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Nevėžis vs Jonava Result & Analysis

Date: 23/06/2023
Time: 15:00
Final 5-0
Nevėžis
Nevėžis
Vs
53%
27%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Jonava
Jonava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Nevėžis win✓ Hit
52.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Jonava win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NevėžisNevėžis

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D00D41W10W20W11D01L32W21W00DA·GAR01/04H·PAN07/04A·ŽAL14/04H·EKR21/04A·BFA30/04H·BAB12/05A·ŠIL19/05H·BE126/05H·KAU03/06A·NEP09/06
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.370.831.360.791.380.88
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.300.901.290.861.331.00
vs Weaker (20)1.400.801.430.711.380.85
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JonavaJonava

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L02L11D12L31W14L12L32W02L15LA·MIN01/04H·FA 07/04A·GAR15/04H·PAN22/04A·ŽAL01/05H·EKR14/05A·BFA21/05H·BAB27/05H·ŠIL04/06H·BE109/06
Avg total
3.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.702.270.532.530.921.92
vs Stronger (15)0.802.400.782.560.832.17
vs Similar (10)0.602.100.202.401.001.80
vs Weaker (5)0.602.200.332.671.001.50
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Nevėžis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.4%
Under 1.5
25.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
48.1%
Under 2.5
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
26.3%
Under 3.5
73.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
1-0
11.1%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
5.9%
3-0
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
Nevėžis goals ↓
Jonava goals →
01234
08.6%5.9%3.3%1.1%0.2%
111%13%5.5%1.7%0.4%
210%9.6%4.5%1.4%0.3%
35.6%5.3%2.5%0.8%0.2%
42.3%2.2%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Nevėžis goals (down), columns = Jonava goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.31
Be1 NFA
1.83
Babrungas
1.70
Minija
1.66
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.66
Nevėžis
1.66
Šilas
1.52
Trakai II
1.48
Garliava
1.33
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.27
FA Šiauliai II
1.10
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.07
Panevėžys II
1.03
Žalgiris II
0.93
Jonava
0.41
Nevėžis is 1.24 points better than Jonava in terms of average points per game (1.66 vs 0.41).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.76
Babrungas
2.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.86
Be1 NFA
1.66
Trakai II
1.59
FA Šiauliai II
1.57
Žalgiris II
1.53
Nevėžis
1.52
Panevėžys II
1.50
Minija
1.45
Garliava
1.43
Ekranas
1.40
BFA
1.33
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.33
Šilas
1.17
Jonava
0.86
Nevėžis is 0.66 goals better than Jonava in terms of goals scored per game (1.52 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.03
Nevėžis
1.10
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.14
Trakai II
1.14
Garliava
1.23
Minija
1.28
BFA
1.37
Ekranas
1.63
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.63
Babrungas
1.63
Šilas
1.87
Panevėžys II
1.97
Žalgiris II
2.20
FA Šiauliai II
2.20
Jonava
2.62
Nevėžis is 1.52 goals better than Jonava in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 2.62).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NevėžisNevėžis

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D20W00D10W01L01L11D21W00DA·GAR01/04H·PAN07/04A·ŽAL14/04H·EKR21/04A·BFA30/04H·BAB12/05A·ŠIL19/05H·BE126/05H·KAU03/06A·NEP09/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.370.500.290.560.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.200.400.290.290.000.67
vs Weaker (20)0.700.350.710.290.690.38
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JonavaJonava

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L01L01L02L20W02L01L00D00D12LA·MIN01/04H·FA 07/04A·GAR15/04H·PAN22/04A·ŽAL01/05H·EKR14/05A·BFA21/05H·BAB27/05H·ŠIL04/06H·BE109/06
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.271.130.181.240.381.00
vs Stronger (15)0.401.000.331.000.501.00
vs Similar (10)0.201.400.001.800.401.00
vs Weaker (5)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nevėžis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Nevėžis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevėžis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevėžis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NevėžisNevėžis

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W10W10W10W00D21W00D00DA·GAR01/04H·PAN07/04A·ŽAL14/04H·EKR21/04A·BFA30/04H·BAB12/05A·ŠIL19/05H·BE126/05H·KAU03/06A·NEP09/06
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.470.860.500.810.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.100.501.000.571.330.33
vs Weaker (20)0.700.450.710.430.690.46
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Jonava) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

JonavaJonava

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L10W10W11D12L11D32W02L03LA·MIN01/04H·FA 07/04A·GAR15/04H·PAN22/04A·ŽAL01/05H·EKR14/05A·BFA21/05H·BAB27/05H·ŠIL04/06H·BE109/06
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.431.130.351.290.540.92
vs Stronger (15)0.401.400.441.560.331.17
vs Similar (10)0.400.700.200.600.600.80
vs Weaker (5)0.601.200.331.671.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Nevėžis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Nevėžis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevėžis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Nevėžis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Jonava over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.574.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.7%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (24)
€5m
ŽI (6)
€1m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (8)
€2m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (5)
€1m
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TV (11)
€2m
ŽI (3)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
NEV wins
0
Draws
0
JON wins

Head-to-head

Nevėžis vs Jonava · H/A from NEV
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

NevėžisNevėžis

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/23ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs NEV0-0
03/06/23HNEV Vs Kauno Žalgiris II2-1
26/05/23HNEV Vs Be1 NFA3-2
19/05/23AŠilas Vs NEV1-0
12/05/23HNEV Vs Babrungas1-1
30/04/23ABFA Vs NEV0-2
21/04/23HNEV Vs Ekranas1-0
14/04/23AŽalgiris II Vs NEV1-4
07/04/23HNEV Vs Panevėžys II0-0
01/04/23AGarliava Vs NEV0-0

JonavaJonava

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/06/23HJON Vs Be1 NFA1-5
04/06/23HJON Vs Šilas0-2
27/05/23HJON Vs Babrungas3-2
21/05/23ABFA Vs JON2-1
14/05/23HJON Vs Ekranas1-4
01/05/23AŽalgiris II Vs JON1-3
22/04/23HJON Vs Panevėžys II1-2
15/04/23AGarliava Vs JON1-1
07/04/23HJON Vs FA Šiauliai II0-2
01/04/23AMinija Vs JON3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Nevėžis
Nevėžis
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWWD2.00
HomeDWDWW2.32
AwayDWWLD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%73%43%
AVG goals2.372.552.19
Over 1.5 %60%59%62%
Over 2.5 %40%45%33%
Over 3.5 %26%27%24%
Scored1.601.771.43
Conceded0.770.770.76
BTTS49%50%48%
Clean Sheet40%41%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Jonava
Jonava
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL0.20
HomeLLWLL0.15
AwayLLDWL0.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %4%4%4%
AVG goals3.203.153.26
Over 1.5 %90%85%96%
Over 2.5 %63%58%70%
Over 3.5 %41%42%39%
Scored0.490.420.57
Conceded2.712.732.70
BTTS39%35%43%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius2967
72%
2.3
8029+51
3.8
90%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.81.0
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA2953
55%
1.8
4830+18
2.7
76%
52%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.0
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3051
50%
1.7
6049+11
3.6
93%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.6
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda2948
45%
1.7
5433+21
3.0
76%
55%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.1
-
5NevėžisNevėžis2948
45%
1.7
4432+12
2.6
72%
52%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
6MinijaMinija2948
48%
1.7
4237+5
2.7
83%
59%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Trakai IITrakai II2943
41%
1.5
4633+13
2.7
83%
55%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.1
-
8GarliavaGarliava3040
30%
1.3
4337+6
2.7
80%
43%
23%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
9EkranasEkranas3039
37%
1.3
4249-7
3.0
77%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
10BFABFA3038
33%
1.3
4041-1
2.7
80%
47%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
11ŠilasŠilas2335
48%
1.5
2743-16
3.0
78%
57%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
12FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3033
30%
1.1
4766-19
3.8
90%
77%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.2
-
13Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3032
27%
1.1
4049-9
3.0
73%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
14Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3031
27%
1.0
4559-14
3.5
83%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.0
-
15Žalgiris IIŽalgiris II3028
23%
0.9
4666-20
3.7
90%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.52.2
-
16JonavaJonava2912
10%
0.4
2576-51
3.5
93%
72%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.6
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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