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Nacional vs Arouca Result & Analysis

Date: 01/02/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-2
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
43%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✗ Miss
43.4%
Avg Implied 37.2% · @ 2.52
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 29.7% · @ 3.16
Edge
-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arouca win✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied 33.1% · @ 2.84
Edge
-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L00D12L10W02L22D12L20W31W02LA·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01H·AVS19/01A·SPO25/01
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.201.641.070.941.31
vs Stronger (9)1.331.781.672.000.671.33
vs Similar (21)1.240.951.620.381.001.31
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AroucaArouca

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D12L02L12L10W13L11D31W22D10WA·FAM09/11H·FAR23/11H·BEN01/12A·EST09/12H·SAN15/12A·CAS20/12H·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.530.861.211.311.81
vs Stronger (9)0.782.440.402.201.252.75
vs Similar (19)1.111.161.000.621.181.55
vs Weaker (2)2.501.002.001.003.001.00
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
55.7%
@ 2.20+12.8%
Under 2.5
44.3%
@ 1.65-12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.3%
Under 3.5
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.4%
No
40.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
7.6%
1-2 ✓
7.4%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
0-1
6.0%
Nacional goals ↓
Arouca goals →
01234
06.6%6.0%4.6%2.0%0.7%
17.6%13%7.4%3.2%1.1%
27.0%9.2%6.0%2.6%0.8%
33.8%4.9%3.2%1.4%0.5%
41.5%2.0%1.3%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Arouca goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
FC Porto
2.09
SC Braga
1.94
Santa Clara
1.68
Guimaraes
1.59
Famalicao
1.38
Estoril
1.35
Casa Pia
1.32
Moreirense
1.18
Rio Ave
1.12
Arouca
1.12
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
1.00
AVS
0.86
Estrela
0.85
Farense
0.79
Boavista
0.71
Vizela
0.50
Nacional is 0.12 points worse than Arouca in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 1.12).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.59
Benfica
2.47
FC Porto
1.91
SC Braga
1.62
Estoril
1.41
Guimaraes
1.38
Famalicao
1.29
Moreirense
1.24
Casa Pia
1.15
Rio Ave
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Arouca
1.03
Vizela
1.00
GIL Vicente
1.00
Nacional
0.94
AVS
0.83
Farense
0.74
Estrela
0.71
Boavista
0.71
Nacional is 0.09 goals worse than Arouca in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sporting CP
0.79
Benfica
0.82
FC Porto
0.88
SC Braga
0.88
Santa Clara
0.94
Guimaraes
1.09
Famalicao
1.15
Casa Pia
1.29
Farense
1.35
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.44
Moreirense
1.47
Estrela
1.47
Nacional
1.47
Estoril
1.56
Rio Ave
1.62
AVS
1.72
Boavista
1.74
Vizela
2.50
Nacional is 0.03 goals worse than Arouca in terms of goals conceded per game (1.47 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Vizela
71%
FC Porto
62%
Sporting CP
60%
Benfica
58%
SC Braga
57%
Guimaraes
57%
Arouca
53%
GIL Vicente
51%
Famalicao
50%
Estoril
49%
Rio Ave
48%
Moreirense
47%
Nacional
47%
Casa Pia
47%
Estrela
45%
Santa Clara
44%
AVS
43%
Farense
41%
Boavista
40%
Nacional is 5.3 percentage points worse than Arouca in terms of average possession (47% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 4.3 · Against 7.6 · Total 11.9

🚩 Corners

1702646110611174111027647410810111781512131114A·SPOH·AVSH·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

901124361112434312112691263732A·SPOH·AVSH·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.5

⚠️ Fouls

3001612121481114101115129141617131415121028261924262130302922A·SPOH·AVSH·FC A·RIOA·GUIH·BENH·MORA·GILH·BOAA·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AroucaArouca

For 6.6 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

16010259335743727256841241214612799111216H·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GILA·CASH·SANA·ESTH·BENA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.4

🟨 Cards

13033176132222423353234131546585H·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GILA·CASH·SANA·ESTH·BENA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.8

⚠️ Fouls

350181191318821111291718191215101319101529222632213531253225H·MORA·GUIA·BOAH·GILA·CASH·SANA·ESTH·BENA·FAMH·SC
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.310.312.14.84.94.727.526.128.7
vs Stronger (11)10.611.210.04.54.34.625.322.028.0
vs Similar (38)11.510.212.74.95.24.728.227.328.9
vs Weaker (1)9.09.0-4.04.0-24.024.0-
% over line63%55%70%68%75%62%79%75%82%
% under line37%45%30%32%25%38%21%25%18%
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AroucaArouca

