This Croatia: HNL match between NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica is finely balanced, with recent form telling a tale of two struggling teams. NK Slaven Belupo has suffered five consecutive defeats, while HNK Gorica has endured four straight defeats before a narrow win. These contrasting narratives make it difficult to predict a clear favourite.
In terms of probabilities, NK Slaven Belupo has a 37% chance of winning at home, HNK Gorica a 34% chance of winning away, and a 29% chance of a draw. The model's pick is a home win. On average, 2.6 goals are expected in this match, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a probability of 13.7%.
NK Slaven Belupo has averaged 1.5 goals scored at home and 0.25 conceded against similar opponents. HNK Gorica has averaged 0.8 goals scored away and 1.8 conceded against similar opponents.
The model's suggested picks include Over 21.5 fouls (75.3%), Over 1.5 (75.0%), Under 3.5 (73.1%), Home or Away (71.3%), and Home or Draw (70.6%). NK Slaven Belupo has a 37% chance of winning, a 29% chance of a draw, and a 34% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The win extends Slaven Belupoās recent run, ending a string of four losses and giving them a bright finish to the season. The modelās favourite, a home win, came through with a 2-0 result, matching the predicted outcome. The pre-match probability for the home side was 37 %. The modelās selections largely proved accurate: Under 7.5 goals hit at 99.5 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 % with a 5 % edge, Under 6.5 at 98.3 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.0 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.6 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.0 % with a 5 % edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.7 %, and Under 5.5 at 95.3 % with a 4 % edge. Every selection hit, confirming the modelās overall accuracy.
Advertisement
šÆ 1. Model Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo winā Hit
37.3%
Avg Implied 34.6% · @ 2.65
Edge
+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.75
888Sport
2.75
10Bet
2.74
Superbet
2.72
Betano
2.72
Drawā Miss
29.1%
Avg Implied 28.4% · @ 3.23
Edge
+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.45
Betfair
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
1xBet
3.32
Marathonbet
3.32
HNK Gorica winā Miss
33.6%
Avg Implied 37.1% · @ 2.48
Edge
-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.58
Betano
2.57
Dafabet
2.55
Superbet
2.52
1xBet
2.51
ā½ 2. Goal Analysis
NK Slaven Belupo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
1.77
1.27
1.60
1.07
1.93
vs Stronger (10)
1.00
2.40
1.00
2.33
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (20)
1.25
1.45
1.44
1.11
1.09
1.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.40
1.24
1.29
0.77
1.54
vs Stronger (14)
0.93
1.43
1.25
1.38
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (16)
1.12
1.38
1.22
1.22
1.00
1.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.7%
@ 1.23-1.4%
Under 1.5
26.3%
@ 3.72+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
4.00
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Marathonbet
3.75
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.1%
@ 1.79-5.1%
Under 2.5
52.9%
@ 1.96+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.90
SBO
1.87
Superbet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.82
888Sport
1.80
Under
Marathonbet
2.05
1xBet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.02
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.5%
@ 2.93-6.2%
Under 3.5
74.5%
@ 1.36+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.10
BetVictor
3.10
Pinnacle
3.07
888Sport
3.00
Under
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
@ 1.60-4.3%
No
46.7%
@ 2.18+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.64
William Hil
1.62
Betfair
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
No
1xBet
2.26
Betano
2.25
Marathonbet
2.22
888Sport
2.20
10Bet
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.9%@ 5.86+6.4%
0-0
9.0%@ 10.04+4.6%
1-0
8.9%@ 8.80+3.9%
2-1
8.3%@ 8.91+3.4%
0-1
8.3%@ 8.37+3.1%
1-2
7.8%@ 8.52+2.7%
2-0 ā
6.7%@ 12.73+3.3%
0-2
5.9%@ 11.83+2.2%
NK Slaven Belupo goals ↓
HNK Gorica goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.0%
8.3%
5.9%
2.5%
0.8%
1
8.9%
14%
7.8%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.7%
8.3%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
3
3.0%
3.7%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.2%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = NK Slaven Belupo goals (down), columns = HNK Gorica goals (across).
