Nieciecza vs Puszcza Niepołomice Result & Analysis

The model favours a home win for Nieciecza, with a 42% chance, a 27% chance of a draw and a 32% chance of a Puszcza Niepołomice victory. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most likely total at two goals (24%). The single scoreline the model deems most probable is 1-1, at 12.5%. Nieciecza, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages two goals scored and 0.92 conceded; Puszcza, away, averages 1.62 scored and 1.46 conceded. The model’s selection is an 80.4% chance of Over 1.5 goals, which it has already hit. Recent form shows Nieciecza coming off a 2-2 draw, while Puszcza is on a two-game winning streak. The home win probability is 42%, the draw 27%, and the away win 32%.

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Nieciecza, fell short as the match finished 2-2, a draw that surprised the model’s 42% probability. The model’s call was wrong. The final score of 2-2 matched the actual result, extending Nieciecza’s recent form of a draw and ending their last five with DLLLW, while Puszcza Niepołomice continued a two-game winning streak with a 2-0 victory over Wisła Płock II. The model’s single suggested pick, Over 1.5 goals, hit with an 80.4% probability, confirming the match’s total goals exceeded the threshold. The prediction model’s overall assessment missed the outcome, but its over-goals selection proved accurate.