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.610.25.35.25.326.326.526.2
vs Stronger (15)10.19.411.25.75.75.724.425.622.7
vs Similar (30)10.310.210.44.54.54.527.327.127.4
vs Weaker (5)6.86.57.09.08.59.326.827.526.3
% over line56%61%52%72%71%73%79%83%76%
% under line44%39%48%28%29%27%21%17%24%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Farense
11.6
Nacional
11.2
Guimaraes
10.9
Benfica
10.7
AVS
10.5
Estrela
10.4
SC Braga
10.2
FC Porto
10.1
Rio Ave
10.1
Estoril
10.0
Vizela
9.9
Arouca
9.8
Casa Pia
9.8
Famalicao
9.8
GIL Vicente
9.3
Sporting CP
9.2
Moreirense
9.1
Boavista
9.1
Santa Clara
8.5

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.5
FC Porto
5.9
Boavista
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Guimaraes
5.8
Arouca
5.5
AVS
5.3
Rio Ave
5.3
Estoril
5.2
SC Braga
5.1
Farense
5.1
Nacional
5.0
Vizela
4.8
Moreirense
4.8
Estrela
4.8
GIL Vicente
4.8
Benfica
4.7
Sporting CP
4.5
Casa Pia
4.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
30.3
Moreirense
28.6
Santa Clara
28.6
Rio Ave
28.5
Estoril
27.7
FC Porto
27.7
Estrela
27.5
Nacional
27.4
Boavista
27.2
Farense
26.8
Guimaraes
26.7
GIL Vicente
26.7
AVS
26.5
Casa Pia
26.3
Arouca
26.2
SC Braga
25.3
Sporting CP
24.9
Vizela
24.4
Benfica
21.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
79.5%
Under 3.5
20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.3%
Under 21.5
16.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D01L00D00D11D11D20W31W01LA·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01H·AVS19/01A·SPO25/01
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.501.290.360.500.62
vs Stronger (9)0.890.441.170.330.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.860.521.380.380.540.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AroucaArouca

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L01L10W00D02L00D10W02L00DA·FAM09/11H·FAR23/11H·BEN01/12A·EST09/12H·SAN15/12A·CAS20/12H·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.670.500.430.620.88
vs Stronger (9)0.331.000.200.800.501.25
vs Similar (19)0.580.580.500.250.640.82
vs Weaker (2)1.500.002.000.001.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D10W02L11D01L00D00D01LA·EST10/11H·BOA30/11A·GIL07/12H·MOR14/12H·BEN19/12A·GUI23/12A·RIO29/12H·FC 12/01H·AVS19/01A·SPO25/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.700.360.710.440.69
vs Stronger (9)0.441.330.501.670.330.67
vs Similar (21)0.380.430.250.000.460.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Arouca) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AroucaArouca

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L02L10W11D11D21W20W10WA·FAM09/11H·FAR23/11H·BEN01/12A·EST09/12H·SAN15/12A·CAS20/12H·GIL27/12A·BOA04/01A·GUI18/01H·MOR24/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.870.360.790.690.94
vs Stronger (9)0.441.440.201.400.751.50
vs Similar (19)0.530.580.500.380.550.73
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arouca over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards91.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls83.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards79.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls71.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Miguel Baeza20%
Joel Tagueu14%
Dudu13%
Daniel Penha13%
Bruno Costa11%
Isaac11%
Nigel Thomas10%
André Sousa8%
Fuki Yamada8%
Rúben Macedo7%
José Gomes7%
João Aurélio7%
Paulinho Bóia7%
Ulisses7%
Léo Santos6%
Ze Vitor6%
Chiheb Labidi6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Dyego Sousa0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Lucas França0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Adrián Butzke0%
Luís Esteves0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Djibril Soumaré35%
Ze Vitor34%
Nigel Thomas30%
Matheus Dias26%
André Sousa23%
Léo Santos19%
Adrián Butzke18%
Lucas França18%
Luís Esteves18%
Chiheb Labidi17%
Ulisses17%
Gustavo García15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Tiago Reis12%
Arvin Appiah12%
Isaac11%
José Gomes10%
Fuki Yamada8%
Joel Tagueu7%
João Aurélio7%
Daniel Penha6%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Rúben Macedo0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Dudu0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Fuki Yamada15%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Luís Esteves12%
Adrián Butzke9%
Gustavo García9%
Dudu9%
João Aurélio7%
Bruno Costa6%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Matheus Dias4%
Rúben Macedo4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Daniel Penha3%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Tiago Reis0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Ulisses0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Ze Vitor0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tiago Reis25%
Luís Esteves24%
Adrián Butzke18%
Paulinho Bóia13%
Daniel Penha13%
Dudu9%
Rúben Macedo7%
Djibril Soumaré4%
Isaac4%
José Gomes3%
Ulisses3%
Ze Vitor3%
Bruno Costa0%
Dyego Sousa0%
Léo Santos0%
Arvin Appiah0%
Nigel Thomas0%
João Aurélio0%
Joel Tagueu0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Chiheb Labidi0%
Gabriel Santos0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Fuki Yamada0%
Gustavo García0%
Matheus Dias0%
Arouca
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Henrique Araújo25%
Dylan Nandín20%
Jason16%
Alfonso Trezza15%
Güven Yalçın13%
Miguel Puche9%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Morlaye Sylla6%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
David Simão4%
Weverson4%
Chico Lamba4%
Jose Fontán3%
Mamadou Loum0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Matías Rocha0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ivo Rodrigues36%
Jose Fontán34%
David Simão33%
Mateus Quaresma33%
Alex Pinto29%
Chico Lamba23%
Nico Mantl21%
Matías Rocha20%
Pedro Santos19%
Mamadou Loum19%
Güven Yalçın17%
Henrique Araújo17%
Taichi Fukui17%
Jason16%
Morlaye Sylla16%
Weverson15%
Dylan Nandín13%
Alfonso Trezza12%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Amadou Dante6%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
Miguel Puche5%
João Valido0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivo Rodrigues9%
Henrique Araújo8%
Weverson8%
Chico Lamba8%
Alex Pinto7%
Dylan Nandín7%
Taichi Fukui7%
Alfonso Trezza6%
Güven Yalçın4%
Tiago Esgaio4%
Jason3%
Morlaye Sylla3%
Mamadou Loum0%
David Simão0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Miguel Puche0%
Pablo Gozálbez0%
Boris Popović0%
Brian Mansilla0%
Jose Fontán0%
Matías Rocha0%
Pedro Santos0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jason19%
Brian Mansilla17%
Henrique Araújo12%
Morlaye Sylla12%
Alfonso Trezza12%
Tiago Esgaio8%
Dylan Nandín7%
Pablo Gozálbez6%
Miguel Puche5%
Güven Yalçın4%
Mamadou Loum0%
David Simão0%
Ivo Rodrigues0%
Nico Mantl0%
João Valido0%
Alex Pinto0%
Vladislav Morozov0%
Amadou Dante0%
Mateus Quaresma0%
Boris Popović0%
Jose Fontán0%
Weverson0%
Chico Lamba0%
Matías Rocha0%
Taichi Fukui0%
Pedro Santos0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
VIZ (29)
€12m
FAR (24)
€8m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €8m less valuable than Arouca's (€20m vs €28m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
VIZ (13)
€5m
MOR (5)
€5m
FAR (10)
€3m
AVS (8)
€3m
Nacional's attack is €6m less valuable than Arouca's (€6m vs €11m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
VIZ (5)
€2m
FAR (3)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
Nacional's midfield is €3m less valuable than Arouca's (€5m vs €8m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
VIZ (11)
€4m
FAR (11)
€4m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional and Arouca have a similar defence value (both €9m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
0
NAC wins
2
Draws
3
ARO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Arouca · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/24AArouca Vs NAC1-0
28/01/17HNAC Vs Arouca1-1
21/08/16AArouca Vs NAC2-0
01/05/16AArouca Vs NAC3-0
02/01/16HNAC Vs Arouca2-2

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25ASporting CP Vs NAC2-0
19/01/25HNAC Vs AVS3-1
12/01/25HNAC Vs FC Porto2-0
29/12/24ARio Ave Vs NAC2-1
23/12/24AGuimaraes Vs NAC2-2
19/12/24HNAC Vs Benfica0-2
14/12/24HNAC Vs Moreirense1-0
07/12/24AGIL Vicente Vs NAC2-1
30/11/24HNAC Vs Boavista0-0
10/11/24AEstrela Vs NAC2-0

