NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 47% chance for Hajduk Split, a 28% chance for a draw and a 25% chance for Lokomotiva to triumph. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a modestly open game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.4% probability. Lokomotiva, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.67 goals scored and 2.0 conceded, while Hajduk, on the road against a weaker opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 83.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.1%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.7%, Under 3.5 at 74.5%, Over 1.5 at 73.6% and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.3%. Lokomotiva’s recent form shows two straight defeats and a 1-4 loss to Rudes, whereas Hajduk remains unbeaten in five matches, last drawing 2-2 with Raków Czestochowa. The match is likely to stay tight, with Hajduk’s stronger away attack giving them the edge.

The pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win with a 47% probability, fell short as the match ended 1-1, a draw that left the prediction wrong. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, still struggling after two straight defeats, could not overcome the form of HNK Hajduk Split, who have remained unbeaten in their last five outings. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 83.2%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 80.1%, Over 2.5 cards hit at 74.7%, Under 3.5 hit at 74.5%, Over 1.5 hit at 73.6%, and Over 21.5 fouls hit at 70.3%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, but the expected total of 2.6 goals was not achieved.