DateH/AGameScore
11/04/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT3-1
29/11/25HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
23/08/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT3-3
10/05/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT3-0
12/04/25HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian0-0
02/01/25AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT1-0
25/08/24HMOT Vs Heart Of Midlothian3-1
17/02/24AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT2-0

MotherwellMotherwell

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/05/26AFalkirk Vs MOT1-0
26/04/26ARangers Vs MOT2-3
11/04/26AHeart Of Midlothian Vs MOT3-1
04/04/26HMOT Vs Falkirk2-3
21/03/26HMOT Vs Hibernian0-0
14/03/26ACeltic Vs MOT3-1
07/03/26ADundee Vs MOT2-1
28/02/26HMOT Vs Dundee Utd2-0
21/02/26AST Mirren Vs MOT0-5
18/02/26AAberdeen Vs MOT2-0

Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/26HHOM Vs Rangers2-1
26/04/26AHibernian Vs HOM1-2
11/04/26HHOM Vs Motherwell3-1
05/04/26ALivingston Vs HOM2-2
21/03/26HHOM Vs Dundee1-0
14/03/26AKilmarnock Vs HOM1-0
28/02/26HHOM Vs Aberdeen1-0
21/02/26HHOM Vs Falkirk1-0
15/02/26ARangers Vs HOM4-2
10/02/26HHOM Vs Hibernian1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Motherwell
Motherwell
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLWL1.70
HomeDWWDL2.12
AwayLLLWL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%62%31%
AVG goals2.462.422.50
Over 1.5 %74%79%69%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %26%21%31%
Scored1.501.751.27
Conceded0.960.671.23
BTTS44%33%54%
Clean Sheet48%67%31%
Corners8.297.858.68
Cards4.624.524.71
Heart Of Midlothian
Heart Of Midlothian
Scotland: Premiership
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWW2.08
HomeWWWWW2.31
AwayLLLDW1.83
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%69%54%
AVG goals2.622.542.71
Over 1.5 %70%69%71%
Over 2.5 %52%46%58%
Over 3.5 %30%27%33%
Scored1.801.881.71
Conceded0.820.651.00
BTTS44%46%42%
Clean Sheet44%46%42%
Corners9.869.919.81
Cards4.414.234.59

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CelticCeltic3882
68%
2.2
7341+32
3.0
82%
68%
42%
10.6
61%
4.1
55%
21.8
37%
116
5620411.91.1
66%
2Heart Of MidlothianHeart Of Midlothian3880
63%
2.1
6734+33
2.7
71%
53%
29%
10.1
63%
4.7
63%
24.3
61%
22
12461.80.9
53%
3RangersRangers3872
53%
1.9
7643+33
3.1
82%
61%
37%
10.6
63%
4.2
58%
25.5
76%
136
3844542.01.1
58%
4MotherwellMotherwell3861
42%
1.6
5936+23
2.5
76%
39%
29%
8.1
32%
4.9
71%
26.3
79%
16
10151.60.9
58%
5HibernianHibernian3857
39%
1.5
5844+14
2.7
76%
55%
29%
10.6
68%
4.4
61%
23.2
66%
20
7851.51.2
47%
6FalkirkFalkirk3849
37%
1.3
5062-12
2.9
74%
58%
34%
9.6
53%
4.2
63%
25.3
76%
6
2131.31.6
51%
7Dundee UtdDundee Utd3845
26%
1.2
4960-11
2.9
89%
50%
34%
10.0
55%
4.2
61%
22.8
53%
11
4341.31.6
42%
8DundeeDundee3842
29%
1.1
4261-19
2.7
71%
58%
34%
9.5
61%
3.7
51%
22.9
55%
5
1221.11.6
44%
9AberdeenAberdeen3840
29%
1.1
4055-15
2.5
74%
34%
24%
10.0
58%
4.9
69%
26.4
95%
15
4471.11.4
48%
10KilmarnockKilmarnock3840
26%
1.1
5068-18
3.1
84%
66%
42%
9.7
53%
4.5
71%
25.0
74%
7
3231.31.8
42%
11ST MirrenST Mirren4038
22%
0.9
3256-24
2.2
68%
30%
15%
11.1
71%
3.3
38%
22.3
58%
8
1330.81.4
46%
12LivingstonLivingston3821
5%
0.6
4075-35
3.0
84%
63%
39%
10.4
58%
4.2
65%
25.2
71%
4
1111.12.0
45%
13PartickPartick45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
3.5
50%
-
0%
3
1111.01.0
-
14DunfermlineDunfermline45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
25%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
4
2020.80.8
50%
15ArbroathArbroath21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
9.0
50%
6.0
100%
22.5
100%
1
0000.00.5
50%
Scotland: Premiership 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Premiership stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches