PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Nantes vs Marseille Result & Analysis

Date: 02/05/2026
Time: 13:00
Final 3-0
Nantes
Nantes
Vs
27%
27%
47%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nantes win✓ Hit
26.8%
Avg Implied 20.9% · @ 4.45
Edge
+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.6%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 3.95
Edge
+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Marseille win✗ Miss
46.5%
Avg Implied 55.5% · @ 1.68
Edge
-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NantesNantes

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W01L01L23L00D00D11D03L12LA·MON13/02H·LE 22/02A·LIL01/03H·ANG07/03H·STR22/03A·MET05/04A·AUX11/04H·STA19/04A·PAR22/04A·REN26/04
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.771.071.931.001.62
vs Stronger (15)0.932.201.252.500.571.86
vs Similar (14)0.861.210.831.170.881.25
vs Weaker (1)5.003.00--5.003.00
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L32W22D10W10W12L12L31W02L11DA·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03A·TOU07/03H·AUX13/03H·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.401.691.252.361.57
vs Stronger (1)0.005.00--0.005.00
vs Similar (16)1.691.501.601.301.831.83
vs Weaker (13)2.541.001.831.173.140.86
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.9%
Under 1.5
21.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.3%
@ 1.62-3.2%
Under 2.5
45.7%
@ 2.19+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.0%
Under 3.5
68.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.4%
0-2
7.8%
0-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
Nantes goals ↓
Marseille goals →
01234
06.9%8.4%7.8%4.3%1.8%
15.8%13%9.4%5.2%2.1%
24.2%6.9%5.7%3.1%1.3%
31.7%2.8%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.5%0.8%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nantes goals (down), columns = Marseille goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.24
Lens
2.06
Rodez
2.00
Lille
1.79
Lyon
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Marseille
1.74
Monaco
1.59
Strasbourg
1.56
Toulouse
1.33
Lorient
1.32
Paris FC
1.29
Stade Brestois 29
1.15
Angers
1.06
Le Havre
1.03
Auxerre
1.00
Nice
1.00
Nantes
0.70
Saint Etienne
0.67
Metz
0.50
RED Star FC 93
0.00
Nantes is 1.04 points worse than Marseille in terms of average points per game (0.70 vs 1.74).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Paris Saint Germain
2.18
RED Star FC 93
2.00
Lens
1.94
Marseille
1.85
Monaco
1.76
Rennes
1.74
Strasbourg
1.71
Lyon
1.56
Lille
1.53
Rodez
1.50
Toulouse
1.42
Lorient
1.41
Paris FC
1.38
Stade Brestois 29
1.26
Nice
1.14
Auxerre
1.00
Metz
0.94
Le Havre
0.94
Nantes
0.88
Angers
0.85
Saint Etienne
0.33
Nantes is 0.97 goals worse than Marseille in terms of goals scored per game (0.88 vs 1.85).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Paris Saint Germain
0.85
Rodez
1.00
Lens
1.03
Lille
1.09
Lyon
1.18
Auxerre
1.29
Le Havre
1.29
Marseille
1.32
Saint Etienne
1.33
Strasbourg
1.38
Toulouse
1.39
Angers
1.41
Rennes
1.47
Paris FC
1.47
Lorient
1.50
Nantes
1.58
Monaco
1.59
Stade Brestois 29
1.62
Nice
1.69
Metz
2.24
RED Star FC 93
3.00
Nantes is 0.25 goals worse than Marseille in terms of goals conceded per game (1.58 vs 1.32).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Paris Saint Germain
69%
RED Star FC 93
63%
Marseille
57%
Lille
56%
Lyon
55%
Monaco
54%
Strasbourg
54%
Rennes
54%
Saint Etienne
52%
Lens
51%
Paris FC
50%
Metz
49%
Le Havre
47%
Nice
47%
Lorient
45%
Auxerre
44%
Stade Brestois 29
43%
Toulouse
42%
Nantes
42%
Angers
42%
Rodez
38%
Nantes is 14.9 percentage points worse than Marseille in terms of average possession (42% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

