This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Den Bosch
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.33
1.50
1.43
1.25
1.25
vs Stronger (6)
1.83
1.50
2.25
1.00
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (24)
1.25
1.29
1.20
1.60
1.29
1.07
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.5%
Under 1.5
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.1%
Under 2.5
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
22.2%
Under 3.5
77.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.3%
2-1 ✓
8.6%
0-1
8.4%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
MVV goals ↓
Den Bosch goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
10%
8.4%
5.2%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.5%
0.7%
2
8.0%
8.6%
4.6%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.5%
3.8%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.2%
1.3%
0.7%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = MVV goals (down), columns = Den Bosch goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Waalwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Eemdijk
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
ADO '20
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Groningen
1.50
TEC
1.50
MVV
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
Telstar
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Dovo
1.33
Kolping Boys
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
HBC
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
EVV
1.00
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Willem II
0.50
Laar
0.00
ACV
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Roda
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
HHC
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
UNA
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Huizen
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
GOES
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
URK
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DEM
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
SVBO
0.00
MVV is 1.50 points better than Den Bosch in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
Waalwijk
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
ACV
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
Twente
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
TEC
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HBC
2.00
URK
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Eemdijk
1.75
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Kolping Boys
1.67
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Willem II
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Heracles
1.40
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Roda
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
UNA
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Huizen
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
DEM
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
SVBO
1.00
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Laar
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Emmen
0.00
TOGB
0.00
HHC
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
EVV
0.00
MVV is 0.50 goals better than Den Bosch in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
HHC
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Gemert
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Waalwijk
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
MVV
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Forum Sport
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Capelle
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
Huizen
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
HBC
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
DEM
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Willem II
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Eemdijk
2.50
Twente
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
TEC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SVBO
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
TOGB
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
UNA
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
GOES
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
URK
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
MVV is 0.50 goals better than Den Bosch in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
MVV
For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 12.0 · Total 23.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Den Bosch
For 5.3 · Against 6.7 · Total 12.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.5 · Against 9.1 · Total 21.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
MVV
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
9.8
9.7
3.0
3.2
2.9
20.5
21.6
19.5
vs Stronger (9)
10.3
9.6
11.2
3.0
2.2
4.0
18.4
18.2
18.8
vs Similar (41)
9.6
9.9
9.4
3.0
3.4
2.7
21.0
22.4
19.6
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
50%
52%
48%
32%
32%
32%
44%
56%
32%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
68%
68%
68%
56%
44%
68%
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Den Bosch
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.5
