This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.83
1.17
3.00
1.67
2.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
3.00
1.20
3.00
1.67
3.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
0.0%
No
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.25
HNK Hajduk Split
1.97
NK Osijek
1.39
HNK Rijeka
1.36
NK Varazdin
1.28
Istra 1961
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.19
NK Slaven Belupo
1.19
HNK Gorica
0.89
Sibenik
0.75
NK Varazdin is 0.97 points worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of average points per game (1.28 vs 2.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Dinamo Zagreb
2.25
HNK Hajduk Split
1.81
NK Osijek
1.28
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.25
HNK Rijeka
1.22
NK Varazdin
1.14
HNK Gorica
1.00
Istra 1961
1.00
NK Slaven Belupo
0.75
Sibenik
0.67
NK Varazdin is 1.11 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Zagreb
0.78
Istra 1961
1.06
HNK Hajduk Split
1.14
NK Osijek
1.14
HNK Rijeka
1.22
NK Slaven Belupo
1.28
HNK Gorica
1.39
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
1.39
NK Varazdin
1.42
Sibenik
1.56
NK Varazdin is 0.64 goals worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 0.78).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Dinamo Zagreb
63%
HNK Hajduk Split
53%
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
52%
Istra 1961
52%
NK Varazdin
51%
HNK Rijeka
50%
NK Osijek
50%
HNK Gorica
44%
Sibenik
44%
NK Slaven Belupo
42%
NK Varazdin is 11.5 percentage points worse than Dinamo Zagreb in terms of average possession (51% vs 63%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
NK Varazdin
For 5.0 · Against 4.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.7 · Against 15.7 · Total 30.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Dinamo Zagreb
For 5.8 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.7 · Against 15.0 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
NK Varazdin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (3)
9.3
9.0
10.0
4.3
3.5
6.0
30.3
33.0
25.0
vs Stronger (1)
10.0
10.0
-
3.0
3.0
-
37.0
37.0
-
vs Similar (2)
9.0
8.0
10.0
5.0
4.0
6.0
27.0
29.0
25.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
67%
50%
100%
67%
50%
100%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
33%
50%
0%
33%
50%
0%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (6)
9.5
6.3
12.7
4.0
3.3
4.7
22.7
23.5
21.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
14.0
-
14.0
4.0
-
4.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (5)
8.6
6.3
12.0
4.0
3.3
5.0
22.7
23.5
21.0
% over line
33%
0%
67%
67%
67%
67%
33%
50%
0%
% under line
67%
100%
33%
33%
33%
33%
67%
50%
100%
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Istra 1961
10.3
HNK Hajduk Split
10.0
HNK Gorica
9.7
Dinamo Zagreb
9.5
NK Osijek
9.4
NK Varazdin
9.3
HNK Rijeka
9.0
NK Slaven Belupo
8.7
Sibenik
8.3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
6.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
HNK Gorica
6.3
NK Osijek
6.2
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
5.7
HNK Rijeka
5.5
NK Varazdin
4.3
Sibenik
4.3
Dinamo Zagreb
4.0
NK Slaven Belupo
4.0
Istra 1961
3.7
HNK Hajduk Split
3.3
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
NK Varazdin
30.3
HNK Rijeka
29.5
HNK Hajduk Split
29.0
NK Osijek
26.0
HNK Gorica
25.3
Sibenik
25.3
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
24.3
NK Slaven Belupo
24.0
Dinamo Zagreb
22.7
Istra 1961
22.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
57.3%
Under 9.5
42.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.2%
Under 3.5
35.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
81.7%
Under 21.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
NK Varazdin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
2.00
0.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (2)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.83
1.67
1.00
1.67
0.67
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
2.00
1.00
-
-
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.60
0.80
1.67
1.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
NK Varazdin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.67
0.00
0.50
2.00
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (2)
1.00
1.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Dinamo Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Dinamo Zagreb
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.33
1.33
0.67
1.00
0.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (5)
1.40
0.40
1.33
0.67
1.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
67% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (NK Varazdin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
NK Varazdin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
NK Varazdin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Dinamo Zagreb over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
90.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
81.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
81.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
71.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
NK Varazdin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vito Težak33%
Fran Brodić32%
Tonio Teklić24%
Niko Domjanić18%
Igor Postonjski12%
Domagoj Drožđek11%
Dimitar Mitrovski11%
Ivan Posavec10%
Karlo Perić10%
Michele Šego8%
Matija Kolarić8%
Agon Elezi6%
David Puclin5%
Marin Pilj4%
Luka Jelenić3%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lamine Ba0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Andris Herrera0%
Mato Stanić0%
Demir Peco0%
Itsuki Urata0%
Rafa Pereira0%
Luka Škaričić0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Filip Brekalo0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Ivan Šaranić0%
Leon Belcar0%
Noa Vugrinec0%
Lovro Banovec0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jorgo Pëllumbi26%
Andris Herrera25%
Marin Pilj22%
Domagoj Drožđek22%
Luka Jelenić20%
Luka Škaričić20%
Agon Elezi19%
Itsuki Urata19%
Filip Brekalo17%
Lamine Ba16%
David Puclin14%
Igor Postonjski12%
Demir Peco12%
Tonio Teklić12%
Marko Stolnik12%
Leon Belcar12%
Matija Kolarić12%
Mato Stanić11%
Jozo Stanić10%
Fran Brodić6%
Lovro Banovec5%
Michele Šego4%
Oliver Zelenika3%
Ivan Posavec0%
Rafa Pereira0%
Karlo Perić0%
Dimitar Mitrovski0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Ivan Šaranić0%
Noa Vugrinec0%
Niko Domjanić0%
Vito Težak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ivan Posavec20%
Michele Šego15%
Lovro Banovec15%
Jozo Stanić13%
Igor Postonjski12%
Domagoj Drožđek11%
Itsuki Urata7%
Fran Brodić6%
Leon Belcar6%
Lamine Ba5%
Andris Herrera5%
Matija Kolarić4%
Marin Pilj4%
Agon Elezi3%
Tonio Teklić3%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
David Puclin0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Mato Stanić0%
Demir Peco0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Rafa Pereira0%
Karlo Perić0%
Dimitar Mitrovski0%
Luka Škaričić0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Filip Brekalo0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Ivan Šaranić0%
Noa Vugrinec0%
Niko Domjanić0%
Vito Težak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Fran Brodić26%
Tonio Teklić24%
Igor Postonjski12%
Demir Peco12%
Ivan Posavec10%
Michele Šego8%
Agon Elezi6%
Marin Pilj4%
Jorgo Pëllumbi0%
Domagoj Drožđek0%
David Puclin0%
Matija Kolarić0%
Marko Stolnik0%
Lamine Ba0%
Jozo Stanić0%
Oliver Zelenika0%
Andris Herrera0%
Mato Stanić0%
Luka Jelenić0%
Itsuki Urata0%
Rafa Pereira0%
Karlo Perić0%
Dimitar Mitrovski0%
Luka Škaričić0%
Ivan Ćubelić0%
Filip Brekalo0%
Karlo Lusavec0%
Ivan Šaranić0%
Leon Belcar0%
Noa Vugrinec0%
Lovro Banovec0%
Niko Domjanić0%
Vito Težak0%
Dinamo Zagreb
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mislav Oršić43%
Bruno Petković31%
Amer Gojak25%
Luka Ivanušec24%
Boško Šutalo17%
Dario Špikić17%
Mahir Emreli15%
Petar Bočkaj15%
Arijan Ademi15%
Martin Baturina15%
Josip Drmić14%
Stefan Ristovski11%
Luka Menalo9%
Rasmus Lauritsen9%
Robert Ljubičić7%
Dino Perić7%
Josip Šutalo6%
Josip Mišić5%
Sadegh Moharrami3%
Dominik Livaković0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine0%
Antonio Marin0%
Marko Bulat0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Mauro Perković0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Fran Topić0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Emir Dilaver67%
Daniel Štefulj33%
Rasmus Lauritsen27%
Amer Gojak25%
Antonio Marin17%
Josip Mišić15%
Robert Ljubičić15%
Sadegh Moharrami12%
Mauro Perković12%
Luka Ivanušec12%
Josip Šutalo12%
Stefan Ristovski11%
Mahir Emreli8%
Petar Bočkaj8%
Arijan Ademi7%
Martin Baturina7%
Dino Perić7%
Bruno Petković6%
Luka Menalo5%
Mislav Oršić4%
Dominik Livaković2%
Josip Drmić2%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine0%
Boško Šutalo0%
Dario Špikić0%
Marko Bulat0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Fran Topić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Martin Baturina27%
Bruno Petković22%
Petar Bočkaj19%
Mislav Oršić17%
Josip Drmić14%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine12%
Mauro Perković12%
Luka Ivanušec10%
Dario Špikić10%
Luka Menalo9%
Stefan Ristovski9%
Arijan Ademi7%
Marko Bulat4%
Dino Perić3%
Sadegh Moharrami3%
Josip Mišić2%
Robert Ljubičić2%
Dominik Livaković0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Amer Gojak0%
Antonio Marin0%
Mahir Emreli0%
Boško Šutalo0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Fran Topić0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mislav Oršić39%
Luka Ivanušec17%
Bruno Petković14%
Josip Drmić12%
Dario Špikić10%
Luka Menalo9%
Arijan Ademi7%
Josip Mišić5%
Marko Bulat4%
Petar Bočkaj4%
Dino Perić3%
Robert Ljubičić2%
Martin Baturina2%
Dominik Livaković0%
Emir Dilaver0%
Sadegh Moharrami0%
Kévin Théophile-Catherine0%
Amer Gojak0%
Antonio Marin0%
Stefan Ristovski0%
Mahir Emreli0%
Boško Šutalo0%
Josip Šutalo0%
Rasmus Lauritsen0%
Daniel Štefulj0%
Mauro Perković0%
Gabrijel Rukavina0%
Fran Topić0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (34)
€66m
HR (32)
€34m
HHS (29)
€34m
NO (33)
€15m
NV (27)
€11m
I1 (23)
€11m
NLZ (34)
€10m
HG (27)
€9m
NSB (31)
€8m
NK Varazdin's squad is €54m less valuable than Dinamo Zagreb's (€11m vs €66m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (15)
€33m
HR (15)
€21m
HHS (10)
€15m
NO (16)
€9m
NV (9)
€6m
I1 (10)
€4m
HG (10)
€4m
NSB (10)
€3m
NLZ (8)
€3m
NK Varazdin's attack is €28m less valuable than Dinamo Zagreb's (€6m vs €33m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HHS (6)
€8m
HR (3)
€5m
NLZ (8)
€3m
I1 (4)
€2m
DZ (2)
€2m
HG (6)
€2m
NSB (6)
€2m
NO (4)
€1m
NV (4)
€1m
NK Varazdin's midfield is €1m less valuable than Dinamo Zagreb's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DZ (17)
€30m
HHS (13)
€11m
HR (14)
€8m
NV (14)
€5m
I1 (9)
€5m
NO (13)
€4m
NLZ (18)
€4m
NSB (15)
€3m
HG (11)
€3m
NK Varazdin's defence is €26m less valuable than Dinamo Zagreb's (€5m vs €30m).
Croatia: HNL 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Croatia: HNL stats & trends →
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HNK Hajduk Split
NK Osijek
HNK Rijeka
Istra 1961
NK Lokomotiva Zagreb
NK Slaven Belupo
HNK Gorica
Sibenik