This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
3.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
2.03
1.71
2.00
0.75
2.06
vs Stronger (13)
0.92
2.54
1.25
2.12
0.40
3.20
vs Similar (17)
1.41
1.65
2.33
1.83
0.91
1.55
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
68.0%
Under 1.5
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
40.2%
Under 2.5
59.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
19.9%
Under 3.5
80.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.3%
No
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
13.1%
0-0
11.4%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.4%
3-0
4.8%
NAC Breda goals ↓
Heracles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
7.6%
3.8%
1.1%
0.2%
1
13%
14%
5.4%
1.6%
0.3%
2
10%
8.9%
3.9%
1.1%
0.2%
3
4.8%
4.2%
1.8%
0.5%
0.1%
4
1.7%
1.5%
0.7%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NAC Breda goals (down), columns = Heracles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
Heerenveen
2.33
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Utrecht
2.25
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Heracles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
De Graafschap
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Blauw Geel
1.67
Hercules
1.67
FC Volendam
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
Groningen
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Ajax
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Twente
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Dovo
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Spakenburg
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Hoogeveen
0.99
Walcheren
0.99
Dongen
0.99
ARC
0.99
Groene Ster
0.99
Halsteren
0.99
Velocitas
0.99
Sportclub 25
0.99
't Zand
0.99
Westlandia
0.99
Erp
0.99
AWC
0.99
VV Scherpenzeel
0.99
HZVV
0.99
Staphorst
0.99
Roosendaal
0.99
DVO
0.99
Zwaluwen
0.99
Heino
0.99
VVOG
0.99
Kampong
0.99
Aalsmeer
0.99
De Foresters
0.99
Mierlo-Hout
0.99
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
URK
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ACV
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Huizen
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
HHC
0.00
UNA
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
Roda
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
NAC Breda is 2.20 points worse than Heracles in terms of average points per game (0.00 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Barendrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Utrecht
3.00
De Graafschap
2.67
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
FC Volendam
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
Blauw Geel
2.33
Hercules
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Katwijk
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
GOES
2.00
URK
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Feyenoord
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
TEC
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
MVV
1.50
Hoogeveen
1.42
Walcheren
1.42
Dongen
1.42
ARC
1.42
Groene Ster
1.42
Halsteren
1.42
Velocitas
1.42
Sportclub 25
1.42
't Zand
1.42
Westlandia
1.42
Erp
1.42
AWC
1.42
VV Scherpenzeel
1.42
HZVV
1.42
Staphorst
1.42
Roosendaal
1.42
DVO
1.42
Zwaluwen
1.42
Heino
1.42
VVOG
1.42
Kampong
1.42
Aalsmeer
1.42
De Foresters
1.42
Mierlo-Hout
1.42
Heracles
1.40
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
SC Genemuiden
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
De Treffers
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
UNA
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
Roda
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Almere City FC
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
NAC Breda is 0.40 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ASWH
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
Telstar
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Ajax
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Gemert
1.00
HHC
1.00
Utrecht
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Blauw Geel
1.33
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Volendam
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Hercules
1.67
Excelsior
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Hoogeveen
1.95
Walcheren
1.95
Dongen
1.95
ARC
1.95
Groene Ster
1.95
Halsteren
1.95
Velocitas
1.95
Sportclub 25
1.95
't Zand
1.95
Westlandia
1.95
Erp
1.95
AWC
1.95
VV Scherpenzeel
1.95
HZVV
1.95
Staphorst
1.95
Roosendaal
1.95
DVO
1.95
Zwaluwen
1.95
Heino
1.95
VVOG
1.95
Kampong
1.95
Aalsmeer
1.95
De Foresters
1.95
Mierlo-Hout
1.95
Willem II
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Capelle
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Groningen
2.00
Huizen
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Twente
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Almere City FC
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
TEC
3.00
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
De Treffers
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
TOGB
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
UNA
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
ACV
5.00
NAC Breda is 1.60 goals worse than Heracles in terms of goals conceded per game (2.00 vs 0.40).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NAC Breda
For 4.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.2 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 13.4 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heracles