NantesNantes

For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

14086671123363634145639141311599751112A·RENA·PARH·STAA·AUXA·METH·STRH·ANGA·LILH·LE A·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

8023123242233111343265354462478A·RENA·PARH·STAA·AUXA·METH·STRH·ANGA·LILH·LE A·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.0 · Against 15.2 · Total 28.2

⚠️ Fouls

3501515811131715201014151714191511171381530193035243233263023A·RENA·PARH·STAA·AUXA·METH·STRH·ANGA·LILH·LE A·MON
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

MarseilleMarseille

For 6.2 · Against 2.6 · Total 8.8

🚩 Corners

120717174864922466812388118101161295H·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LILH·AUXA·TOUH·TOUH·LYOA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 1.7 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

6041312221342322232415334465455H·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LILH·AUXA·TOUH·TOUH·LYOA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.2 · Total 22.3

⚠️ Fouls

2901471061289148612171415911168171021162023142929202427H·NICA·LORH·META·MONH·LILH·AUXA·TOUH·TOUH·LYOA·STA
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NantesNantes

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.49.54.64.64.626.425.926.9
vs Stronger (26)9.99.610.34.74.84.525.824.927.0
vs Similar (23)9.39.39.34.64.44.827.127.326.9
vs Weaker (1)2.0-2.04.0-4.026.0-26.0
% over line50%44%56%68%72%64%84%80%88%
% under line50%56%44%32%28%36%16%20%12%
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)8.88.78.94.34.54.123.324.022.5
vs Stronger (4)8.08.08.05.24.05.725.523.026.3
vs Similar (25)9.48.99.84.64.74.422.923.722.0
vs Weaker (21)8.28.57.93.94.33.223.424.521.9
% over line38%42%33%70%73%67%56%58%54%
% under line62%58%67%30%27%33%44%42%46%
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Nice
10.3
Rennes
10.1
Rodez
10.1
Stade Brestois 29
9.9
Auxerre
9.8
Lyon
9.8
Lens
9.7
Lille
9.6
Paris FC
9.5
Nantes
9.5
Saint Etienne
9.4
Monaco
9.3
Metz
9.3
Le Havre
9.2
Paris Saint Germain
9.1
Strasbourg
9.1
Toulouse
9.1
Angers
8.9
Marseille
8.8
Lorient
8.6
RED Star FC 93
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Lyon
4.9
Auxerre
4.7
Lens
4.7
Nantes
4.6
Marseille
4.5
Rennes
4.5
Strasbourg
4.4
Monaco
4.3
Lille
4.3
Rodez
4.3
Toulouse
4.3
Nice
4.2
Le Havre
4.1
Saint Etienne
4.0
Paris FC
4.0
Lorient
4.0
Stade Brestois 29
3.8
Metz
3.8
RED Star FC 93
3.7
Angers
3.4
Paris Saint Germain
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
RED Star FC 93
26.7
Le Havre
26.5
Nantes
26.4
Saint Etienne
26.1
Rodez
25.9
Auxerre
25.8
Lyon
25.5
Lens
25.4
Stade Brestois 29
25.2
Toulouse
25.1
Rennes
24.2
Nice
24.0
Monaco
24.0
Lille
23.7
Strasbourg
23.7
Lorient
23.4
Marseille
23.3
Metz
23.3
Paris FC
23.0
Angers
22.8
Paris Saint Germain
18.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
41.1%
Under 9.5
58.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
62.8%
Under 3.5
37.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.9%
Under 21.5
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NantesNantes

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-313L20W00D00D11D00D00D10W02L11DA·MON13/02H·LE 22/02A·LIL01/03H·ANG07/03H·STR22/03A·MET05/04A·AUX11/04H·STA19/04A·PAR22/04A·REN26/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.571.000.620.69
vs Stronger (15)0.531.200.621.500.430.86
vs Similar (14)0.500.360.500.330.500.38
vs Weaker (1)3.002.00--3.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L11D10W00D10W00D10W01L00DA·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03A·TOU07/03H·AUX13/03H·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.530.560.381.140.71
vs Stronger (1)0.002.00--0.002.00
vs Similar (16)0.620.440.500.300.830.67
vs Weaker (13)1.150.540.670.501.570.57
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NantesNantes

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D01L01L12L00D00D01L01L01LA·MON13/02H·LE 22/02A·LIL01/03H·ANG07/03H·STR22/03A·MET05/04A·AUX11/04H·STA19/04A·PAR22/04A·REN26/04
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.500.930.380.94
vs Stronger (15)0.401.000.621.000.141.00
vs Similar (14)0.360.860.330.830.380.88
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Marseille) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MarseilleMarseille

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D31W11D00D10W02L12L21W01L11DA·STA20/02H·LYO01/03H·TOU04/03A·TOU07/03H·AUX13/03H·LIL22/03A·MON05/04H·MET10/04A·LOR18/04H·NIC26/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.871.120.881.210.86
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (16)1.061.061.101.001.001.17
vs Weaker (13)1.380.461.170.671.570.29
Clean sheet %37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Nantes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nantes over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nantes over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Marseille over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards80.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners80.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.578.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards73.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls70.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners70.8%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Nantes
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Fabien Centonze25%
Ignatius Kpene Ganago21%
Matthis Abline21%
Mostafa Mohamed17%
Rémy Cabella17%
Youssef El Arabi15%
Mayckel Lahdo12%
Bahereba Guirassy10%
Bahmed Deuff8%
Junior Mwanga6%
Louis Leroux4%
Chidozie Awaziem4%
Dehmaine Tabibou3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Deiver Machado0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Nicolas Cozza0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Uroš Radaković0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Yassine Benhattab0%
Mohamed Kaba0%
Ali Youssef0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Amady Camara0%
Tylel Tati0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Fabien Centonze31%
Ibrahima Sissoko31%
Ali Youssef31%
Chidozie Awaziem27%
Tylel Tati24%
Kelvin Amian20%
Deiver Machado19%
Matthis Abline18%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon17%