Advertisement
šŖ 3. Team Strengths Analysis
š Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.39
HNK Hajduk Split
1.89
NK Varazdin
1.50
HNK Rijeka
1.47
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.22
Istra 1961
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.14
Rudes
1.11
NK Osijek
0.97
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica are level in average points per game (both 1.14).
āļø Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.58
HNK Hajduk Split
1.69
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.31
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.11
HNK Gorica
1.11
Istra 1961
1.08
Rudes
1.08
NK Osijek
0.75
NK Slaven Belupo is 0.17 goals better than HNK Gorica in terms of goals scored per game (1.28 vs 1.11).
š”ļø Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
HNK Hajduk Split
1.00
HNK Rijeka
1.00
NK Varazdin
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.33
NK Osijek
1.36
Istra 1961
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.44
Rudes
1.65
NK Slaven Belupo
1.69
NK Slaven Belupo is 0.36 goals worse than HNK Gorica in terms of goals conceded per game (1.69 vs 1.33).
ā±ļø Possession
Avg possession %
HNK Hajduk Split
58%
Dinamo Zagreb
58%
HNK Rijeka
52%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
50%
Istra 1961
50%
NK Osijek
49%
NK Slaven Belupo
49%
HNK Gorica
46%
NK Varazdin
44%
NK Slaven Belupo is 2.8 percentage points better than HNK Gorica in terms of average possession (49% vs 46%).
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
NK Slaven Belupo or Drawā Hit
70.6%
Avg Implied 62.8% · @ 1.48
Edge
+7.8%
37%
29%
34%
covers NK Slaven Belupo + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
NK Slaven Belupo or HNK Goricaā Hit
71.3%
Avg Implied 71.8% · @ 1.29
Edge
-0.6%
37%
29%
34%
covers NK Slaven Belupo + HNK Gorica
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
Draw or HNK Goricaā Miss
58.1%
Avg Implied 65.4% · @ 1.42
Edge
-7.3%
37%
29%
34%
covers Draw + HNK Gorica
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
William Hil
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Advertisement
š„ 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
75.9%
@ 1.26+2.4%
Under
24.1%
@ 3.50-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
Under
Pinnacle
3.73
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.56
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.50
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 2.32+1.5%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.55-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.40
888Sport
2.40
Bet365
2.38
BetVictor
2.38
Superbet
2.35
Under
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.61
Betano
1.60
Pinnacle
1.57
10Bet
1.55
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.2%
@ 5.17-0.8%
Under
82.8%
@ 1.13+0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.50
888Sport
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
10Bet
5.00
Under
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 13.19-1.6%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
15.00
Bet365
15.00
Superbet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
68.6%
@ 1.25-5.8%
Under
31.4%
@ 3.62+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Under
Pinnacle
3.87
10Bet
3.75
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.72
888Sport
3.70
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.2%
@ 2.20-10.0%
Under
67.8%
@ 1.60+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Superbet
2.25
BetVictor
2.25
Bet365
2.25
888Sport
2.20
Under
Betano
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
10Bet
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.1%
@ 4.85-8.1%
Under
88.9%
@ 1.15+8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.25
888Sport
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.60
Under
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
HNK Gorica over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 12.19-4.8%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.03+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
888Sport
13.00
Superbet
12.00
Betano
8.75
Under
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
āļø 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to NK Slaven Belupo, so a minus line means NK Slaven Belupo give that many goals of a start and HNK Gorica receive them. At -1, NK Slaven Belupo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal NK Slaven Belupo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (NK Slaven Belupo)Actual: Draw
NK Slaven Belupo -2
7.8%
@ 10.17-0.8%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 6.62-0.4%
HNK Gorica +2
79.4%
@ 1.12+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Marathonbet
6.50
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Superbet
7.10
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
Handicap -1 (NK Slaven Belupo)Actual: NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo -1
20.6%
@ 4.98+3.1%
Draw -1
21.2%
@ 4.15+0.2%
HNK Gorica +1
58.1%
@ 1.42-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
4.90
Unibet
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Draw
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.60
Away
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.33
Handicap +1 (NK Slaven Belupo)Actual: NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo +1
70.6%
@ 1.47+10.8%
Draw +1
17.0%
@ 4.11-4.4%
HNK Gorica -1
12.4%
@ 4.66-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Superbet
4.20
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Away
Betfair
5.00
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Superbet
4.70
Marathonbet
4.60
Handicap +2 (NK Slaven Belupo)Actual: NK Slaven Belupo
NK Slaven Belupo +2
87.6%
@ 1.14+9.2%
Draw +2
8.5%
@ 7.05-4.2%
HNK Gorica -2
3.9%
@ 10.00-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
6.95
Superbet
6.70
Away
Bet365
11.00
Superbet
9.90
Marathonbet
9.10
ā±ļø 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.90
0.53
1.00
0.73
0.80
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.10
0.50
1.33
0.50
0.75
vs Similar (20)
0.70
0.80
0.56
0.78
0.82
0.82
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.71
0.65
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
0.64
0.62
0.75
0.33
0.50
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.75
0.78
0.56
0.57
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.4%
@ 1.34-0.7%
Under 0.5
31.6%
@ 3.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
BetVictor
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Under
Pinnacle
3.21
Betfair
3.20
William Hil
3.10
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.58-5.2%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.45+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.72
Betano
2.65
Bet365
2.62
William Hil
2.60
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.7%
@ 6.04-5.7%
Under 2.5
90.3%
@ 1.10+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
William Hil
6.50
Superbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.80
Under
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
š„ 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
45.9%
@ 2.01-0.1%
Under
54.1%
@ 1.71+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.08
Betano
2.07
Superbet
2.05
Unibet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.97
Under
10Bet
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Betano
1.70
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
12.4%
@ 6.14-2.7%
Under
87.6%
@ 1.09+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.30
Betano
6.20
Marathonbet
6.10
1xBet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Under
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.0%
@ 18.17-3.2%
Under
98.0%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
21.00
Betano
12.50
Under
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.9%
@ 1.96-6.4%
Under
59.1%
@ 1.75+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.04
Betano
2.00
Superbet
2.00
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Under
10Bet
1.80
Pinnacle
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
1xBet
1.76
Betano
1.75
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 5.78-6.5%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.11+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
6.00
1xBet
5.90
Marathonbet
5.90
Betano
5.60
10Bet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 15.83-4.7%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
19.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
ā±ļø 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Slaven Belupo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.87
0.73
0.60
0.33
1.13
vs Stronger (10)
0.50
1.30
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.75
vs Similar (20)
0.55
0.65
0.89
0.33
0.27
0.91
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (HNK Gorica) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
HNK Gorica
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.70
0.53
0.65
0.31
0.77
vs Stronger (14)
0.43
0.79
0.62
0.62
0.17
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.44
0.62
0.44
0.67
0.43
0.57
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Slaven Belupo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
75.3%
Under 0.5
24.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.9%
Under 1.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
Under 2.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
š„ 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.4%
Under
81.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Slaven Belupo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.3%
Under
95.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
46.3%
Under
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.0%
Under
87.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
HNK Gorica over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Advertisement
š„ 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.7%
ā Hit
Under 6.5
98.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.9%
ā Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.0%
1.01
10Bet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.2%
ā Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.0%
1.03
Betano
1.05
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+4.8%
ā Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 5.5
95.3%
1.03
Betano
1.06
888Sport
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Superbet
1.03
+4.3%
ā Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
94.4%
1.03
Bet365
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.02
-
+1.6%
ā Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.4%
1.11
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
+6.5%
ā Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.3%
1.10
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+5.7%
ā Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
88.9%
1.15
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.17
1xBet
1.15
888Sport
1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
+8.1%
ā Hit
Under 4.5
88.0%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Pinnacle
1.14
Betfair
1.13
888Sport
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+4.7%
ā Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.6%
1.09
Betano
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Superbet
1.09
+2.7%
ā Miss
Home +2 handicap
87.6%
1.14
Superbet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
-
-
+9.2%
ā Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
86.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.4%
1.24
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.20
-
+9.1%
ā Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
82.8%
1.13
Betano
1.15
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
10Bet
1.13
+0.8%
ā Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Away +2 handicap
79.4%
1.12
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+1.2%
ā Miss
Under 5.5 cards
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Over 2.5 cards
76.5%
1.23
Superbet
1.23
-
-
-
-
+4.0%
ā Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
75.9%
1.26
888Sport
1.29
Superbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betano
1.26
+2.4%
ā Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
ā Hit
Under 3.5
74.5%
1.36
10Bet
1.40
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
Pinnacle
1.37
+6.2%
ā Hit
Under 10.5 corners
74.4%
1.42
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.39
-
+9.5%
ā Hit
Over 1.5
73.7%
1.23
Betano
1.26
888Sport
1.25
Bet365
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
10Bet
1.25
-1.4%
ā Hit
Home or Away
71.3%
1.29
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
888Sport
1.33
Superbet
1.31
William Hil
1.30
-0.6%
ā Hit
Home or Draw
70.6%
1.48
Betano
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
888Sport
1.50
10Bet
1.50
+7.8%
ā Hit
Home +1 handicap
70.6%
1.47
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Superbet
1.49
Marathonbet
1.48
Betfair
1.44
+10.8%
ā Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
š½ 13. Player market rates
NK Slaven Belupo
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ilija Nestorovski50%
Josip MitroviÄ25%
Alen GrgiÄ0%
Karlo SentiÄ0%
ArnĆ³r Gauti JĆ³nsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Marko Dabro0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dominik KovaÄiÄ50%
Ilija Nestorovski25%
Ljuban Crepulja25%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina25%
Josip MitroviÄ0%
Alen GrgiÄ0%
Karlo SentiÄ0%
ArnĆ³r Gauti JĆ³nsson0%
Marko Dabro0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Marko Dabro33%
David Bosak33%
Josip MitroviÄ0%
Alen GrgiÄ0%
Karlo SentiÄ0%
Ilija Nestorovski0%
ArnĆ³r Gauti JĆ³nsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Lovro Banovec0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Marko Dabro33%
Josip MitroviÄ0%
Alen GrgiÄ0%
Karlo SentiÄ0%
Ilija Nestorovski0%
ArnĆ³r Gauti JĆ³nsson0%
Ljuban Crepulja0%
Dominik KovaÄiÄ0%
Lovro Banovec0%
David Bosak0%
Ivan Cvetko0%
Filip KruŔelj0%
Adetunji Rasaq Adeshina0%
Leon BoŔnjak0%
HNK Gorica
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Bruno BogojeviÄ40%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Filip Braut0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Patrik MijiÄ0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Juraj Frigan0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Stefan PeriÄ20%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ20%
Patrik MijiÄ20%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ20%
Ante Kavelj20%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Filip Braut0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Medin Gashi0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Juraj Frigan0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Luka VrziÄ25%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Filip Braut0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Bruno BogojeviÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Patrik MijiÄ0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Juraj Frigan0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik MijiÄ60%
Bruno BogojeviÄ40%
Stefan PeriÄ0%
Jakov FilipoviÄ0%
Filip Braut0%
Domagoj PaviÄiÄ0%
Davor MatijaŔ0%
Kevin Custovic0%
Ivan CvijanoviÄ0%
Jakov Pranjic0%
Medin Gashi0%
Ante Kavelj0%
Luka VrziÄ0%
Juraj Frigan0%
Stjepan KuÄiÅ”0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Advertisement
š° 14. Squad value
š° Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
RUD (27)
€5m
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica have a similar squad value (both €8m).
āļø Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
RUD (13)
€3m
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica have a similar attack value (both €3m).
š§ Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
RUD (4)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
š”ļø Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
RUD (10)
€1m
NK Slaven Belupo and HNK Gorica have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Croatia: HNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
NK Osijek
NK Varazdin
Dinamo Zagreb
HNK Hajduk Split
HNK Rijeka
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
Istra 1961
Rudes