For 3.6 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.3 · Against 9.9 · Total 22.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NAC Breda
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.6
9.2
3.6
4.2
3.0
21.3
21.5
21.1
vs Stronger (19)
9.3
10.5
8.4
4.1
4.5
3.7
23.9
22.4
25.0
vs Similar (31)
9.5
9.2
9.8
3.3
4.0
2.5
19.7
21.1
18.1
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
46%
24%
48%
58%
38%
47%
50%
44%
% under line
65%
54%
76%
52%
42%
62%
53%
50%
56%
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.5
9.8
2.8
3.4
2.2
23.2
23.2
23.1
vs Stronger (19)
9.5
9.8
9.3
2.7
3.8
1.4
22.2
22.5
22.0
vs Similar (31)
10.5
10.9
10.1
2.9
3.2
2.7
23.7
23.6
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
59%
48%
30%
44%
16%
67%
64%
70%
% under line
47%
41%
52%
70%
56%
84%
33%
36%
30%
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Gemert
16.0
Sparta Nijkerk
14.0
GVVV Veenendaal
12.0
Den Bosch
11.7
Waalwijk
11.6
Dordrecht
11.4
VVV Venlo
11.4
GO Ahead Eagles
11.2
FC OSS
11.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.8
Almere City FC
10.7
MVV
10.6
Vitesse
10.6
Sparta Rotterdam
10.5
Heracles
10.5
Willem II
10.5
NEC Nijmegen
10.4
Telstar
10.4
FC Volendam
10.3
Helmond Sport
10.3
De Graafschap
10.3
Fortuna Sittard
10.2
Emmen
10.1
Cambuur
10.0
Utrecht
9.9
Roda
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.8
Feyenoord
9.7
Excelsior
9.7
ADO Den Haag
9.6
NAC Breda
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.5
FC Eindhoven
9.4
Heerenveen
9.4
Twente
9.2
Groningen
9.1
Ajax
9.0
HHC
8.0
Katwijk
4.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sparta Nijkerk
6.0
GVVV Veenendaal
5.0
AZ Alkmaar
4.7
Ajax
4.4
Cambuur
4.3
ADO Den Haag
4.2
Twente
4.1
Dordrecht
4.0
Vitesse
4.0
Emmen
4.0
Gemert
4.0
HHC
4.0
FC OSS
4.0
NEC Nijmegen
3.9
Groningen
3.9
Excelsior
3.8
NAC Breda
3.7
Roda
3.7
Feyenoord
3.7
Den Bosch
3.7
Fortuna Sittard
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
GO Ahead Eagles
3.6
PSV Eindhoven
3.6
De Graafschap
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.5
Heracles
3.5
FC Eindhoven
3.4
VVV Venlo
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
Telstar
3.4
MVV
3.4
Heerenveen
3.3
Almere City FC
3.3
Willem II
3.2
Waalwijk
3.0
Katwijk
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
GVVV Veenendaal
31.0
FC OSS
28.4
Cambuur
27.1
Helmond Sport
27.0
ADO Den Haag
26.8
Vitesse
26.7
Emmen
26.0
Dordrecht
26.0
Telstar
25.4
Ajax
24.5
MVV
24.1
Sparta Nijkerk
24.0
HHC
24.0
Roda
23.8
FC Volendam
23.7
VVV Venlo
23.4
Den Bosch
23.3
De Graafschap
23.2
Heracles
23.2
Gemert
23.0
Fortuna Sittard
22.9
NEC Nijmegen
22.7
AZ Alkmaar
22.6
Excelsior
22.4
Twente
22.4
FC Eindhoven
22.2
Utrecht
22.0
PEC Zwolle
21.9
Heerenveen
21.5
Groningen
21.4
NAC Breda
21.3
Feyenoord
21.0
Almere City FC
20.4
Willem II
20.1
GO Ahead Eagles
20.1
Waalwijk
19.4
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Sparta Rotterdam
17.9
Katwijk
16.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
59.5%
Under 9.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.1%
Under 3.5
50.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
74.6%
Under 21.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NAC Breda or Draw✗ Miss
78.2%
Avg Implied -
49%
30%
22%
covers NAC Breda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda or Heracles✓ Hit
70.4%
Avg Implied -
49%
30%
22%
covers NAC Breda + Heracles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Heracles✓ Hit
51.4%
Avg Implied -
49%
30%
22%
covers Draw + Heracles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.8%
Under
24.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
41.5%
Under
58.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
Under
82.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
Under
94.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
58.1%
Under
41.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
21.7%
Under
78.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
1.2%
Under
98.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NAC Breda, so a minus line means NAC Breda give that many goals of a start and Heracles receive them. At -1, NAC Breda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NAC Breda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NAC Breda)Actual: Heracles
NAC Breda -2
9.5%
Draw -2
15.1%
Heracles +2
75.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NAC Breda)Actual: Heracles
NAC Breda -1
24.6%
Draw -1
24.0%
Heracles +1
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NAC Breda)Actual: Heracles
NAC Breda +1
78.2%
Draw +1
14.2%
Heracles -1
7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NAC Breda)Actual: Heracles
NAC Breda +2
92.5%
Draw +2
5.7%
Heracles -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NAC Breda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.77
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.93
vs Stronger (13)
0.54
0.62
0.75
0.00
0.44
0.89
vs Similar (17)
0.53
0.88
0.55
0.82
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.00
0.79
1.00
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.38
0.62
1.25
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.71
1.00
0.67
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NAC Breda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
1.03
0.60
0.87
0.47
1.20
vs Stronger (13)
0.23
1.23
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.88
0.82
0.82
0.67
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Heracles) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heracles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.03
0.93
1.00
0.31
1.06
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.15
0.62
0.88
0.20
1.60
vs Similar (17)
0.71
0.94
1.33
1.17
0.36
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
37% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NAC Breda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NAC Breda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NAC Breda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heracles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap
92.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
84.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
80.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
75.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 8.5 corners
71.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
70.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
70.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NAC Breda
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sydney van Hooijdonk21%
Moussa Soumano19%
Mohamed Nassoh17%
Boy Kemper15%
Juho Talvitie11%
Raul Paula9%
Charles-Andreas Brym8%
Leo Greiml7%
Pepijn Reulen6%
André Ayew6%
Boyd Lucassen5%
Lewis Holtby3%
Clint Leemans3%
Kamal Sowah3%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Rio Hillen0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rio Hillen35%
Leo Greiml20%
Cherrion Valerius17%
Charles-Andreas Brym16%
Denis Odoi16%
Mohamed Nassoh14%
Clint Leemans12%
Enes Mahmutović12%
Maximilien Balard12%
Brahim Ghalidi10%
Boy Kemper9%
Daniel Bielica9%
Raul Paula9%
Kamal Sowah9%
Lewis Holtby6%
Pepijn Reulen6%
André Ayew6%
Sydney van Hooijdonk5%
Terence Kongolo0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Juho Talvitie0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lewis Holtby16%
Charles-Andreas Brym16%
Amine Salama12%
Boy Kemper9%
Raul Paula9%
Fredrik Jensen8%
Juho Talvitie7%
Rio Hillen4%
Mohamed Nassoh3%
Cherrion Valerius3%
Maximilien Balard3%
Kamal Sowah3%
André Ayew0%
Leo Greiml0%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Clint Leemans0%
Sydney van Hooijdonk0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Enes Mahmutović0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Dion Versluis0%
Moussa Soumano0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Moussa Soumano31%
Sydney van Hooijdonk26%
André Ayew18%
Charles-Andreas Brym12%
Juho Talvitie11%
Mohamed Nassoh10%
Lewis Holtby10%
Raul Paula9%
Clint Leemans6%
Enes Mahmutović6%
Boy Kemper6%
Kamal Sowah6%
Rio Hillen4%
Leo Greiml0%
Denis Odoi0%
Terence Kongolo0%
Fredrik Jensen0%
Daniel Bielica0%
Boyd Lucassen0%
Maximilien Balard0%
Jayden Candelaria0%
Brahim Ghalidi0%
Amine Salama0%
Dion Versluis0%
Cherrion Valerius0%
Pepijn Reulen0%
Heracles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jizz Hornkamp47%
Yvandro Borges Sanches25%
Luka Kulenović19%
Lequincio Zeefuik14%
Ajdin Hrustić13%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Mike te Wierik8%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck7%
Walid Ould-Chikh7%
Thomas Bruns7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Ivan Mesík6%
Damon Mirani6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Mario Engels4%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Jan Žambůrek24%
Mimeirhel Benita23%
Ivan Mesík21%
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Sem Scheperman19%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck19%
Damon Mirani17%
Jannes Wieckhoff14%
Jizz Hornkamp13%
Rhys Bozinovski12%
Mario Engels11%
Walid Ould-Chikh11%
Thomas Bruns11%
Tristan van Gilst10%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Djevencio van der Kust9%
Mike te Wierik8%
Luka Kulenović6%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Remko Pasveer0%
Erik Ahlstrand0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ajdin Hrustić20%
Walid Ould-Chikh19%
Bryan Limbombe16%
Djevencio van der Kust13%
Naci Ünüvar10%
Luka Kulenović9%
Yvandro Borges Sanches8%
Mario Engels7%
Jizz Hornkamp7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Jan Žambůrek3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Mike te Wierik0%
Thomas Bruns0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Sava Arangel Čestić0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Tristan van Gilst0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jizz Hornkamp40%
Lequincio Zeefuik36%
Luka Kulenović22%
Sava Arangel Čestić12%
Tristan van Gilst7%
Erik Ahlstrand7%
Sem Scheperman6%
Mike te Wierik4%
Bryan Limbombe4%
Alec Van Hoorenbeeck4%
Thomas Bruns4%
Ajdin Hrustić3%
Ivan Mesík3%
Jan Žambůrek0%
Mario Engels0%
Remko Pasveer0%
Damon Mirani0%
Walid Ould-Chikh0%
Fabian de Keijzer0%
Djevencio van der Kust0%
Naci Ünüvar0%
Jannes Wieckhoff0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Rhys Bozinovski0%
Timo Jansink0%
Sil Blokhuis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
NAC Breda's squad is €2m more valuable than Heracles's (€10m vs €8m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
NAC Breda and Heracles have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Ajax
NEC Nijmegen
Twente
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
Groningen
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
GO Ahead Eagles
Excelsior
Telstar
PEC Zwolle
FC Volendam