Mohamed Kaba17%
Johann Lepenant14%
Dehmaine Tabibou14%
Anthony Lopes12%
Frédéric Guilbert12%
Francis Coquelin12%
Junior Mwanga12%
Bahereba Guirassy10%
Louis Leroux9%
Rémy Cabella8%
Bahmed Deuff8%
Ignatius Kpene Ganago7%
Nicolas Cozza6%
Mostafa Mohamed4%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Youssef El Arabi0%
Uroš Radaković0%
Yassine Benhattab0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Amady Camara0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mohamed Kaba17%
Matthis Abline15%
Mayckel Lahdo12%
Rémy Cabella8%
Chidozie Awaziem8%
Ignatius Kpene Ganago7%
Deiver Machado6%
Fabien Centonze6%
Francis Coquelin6%
Junior Mwanga6%
Bahereba Guirassy5%
Louis Leroux4%
Kelvin Amian4%
Youssef El Arabi4%
Johann Lepenant3%
Nicolas Cozza3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Mostafa Mohamed0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Uroš Radaković0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Yassine Benhattab0%
Ali Youssef0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Dehmaine Tabibou0%
Amady Camara0%
Bahmed Deuff0%
Tylel Tati0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matthis Abline26%
Mostafa Mohamed8%
Rémy Cabella8%
Mohamed Kaba8%
Bahmed Deuff8%
Ignatius Kpene Ganago7%
Deiver Machado6%
Bahereba Guirassy5%
Youssef El Arabi4%
Dehmaine Tabibou3%
Anthony Lopes0%
Francis Coquelin0%
Patrik Carlgren0%
Fabien Centonze0%
Nicolas Cozza0%
Frédéric Guilbert0%
Kelvin Amian0%
Ibrahima Sissoko0%
Hyun-Seok Hong0%
Chidozie Awaziem0%
Uroš Radaković0%
Hyeok-kyu Kwon0%
Johann Lepenant0%
Yassine Benhattab0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Junior Mwanga0%
Ali Youssef0%
Mathieu Acapandié0%
Amady Camara0%
Louis Leroux0%
Tylel Tati0%
Marseille
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mason Greenwood41%
Neal Maupay33%
Amine Gouiri33%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang28%
Igor Paixão27%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Hamed Junior Traorè17%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Robinio Vaz16%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Amir Murillo8%
Tim Weah8%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Nayef Aguerd5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Bilal Nadir4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Benjamin Pavard3%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Facundo Medina0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Facundo Medina32%
Quinten Timber31%
Nayef Aguerd27%
Geoffrey Kondogbia25%
Benjamin Pavard22%
Himad Abdelli22%
Amir Murillo21%
Leonardo Balerdi20%
Angel Gomes20%
Ethan Nwaneri18%
Bilal Nadir18%
Ulisses Garcia17%
Tim Weah15%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg14%
Mason Greenwood14%
Matt O'Riley12%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Emerson Palmieri11%
Darryl Bakola10%
Gerónimo Rulli8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Amine Gouiri7%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Robinio Vaz5%
Igor Paixão5%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang2%
Neal Maupay0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Matt O'Riley21%
Amine Gouiri19%
Mason Greenwood18%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang18%
Tadjidine Mmadi17%
Igor Paixão15%
Bilal Nadir14%
Tochukwu Nnadi12%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg12%
Hamed Junior Traorè11%
Robinio Vaz11%
Tim Weah10%
Darryl Bakola10%
Ethan Nwaneri9%
Benjamin Pavard8%
Amir Murillo8%
Arthur Vermeeren8%
Geoffrey Kondogbia6%
Emerson Palmieri6%
Angel Gomes5%
Facundo Medina4%
Leonardo Balerdi3%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mason Greenwood48%
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang22%
Igor Paixão22%
Amine Gouiri19%
Leonardo Balerdi6%
Hamed Junior Traorè6%
Tim Weah5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg2%
Angel Gomes0%
Geoffrey Kondogbia0%
Ulisses Garcia0%
Emerson Palmieri0%
Benjamin Pavard0%
Amir Murillo0%
Facundo Medina0%
Neal Maupay0%
Himad Abdelli0%
Nayef Aguerd0%
Pol Lirola0%
Jeffrey De Lange0%
Quinten Timber0%
Gerónimo Rulli0%
Conrad Jaden Egan-Riley0%
Bilal Nadir0%
Ethan Nwaneri0%
Arthur Vermeeren0%
Tochukwu Nnadi0%
Robinio Vaz0%
Darryl Bakola0%
Tadjidine Mmadi0%
Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri0%
Nouhoum Kamissoko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (26)
€1477m
MON (26)
€326m
LIL (27)
€312m
STR (32)
€304m
LYO (32)
€293m
REN (26)
€241m
MAR (22)
€225m
LEN (27)
€187m
PF (37)
€176m
NIC (28)
€152m
TOU (24)
€115m
SE (30)
€93m
LOR (24)
€87m
AUX (29)
€84m
NAN (25)
€82m
ANG (23)
€73m
SB2 (20)
€64m
LH (25)
€55m
MET (26)
€43m
ROD (23)
€15m
RSF (22)
€15m
Nantes's squad is €143m less valuable than Marseille's (€82m vs €225m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (10)
€638m
MON (9)
€148m
LIL (13)
€133m
LYO (9)
€122m
STR (13)
€112m
MAR (9)
€91m
REN (8)
€87m
NIC (8)
€62m
PF (13)
€59m
SE (10)
€54m
LEN (8)
€52m
NAN (8)
€31m
ANG (9)
€30m
TOU (7)
€30m
SB2 (6)
€25m
AUX (11)
€23m
LOR (8)
€20m
MET (11)
€17m
LH (10)
€9m
RSF (6)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
Nantes's attack is €61m less valuable than Marseille's (€31m vs €91m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (5)
€430m
LIL (4)
€102m
MON (5)
€84m
LYO (8)
€82m
MAR (5)
€68m
STR (6)
€56m
PF (7)
€54m
REN (5)
€44m
TOU (7)
€39m
LOR (5)
€32m
NIC (9)
€31m
AUX (5)
€28m
LEN (5)
€24m
LH (5)
€23m
SB2 (6)
€20m
MET (5)
€18m
NAN (7)
€16m
ANG (3)
€11m
SE (7)
€11m
ROD (6)
€4m
RSF (5)
€3m
Nantes's midfield is €51m less valuable than Marseille's (€16m vs €68m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PSG (11)
€409m
STR (13)
€136m
LEN (14)
€112m
REN (13)
€109m
MON (12)
€93m
LYO (15)
€89m
LIL (10)
€76m
MAR (8)
€66m
PF (17)
€62m
NIC (11)
€60m
TOU (10)
€46m
LOR (11)
€35m
NAN (10)
€34m
AUX (13)
€33m
ANG (11)
€32m
SE (13)
€28m
LH (10)
€23m
SB2 (8)
€19m
MET (10)
€8m
ROD (10)
€7m
RSF (11)
€7m
Nantes's defence is €32m less valuable than Marseille's (€34m vs €66m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
NAN wins
1
Draws
6
MAR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Nantes vs Marseille · H/A from NAN
DateH/AGameScore
04/01/26AMarseille Vs NAN0-2
02/03/25AMarseille Vs NAN2-0
03/11/24HNAN Vs Marseille1-2
10/03/24AMarseille Vs NAN2-0
01/09/23HNAN Vs Marseille1-1
01/02/23HNAN Vs Marseille0-2
20/08/22AMarseille Vs NAN2-1
20/04/22AMarseille Vs NAN3-2

NantesNantes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26ARennes Vs NAN2-1
22/04/26AParis Saint Germain Vs NAN3-0
19/04/26HNAN Vs Stade Brestois 291-1
11/04/26AAuxerre Vs NAN0-0
05/04/26AMetz Vs NAN0-0
22/03/26HNAN Vs Strasbourg2-3
07/03/26HNAN Vs Angers0-1
01/03/26ALille Vs NAN1-0
22/02/26HNAN Vs Le Havre2-0
13/02/26AMonaco Vs NAN3-1

MarseilleMarseille

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/04/26HMAR Vs Nice1-1
18/04/26ALorient Vs MAR2-0
10/04/26HMAR Vs Metz3-1
05/04/26AMonaco Vs MAR2-1
22/03/26HMAR Vs Lille1-2
13/03/26HMAR Vs Auxerre1-0
07/03/26AToulouse Vs MAR0-1
04/03/26HMAR Vs Toulouse2-2
01/03/26HMAR Vs Lyon3-2
20/02/26AStade Brestois 29 Vs MAR2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nantes
Nantes
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL0.88
HomeLWLLD0.88
AwayLDDLL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %20%20%20%
AVG goals2.622.402.84
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %44%32%56%
Over 3.5 %22%20%24%
Scored1.021.001.04
Conceded1.601.401.80
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet18%20%16%
Corners9.489.449.52
Cards4.604.604.60
Marseille
Marseille
France: Ligue 1
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.76
HomeDWLWD2.15
AwayLLWLL1.33
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%65%42%
AVG goals3.563.733.38
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %72%77%67%
Over 3.5 %46%58%33%
Scored2.202.501.88
Conceded1.361.231.50
BTTS54%62%46%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners8.788.698.88
Cards4.504.504.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Paris Saint GermainParis Saint Germain3476
71%
2.2
7429+45
3.0
76%
62%
32%
9.5
41%
2.9
26%
18.6
26%
1477
6384304092.20.9
69%
2LensLens3470
65%
2.1
6635+31
3.0
82%
65%
29%
10.4
53%
4.6
70%
24.7
59%
187
52241121.91.0
51%
3LilleLille3461
53%
1.8
5237+15
2.6
65%
38%
21%
9.5
44%
4.5
68%
24.2
68%
312
133102761.51.1
56%
4LyonLyon3460
53%
1.8
5340+13
2.7
65%
56%
32%
10.9
50%
4.8
71%
26.4
79%
293
12282891.61.2
55%
5MarseilleMarseille3459
53%
1.7
6345+18
3.2
74%
62%
41%
8.8
38%
4.4
73%
23.7
56%
225
9168661.91.3
57%
6RennesRennes3459
50%
1.7
5950+9
3.2
82%
71%
50%
10.6
62%
4.3
66%
24.4
71%
241
87441091.71.5
54%
7MonacoMonaco3454
47%
1.6
6054+6
3.4
74%
65%
53%
9.4
47%
4.2
62%
23.8
65%
326
14884931.81.6
54%
8StrasbourgStrasbourg3453
44%
1.6
5847+11
3.1
76%
65%
35%
8.9
44%
3.8
56%
24.1
74%
304
112561361.71.4
54%
9LorientLorient3445
32%
1.3
4851-3
2.9
88%
44%
35%
8.9
47%
4.1
55%
22.8
50%
87
2032351.41.5
45%
10ToulouseToulouse3344
36%
1.3
4746+1
2.8
67%
55%
33%
9.6
55%
4.5
70%
25.5
82%
115
3039461.41.4
42%
11Paris FCParis FC3444
32%
1.3
4750-3
2.9
74%
56%
32%
9.9
59%
3.9
47%
21.4
50%
176
5954621.41.5
50%
12Stade Brestois 29Stade Brestois 293439
29%
1.1
4355-12
2.9
82%
50%
29%
9.7
47%
3.8
55%
24.4
65%
64
2520191.31.6
43%
13AngersAngers3436
26%
1.1
2948-19
2.3
65%
29%
18%
8.8
41%
3.2
45%
22.4
53%
73
3011320.91.4
42%
14NiceNice3636
22%
1.0
4161-20
2.8
75%
50%
42%
10.8
67%
4.0
56%
23.6
53%
152
6231601.11.7
47%
15Le HavreLe Havre3435
21%
1.0
3244-12
2.2
62%
32%
18%
9.1
44%
4.2
65%
27.8
94%
55
923230.91.3
47%
16AuxerreAuxerre3434
24%
1.0
3444-10
2.3
62%
44%
26%
9.5
41%
4.9
74%
27.2
85%
84
2328331.01.3
44%
17NantesNantes3323
15%
0.7
2952-23
2.5
67%
45%
21%
9.4
48%
4.7
73%
26.8
85%
82
3116340.91.6
42%
18MetzMetz3417
9%
0.5
3276-44
3.2
74%
62%
41%
9.5
41%
3.5
53%
22.6
59%
43
171880.92.2
49%
19RodezRodez24
50%
2.0
32+1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
24.5
100%
15
4471.51.0
38%
20Saint EtienneSaint Etienne32
0%
0.7
14-3
1.7
33%
33%
33%
11.0
100%
1.7
0%
19.3
33%
93
5411280.31.3
52%
21RED Star FC 93RED Star FC 9310
0%
0.0
23-1
5.0
100%
100%
100%
5.0
0%
5.0
100%
23.0
100%
15
4372.03.0
63%
France: Ligue 1 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full France: Ligue 1 stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches