NEC Nijmegen are the clear favourites, the model giving them a 64% chance to win, 21% for a draw and 15% for an Excelsior victory. The prediction is driven by NEC’s solid home form against weaker opposition, scoring an average of 2.14 goals and conceding only 1.14, while Excelsior struggles on the road, averaging just 0.5 goals scored and 3.83 conceded against stronger teams. The expected total goals is 3.2, with the most likely total being 3 goals at a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 2-0, a 10% chance, reflecting NEC’s home advantage. Suggested picks include a 90.4% chance of Under 5.5 cards, an 83.5% chance of Over 1.5 goals, 83.4% for Under 25.5 fouls, 79.6% for Under 4.5 cards, 71.1% for Under 23.5 fouls and 70.3% for Under 11.5 corners. The match’s final outcome will likely see NEC win, though the actual result was an Excelsior away win.
Results analysis
The upset came early as the pre-match favourite, NEC Nijmegen, failed to deliver a home win, a 3-4 defeat to Excelsior. The model had pegged a 64% chance of a home victory, but the result was an away win, so the model’s call was wrong. NEC’s recent form, a win to start a five-match run, had raised expectations, yet the 3-4 scoreline shows the visitors’ resilience. The model’s other selections all hit: Under 5.5 cards at 90.4%, Over 1.5 at 83.5%, Under 25.5 fouls at 83.4%, Under 4.5 cards at 79.6%, Under 23.5 fouls at 71.1% and Under 11.5 corners at 70.3%. All probabilities were expressed as percentages, and every pick was accounted for.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
NEC Nijmegen win✗ Miss
63.9%
Avg Implied 62.6% · @ 1.51
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.2%
Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.49
Edge
+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Excelsior win✓ Hit
14.9%
Avg Implied 16.3% · @ 5.79
Edge
-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.37
1.80
1.73
0.60
1.00
vs Stronger (7)
0.57
2.14
1.00
2.25
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (10)
0.90
1.60
2.00
2.25
0.17
1.17
vs Weaker (13)
1.77
0.77
2.14
1.14
1.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
2.00
1.20
1.27
0.53
2.73
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
2.83
0.50
1.83
0.50
3.83
vs Similar (18)
1.11
1.44
1.67
0.89
0.56
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.5%
Under 1.5
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.5%
@ 1.55+0.8%
Under 2.5
38.5%
@ 2.40-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.3%
Under 3.5
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.0%
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
8.2%
3-0
7.3%
3-1
7.2%
0-0
5.1%
2-2
4.9%
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
Excelsior goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.1%
3.2%
2.0%
0.7%
0.2%
1
8.2%
9.9%
4.4%
1.5%
0.4%
2
10%
9.9%
4.9%
1.6%
0.4%
3
7.3%
7.2%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
4
4.0%
4.0%
1.9%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NEC Nijmegen goals (down), columns = Excelsior goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.68
Feyenoord
2.47
NAC Breda
2.17
Twente
2.03
AZ Alkmaar
1.91
Ajax
1.65
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Utrecht
1.50
Sparta Rotterdam
1.40
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
Emmen
1.25
Fortuna Sittard
1.12
Heerenveen
1.09
PEC Zwolle
1.06
Almere City FC
1.00
Excelsior
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Heracles
0.97
Waalwijk
0.85
Vitesse
0.71
FC Volendam
0.56
Dordrecht
0.50
De Graafschap
0.50
Roda
0.00
NEC Nijmegen is 0.51 points better than Excelsior in terms of average points per game (1.51 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.26
NAC Breda
3.17
Feyenoord
2.71
Ajax
2.18
AZ Alkmaar
2.06
Twente
2.03
De Graafschap
2.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.97
ADO Den Haag
1.75
Excelsior
1.71
Heerenveen
1.56
Sparta Rotterdam
1.49
Utrecht
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.39
PEC Zwolle
1.32
Heracles
1.21
Waalwijk
1.12
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
FC Volendam
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Almere City FC
0.97
Vitesse
0.88
Roda
0.50
NEC Nijmegen is 0.26 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals scored per game (1.97 vs 1.71).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
PSV Eindhoven
0.62
Feyenoord
0.76
Twente
1.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.15
GO Ahead Eagles
1.33
NAC Breda
1.33
Utrecht
1.36
Sparta Rotterdam
1.46
Dordrecht
1.50
Emmen
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Waalwijk
1.65
Fortuna Sittard
1.65
Almere City FC
1.74
Ajax
1.79
PEC Zwolle
1.97
Heerenveen
2.06
Excelsior
2.16
Heracles
2.18
Vitesse
2.18
De Graafschap
2.50
FC Volendam
2.59
ADO Den Haag
3.25
Roda
4.00
NEC Nijmegen is 0.64 goals better than Excelsior in terms of goals conceded per game (1.51 vs 2.16).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
65%
Feyenoord
62%
Ajax
60%
Dordrecht
59%
De Graafschap
58%
Twente
56%
AZ Alkmaar
55%
Roda
53%
Vitesse
50%
Heerenveen
50%
PEC Zwolle
49%
NAC Breda
49%
NEC Nijmegen
48%
Utrecht
48%
Sparta Rotterdam
47%
Excelsior
46%
Heracles
46%
GO Ahead Eagles
45%
Waalwijk
45%
Almere City FC
44%
ADO Den Haag
44%
Emmen
44%
Fortuna Sittard
43%
FC Volendam
41%
NEC Nijmegen is 1.8 percentage points better than Excelsior in terms of average possession (48% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Excelsior
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.9
9.9
9.9
1.0
1.0
1.0
20.9
21.9
19.7
vs Stronger (12)
9.5
11.0
5.0
0.4
0.7
0.0
16.8
17.7
14.0
vs Similar (20)
10.2
8.5
12.0
1.5
1.1
1.9
21.2
22.8
19.8
vs Weaker (18)
9.5
11.0
8.0
0.8
1.1
0.6
24.5
26.5
22.5
% over line
50%
67%
29%
12%
12%
12%
44%
56%
29%
% under line
50%
33%
71%
88%
88%
88%
56%
44%
71%
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
11.1
11.4
0.7
0.5
0.9
20.5
19.4
21.6
vs Stronger (19)
10.0
10.7
9.0
0.8
0.6
1.0
18.4
16.7
21.0
vs Similar (31)
11.8
11.4
12.2
0.6
0.4
0.9
21.5
21.0
21.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
88%
88%
88%
8%
0%
16%
31%
25%
38%
% under line
12%
12%
12%
92%
100%
84%
69%
75%
62%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Heerenveen
10.2
Utrecht
10.2
Heracles
10.1
Ajax
10.1
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
FC Volendam
10.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.0
Almere City FC
9.9
Feyenoord
9.9
De Graafschap
9.8
NAC Breda
9.8
Emmen
9.7
Waalwijk
9.6
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
Roda
9.5
ADO Den Haag
9.4
PEC Zwolle
9.4
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Dordrecht
9.1
Vitesse
9.1
GO Ahead Eagles
9.1
Twente
8.8
AZ Alkmaar
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
FC Volendam
5.0
Dordrecht
4.2
Twente
4.0
Almere City FC
3.9
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Vitesse
3.7
Feyenoord
3.6
Roda
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
Emmen
3.4
Heracles
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Ajax
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
AZ Alkmaar
3.1
De Graafschap
3.0
PEC Zwolle
2.9
Excelsior
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
2.9
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Sparta Rotterdam
2.8
Waalwijk
2.6
Heerenveen
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Almere City FC
24.1
Dordrecht
24.0
Twente
23.2
Vitesse
23.0
Roda
22.8
Heracles
22.5
Emmen
22.5
ADO Den Haag
22.4
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
FC Volendam
22.0
NAC Breda
21.6
Utrecht
21.4
Excelsior
21.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.2
De Graafschap
20.9
PEC Zwolle
20.7
Waalwijk
20.6
Feyenoord
20.4
Ajax
19.8
AZ Alkmaar
19.4
Sparta Rotterdam
19.3
PSV Eindhoven
19.1
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Heerenveen
17.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
37.9%
Under 3.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
44.8%
Under 21.5
55.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.70
0.47
0.93
0.33
0.47
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.43
0.25
1.75
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.70
0.75
0.75
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
0.62
0.31
0.43
0.57
0.83
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.87
0.60
0.47
0.20
1.27
vs Stronger (12)
0.33
1.42
0.50
0.83
0.17
2.00
vs Similar (18)
0.44
0.50
0.67
0.22
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.67
1.33
0.80
0.27
0.53
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
0.71
0.75
0.50
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (10)
0.60
0.90
1.25
1.50
0.17
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
1.15
0.46
1.71
0.57
0.50
0.33
Clean sheet %
53% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Excelsior) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Excelsior
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
1.13
0.60
0.80
0.33
1.47
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.42
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.94
1.00
0.67
0.33
1.22
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Excelsior over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
90.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
79.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NEC Nijmegen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Magnus Mattsson47%
Bas Dost38%
Tjaronn Chery27%
Koki Ogawa25%
Elayis Tavsan25%
Rober González20%
Kodai Sano20%
Dirk Proper18%
Sontje Hansen15%
Sylla Sow12%
Youri Baas11%
Mathias Ross10%
Bart van Rooij8%
Calvin Verdonk6%
Lars Olden Larsen5%
Lasse Schøne4%
Mees Hoedemakers3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Pedro Marques0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Sai Van Wermeskerken0%
Robin Roefs0%
Brayann Pereira0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Nils Rossen0%
D'Leanu Arts0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pedro Marques67%
Sai Van Wermeskerken33%
D'Leanu Arts33%
Elayis Tavsan25%
Bart van Rooij17%
Kodai Sano16%
Calvin Verdonk15%
Mathias Ross14%
Dirk Proper14%
Youri Baas14%
Lasse Schøne12%
Philippe Sandler12%
Bas Dost12%
Bram Nuytinck10%
Sontje Hansen9%
Rober González7%
Mees Hoedemakers6%
Sylla Sow6%
Brayann Pereira6%
Magnus Mattsson5%
Jasper Cillessen3%
Koki Ogawa3%
Tjaronn Chery0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Robin Roefs0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Nils Rossen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bas Dost25%
Mees Hoedemakers23%
Magnus Mattsson16%
Rober González13%
Lasse Schøne12%
Bart van Rooij12%
Sontje Hansen12%
Dirk Proper11%
Youri Baas11%
Kodai Sano8%
Tjaronn Chery7%
Sylla Sow6%
Brayann Pereira6%
Calvin Verdonk6%
Koki Ogawa3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Pedro Marques0%
Mathias Ross0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Sai Van Wermeskerken0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Elayis Tavsan0%
Robin Roefs0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Nils Rossen0%
D'Leanu Arts0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tjaronn Chery40%
Magnus Mattsson26%
Koki Ogawa25%
Elayis Tavsan12%
Rober González10%
Lars Olden Larsen10%
Dirk Proper7%
Mees Hoedemakers6%
Bart van Rooij4%
Bram Nuytinck3%
Sontje Hansen3%
Calvin Verdonk3%
Jasper Cillessen0%
Lasse Schøne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Bas Dost0%
Pedro Marques0%
Mathias Ross0%
Sylla Sow0%
Sai Van Wermeskerken0%
Robin Roefs0%
Brayann Pereira0%
Youri Baas0%
Yvandro Borges Sanches0%
Nils Rossen0%
D'Leanu Arts0%
Kodai Sano0%
Excelsior
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott41%
Lance Duijvestijn35%
Nikolas Agrafiotis28%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Kik Pierie20%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Oscar Uddenäs13%
Julian Baas11%
Richie Omorowa8%
Siebe Horemans8%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes6%
Kenzo Goudmijn5%
Sven Nieuwpoort4%
Cisse Sandra3%
Arthur Zagre3%
Casper Widell3%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Redouan El Yaakoubi0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Serano Seymor0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Siem de Moes33%
Arthur Zagre23%
Julian Baas22%
Ian Smeulers17%
Couhaib Driouech13%
Siebe Horemans13%
Mike van Duinen12%
Lazaros Lamprou12%
Serano Seymor11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Kenzo Goudmijn9%
Sven Nieuwpoort9%
Mimeirhel Benita8%
Troy Parrott7%
Redouan El Yaakoubi7%
Cisse Sandra7%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Oscar Uddenäs4%
Richie Omorowa4%
Noah Naujoks4%
Casper Widell3%
Kik Pierie0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Nikolas Agrafiotis0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lazaros Lamprou25%
Couhaib Driouech23%
Lance Duijvestijn18%
Troy Parrott17%
Arthur Zagre16%
Kenzo Goudmijn14%
Nikolas Agrafiotis11%
Siebe Horemans11%
Kian Fitz-Jim10%
Redouan El Yaakoubi10%
Richie Omorowa8%
Cisse Sandra7%
Julian Baas5%
Noah Naujoks4%
Mimeirhel Benita4%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes3%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Casper Widell0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Siem de Moes0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Troy Parrott28%
Lazaros Lamprou19%
Couhaib Driouech10%
Lance Duijvestijn6%
Nikolas Agrafiotis6%
Redouan El Yaakoubi3%
Arthur Zagre0%
Kian Fitz-Jim0%
Kenzo Goudmijn0%
Mike van Duinen0%
Kik Pierie0%
Sven Nieuwpoort0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Siebe Horemans0%
Ian Smeulers0%
Cisse Sandra0%
Casper Widell0%
Julian Baas0%
Derensili Sanches Fernandes0%
Oscar Uddenäs0%
Serano Seymor0%
Richie Omorowa0%
Noah Naujoks0%
Mimeirhel Benita0%
Siem de Moes0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
NEC Nijmegen's squad is €37m more valuable than Excelsior's (€54m vs €16m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
EMM (6)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's attack is €15m more valuable than Excelsior's (€22m vs €7m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's midfield is €3m more valuable than Excelsior's (€5m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's defence is €19m more valuable than Excelsior's (€26m vs €6m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Feyenoord
Twente
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Utrecht
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Fortuna Sittard
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Almere City FC
Heracles
Waalwijk
Vitesse
FC Volendam
NAC Breda
Emmen
ADO Den Haag
De Graafschap
Dordrecht
Roda