10.5
10.4
3.6
3.3
3.9
21.7
21.1
22.3
vs Stronger (10)
11.3
12.5
9.5
3.9
3.3
4.8
21.1
21.0
21.2
vs Similar (40)
10.2
9.8
10.6
3.5
3.3
3.7
21.9
21.2
22.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
66%
68%
64%
50%
48%
52%
52%
44%
60%
% under line
34%
32%
36%
50%
52%
48%
48%
56%
40%
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.4
Cambuur
11.3
Vitesse
11.2
FC Volendam
11.1
Sparta Rotterdam
11.0
Dordrecht
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Utrecht
10.6
De Graafschap
10.6
Feyenoord
10.5
Waalwijk
10.5
FC Eindhoven
10.5
Den Bosch
10.5
Heerenveen
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC OSS
10.4
ADO Den Haag
10.3
GO Ahead Eagles
10.3
Willem II
10.3
Emmen
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.2
Groningen
10.2
PSV Eindhoven
10.1
PEC Zwolle
10.1
Almere City FC
10.0
Roda
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Twente
9.8
MVV
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cambuur
4.4
Feyenoord
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
Telstar
4.0
Roda
4.0
Den Bosch
4.0
ADO Den Haag
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
Almere City FC
3.9
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Heracles
3.8
VVV Venlo
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Twente
3.8
Willem II
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Emmen
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC OSS
3.5
Utrecht
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
MVV
3.4
De Graafschap
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Heerenveen
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Dordrecht
23.8
Emmen
23.5
ADO Den Haag
23.4
Almere City FC
23.1
Cambuur
22.7
Vitesse
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.6
FC OSS
22.4
Roda
22.2
Heracles
22.1
Helmond Sport
21.8
NAC Breda
21.7
Den Bosch
21.7
Groningen
21.7
Twente
21.3
Fortuna Sittard
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
20.8
Utrecht
20.6
MVV
20.5
FC Eindhoven
20.5
AZ Alkmaar
20.4
Feyenoord
20.3
PEC Zwolle
20.3
Willem II
20.3
Ajax
19.7
Waalwijk
19.5
Heerenveen
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
FC Volendam
19.2
De Graafschap
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Excelsior
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.7%
Under 9.5
41.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
65.4%
Under 3.5
34.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
68.7%
Under 21.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
MVV or Draw✓ Hit
71.1%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers MVV + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
MVV or Den Bosch✓ Hit
70.0%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers MVV + Den Bosch
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Den Bosch✗ Miss
58.9%
Avg Implied -
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Den Bosch
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
MVV over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
73.5%
Under
26.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
38.3%
Under
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.9%
Under
85.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.6%
Under
95.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.9%
Under
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.2%
Under
70.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.5%
Under
90.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to MVV, so a minus line means MVV give that many goals of a start and Den Bosch receive them. At -1, MVV must win by two or more to land; a one-goal MVV win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (MVV)Actual: Den Bosch
MVV -2
7.0%
Draw -2
12.5%
Den Bosch +2
80.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (MVV)Actual: Draw
MVV -1
19.5%
Draw -1
21.6%
Den Bosch +1
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (MVV)Actual: MVV
MVV +1
71.1%
Draw +1
17.2%
Den Bosch -1
11.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (MVV)Actual: MVV
MVV +2
88.3%
Draw +2
8.2%
Den Bosch -2
3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
MVV
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.80
0.60
0.27
0.93
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.20
0.50
1.00
0.67
1.33
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.68
0.85
0.54
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Den Bosch
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.57
0.57
0.56
0.31
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.17
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
0.57
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
MVV
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
1.20
0.73
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (5)
1.60
1.20
2.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (25)
1.00
0.84
1.00
0.62
1.00
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Den Bosch) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Den Bosch
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.90
0.93
0.86
0.69
0.94
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.25
1.00
0.50
2.00
vs Similar (24)
0.75
0.79
0.80
0.80
