Notts County vs Bradford Result & Analysis

Notts County are tipped to lift the trophy at home, a 51% chance of victory against Bradford’s 23% chance of an away win and a 26% draw probability. The model sees a 2.8-goal average, with the most likely total of two goals, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Notts County, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, have scored an average of two goals and conceded 2.25, while Bradford, on the road, have only netted 0.73 and allowed 1.18. The suggested selections include an 86.4% chance of under 25.5 fouls, 80.6% for under 5.5 cards, 78.2% for over 1.5 goals, 75.2% for under 23.5 fouls, 74.2% for over 2.5 cards and 72.7% for over 8.5 corners. The home side’s recent unbeaten run of five games, including a 1-1 draw with Doncaster, gives them a slight edge, while Bradford’s recent five-match run of two losses followed by two wins shows they are finding form.

Notts County’s unbeaten run in the last five matches, highlighted by a 1-1 draw with Doncaster, kept the home side in fine form as they faced Bradford, who were still recovering from two straight defeats. The model’s pre-match favourite, a home win, was given a 51% probability and proved correct when the match finished 4-2 in favour of Notts County. The predicted total of 2.8 goals fell short of the actual 6, but the model’s six suggested selections all hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 86.4%, Under 5.5 cards at 80.6%, Over 1.5 at 78.2%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.2%, Over 2.5 cards at 74.2% and Over 8.5 corners at 72.7%. The predictions largely aligned with the outcome, underscoring the model’s accuracy.