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Neptūną Klaipėda vs Minija Result & Analysis

Date: 24/03/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 0-0
Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Vs
63%
20%
17%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Neptūną Klaipėda win✗ Miss
62.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Minija win✗ Miss
17.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W10W21W01L31W72W31W42W42W23LA·EKR01/10H·BFA07/10H·BE112/10A·MIN15/10H·FA 21/10A·TRA28/10A·BAB05/11H·ATM12/11H·TRA11/03A·TRA17/03
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.201.372.381.062.001.71
vs Stronger (12)2.331.502.001.002.672.00
vs Similar (12)1.751.082.290.861.001.40
vs Weaker (6)2.831.673.331.672.331.67
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W32W11D10W13L11D20W10W22D12LH·EKR17/09A·BFA30/09H·FA 09/10H·NEP15/10A·TRA23/10H·BAB29/10A·ATM04/11H·BAN12/11A·BE111/03H·NEV18/03
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.001.430.930.871.072.00
vs Stronger (13)0.691.460.710.860.672.17
vs Similar (11)1.361.641.200.801.502.33
vs Weaker (6)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%515%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
87.5%
Under 1.5
12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.5%
Under 2.5
31.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.0%
Under 3.5
53.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
63.5%
No
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.6%
1-1
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.5%
3-0
6.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
4.8%
Neptūną Klaipėda goals ↓
Minija goals →
01234
03.7%2.7%2.0%0.8%0.2%
16.1%9.0%4.8%1.9%0.6%
28.1%9.6%5.6%2.2%0.7%
36.3%7.5%4.4%1.7%0.5%
43.7%4.4%2.6%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Neptūną Klaipėda goals (down), columns = Minija goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Neptūną Klaipėda and Minija are level in average points per game (both 1.66).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.41 goals better than Minija in terms of goals scored per game (1.86 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Neptūną Klaipėda is 0.14 goals better than Minija in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.28).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D01L20W22D21W32W01L12LA·EKR01/10H·BFA07/10H·BE112/10A·MIN15/10H·FA 21/10A·TRA28/10A·BAB05/11H·ATM12/11H·TRA11/03A·TRA17/03
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.830.880.620.791.07
vs Stronger (12)0.830.920.500.501.171.33
vs Similar (12)0.830.751.000.570.601.00
vs Weaker (6)0.830.831.331.000.330.67
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W00D10W02L01L00D00D11D00DH·EKR17/09A·BFA30/09H·FA 09/10H·NEP15/10A·TRA23/10H·BAB29/10A·ATM04/11H·BAN12/11A·BE111/03H·NEV18/03
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.670.270.470.530.87
vs Stronger (13)0.230.690.140.430.331.00
vs Similar (11)0.730.820.400.401.001.17
vs Weaker (6)0.170.330.330.670.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-510W10W10W00D11D50W10W10W41W11DA·EKR01/10H·BFA07/10H·BE112/10A·MIN15/10H·FA 21/10A·TRA28/10A·BAB05/11H·ATM12/11H·TRA11/03A·TRA17/03
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.531.500.441.210.64
vs Stronger (12)1.500.581.500.501.500.67
vs Similar (12)0.920.331.290.290.400.40
vs Weaker (6)2.000.832.000.672.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Minija) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

MinijaMinija

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W12L11D00D11D10W20W10W11D12LH·EKR17/09A·BFA30/09H·FA 09/10H·NEP15/10A·TRA23/10H·BAB29/10A·ATM04/11H·BAN12/11A·BE111/03H·NEV18/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.770.670.400.531.13
vs Stronger (13)0.460.770.570.430.331.17
vs Similar (11)0.640.820.800.400.501.17
vs Weaker (6)0.830.670.670.331.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Minija over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.5%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Minija have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Minija have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Minija have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
Neptūną Klaipėda and Minija have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
NK wins
0
Draws
1
MIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Neptūną Klaipėda vs Minija · H/A from NK
DateH/AGameScore
15/10/22AMinija Vs NK1-0
10/06/22HNK Vs Minija2-0

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/03/23ATrakai II Vs NK3-2
11/03/23HNK Vs TransINVEST Vilnius4-2
12/11/22HNK Vs Atmosfera4-2
05/11/22ABabrungas Vs NK1-3
28/10/22ATrakai II Vs NK2-7
21/10/22HNK Vs FA Šiauliai II3-1
15/10/22AMinija Vs NK1-0
12/10/22HNK Vs Be1 NFA2-1
07/10/22HNK Vs BFA1-0
01/10/22AEkranas Vs NK1-2

MinijaMinija

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/03/23HMIN Vs Nevėžis1-2
11/03/23ABe1 NFA Vs MIN2-2
12/11/22HMIN Vs Banga II1-0
04/11/22AAtmosfera Vs MIN0-2
29/10/22HMIN Vs Babrungas1-1
23/10/22ATrakai II Vs MIN3-1
15/10/22HMIN Vs Neptūną Klaipėda1-0
09/10/22HMIN Vs FA Šiauliai II1-1
30/09/22ABFA Vs MIN2-3
17/09/22HMIN Vs Ekranas3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWL2.03
HomeWWWWW2.44
AwayWLWWL1.62
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %62%75%50%
AVG goals3.533.443.62
Over 1.5 %91%94%88%
Over 2.5 %69%62%75%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored2.252.382.12
Conceded1.281.061.50
BTTS66%69%62%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Minija
Minija
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.06
HomeDWDWL1.38
AwayLWLWD0.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%38%19%
AVG goals2.281.692.88
Over 1.5 %69%50%88%
Over 2.5 %41%25%56%
Over 3.5 %19%6%31%
Scored0.940.881.00
Conceded1.340.811.88
BTTS44%31%56%
Clean Sheet25%38%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
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Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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