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Nacional vs Tondela Result & Analysis

Date: 15/12/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 3-1
Nacional
Nacional
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Tondela
Tondela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nacional win✓ Hit
36.8%
Avg Implied 40.8% · @ 2.27
Edge
-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied 29.4% · @ 3.15
Edge
-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Tondela win✗ Miss
35.8%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.11
Edge
+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NacionalNacional

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L10W32W31W11D01L11D24L12L01LH·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.571.292.000.941.19
vs Stronger (12)0.671.921.002.000.431.86
vs Similar (17)1.291.351.442.001.120.62
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %13% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Tondela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TondelaTondela

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D21W03L51W03L22D01L00D10W02LH·EST21/09A·SAN27/09A·RIO05/10A·VIL19/10H·SPO26/10A·AVS02/11H·GUI08/11H·CAL23/11A·GIL29/11H·FC 07/12
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.200.931.131.331.27
vs Stronger (9)0.331.890.501.670.002.33
vs Similar (21)1.480.901.220.781.671.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %27% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.1%
@ 2.09+9.7%
Under 2.5
45.9%
@ 1.67-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.8%
Under 3.5
68.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.8%
No
41.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0
7.2%
0-1
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
Nacional goals ↓
Tondela goals →
01234
07.0%7.0%5.8%2.7%1.0%
17.2%13%8.3%3.9%1.4%
26.0%8.4%6.0%2.8%1.0%
32.9%4.0%2.8%1.3%0.5%
41.0%1.4%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nacional goals (down), columns = Tondela goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC Porto
2.59
Sporting CP
2.41
Benfica
2.35
SC Braga
1.74
Famalicao
1.65
GIL Vicente
1.47
Moreirense
1.26
Guimaraes
1.24
Arouca
1.24
Alverca
1.15
Estoril
1.15
Santa Clara
1.06
Rio Ave
1.06
Nacional
1.00
Casa Pia
0.94
Estrela
0.88
Tondela
0.82
AVS
0.62
Torreense
0.50
Nacional is 0.18 points better than Tondela in terms of average points per game (1.00 vs 0.82).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Sporting CP
2.62
Benfica
2.18
FC Porto
1.94
SC Braga
1.88
Estoril
1.59
GIL Vicente
1.38
Arouca
1.38
Famalicao
1.24
Guimaraes
1.15
Estrela
1.12
Moreirense
1.09
Nacional
1.09
Alverca
1.03
Rio Ave
1.03
Santa Clara
0.94
Casa Pia
0.92
AVS
0.79
Tondela
0.79
Torreense
0.00
Nacional is 0.29 goals better than Tondela in terms of goals scored per game (1.09 vs 0.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC Porto
0.53
Sporting CP
0.71
Benfica
0.74
Famalicao
0.85
Torreense
1.00
SC Braga
1.06
GIL Vicente
1.12
Santa Clara
1.21
Nacional
1.32
Moreirense
1.44
Guimaraes
1.50
Alverca
1.53
Casa Pia
1.58
Tondela
1.62
Estrela
1.65
Estoril
1.68
Rio Ave
1.68
Arouca
1.88
AVS
1.97
Nacional is 0.29 goals better than Tondela in terms of goals conceded per game (1.32 vs 1.62).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
SC Braga
63%
Sporting CP
62%
Torreense
60%
Benfica
58%
FC Porto
55%
Estoril
53%
Guimaraes
51%
Famalicao
51%
Arouca
50%
GIL Vicente
50%
Moreirense
50%
Santa Clara
48%
Rio Ave
47%
Estrela
47%
Nacional
46%
Alverca
45%
Tondela
44%
Casa Pia
41%
AVS
39%
Nacional is 2.6 percentage points better than Tondela in terms of average possession (46% vs 44%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NacionalNacional

For 3.4 · Against 5.3 · Total 8.7

🚩 Corners

130222116231056243635553241381311698105A·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.5

🟨 Cards

110113243563314233423225711652665A·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.9 · Against 11.8 · Total 25.7

⚠️ Fouls

35019101081512151815131216741018146221329182733282811282035A·ALVH·BENA·ESTH·FAMA·ESTH·MORA·SC H·AROA·FC A·CAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

TondelaTondela

For 3.9 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.2

🚩 Corners

15024312433529764352653461578111377117H·FC A·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SPOA·RIOA·SANH·ESTA·ALVH·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.8