0.71
0.79
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (MVV) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
MVV over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
MVV over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Den Bosch over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
80.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
73.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 8.5 corners
70.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
MVV
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sven Braken25%
Luca Foubert25%
Camil Mmaee23%
Nabil El Basri15%
Stan Van Dessel14%
Ilano Silva Timas14%
Bryan Smeets14%
Rayan Buifrahi9%
Ferre Slegers7%
Robert Klaasen6%
Andrea Librici5%
Ozgur Aktas4%
Robyn Esajas3%
Wout Coomans3%
Marko Kleinen3%
Tim Zeegers0%
Romain Matthys0%
Lars Schenk0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Saul Penders0%
Milan Hofland0%
Simon Francis0%
Djairo Tehubyuluw0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Tim Zeegers26%
Ozgur Aktas25%
Milan Hofland25%
Bryan Smeets19%
Wout Coomans19%
Sven Braken17%
Marko Kleinen16%
Djairo Tehubyuluw15%
Lars Schenk15%
Robyn Esajas14%
Ayman Kassimi11%
Camil Mmaee10%
Rayan Buifrahi9%
Saul Penders8%
Nabil El Basri5%
Andrea Librici5%
Simon Francis4%
Ilano Silva Timas3%
Romain Matthys2%
Robert Klaasen0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Luca Foubert0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Smeets28%
Ilano Silva Timas14%
Ayman Kassimi11%
Andrea Librici10%
Sven Braken8%
Djairo Tehubyuluw8%
Camil Mmaee7%
Lars Schenk6%
Robyn Esajas6%
Marko Kleinen5%
Nabil El Basri5%
Ferre Slegers4%
Tim Zeegers3%
Rayan Buifrahi3%
Robert Klaasen0%
Ozgur Aktas0%
Romain Matthys0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Saul Penders0%
Wout Coomans0%
Luca Foubert0%
Milan Hofland0%
Simon Francis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Sven Braken28%
Camil Mmaee23%
Bryan Smeets11%
Rayan Buifrahi9%
Ilano Silva Timas9%
Ozgur Aktas4%
Robyn Esajas3%
Nabil El Basri3%
Robert Klaasen0%
Tim Zeegers0%
Romain Matthys0%
Stan Van Dessel0%
Marko Kleinen0%
Lars Schenk0%
Ayman Kassimi0%
Saul Penders0%
Wout Coomans0%
Luca Foubert0%
Andrea Librici0%
Milan Hofland0%
Ferre Slegers0%
Simon Francis0%
Djairo Tehubyuluw0%
Den Bosch
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sebastian Karlsson Grach50%
Byron Burgering21%
Törles Knöll19%
Konstantinos Doumtsios18%
Danzell Gravenberch16%
Vieri Kotzebue16%
Thijs van Leeuwen13%
Denzel Kuijpers11%
Ilias Boumassaoudi10%
Nick de Groot9%
Teun van Grunsven9%
Kévin Monzialo6%
Mikuláš Bakaľa5%
Stan Henderikx5%
Mees Laros5%
Hicham Acheffay5%
Rik Mulders4%
Rein van Hedel4%
Sheddy Barglan4%
Danny Verbeek4%
Victor van den Bogert0%
Mees Bakker0%
Markus Soomets0%
Stan Maas0%
Pepijn van de Merbel0%
Zaid el Bakkali0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikuláš Bakaľa26%
Stan Henderikx22%
Ilias Boumassaoudi20%
Sheddy Barglan19%
Törles Knöll19%
Danny Verbeek19%
Teun van Grunsven18%
Kévin Monzialo18%
Thijs van Leeuwen17%
Victor van den Bogert17%
Rik Mulders12%
Hicham Acheffay10%
Byron Burgering10%
Nick de Groot9%
Konstantinos Doumtsios9%
Rein van Hedel8%
Mees Laros7%
Markus Soomets5%
Denzel Kuijpers5%
Stan Maas5%
Danzell Gravenberch3%
Mees Bakker0%
Pepijn van de Merbel0%
Sebastian Karlsson Grach0%
Vieri Kotzebue0%
Zaid el Bakkali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Byron Burgering26%
Kévin Monzialo18%
Rik Mulders16%
Danzell Gravenberch13%
Törles Knöll12%
Danny Verbeek11%
Vieri Kotzebue11%
Stan Maas10%
Thijs van Leeuwen9%
Mees Laros7%
Nick de Groot7%
Hicham Acheffay5%
Victor van den Bogert4%
Rein van Hedel4%
Mikuláš Bakaľa3%
Konstantinos Doumtsios0%
Teun van Grunsven0%
Mees Bakker0%
Markus Soomets0%
Pepijn van de Merbel0%
Sebastian Karlsson Grach0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Sheddy Barglan0%
Ilias Boumassaoudi0%
Denzel Kuijpers0%
Zaid el Bakkali0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Byron Burgering36%
Sebastian Karlsson Grach25%
Törles Knöll19%
Danzell Gravenberch11%
Vieri Kotzebue11%
Ilias Boumassaoudi10%
Danny Verbeek4%
Hicham Acheffay2%
Konstantinos Doumtsios0%
Victor van den Bogert0%
Teun van Grunsven0%
Mees Bakker0%
Kévin Monzialo0%
Mikuláš Bakaľa0%
Markus Soomets0%
Rik Mulders0%
Thijs van Leeuwen0%
Stan Maas0%
Pepijn van de Merbel0%
Nick de Groot0%
Stan Henderikx0%
Rein van Hedel0%
Sheddy Barglan0%
Mees Laros0%
Denzel Kuijpers0%
Zaid el Bakkali0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
MVV and Den Bosch have a similar squad value (both €4m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
MVV's attack is €1m less valuable than Den Bosch's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
MVV and Den Bosch have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
MVV and Den Bosch have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Netherlands: Eerste Divisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eerste Divisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
FC Volendam
Excelsior
Cambuur
ADO Den Haag
Dordrecht
De Graafschap
Telstar
Emmen
Jong AZ
FC Eindhoven
Roda
Helmond Sport
Vitesse
VVV Venlo
FC OSS
Jong Ajax
Jong PSV U21
Jong Utrecht