AroucaArouca

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/01/25HARO Vs Moreirense1-0
18/01/25AGuimaraes Vs ARO2-2
04/01/25ABoavista Vs ARO1-3
27/12/24HARO Vs GIL Vicente1-1
20/12/24ACasa Pia Vs ARO3-1
15/12/24HARO Vs Santa Clara1-0
09/12/24AEstrela Vs ARO2-1
01/12/24HARO Vs Benfica0-2
23/11/24HARO Vs Farense1-2
09/11/24AFamalicao Vs ARO0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWL1.68
HomeDWLWW2.29
AwayLLDLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%71%27%
AVG goals2.662.962.38
Over 1.5 %78%88%69%
Over 2.5 %46%50%42%
Over 3.5 %28%33%23%
Scored1.542.001.12
Conceded1.120.961.27
BTTS54%46%62%
Clean Sheet32%46%19%
Corners11.2810.3512.09
Cards4.985.134.84
Arouca
Arouca
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWDW1.24
HomeLLWDW1.29
AwayDLLWD1.19
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%35%
AVG goals2.842.543.12
Over 1.5 %74%71%77%
Over 2.5 %62%54%69%
Over 3.5 %34%21%46%
Scored1.361.171.54
Conceded1.481.381.58
BTTS48%42%54%
Clean Sheet22%25%19%
Corners9.909.6110.16
Cards5.505.485.52

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8827+61
3.4
88%
68%
44%
9.2
44%
5.5
71%
26.2
76%
414
146911762.60.8
60%
2BenficaBenfica3480
74%
2.4
8428+56
3.3
88%
68%
38%
10.0
53%
4.5
68%
23.8
65%
357
172771082.50.8
58%
3FC PortoFC Porto3471
65%
2.1
6530+35
2.8
91%
53%
26%
8.8
41%
6.1
88%
27.6
91%
467
2141051481.90.9
62%
4SC BragaSC Braga3466
56%
1.9
5530+25
2.5
76%
47%
18%
9.9
56%
5.0
70%
26.6
82%
165
4156681.60.9
57%
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara3457
50%
1.7
3632+4
2.0
59%
29%
9%
8.1
24%
6.6
85%
29.9
88%
27
96121.10.9
44%
6GuimaraesGuimaraes3454
41%
1.6
4737+10
2.5
68%
47%
26%
10.6
65%
5.5
71%
28.8
100%
46
2211121.41.1
57%
7FamalicaoFamalicao3447
35%
1.4
4439+5
2.4
79%
53%
15%
10.4
50%
5.7
85%
30.2
88%
57
1620221.31.1
50%
8EstorilEstoril3446
35%
1.4
4853-5
3.0
79%
71%
41%
8.8
35%
4.4
62%
30.0
91%
42
248101.41.6
49%
9Casa PiaCasa Pia3445
35%
1.3
3944-5
2.4
74%
44%
26%
9.3
32%
5.5
73%
26.8
79%
27
96121.11.3
47%
10MoreirenseMoreirense3440
29%
1.2
4250-8
2.7
76%
53%
35%
8.3
26%
5.3
71%
30.5
97%
22
5891.21.5
47%
11AroucaArouca3438
26%
1.1
3549-14
2.5
71%
47%
29%
10.6
59%
5.4
76%
28.1
85%
28
11881.01.4
53%
12Rio AveRio Ave3438
26%
1.1
3955-16
2.8
82%
50%
29%
9.8
47%
4.7
65%
27.6
94%
37
88211.11.6
48%
13GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3434
24%
1.0
3447-13
2.4
71%
44%
18%
8.9
35%
4.7
71%
27.5
85%
29
118111.01.4
51%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3250-18
2.4
71%
44%
18%
10.2
53%
5.0
62%
27.3
85%
20
6590.91.5
47%
15AVSAVS3631
17%
0.9
3062-32
2.6
72%
44%
25%
8.6
36%
5.2
75%
26.9
78%
7
3230.81.7
43%
16EstrelaEstrela3429
21%
0.9
2450-26
2.2
59%
32%
18%
9.8
44%
5.2
76%
31.5
97%
20
63110.71.5
45%
17FarenseFarense3427
18%
0.8
2546-21
2.1
56%
41%
18%
11.0
53%
5.4
74%
28.7
94%
8
3240.71.4
41%
18BoavistaBoavista3424
18%
0.7
2459-35
2.4
65%
50%
26%
9.1
38%
5.7
76%
27.5
82%
0
0000.71.7
40%
19VizelaVizela21
0%
0.5
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
12.0
100%
6.0
100%
26.0
100%
12
5241.02.5
71%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches