NK Lokomotiva Zagreb vs HNK Hajduk Split Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win for HNK Hajduk Split, with a 49% chance, followed by a 27% draw and a 24% home win. The expected total goals hover at 2.7, but the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.9% probability. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb, playing at home against a stronger side, averages 0.8 goals scored and concedes 2.6, while Hajduk Split on the road against a weaker opponent averages 2.0 goals scored and only 0.75 conceded. The suggested selections include Over 19.5 fouls at 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls at 83.2%, Over 1.5 goals at 76.5%, Under 5.5 cards at 71.3%, Under 3.5 goals at 71.2%, and Over 23.5 fouls at 71.0%. Other picks such as Over 2.5 cards and Under 11.5 corners are less likely, at 81.9% and 76.7% respectively. The recent form shows Lokomotiva struggling after three straight defeats, while Hajduk remains unbeaten in their last five.

The pre-match favourite, Away win, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that surprised many. The model’s call was wrong, with a 49% chance of an away victory. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which had a 12.9% probability. The model’s selections delivered mixed results: Over 19.5 fouls hit at 91.7%, Over 21.5 fouls hit at 83.2%, Over 2.5 cards missed at 81.9%, Under 11.5 corners missed at 76.7%, Over 1.5 hit at 76.5%, Under 5.5 cards hit at 71.3%, Under 3.5 hit at 71.2%, and Over 23.5 fouls hit at 71.0%. The home side’s recent form, after three straight defeats, and the away side’s unbeaten run of five games set the stage for this unexpected stalemate.