🟨 Cards

130212314431587253211332484139834H·FC A·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SPOA·RIOA·SANH·ESTA·ALVH·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 12.6 · Total 27.7

⚠️ Fouls

3809102010141117181212151525131613151381119302535243038292819H·FC A·GILH·GUIA·AVSH·SPOA·RIOA·SANH·ESTA·ALVH·EST
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NacionalNacional

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.310.410.24.95.94.127.327.127.4
vs Stronger (19)10.311.49.14.86.33.424.824.724.9
vs Similar (30)10.39.710.85.25.64.928.828.728.9
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line53%52%54%64%78%52%83%78%88%
% under line47%48%46%36%22%48%17%22%12%
This opponent (Tondela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TondelaTondela

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.27.710.63.63.63.519.917.622.3
vs Stronger (13)9.78.811.33.24.31.821.927.814.8
vs Similar (37)8.96.010.43.73.34.018.811.526.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line43%20%64%44%46%42%58%50%67%
% under line57%80%36%56%54%58%42%50%33%
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Famalicao
10.3
Nacional
10.3
Arouca
10.2
Rio Ave
10.1
Guimaraes
10.0
Torreense
9.8
Benfica
9.6
Estrela
9.4
Casa Pia
9.2
Tondela
9.2
Sporting CP
9.2
SC Braga
9.1
GIL Vicente
8.9
Estoril
8.9
FC Porto
8.8
AVS
8.7
Santa Clara
8.3
Alverca
8.2
Moreirense
8.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Santa Clara
6.6
FC Porto
6.0
Torreense
5.8
Famalicao
5.8
Casa Pia
5.7
Sporting CP
5.6
Arouca
5.5
Guimaraes
5.4
Estrela
5.4
AVS
5.3
Moreirense
5.2
Rio Ave
5.2
Nacional
5.1
Benfica
5.0
GIL Vicente
5.0
Alverca
4.8
Tondela
4.8
SC Braga
4.7
Estoril
4.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Famalicao
31.6
Estrela
30.9
Moreirense
30.0
Santa Clara
29.9
Estoril
28.6
GIL Vicente
28.2
Rio Ave
28.1
Guimaraes
28.1
Casa Pia
27.9
Arouca
27.7
AVS
27.3
Nacional
27.3
FC Porto
26.8
Sporting CP
26.4
SC Braga
25.7
Benfica
24.9
Tondela
19.9
Alverca
16.5
Torreense
10.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.9%
Under 9.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
82.7%
Under 3.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.4%
Under 21.5
10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W11D30W10W01L10W03L00D00DH·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.730.430.860.560.62
vs Stronger (12)0.250.830.400.400.141.14
vs Similar (17)0.530.710.441.110.620.25
vs Weaker (1)3.000.00--3.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Tondela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TondelaTondela

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D02L21W01L11D00D00D10W00DH·EST21/09A·SAN27/09A·RIO05/10A·VIL19/10H·SPO26/10A·AVS02/11H·GUI08/11H·CAL23/11A·GIL29/11H·FC 07/12
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.530.270.400.470.67
vs Stronger (9)0.220.890.330.500.001.67
vs Similar (21)0.430.380.220.330.580.42
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NacionalNacional

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D21W01L01L00D01L21W12L01LH·ARO20/09A·SC 28/09H·MOR04/10A·REB18/10A·EST26/10H·FAM01/11A·EST09/11A·SC 23/11H·BEN29/11A·ALV07/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.861.140.380.56
vs Stronger (12)0.421.080.601.600.290.71
vs Similar (17)0.760.651.000.890.500.38
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %40% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Tondela) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

TondelaTondela

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D21W01L30W02L11D01L00D00D02LH·EST21/09A·SAN27/09A·RIO05/10A·VIL19/10H·SPO26/10A·AVS02/11H·GUI08/11H·CAL23/11A·GIL29/11H·FC 07/12
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.670.670.730.870.60
vs Stronger (9)0.111.000.171.170.000.67
vs Similar (21)1.050.521.000.441.080.58
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Nacional) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nacional over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nacional over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Tondela over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards92.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards82.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls80.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nacional
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jesús Ramírez42%
Ze Vitor13%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Léo Santos10%
Gabriel Veron8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Filipe Soares6%
Alan Núñez5%
Witiness Quembo4%
José Gomes4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Matheus Dias0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ulisses60%
Léo Santos39%
Lenny Vallier36%
Ze Vitor27%
Chiheb Labidi25%
Deivison Souza Brito25%
Matheus Dias23%
Liziero21%
Francisco Gonçalves20%
Paulinho Bóia18%
Jesús Ramírez18%
Daniel Júnior18%
Lucas França17%
Filipe Soares17%
Motez Nourani17%
Gabriel Veron15%
João Aurélio14%
Martim Gustavo Watts14%
Pablo Ruan13%
Witiness Quembo12%
José Gomes11%
Kaique11%
Alan Núñez10%
André Sousa8%
Miguel Baeza7%
Joel Silva6%
Lucas João5%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
José Gomes19%
André Sousa17%
Liziero14%
Alan Núñez10%
Léo Santos6%
Paulinho Bóia6%
Daniel Júnior6%
Lucas João5%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Ze Vitor3%
Matheus Dias3%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
Ulisses0%
Jesús Ramírez0%
Miguel Baeza0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Kaique0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Pablo Ruan0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jesús Ramírez48%
Paulinho Bóia12%
Miguel Baeza7%
Ze Vitor7%
Pablo Ruan4%
Witiness Quembo4%
Chiheb Labidi4%
Liziero0%
Léo Santos0%
Lucas João0%
Lenny Vallier0%
João Aurélio0%
Lucas França0%
Filipe Soares0%
José Gomes0%
André Sousa0%
Ulisses0%
Gabriel Veron0%
Matheus Dias0%
Alan Núñez0%
Kaique0%
Daniel Júnior0%
Martim Gustavo Watts0%
Francisco Gonçalves0%
Joel Silva0%
Motez Nourani0%
Deivison Souza Brito0%
Tondela
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Rony Lopes25%
Ivan Cavaleiro15%
Pedro Henryque15%
Bebeto12%
Emmanuel Maviram10%
João Silva8%
Yefrei Rodriguez8%
Cicero6%
Makan Aïko6%
Rodrigo Conceição5%
Jordan Siebatcheu5%
Sphephelo Sithole4%
Joe Hodge4%
Tiago Manso4%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Arjen Van Der Heide0%
João Afonso0%
André Ceitil0%
Hélder Tavares0%
Christian Marques0%
Moudja Sie Ouattara0%
Rémy Vita0%
Xabi Huarte0%
Hugo Félix0%
Brayan Medina0%
Bernardo Fontes0%
Juan Rodríguez0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Miro0%
Yarlen0%
Moudjatovic0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Rémy Vita50%
Brayan Medina36%
Cicero33%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka30%
Tiago Manso25%
Miro25%
João Afonso23%
Sphephelo Sithole23%
Pedro Henryque21%
Rodrigo Conceição20%
Emmanuel Maviram20%
Christian Marques19%
Rony Lopes19%
Bebeto17%
Afonso Rodrigues14%
Jordan Siebatcheu14%
Joe Hodge12%
Makan Aïko11%
Juan Rodríguez10%
João Silva8%
Moudjatovic8%
Ivan Cavaleiro8%
Hugo Félix8%
Yefrei Rodriguez8%
Bernardo Fontes6%
Hélder Tavares5%
Arjen Van Der Heide0%
André Ceitil0%
Moudja Sie Ouattara0%
Xabi Huarte0%
Yarlen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Makan Aïko11%
Rony Lopes6%
Pedro Henryque6%
Cicero6%
Emmanuel Maviram5%
Brayan Medina4%
Joe Hodge4%
Hugo Félix4%
Tiago Manso4%
Jordan Siebatcheu0%
Ivan Cavaleiro0%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Arjen Van Der Heide0%
João Afonso0%
Bebeto0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
André Ceitil0%
Hélder Tavares0%
Christian Marques0%
Sphephelo Sithole0%
João Silva0%
Moudja Sie Ouattara0%
Rémy Vita0%
Xabi Huarte0%
Bernardo Fontes0%
Yefrei Rodriguez0%
Juan Rodríguez0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Miro0%
Yarlen0%
Moudjatovic0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Pedro Henryque30%
Rony Lopes25%
Ivan Cavaleiro15%
Jordan Siebatcheu14%
Hugo Félix8%
Yefrei Rodriguez8%
Makan Aïko6%
Juan Rodríguez3%
Benjamin Mbunga-Kimpioka0%
Arjen Van Der Heide0%
João Afonso0%
Bebeto0%
Rodrigo Conceição0%
Cicero0%
André Ceitil0%
Hélder Tavares0%
Tiago Manso0%
Christian Marques0%
Sphephelo Sithole0%
João Silva0%
Moudja Sie Ouattara0%
Rémy Vita0%
Xabi Huarte0%
Joe Hodge0%
Emmanuel Maviram0%
Brayan Medina0%
Bernardo Fontes0%
Afonso Rodrigues0%
Miro0%
Yarlen0%
Moudjatovic0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (30)
€467m
SC (31)
€414m
BEN (25)
€357m
SB (32)
€165m
FAM (23)
€57m
GUI (29)
€46m
EST (25)
€42m
ALV (30)
€39m
RA (26)
€37m
GV (28)
€29m
ARO (25)
€28m
CP (29)
€27m
SC (28)
€27m
MOR (21)
€22m
EST (22)
€20m
NAC (31)
€20m
TOR (32)
€19m
TON (20)
€10m
AVS (20)
€7m
Nacional's squad is €10m more valuable than Tondela's (€20m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (11)
€214m
BEN (10)
€172m
SC (9)
€146m
SB (7)
€41m
EST (8)
€24m
GUI (10)
€22m
FAM (8)
€16m
ALV (8)
€15m
ARO (11)
€11m
GV (12)
€11m
CP (11)
€9m
SC (11)
€9m
RA (8)
€8m
TOR (12)
€7m
NAC (12)
€6m
EST (6)
€6m
MOR (5)
€5m
AVS (8)
€3m
TON (7)
€2m
Nacional's attack is €4m more valuable than Tondela's (€6m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FP (6)
€105m
SC (9)
€91m
BEN (5)
€77m
SB (10)
€56m
FAM (6)
€20m
GUI (6)
€11m
MOR (8)
€8m
EST (5)
€8m
RA (5)
€8m
ARO (4)
€8m
GV (6)
€8m
ALV (8)
€6m
CP (7)
€6m
SC (5)
€6m
NAC (8)
€5m
EST (5)
€3m
TOR (5)
€2m
AVS (2)
€2m
TON (4)
€1m
Nacional's midfield is €4m more valuable than Tondela's (€5m vs €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SC (13)
€176m
FP (13)
€148m
BEN (10)
€108m
SB (15)
€68m
FAM (9)
€22m
RA (13)
€21m
ALV (14)
€18m
SC (12)
€12m
GUI (13)
€12m
CP (11)
€12m
EST (11)
€11m
GV (10)
€11m
EST (12)
€10m
TOR (15)
€10m
MOR (8)
€9m
NAC (11)
€9m
ARO (10)
€8m
TON (9)
€6m
AVS (10)
€3m
Nacional's defence is €2m more valuable than Tondela's (€9m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
NAC wins
2
Draws
3
TON wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nacional vs Tondela · H/A from NAC
DateH/AGameScore
12/05/24ATondela Vs NAC2-3
06/01/24HNAC Vs Tondela1-1
29/01/23ATondela Vs NAC1-0
06/08/22HNAC Vs Tondela0-1
22/04/21ATondela Vs NAC2-1
27/12/20HNAC Vs Tondela2-0
02/03/19HNAC Vs Tondela3-2
05/10/18ATondela Vs NAC1-1

