NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with a 43% chance for Hajduk Split, 31% for a draw and 26% for Lokomotiva. The expected total is 2.3 goals, centring on a 2-goal outcome that carries a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Lokomotiva, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages 1.83 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Hajduk, on the road versus a weaker side, averages 1.25 goals scored and 0.83 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.5%, Under 3.5 at 80.7% (miss), Over 3.5 cards at 72.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 72.4%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.3%. Lokomotiva’s recent form shows three straight defeats and a 0-2 loss to Hajduk, while Hajduk remains unbeaten in five matches, winning 2-0 at Lokomotiva.

The pre-match favourite, an away win, failed to materialise as NK Lokomotiva Zagreb claimed a 3-2 victory, extending their recent run of two wins after three straight defeats. The model had given the away side a 43% chance, but the outcome proved wrong. The model’s selections were largely accurate: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 87.2%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 72.9%, Over 8.5 corners at 72.4% and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.3%, all of which came to pass. Only the Under 3.5 selection missed, with a 80.7% probability. The final score of 3-2 confirms the home win.