PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Niva vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Result & Analysis

Date: 09/08/2026
Time: 11:00
Final 2-1
Niva
Niva
Vs
56%
24%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Niva is expected to emerge victorious in this match, with a recent surge in form having seen the team secure a 3-game winning run. They've been scoring at a rate of 1.33 goals per match at home, but conceding a relatively low 1 goal on average.

The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, although the overall shape of the match suggests a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3 goals. Niva's home form against weaker opponents has been impressive, but they'll need to contain FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk's away form, which has seen them concede 2 goals on average.

The model's selection is an Over 1.5 goals outcome, which it predicts with 80.5% confidence. The model also suggests a Home win, which it predicts with 56% confidence, and a Draw, which it predicts with 24% confidence. The away win is the least likely outcome, with a 20% probability.

Results analysis

The win extends Niva's run of four consecutive victories. Niva secured a 2-1 victory over FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk, confirming the actual result. The model correctly predicted a home win, which had a pre-match probability of 56%. The model's selection was correct, as Niva was the favourite. The model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 80.5% probability, while the most likely total goals was 2, with a 24% probability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niva win✓ Hit
55.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk win✗ Miss
20.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-707L11D11D20W12L11D22D20W21W21WA·LID18/10A·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.571.801.602.201.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.831.831.831.751.821.91
vs Weaker (7)2.570.711.671.003.250.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-600D01L11D02L60W01L01L00D03L01LH·LID12/10A·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.671.071.431.061.88
vs Stronger (2)1.003.002.005.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.741.700.551.270.922.08
vs Weaker (5)2.601.003.500.502.001.33
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.5%
Under 1.5
19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.7%
Under 2.5
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.4%
Under 3.5
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.7%
No
43.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
2-1 ✓
9.9%
2-0
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
6.2%
3-0
5.9%
1-2
5.6%
Niva goals ↓
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals →
01234
06.2%4.5%3.0%1.0%0.3%
18.8%12%5.6%2.0%0.5%
29.3%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
35.9%6.2%3.3%1.2%0.3%
42.8%3.0%1.6%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niva goals (down), columns = FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.71
Niva
2.57
Lida
2.14
Minsk II
1.86
Osipovichy
1.86
Ostrovets FC
1.71
Bumprom
1.38
Smorgon
1.29
FC Slutsk
1.29
Uni Minsk
1.29
Slonim
1.29
Orsha
1.25
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.00
BATE II
1.00
Volna
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
0.88
Shakhter Soligorsk
0.88
Gomel II
0.62
Niva is 1.57 points better than FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk in terms of average points per game (2.57 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Niva
3.14
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
2.43
Lida
2.14
Volna
1.75
Minsk II
1.71
Slonim
1.71
Shakhter Soligorsk
1.62
FC Slutsk
1.57
BATE II
1.57
Bumprom
1.50
Dinamo Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.29
Orsha
1.25
Smorgon
1.14
Uni Minsk
1.14
Osipovichy
1.14
Gomel II
1.00
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
0.86
Niva is 2.29 goals better than FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk in terms of goals scored per game (3.14 vs 0.86).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Molodechno-DYuSSh 4
0.43
Uni Minsk
0.57
Minsk II
1.00
FC Slutsk
1.00
Niva
1.14
Smorgon
1.29
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
1.43
Ostrovets FC
1.43
Osipovichy
1.43
Slonim
1.57
Bumprom
1.62
Lida
1.71
Orsha
1.88
Dinamo Minsk II
1.88
BATE II
2.00
Volna
2.25
Gomel II
2.38
Shakhter Soligorsk
2.75
Niva is 0.29 goals better than FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 1.43).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-505L00D11D10W01L01L01L00D10W21WA·LID18/10A·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.730.800.600.870.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)0.780.870.920.670.641.09
vs Weaker (7)1.000.290.330.331.500.25
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D02L30W01L01L00D01L01LH·LID12/10A·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.770.430.640.310.88
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.003.000.000.00
vs Similar (23)0.170.780.180.550.171.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.401.500.001.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L11D00D10W11D10W21W20W11D00DA·LID18/10A·ABF22/10A·LOK27/10A·SLO01/11H·BEL09/11A·DIN17/11H·BUM23/11H·OST25/07A·DIN31/07H·FC 05/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.831.001.001.330.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (23)1.040.960.921.081.180.82
vs Weaker (7)1.570.431.330.671.750.25
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L11D00D30W00D00D00D02L00DH·LID12/10A·ML 20/10H·ORS27/10A·BAR03/11H·SLO10/11H·MOL17/11H·ABF23/11H·DIN24/07A·FC 31/07A·SHA05/08
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.900.640.790.751.00
vs Stronger (2)0.501.501.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.570.910.360.730.751.08
vs Weaker (5)1.400.602.000.501.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (29)
€2m
FS (22)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
SMO (25)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
M4 (22)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NIV (5)
€1m
FS (6)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
SMO (9)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
M4 (6)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
M4 (7)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
SMO (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
SMO (9)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
FS (8)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
M4 (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
2
NIV wins
0
Draws
0
FEM wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Niva vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk · H/A from NIV
DateH/AGameScore
06/10/24HNIV Vs FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk2-1
09/06/24AFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk Vs NIV0-4

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26HNIV Vs FC Slutsk2-1
31/07/26ADinamo Minsk II Vs NIV1-2
25/07/26HNIV Vs Ostrovets FC2-0
23/11/25HNIV Vs Bumprom2-2
17/11/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs NIV1-1
09/11/25HNIV Vs Belshina1-2
01/11/25ASlonim Vs NIV0-2
27/10/25ALokomotiv Gomel Vs NIV1-1
22/10/25AABFF U19 Vs NIV1-1
18/10/25ALida Vs NIV7-0

FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/26AShakhter Soligorsk Vs FEM1-0
31/07/26AFC Slutsk Vs FEM3-0
24/07/26HFEM Vs Dinamo Minsk II0-0
23/11/24HFEM Vs ABFF U170-1
17/11/24HFEM Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-1
10/11/24HFEM Vs Slonim6-0
03/11/24ABaranovichi Vs FEM2-0
27/10/24HFEM Vs Orsha1-1
20/10/24AML Vitebsk Vs FEM1-0
12/10/24HFEM Vs Lida0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWW1.70
HomeDLDWW1.73
AwayDDWDW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%50%50%
AVG goals3.443.583.29
Over 1.5 %82%81%83%
Over 2.5 %64%73%54%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored1.921.961.88
Conceded1.521.621.42
BTTS60%73%46%
Clean Sheet24%19%29%
Corners---
Cards---
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.88
HomeDWLLD0.92
AwayLLLLL0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.662.682.64
Over 1.5 %64%64%64%
Over 2.5 %44%48%40%
Over 3.5 %32%32%32%
Scored1.061.081.04
Conceded1.601.601.60
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet24%28%20%
Corners9.1210.678.20
Cards5.003.505.60

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Molodechno-DYuSSh 4Molodechno-DYuSSh 4719
86%
2.7
173+14
2.9
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0012.40.4
-
2NivaNiva718
86%
2.6
228+14
4.3
100%
86%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1113.11.1
-
3LidaLida715
71%
2.1
1512+3
3.9
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.11.7
-
4Minsk IIMinsk II713
57%
1.9
127+5
2.7
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.0
-
5OsipovichyOsipovichy713
57%
1.9
810-2
2.6
71%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.11.4
-
6Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC712
57%
1.7
910-1
2.7
86%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.31.4
-
7BumpromBumprom811
38%
1.4
1213-1
3.1
88%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.6
-
8OrshaOrsha810
38%
1.2
1015-5
3.1
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.9
-
9FC SlutskFC Slutsk79
29%
1.3
117+4
2.6
71%
71%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
10Uni MinskUni Minsk79
29%
1.3
84+4
1.7
57%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.10.6
-
11SlonimSlonim79
43%
1.3
1211+1
3.3
100%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.71.6
-
12SmorgonSmorgon79
43%
1.3
89-1
2.4
86%
29%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0011.11.3
-
13VolnaVolna88
25%
1.0
1418-4
4.0
88%
75%
62%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.82.2
-
14BATE IIBATE II77
29%
1.0
1114-3
3.6
86%
71%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.62.0
-
15Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II87
25%
0.9
1115-4
3.2
88%
88%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.41.9
-
16FC Energetik-Bgu MinskFC Energetik-Bgu Minsk77
29%
1.0
610-4
2.3
57%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.4
-
17Shakhter SoligorskShakhter Soligorsk87
25%
0.9
1322-9
4.4
88%
88%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.8
-
18Gomel IIGomel II85
12%
0.6
819-11
3.4
100%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

← all matches