NacionalNacional

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/25AAlverca Vs NAC1-0
29/11/25HNAC Vs Benfica1-2
23/11/25ASC Braga Vs NAC4-2
09/11/25AEstrela Vs NAC1-1
01/11/25HNAC Vs Famalicao0-1
26/10/25AEstoril Vs NAC1-1
18/10/25ARebordelo Vs NAC1-3
04/10/25HNAC Vs Moreirense3-2
28/09/25ASC Braga Vs NAC0-1
20/09/25HNAC Vs Arouca1-2

TondelaTondela

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/12/25HTON Vs FC Porto0-2
29/11/25AGIL Vicente Vs TON0-1
23/11/25HTON Vs Caldas0-0
08/11/25HTON Vs Guimaraes0-1
02/11/25AAVS Vs TON2-2
26/10/25HTON Vs Sporting CP0-3
19/10/25AVila Real Vs TON1-5
05/10/25ARio Ave Vs TON3-0
27/09/25ASanta Clara Vs TON1-2
21/09/25HTON Vs Estrela0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nacional
Nacional
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 2 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL0.98
HomeLLWLL1.17
AwayWDDLL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%35%19%
AVG goals2.503.002.07
Over 1.5 %72%83%63%
Over 2.5 %44%61%30%
Over 3.5 %20%30%11%
Scored1.001.260.78
Conceded1.501.741.30
BTTS46%52%41%
Clean Sheet20%22%19%
Corners10.2810.3910.17
Cards5.265.874.67
Tondela
Tondela
Portugal: Primeira Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDWL1.54
HomeDLLDL1.54
AwayWLWDW1.54
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%42%38%
AVG goals2.622.382.85
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %54%50%58%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.421.251.58
Conceded1.201.121.27
BTTS54%50%58%
Clean Sheet26%29%23%
Corners9.247.7010.64
Cards4.945.064.84

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC PortoFC Porto3488
82%
2.6
6618+48
2.5
71%
56%
24%
8.6
35%
5.5
82%
26.4
71%
467
2141051481.90.5
55%
2Sporting CPSporting CP3482
74%
2.4
8924+65
3.3
91%
71%
35%
9.9
53%
5.2
62%
25.9
79%
414
146911762.60.7
62%
3BenficaBenfica3480
68%
2.4
7425+49
2.9
88%
71%
32%
10.0
56%
5.3
73%
26.8
74%
357
172771082.20.7
58%
4SC BragaSC Braga3459
47%
1.7
6436+28
2.9
76%
68%
38%
8.4
32%
5.0
79%
23.5
62%
165
4156681.91.1
63%
5FamalicaoFamalicao3456
44%
1.6
4229+13
2.1
53%
38%
24%
10.4
56%
5.1
68%
32.1
94%
57
1620221.20.9
51%
6GIL VicenteGIL Vicente3450
38%
1.5
4738+9
2.5
76%
53%
26%
9.5
50%
5.1
67%
28.2
85%
29
118111.41.1
50%
7MoreirenseMoreirense3443
35%
1.3
3749-12
2.5
74%
50%
21%
8.4
35%
4.9
68%
29.2
94%
22
5891.11.4
50%
8GuimaraesGuimaraes3442
35%
1.2
3951-12
2.6
76%
44%
24%
8.4
38%
5.2
74%
29.6
88%
46
2211121.11.5
51%
9AroucaArouca3442
35%
1.2
4764-17
3.3
79%
68%
50%
9.0
44%
5.7
79%
25.9
79%
28
11881.41.9
50%
10EstorilEstoril3439
29%
1.1
5457-3
3.3
76%
62%
53%
9.3
41%
4.9
88%
25.8
82%
42
248101.61.7
53%
11AlvercaAlverca3439
29%
1.1
3552-17
2.6
76%
50%
24%
8.9
44%
4.9
64%
26.4
71%
39
156181.01.5
45%
12Santa ClaraSanta Clara3436
26%
1.1
3241-9
2.1
56%
35%
15%
9.0
50%
6.1
85%
29.5
94%
27
96120.91.2
48%
13Rio AveRio Ave3436
24%
1.1
3557-22
2.7
82%
59%
29%
10.8
68%
5.2
62%
27.4
79%
37
88211.01.7
47%
14NacionalNacional3434
26%
1.0
3745-8
2.4
74%
41%
18%
10.8
68%
5.7
74%
27.2
88%
20
6591.11.3
46%
15Casa PiaCasa Pia3634
19%
0.9
3357-24
2.5
75%
42%
28%
10.0
50%
5.6
83%
29.8
92%
27
96120.91.6
41%
16EstrelaEstrela3430
18%
0.9
3856-18
2.8
74%
53%
38%
9.1
35%
5.6
82%
29.7
97%
20
63111.11.6
47%
17TondelaTondela3428
18%
0.8
2755-28
2.4
68%
50%
29%
9.8
50%
5.4
71%
26.8
82%
10
2160.81.6
44%
18AVSAVS3421
9%
0.6
2767-40
2.8
79%
59%
38%
9.5
47%
5.0
67%
24.7
71%
7
3230.82.0
39%
19TorreenseTorreense21
0%
0.5
02-2
1.0
50%
0%
0%
11.5
50%
6.5
100%
25.5
100%
19
72100.01.0
60%
Portugal: Primeira Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Portugal: Primeira Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches