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Niva vs Ostrovets FC Result & Analysis

Date: 01/06/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Niva
Niva
Vs
54%
23%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Niva win✓ Hit
53.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC win✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

NivaNiva

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L22D11D21W22D40W22D13L10W50WA·NAF07/12H·FC 29/03A·BAT06/04H·ORS13/04H·OSI19/04A·UNI26/04H·ABF03/05A·BAR10/05H·GOM18/05A·VOL26/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.072.121.251.570.86
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (22)1.771.272.331.331.101.20
vs Weaker (7)2.290.571.501.003.330.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L41W14L20W31W03L10W01L02L21WH·MOL23/11H·MIN30/03A·LID05/04H·LOK12/04A·SLO18/04H·BEL26/04A·DIN02/05H·BUM10/05A·FC 17/05H·BAT24/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.771.331.731.271.80
vs Stronger (4)1.002.251.501.000.503.50
vs Similar (24)1.291.711.311.851.271.55
vs Weaker (2)2.001.50--2.001.50
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%010%121%222%318%412%512%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
Under 1.5
14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.1%
Under 2.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
42.0%
Under 3.5
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.6%
No
36.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
2-1 ✓
9.6%
2-0
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
3-1
6.5%
2-2
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
3-0
5.1%
Niva goals ↓
Ostrovets FC goals →
01234
04.6%3.8%3.0%1.3%0.4%
16.5%10%6.1%2.6%0.8%
27.5%9.6%6.2%2.6%0.8%
35.1%6.5%4.2%1.8%0.6%
42.6%3.3%2.1%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Niva goals (down), columns = Ostrovets FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Baranovichi
2.18
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.97
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.88
Belshina
1.85
Lida
1.74
Bumprom
1.74
Niva
1.62
BATE II
1.56
Minsk II
1.50
Ostrovets FC
1.50
Volna
1.41
ABFF U19
1.24
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Uni Minsk
1.06
Gomel II
0.82
Orsha
0.74
Osipovichy
0.64
Slonim
0.61
Niva is 0.12 points better than Ostrovets FC in terms of average points per game (1.62 vs 1.50).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Baranovichi
2.21
Lida
2.18
BATE II
2.06
Niva
2.00
Volna
1.91
Belshina
1.88
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.74
Ostrovets FC
1.65
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.65
Bumprom
1.65
Uni Minsk
1.59
Minsk II
1.44
ABFF U19
1.29
Orsha
1.24
Osipovichy
1.18
Gomel II
1.00
Dinamo Minsk II
1.00
Slonim
0.91
Niva is 0.35 goals better than Ostrovets FC in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.65).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Baranovichi
0.85
Lokomotiv Gomel
1.00
Bumprom
1.06
FC Dnepr Mogilev
1.09
Dinamo Minsk II
1.18
Belshina
1.18
Lida
1.29
Minsk II
1.38
Ostrovets FC
1.41
ABFF U19
1.44
BATE II
1.53
Volna
1.62
Niva
1.65
Uni Minsk
2.12
Slonim
2.33
Osipovichy
2.33
Gomel II
2.44
Orsha
2.74
Niva is 0.24 goals worse than Ostrovets FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.65 vs 1.41).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L11D10W21W20W01L01L10W10WA·NAF07/12H·FC 29/03A·BAT06/04H·ORS13/04H·OSI19/04A·UNI26/04H·ABF03/05A·BAR10/05H·GOM18/05A·VOL26/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.401.000.500.640.29
vs Stronger (1)1.000.00--1.000.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.500.920.580.400.40
vs Weaker (7)1.290.141.250.251.330.00
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L40W01L10W10W03L10W00D00D11DH·MOL23/11H·MIN30/03A·LID05/04H·LOK12/04A·SLO18/04H·BEL26/04A·DIN02/05H·BUM10/05A·FC 17/05H·BAT24/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.830.530.930.470.73
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.500.500.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.500.880.541.000.450.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.50--0.500.50
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

NivaNiva

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L21W00D11D01L20W21W12L00D40WA·NAF07/12H·FC 29/03A·BAT06/04H·ORS13/04H·OSI19/04A·UNI26/04H·ABF03/05A·BAR10/05H·GOM18/05A·VOL26/05← Premier League1. Division →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.671.120.750.930.57
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (22)1.090.771.420.750.700.80
vs Weaker (7)1.000.430.250.752.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Ostrovets FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L01L13L10W21W00D00D01L02L10WH·MOL23/11H·MIN30/03A·LID05/04H·LOK12/04A·SLO18/04H·BEL26/04A·DIN02/05H·BUM10/05A·FC 17/05H·BAT24/05
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.930.800.800.801.07
vs Stronger (4)0.501.501.000.500.002.50
vs Similar (24)0.790.830.770.850.820.82
vs Weaker (2)1.501.00--1.501.00
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Niva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Niva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Niva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ostrovets FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.585.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (25)
€3m
BAR (21)
€2m
UM (29)
€2m
BEL (16)
€2m
NIV (21)
€2m
BUM (20)
€2m
DMI (27)
€1m
VOL (18)
€1m
OF (22)
€1m
MI (23)
€1m
LID (18)
€1m
SLO (20)
€1m
BI (20)
€1m
ORS (19)
€1m
OSI (20)
€1m
GI (17)
€1m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (9)
€1m
BAR (8)
€1m
BEL (6)
€1m
NIV (5)
€1m
UM (8)
€1m
BUM (7)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
MI (6)
€0m
OF (6)
€0m
OSI (6)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
GI (2)
€0m
LID (2)
€0m
DMI (2)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (6)
€1m
DMI (11)
€1m
LID (7)
€1m
NIV (7)
€1m
UM (8)
€0m
BAR (4)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
VOL (6)
€0m
MI (9)
€0m
OF (7)
€0m
ORS (9)
€0m
GI (8)
€0m
SLO (6)
€0m
BEL (2)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
BUM (4)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FDM (10)
€1m
BAR (9)
€1m
BEL (8)
€1m
UM (13)
€1m
DMI (14)
€1m
BUM (9)
€1m
OF (9)
€1m
NIV (9)
€1m
VOL (6)
€0m
LID (9)
€0m
SLO (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
MI (8)
€0m
OSI (7)
€0m
ORS (5)
€0m
GI (7)
€0m
Niva and Ostrovets FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
NIV wins
3
Draws
0
OF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Niva vs Ostrovets FC · H/A from NIV
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24HNIV Vs Ostrovets FC1-0
07/07/24AOstrovets FC Vs NIV3-3
28/10/23HNIV Vs Ostrovets FC1-1
24/06/23AOstrovets FC Vs NIV1-1

NivaNiva

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
26/05/25AVolna Vs NIV0-5
18/05/25HNIV Vs Gomel II1-0
10/05/25ABaranovichi Vs NIV3-1
03/05/25HNIV Vs ABFF U192-2
26/04/25AUni Minsk Vs NIV0-4
19/04/25HNIV Vs Osipovichy2-2
13/04/25HNIV Vs Orsha2-1
06/04/25ABATE II Vs NIV1-1
29/03/25HNIV Vs FC Dnepr Mogilev2-2
07/12/24ANaftan Vs NIV2-0

Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/05/25HOF Vs BATE II2-1
17/05/25AFC Dnepr Mogilev Vs OF2-0
10/05/25HOF Vs Bumprom0-1
02/05/25ADinamo Minsk II Vs OF0-1
26/04/25HOF Vs Belshina0-3
18/04/25ASlonim Vs OF1-3
12/04/25HOF Vs Lokomotiv Gomel2-0
05/04/25ALida Vs OF4-1
30/03/25HOF Vs Minsk II4-1
23/11/24HOF Vs Molodechno-DYuSSh 40-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Niva
Niva
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.92
HomeDWDDW1.81
AwayLDWLW2.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%50%62%
AVG goals3.243.313.17
Over 1.5 %78%73%83%
Over 2.5 %62%62%62%
Over 3.5 %44%46%42%
Scored2.102.082.12
Conceded1.141.231.04
BTTS58%69%46%
Clean Sheet30%23%38%
Corners---
Cards---
Ostrovets FC
Ostrovets FC
Belarus: 1. Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.20
HomeWWLLW1.40
AwayLLWWL1.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%40%28%
AVG goals2.962.763.16
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %60%56%64%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.221.241.20
Conceded1.741.521.96
BTTS52%40%64%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BaranovichiBaranovichi3474
68%
2.2
7529+46
3.1
85%
56%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1012.20.9
-
2FC Dnepr MogilevFC Dnepr Mogilev3467
59%
2.0
5937+22
2.8
85%
59%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.1
-
3Lokomotiv GomelLokomotiv Gomel3464
53%
1.9
5634+22
2.6
68%
50%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
4BelshinaBelshina3463
56%
1.9
6440+24
3.1
85%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.91.2
-
5LidaLida3459
56%
1.7
7444+30
3.5
85%
76%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0102.21.3
-
6BumpromBumprom3459
47%
1.7
5636+20
2.7
85%
44%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7NivaNiva3455
44%
1.6
6856+12
3.6
85%
68%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.01.6
-
8BATE IIBATE II3453
44%
1.6
7052+18
3.6
88%
65%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.11.5
-
9Ostrovets FCOstrovets FC3451
47%
1.5
5648+8
3.1
82%
62%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.4
-
10Minsk IIMinsk II3451
44%
1.5
4947+2
2.8
68%
50%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
11VolnaVolna3448
38%
1.4
6555+10
3.5
91%
68%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.91.6
-
12ABFF U19ABFF U193442
32%
1.2
4449-5
2.7
76%
56%
32%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Dinamo Minsk IIDinamo Minsk II3440
29%
1.2
3440-6
2.2
65%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0111.01.2
-
14Uni MinskUni Minsk3436
29%
1.1
5472-18
3.7
94%
76%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.62.1
-
15Gomel IIGomel II3428
24%
0.8
3483-49
3.4
79%
68%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.02.4
-
16OrshaOrsha3425
21%
0.7
4293-51
4.0
94%
79%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.7
-
17OsipovichyOsipovichy3321
15%
0.6
3977-38
3.5
97%
70%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.22.3
-
18SlonimSlonim3320
18%
0.6
3077-47
3.2
91%
70%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0000.92.3
-
Belarus: 1. Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Belarus: 1. Division stats & trends →

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