This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
2.10
1.33
2.00
0.93
2.20
vs Stronger (12)
0.92
3.42
1.00
3.80
0.86
3.14
vs Similar (18)
1.28
1.22
1.50
1.10
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
13% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.5%
Under 2.5
54.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
24.1%
Under 3.5
75.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
49.7%
No
50.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-0
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
2-1
9.3%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
NEC Nijmegen goals ↓
PEC Zwolle goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.5%
6.7%
3.8%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.8%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.7%
9.3%
4.5%
1.4%
0.3%
3
5.0%
4.8%
2.3%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.9%
1.8%
0.9%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NEC Nijmegen goals (down), columns = PEC Zwolle goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
NEC Nijmegen and PEC Zwolle are level in average points per game (both 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
NEC Nijmegen is 1.00 goals worse than PEC Zwolle in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
NEC Nijmegen is 1.00 goals better than PEC Zwolle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NEC Nijmegen
For 5.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 2.1 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.8 · Total 21.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PEC Zwolle
For 4.1 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.9 · Against 10.7 · Total 22.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NEC Nijmegen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.9
10.7
11.2
3.2
3.4
2.9
20.4
20.9
20.0
vs Stronger (12)
10.7
9.8
11.5
2.6
2.3
2.8
18.2
18.4
18.0
vs Similar (25)
11.4
11.2
11.6
2.9
3.2
2.5
22.0
21.8
22.1
vs Weaker (13)
10.3
10.0
10.6
4.2
5.4
3.4
19.7
20.8
18.9
% over line
64%
65%
64%
44%
40%
48%
36%
39%
32%
% under line
36%
35%
36%
56%
60%
52%
64%
61%
68%
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
9.8
10.3
3.6
3.7
3.4
20.3
21.0
19.6
vs Stronger (17)
9.3
9.1
9.4
3.2
3.8
2.7
19.1
19.6
18.7
vs Similar (32)
10.5
10.1
10.9
3.8
3.7
3.9
21.2
21.7
20.7
vs Weaker (1)
9.0
-
9.0
3.0
-
3.0
13.0
-
13.0
% over line
60%
52%
68%
48%
48%
48%
42%
52%
32%
% under line
40%
48%
32%
52%
52%
52%
58%
48%
68%
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.4
Cambuur
11.3
Vitesse
11.2
FC Volendam
11.1
Sparta Rotterdam
11.0
Dordrecht
10.9
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
Telstar
10.6
Utrecht
10.6
De Graafschap
10.6
Feyenoord
10.5
Waalwijk
10.5
FC Eindhoven
10.5
Den Bosch
10.5
Heerenveen
10.4
Helmond Sport
10.4
FC OSS
10.4
ADO Den Haag
10.3
GO Ahead Eagles
10.3
Willem II
10.3
Emmen
10.3
VVV Venlo
10.2
Groningen
10.2
PSV Eindhoven
10.1
PEC Zwolle
10.1
Almere City FC
10.0
Roda
10.0
Excelsior
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Twente
9.8
MVV
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cambuur
4.4
Feyenoord
4.1
Excelsior
4.0
Telstar
4.0
Roda
4.0
Den Bosch
4.0
ADO Den Haag
4.0
Ajax
4.0
Dordrecht
3.9
Almere City FC
3.9
Groningen
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Heracles
3.8
VVV Venlo
3.8
Vitesse
3.8
Twente
3.8
Willem II
3.7
NEC Nijmegen
3.7
Emmen
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.6
Helmond Sport
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.6
Fortuna Sittard
3.5
FC OSS
3.5
Utrecht
3.4
FC Volendam
3.4
MVV
3.4
De Graafschap
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Waalwijk
3.2
GO Ahead Eagles
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.1
FC Eindhoven
3.1
Heerenveen
2.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.7
Dordrecht
23.8
Emmen
23.5
ADO Den Haag
23.4
Almere City FC
23.1
Cambuur
22.7
Vitesse
22.7
VVV Venlo
22.6
FC OSS
22.4
Roda
22.2
Heracles
22.1
Helmond Sport
21.8
NAC Breda
21.7
Den Bosch
21.7
Groningen
21.7
Twente
21.3
Fortuna Sittard
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
20.8
Utrecht
20.6
MVV
20.5
FC Eindhoven
20.5
AZ Alkmaar
20.4
Feyenoord
20.3
PEC Zwolle
20.3
Willem II
20.3
Ajax
19.7
Waalwijk
19.5
Heerenveen
19.5
GO Ahead Eagles
19.4
FC Volendam
19.2
De Graafschap
19.0
Sparta Rotterdam
18.2
PSV Eindhoven
18.2
Excelsior
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
53.7%
Under 9.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
69.6%
Under 3.5
30.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
75.4%
Under 21.5
24.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NEC Nijmegen or Draw✓ Hit
77.5%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
22%
covers NEC Nijmegen + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen or PEC Zwolle✗ Miss
71.9%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
22%
covers NEC Nijmegen + PEC Zwolle
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or PEC Zwolle✓ Hit
50.6%
Avg Implied -
49%
28%
22%
covers Draw + PEC Zwolle
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.4%
Under
21.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
20.0%
Under
80.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.0%
Under
93.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
61.8%
Under
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
25.0%
Under
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.3%
Under
92.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NEC Nijmegen, so a minus line means NEC Nijmegen give that many goals of a start and PEC Zwolle receive them. At -1, NEC Nijmegen must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NEC Nijmegen win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NEC Nijmegen)Actual: PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen -2
10.6%
Draw -2
15.4%
PEC Zwolle +2
74.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (NEC Nijmegen)Actual: PEC Zwolle
NEC Nijmegen -1
26.0%
Draw -1
23.4%
PEC Zwolle +1
50.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (NEC Nijmegen)Actual: NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen +1
77.5%
Draw +1
14.2%
PEC Zwolle -1
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (NEC Nijmegen)Actual: NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen +2
91.7%
Draw +2
6.1%
PEC Zwolle -2
2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.60
0.53
0.60
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.12
0.50
0.75
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (8)
0.88
0.25
2.00
0.00
0.71
0.29
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.60
0.33
0.60
0.27
0.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.17
1.00
0.20
1.20
0.14
0.86
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.33
0.40
0.30
0.38
0.38
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NEC Nijmegen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.63
1.20
0.67
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (8)
0.88
0.75
1.00
1.25
0.75
0.25
vs Similar (14)
1.07
0.57
1.20
0.40
0.75
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
1.50
0.62
2.00
1.00
1.43
0.57
Clean sheet %
53% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (PEC Zwolle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PEC Zwolle
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
1.50
1.00
1.40
0.67
1.60
vs Stronger (12)
0.75
2.42
0.80
2.60
0.71
2.29
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.89
1.10
0.80
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (NEC Nijmegen) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NEC Nijmegen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PEC Zwolle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
75.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
75.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NEC Nijmegen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vito van Crooij29%
Koki Ogawa27%
Sontje Hansen21%
Sami Ouaissa19%
Bryan Linssen19%
Kento Shiogai18%
Kodai Sano11%
Rober González11%
Brayann Pereira9%
Thomas Ouwejan6%
Iván Márquez6%
Bram Nuytinck4%
Calvin Verdonk3%
Başar Önal3%
Lasse Schöne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Lefteris Lyratzis0%
Mees Hoedemakers0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Dirk Proper0%
Robin Roefs0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Calvin Verdonk28%
Vito van Crooij25%
Iván Márquez19%
Bryan Linssen19%
Kodai Sano18%
Bram Nuytinck15%
Brayann Pereira15%
Sontje Hansen12%
Dirk Proper12%
Rober González11%
Başar Önal8%
Sami Ouaissa8%
Lasse Schöne5%
Philippe Sandler5%
Koki Ogawa4%
Mees Hoedemakers3%
Thomas Ouwejan3%
Lefteris Lyratzis0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Robin Roefs0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
Kento Shiogai0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Thomas Ouwejan16%
Vito van Crooij14%
Sontje Hansen12%
Lefteris Lyratzis11%
Başar Önal8%
Kodai Sano7%
Mees Hoedemakers7%
Brayann Pereira6%
Sami Ouaissa6%
Rober González5%
Koki Ogawa4%
Dirk Proper4%
Kento Shiogai4%
Calvin Verdonk3%
Lasse Schöne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Bryan Linssen0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Iván Márquez0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Robin Roefs0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Koki Ogawa27%
Bryan Linssen19%
Vito van Crooij18%
Kodai Sano7%
Kento Shiogai7%
Mees Hoedemakers3%
Thomas Ouwejan3%
Sontje Hansen3%
Calvin Verdonk3%
Başar Önal3%
Sami Ouaissa3%
Lasse Schöne0%
Philippe Sandler0%
Rober González0%
Lefteris Lyratzis0%
Bram Nuytinck0%
Stijn van Gassel0%
Iván Márquez0%
Lars Olden Larsen0%
Dirk Proper0%
Robin Roefs0%
Brayann Pereira0%
Argyrios Darelas0%
PEC Zwolle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dylan Vente39%
Younes Namli22%
Filip Krastev16%
Davy van den Berg12%
Jamiro Monteiro10%
Kaj de Rooij9%
Dylan Mbayo9%
Thomas Buitink7%
Damian van der Haar7%
Olivier Aertssen5%
Eliano Reijnders5%
Odysseus Velanas3%
Anouar El Azzouzi3%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty3%
Ryan Thomas0%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Braydon Manu0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Mike Hauptmeijer0%
Sherel Floranus0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Nick Fichtinger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Thomas24%
Anouar El Azzouzi24%
Filip Krastev19%
Kaj de Rooij18%
Nick Fichtinger17%
Jamiro Monteiro17%
Thierry Lutonda17%
Davy van den Berg15%
Sherel Floranus13%
Dylan Vente10%
Thomas Buitink7%
Dylan Mbayo6%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty6%
Younes Namli6%
Eliano Reijnders5%
Simon Graves Jensen4%
Damian van der Haar3%
Odysseus Velanas3%
Braydon Manu0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Mike Hauptmeijer0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dylan Mbayo20%
Filip Krastev12%
Ryan Thomas12%
Younes Namli11%
Davy van den Berg9%
Jamiro Monteiro7%
Damian van der Haar7%
Odysseus Velanas7%
Jasper Schendelaar6%
Kaj de Rooij5%
Sherel Floranus4%
Anouar El Azzouzi3%
Simon Graves Jensen0%
Braydon Manu0%
Mike Hauptmeijer0%
Eliano Reijnders0%
Thomas Buitink0%
Dylan Vente0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Nick Fichtinger0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Younes Namli28%
Dylan Vente13%
Davy van den Berg9%
Filip Krastev6%
Simon Graves Jensen4%
Odysseus Velanas3%
Anouar El Azzouzi3%
Dylan Mbayo3%
Ryan Thomas0%
Braydon Manu0%
Jasper Schendelaar0%
Mike Hauptmeijer0%
Eliano Reijnders0%
Sherel Floranus0%
Thomas Buitink0%
Kaj de Rooij0%
Jamiro Monteiro0%
Thierry Lutonda0%
Olivier Aertssen0%
Anselmo Garcia McNulty0%
Damian van der Haar0%
Nick Fichtinger0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
NEC Nijmegen's squad is €32m more valuable than PEC Zwolle's (€54m vs €21m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's attack is €15m more valuable than PEC Zwolle's (€22m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
NEC Nijmegen's midfield is €1m more valuable than PEC Zwolle's (€5m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
NEC Nijmegen's defence is €16m more valuable than PEC Zwolle's (€26m vs €10m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
Heerenveen
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag